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5461  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 14, 2017, 01:09:59 AM
I am starting to think that this week we will have at least an attempt at $2000, or maybe even a breakout if we have a small flash dip between $1800-$2000 before the attempt.

5462  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 13, 2017, 10:36:43 PM
But i don't have cash on week-end to buy bitcoins ... only on working days.


That's where leveraging comes really useful (instead for going full retard on gambling): You can buy the dip at that instant. Then transfer the funds and settle the position when they arrive some days later.

Just never open a position that is more than a small porcentage (ie: less than 30%) of your trading funds/collateral unless you really know what your doing and want to engage in leverage trading.
5463  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2017, 08:11:49 PM
store of value eh

It has no value now?

Do you even understand what store of value means?
5464  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2017, 08:07:57 PM
To buy or not to buy... That's the question.

I personally buy incrementally all along the dip; however, I also have additional questions regarding at what price points to inject greater buy amounts - in other words, what is a "buyable dip"

Maybe below $1620 and then in $100 increments downwards?

Yep, that's what I have been doing with little amounts. Almost all my last hour buys now in the green. Nice recovery Smiley

Let's see if it holds...
5465  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2017, 07:06:39 PM
To buy or not to buy... That's the question.
5466  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2017, 02:05:19 AM
Very unlikely imo. That would be a massive rise in such a short amount of time. I think a big correction is way more likely than an epic pump to $3000 by end of June.

I expect a correction, but honestly, is a rally to $3000 so unlikely? Total mcap of crypto has been going bananas (I believe is the technical term) and it's not like such massive and rapid rises are a new phenomenon in this space.

At this point it is very hard to tell. $1800 should have been harder to cross, yet it did. From this point on it is all uncertainty. It could perfectly go on rising. COnsidering the tremendous pump altcoins have just had (up to x25 in case of Ripple) Bitcoin 2x pales in comparison.

Also, looking at the charts in log view, it is evident that current rise is orders of manitude lower than that of 2013.... but we all know what hapenned afterwards.
5467  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2017, 01:59:03 AM
Is it monday SEC will announce the new decision about BAT's ETF? (May 15)

is there a BATcoin or ETFcoin or SECcoin already?

Great name for some shit coin though.

I have some better names:

1) Altcoin (ALT): to confuse newbies when they hear about altcoins all the time. Great branding.

2) Shitcoin (SHT): For mostly the same reason... although the branding isn't that good on second thought. BUt hey, if DOGE is still out there maybe there is hope!
5468  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2017, 12:02:57 AM
what wallet are you using? you can't take the private keys elsewhere to another wallet? my transactions have been as fast as usual recently.
Long story.. MultiBit HD 0.4.1  It is a piece of shit!  Many problems in this thread just for this crap:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=99.0

I am waiting for the tx to be rejected or executed before I move the private keys to another wallet.  I am afraid to touch it now.

yeah. it's been known to be a piece of shit for a long time. i think it was sold and not much has been done with it since. it should be removed from downloading.

GUYS!!!
Finally all my transactions got transffered thanks to https://www.viabtc.com/tools/txaccelerator/
That shit really works.
It took me days of trying to get my txid accepted untill finally today it accepted them and WHALA all confirmed on the next block.
many  Kiss Kiss Kiss Kiss Kiss Kiss Kiss to ViaBTC

Now I can get my wallet transferred out of MultiBit HD!

Glad to hear you finally recovered full control of your coins.

The irony is that during those days stuck in limbo, BTC price didn't stop rising while those alts you wanted to buy instead didn't do so well Smiley
5469  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2017, 01:46:37 PM
i simply cannot wrap my brain around this action among the seeming chaos of the scaling issue. to judge by the talk, we should, at best, be stable, not climbing. Yet here we are, record highs.

i really am kicking myself over those 10 coins i sold to my brother for $1000. total. :| at the time, that was the price... heck, i think i actually did it in my favor by a percent or two. argh.

and then there's the 15 or so coins i spent on games and other crap... ugh.

Nothing wrong with spending or selling..

But you are probably indicating that you spent or sold and then you did not replace --- gotta replace when spending.


Now, at these prices, hm?  I might spend and replace just 2/3 of them.. but no matter what gotta consider what portion to replace... even if it is only 20%

You are probably overthinking here... My guesstimate is that Elwar only spent/sold around 1-3% of his holdings, maybe even less than that.


Are you referring to Arkian, rather than Elwar?  

I am not referring to anyone in specific, instead I am referring to a practice of considering your replacement of coins that you spend.  Of course if the price is high, and you spend, your replacement considerations are going to be different as compared to when the price is low.... but we do not always know if the price is high or if the price is low, so our replacement plan might be more aggressive or less aggressive depending on our own perception and views.

For example, I recall a couple of things that occurred with a person who I had been introducing to bitcoin from about upper $300s.  If you recall the price was in the upper $300s in late 2014, and I was thinking that was pretty much the bottom, and I introduced several people to bitcoin, and a couple of people took me up on my suggestion, but got a bit frustrated when the price went down during 2015, and I recall that one person had paid me in bitcoin when the price was $228, and I told that person that she better replace her bitcoins, and even though she was disheartened about bitcoin, luckily she took my suggestion and replaced because the price never returned to that level.  

Similar things can be true at any price, whether spending at $228 or $1000 or $1842 or any other price - when you spend your bitcoin, you should be considering your replacement plan.


