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1081  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Bottoms up, etc. on: September 20, 2020, 05:29:45 PM
#FinCENFiles – coming today at 1 pm ET and 5 pm GMT – exposes how money looted from government treasuries, scammed from pensioners, and generated through drug sales has been hidden across the world.

https://twitter.com/BuzzFeedNews

Financial surveillance propaganda from a fake news source whose very name translates approximately to Eat Hype.  Don’t swallow it.

“If we don’t enforce a global banking panopticon, then bad people may steal money that corrupt governments properly looted first, take candy from babies in second infancy, and ZOMG! (—faint—) do other illegal things!  To keep people safe, we need more KYC, more AML, more dox, more freezing and seizing, more asking permission, more limitations on what you can do with ‘your’ (LOL!) money.”

Everyone is guilty till proved innocent.  Now shut up, send more ID selfies, and show the source of funds if you ever want to see “your” money again.

It’s kind of like the argument that all crime could be prevented, if only the whole world could be turned into a giant prison on lockdown.  Oh, wait...



We need more bottom pics.

At this Sunday rump session of WO, are you calling for a focus on fundamentals?  Your meaning is ambiguous; for example, that thing I posted yesterday evoked at least two or three meanings of “bottom” that I can’t be arsed to list.



However, if the dollar itself is overvalued tensfold, then bitcoin is also overvalued tensfold

The confusion of concepts required to produce this statement is remarkable.



The security of the network is now more than 10x higher than when BTC set price ATH end of 2017....

Wrong. The hashrate/difficulty is more than 10x higher, not the security. It doesn't take 10x more investment to attack the network than it costed in december 2017 because current mining devices are way more efficient (per $ spent and electricity) than back then.

^^^ This.



bitcoin price volatility expected as 47 of btc options expire next friday
https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-volatility-expected-as-47-of-btc-options-expire-next-friday/

News of speculative instruments is worrisome, and another reason why news of more holders is exciting.



"Hal Finney" Sun, 11 Jan 2009
Quote
As an amusing thought experiment, imagine that Bitcoin is successful and
becomes the dominant payment system in use throughout the world.  Then the
total value of the currency should be equal to the total value of all
the wealth in the world. Current estimates of total worldwide household
wealth that I have found range from $100 trillion to $300 trillion. With
20 million coins, that gives each coin a value of about $10 million.
https://www.mail-archive.com/cryptography@metzdowd.com/msg10152.html

Don't rule out any pricing option, look what they were talking about in 2009.

Important clause highlighted.  He obviously wasn’t looking into a crystal ball and predicting that.

This is why influential people sometimes become wary of any type of “what if?”, thinking-aloud types of brainstorming in public.
1082  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 20, 2020, 10:25:00 AM
Here we go $1=1Satoshi

$1 = 1000Satoshi would be good enough  Wink

Sane.




But did you see me tighten the loose O? Wink
1083  Economy / Reputation / Re: Request Support (or Opposition) for Flags here! on: September 20, 2020, 10:10:24 AM
DT members, please support Type 1 Flag #2342 (scam accusation) against a probable fake newbie account that was created in 2017, suddenly woke up with a password change, made a false scam accusation against Prime Dice, and then turned around and promised to advertise a “no risky” dice profit strategy (ironically with statement of using “alotof alts accounts on primedice”).

Thank you.
1084  Economy / Scam Accusations / False scam accusation by scammer: Re: primedice scam 2020 on: September 20, 2020, 10:06:06 AM
A few days after creating this fake scam accusation, OP started scamming with mathematically impossible claims of a “no risky” betting strategy on dice.  Surprised?

Scam accusation, Type 1 Flag #2342.

N.b. that the scammer avers to using “alotof alts accounts on primedice”:

exmple deposit 1000$ so profit will be 100$ with no risky and don't tell me dice is risky because i know what  is risky

risky when u betting without safe strategy and don't tell me there is no safe strategy on dice im on dice since 2014 with alotof alts accounts on primedice

Which one got locked out?  LOL.
1085  Economy / Scam Accusations / #992662 “bingohouhou” promises “no risky” dice profit strategy on: September 20, 2020, 10:01:38 AM
Type 1 Flag #2342

A few days after creating a fake scam accusation against Prime Dice, account #992662 “bingohouhou” (distrust!) opened a thread with the following statements, among others, that constitute concrete red flags of a high risk of losing money:

exmple deposit 1000$ so profit will be 100$ with no risky and don't tell me dice is risky because i know what  is risky

risky when u betting without safe strategy and don't tell me there is no safe strategy on dice im on dice since 2014 with alotof alts accounts on primedice

It is an account created in 2017, which only just woke up with changed password and started posting a few days ago.  It is reasonable to presume that it’s some sort of a sleeper account that just changed hands.



I don’t think it’s really worthwhile to make a big case over some little scammer account that may be a throwaway.  It does need to be tagged and flagged; I am surprised how far the scam thread got without being clearly called out.  Thus, I will simply quote the post that I used as a reference for negative trust feedback:

⚠ WARNING:  This is a scam.

I am surprised that this was not called out in bright red letters on the first page.

my strategy work very well

its depend on what deposit in day

exmple deposit 1000$ so profit will be 100$ with no risky and don't tell me dice is risky because i know what  is risky

risky when u betting without safe strategy and don't tell me there is no safe strategy on dice im on dice since 2014 with alotof alts accounts on primedice

if u want contact me and test my strategy with small bankroll with doge coin like bankroll 1 doge coin i can show u how is safe

my telgram is @lokamokaa

The claimed “no risky” profit on dice is mathematically impossible.  Period.

This is just another scammer trying to trick people into contacting him, so that he can con them in private.  Don’t be a fool!