For some reason I thought you were replying to the Elwar message, now I see I got confussed. Probably due to the emotion of watching the little pump Smiley

Anyway... What I meant is that if someone has already finished their accumulation process there is probably no reason to keep putting more eggs into the Bitcoin basket and, some spending is reasonable even if not "refilled".

I mean, lets say someone who has 500BTC, at current rate almost 1 million dollar, but doesn't have any other significant liquid holdings (fiat, stocks, etc). Well, diversification tells he shouldn't put more eggs into the Bitcoin basket. If it rises up, great, it's not that important that he spend some on the road, if it crashes... better he did spent some.
Also, as a person without much other significant holdings or excess income he wouldn't be able to increase significantly his current holding anyways (at current rates).

If someone is yet in the accumulation phase, then yes, he should probably replace if it is feasible for him, but that doesn't need to be done inmediately. Maybe in the next correction (even if it is higher than actual price).

Yes we can remember how things evolved in the past, what we did and what we could have done.... My first two BTC I bought them for 100Euro in total using paypal. I wish I had bought much more at that price but... that's nonsense, it's the same is if we wish to have bought a lottery ticket after knowing which number was the winner.

For me, I will probably stop completely my accumulation phase when Bitcoin grows to the point that it has the same total value as my liquid FIAT. Then I will probably also stop spending from my FIAT and start spending from my BTC. If that ever happens (maybe before 2020 if everything goes according to the plan). Also, if that happens, I expect my BTC to keep growing above my FIAT holding from that point on, even if spending from it (and not replacing anymore).

For that reasons, I can perfectly understand if someone in particular has already reached a point in which he is now better spending from BTC and not replacing it.

Notice how I say (moderately) spending from instead of selling/going all out.


5470  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2017, 09:57:10 AM
i simply cannot wrap my brain around this action among the seeming chaos of the scaling issue. to judge by the talk, we should, at best, be stable, not climbing. Yet here we are, record highs.

i really am kicking myself over those 10 coins i sold to my brother for $1000. total. :| at the time, that was the price... heck, i think i actually did it in my favor by a percent or two. argh.

and then there's the 15 or so coins i spent on games and other crap... ugh.

Nothing wrong with spending or selling..

But you are probably indicating that you spent or sold and then you did not replace --- gotta replace when spending.


Now, at these prices, hm?  I might spend and replace just 2/3 of them.. but no matter what gotta consider what portion to replace... even if it is only 20%

You are probably overthinking here... My guesstimate is that Elwar only spent/sold around 1-3% of his holdings, maybe even less than that.
5471  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2017, 09:55:26 AM
I sold some bitcoins.

And by "sold" I mean, I booked a trip to Tahiti. With bitcoins.

That's healthy organic "selling"... Enjoy your well deserved trip!
5472  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2017, 05:59:55 AM
$ 1820,00 on Bitstamp now.

So ... $ 2000,00 on Saturday or Sunday ? ... Your predictions? Cheesy

There's less than 1000 coins to $2000 on Bitstamp... which is more or less the same as what I have seen being eaten from walls in the last couple of hours.
5473  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2017, 05:56:08 AM
Wow! Whats this? A vertical pump?!?!
5474  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2017, 05:45:50 AM
Wow! Bitstamp wall completely eaten (not pulled) now!
5475  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2017, 04:59:03 AM
Ok. I'll admit yours is better advice. I'm just not into hardware wallets for now. (My computer is essentially a large hardware wallet; but that's another story.)

Quote
you can't trust your phone or your computer.

I don't trust anything.

A guy using the official wallet with passphrase protection lost 16 bitcoin to malware last week posted on reddit. I see these posts more often now. I can appreciate the reasons to run a full node but security of your bitcoin is not one of them until Bitcoin Core supports hardware wallets. Sure you can use Armory cold storage but that is not very convenient.

On what OS was his Wallet?

Probably Windows, but every OS has its good share of vulnerabilities.
5476  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2017, 04:49:07 AM
Wall observed in Bistamp at 1790. It's the same of yesterday... If price cross 1800 this time, there's not much resistance above.
5477  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2017, 02:53:08 AM
Sorry hodlers, but I just sold out to FIAT... I am expecting at least a small correction soon.

Maybe we go back up after a small correction, or maybe there is a large correction looming.

I think I will buy back after the small correction, and curse the gods if there is a large correction.  Cheesy

It's not a bad price to sell... the only risk is if you will be able to get onto the train again. Who knows...

Anyway it's good that some people get out of the train now better than later when the correction could be worse. We need people to sell to have a healthy rise.
5478  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 10, 2017, 04:04:03 PM
I don't trust anything.

Neither do I.

This is why I prefer paper wallets. Even hardware wallets require trusting the hardware manufacturer.

With paper wallets you only need to trust yourself and mathematics.

You also have to trust in your house fire system if you have one.

No need. He does have multiple off-site backups of his paperwallets... as everyone should for any kind of seed.
5479  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 10, 2017, 04:01:57 PM
I don't trust anything.

Neither do I.

This is why I prefer paper wallets. Even hardware wallets require trusting the hardware manufacturer.

With paper wallets you only need to trust yourself and mathematics.

You did calculate your paperwallets by hand with pencil and paper?  Shocked

Anyways, you will probably need a computer and a software wallet to redeem them....
5480  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 10, 2017, 03:33:16 PM
flash crash activated?

You should stop watching the 1m chart if you are so sensible to minuscule movements Smiley
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