N.b. that this account just made a fake scam accusation against Prime Dice a few days before opening this topic (!).

N.b. also that this is a fake Newbie account—probably a bought account being used by another run by a serial scammer:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=992662
Quote
Name:bingohouhou
Posts:10
Activity:10
Merit:0
Position:Newbie
Date Registered:April 29, 2017, 10:26:48 AM

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=trust;u=992662
Quote
This user's password was reset recently.

This user recently woke up from a long period of inactivity.

OP fully quoted for reference, since I will be using this post for negative trust feedback:

hello peopel

i have good idea for dice game and for all sites dice

im on primedice since 2014 and i see alotof peopel loose big money and others win big  money

so i decided to share this idea with you guys and i hope you vote with post here about ur opinion

this idea will give newbe users take profit with pro users in dice

idea is :

site will add option feed back about pro users ( hight rollers )

so who take big feed back will got option right for copie bets

its mean newbee deposit like 100$ or 50$ and copie bets with hight roller who will bet with good strategy

so every profit take  pro user will take it also new bee and this depend on value deposite

im sure this idea will not  help sites because will cost them money if pro doing well every day with new bees deposit

im sorry for my englich but im try learning more Smiley

thanks and vote please

For reference, a full unedited quotation of the false scam accusation against Prime Dice:

hello peopel

since 2 days ago i try log in to my account on primedice.com

but i forget username

so i try go back to email so also i forget password email

so i ask support to help me

they ask me  to log in with email

i tell them i forget email password so after i receive cod i can't get it from email

because i can't log in to my email because i forget password

so they don't give me my username

SO PLEASE HOW I CAN GET USERNAME my account ?
1086  Economy / Gambling / SCAM: Re: copie bets in dice sites on: September 20, 2020, 09:38:42 AM
⚠ WARNING:  This is a scam.

I am surprised that this was not called out in bright red letters on the first page.

my strategy work very well

its depend on what deposit in day

exmple deposit 1000$ so profit will be 100$ with no risky and don't tell me dice is risky because i know what  is risky

risky when u betting without safe strategy and don't tell me there is no safe strategy on dice im on dice since 2014 with alotof alts accounts on primedice

if u want contact me and test my strategy with small bankroll with doge coin like bankroll 1 doge coin i can show u how is safe

my telgram is @lokamokaa

The claimed “no risky” profit on dice is mathematically impossible.  Period.

This is just another scammer trying to trick people into contacting him, so that he can con them in private.  Don’t be a fool!

N.b. that this account just made a fake scam accusation against Prime Dice a few days before opening this topic (!).

N.b. also that this is a fake Newbie account—probably a bought account being used by another run by a serial scammer:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=992662
Quote
Name:bingohouhou
Posts:10
Activity:10
Merit:0
Position:Newbie
Date Registered:April 29, 2017, 10:26:48 AM

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=trust;u=992662
Quote
This user's password was reset recently.

This user recently woke up from a long period of inactivity.

OP fully quoted for reference, since I will be using this post for negative trust feedback:

hello peopel

i have good idea for dice game and for all sites dice

im on primedice since 2014 and i see alotof peopel loose big money and others win big  money

so i decided to share this idea with you guys and i hope you vote with post here about ur opinion

this idea will give newbe users take profit with pro users in dice

idea is :

site will add option feed back about pro users ( hight rollers )

so who take big feed back will got option right for copie bets

its mean newbee deposit like 100$ or 50$ and copie bets with hight roller who will bet with good strategy

so every profit take  pro user will take it also new bee and this depend on value deposite

im sure this idea will not  help sites because will cost them money if pro doing well every day with new bees deposit

im sorry for my englich but im try learning more Smiley

thanks and vote please
1087  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] The 0 BTC Club on: September 20, 2020, 08:19:43 AM
what coins

poor mindrust

I can't imagine that he's a nocoiner, and that goes for mindrust as well.
From a psychological perspective, if for any reason you lose/sell/whatever all your coins, it makes sense to disappear.

what sense


poor swaystar #deletewo



Gotta have skin to stick around for long.

good point...


does she?
1088  Economy / Speculation / [WO] The 0 BTC Club on: September 20, 2020, 07:45:57 AM
Go on proudhon, take us to $12k and beyond, short with the highest leverage all your coins gawd damn it.

what coins



poor mindrust
1089  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] Fork attacks on: September 20, 2020, 03:16:46 AM
(FWIW, in some clusterfork of a Reputation thread, I mentioned that I would offer jbreher a (virtual) beer if he ever consistently repudiated his beloved forked shitcoins and Faketoshi-apologia, and admitted that he was wrong about Segwit, Core, etc.  The offer stands.)

I might be convinced to share a draft with you some day. Yet you persist in slander.

I have not “slandered” you.  (Allegedly libelled–let us not lose that distinction!)  If you point out even one factually incorrect statement I have made about you anywhere, then I will properly retract it.

I halfway wrote a long, detailed logical reply to you—not to be argumentative, but because you sometimes come off as quite reasonable.  (Not to mention that I’d toast the defence of the loose/lose distinction as a noble cause!)  I thought it would be worthwhile.  Then, I realized that this could be disposed more succinctly.

Preference for the BSV protocol != 'Faketoshi-apologia' (WhateverTF that might be).

My first encounter with you was in a thread focused on Craig Wright’s grand-scale identity theft, not technical issues.

“Faketoshi-apologia” == this, inter alia:

Wright’s theft of Satoshi’s identity is factually false,

For this to be true, it would require facts not yet entered into evidence. Sure, you have a mountain of circumstantial evidence, but from a logical standpoint, not conclusive.

[...]



If, tomorrow, I were to claim that Faketoshi “verified” a signature for me (!) on the same basis as his “verification” for Gavin, then that would leave only two realistic possibilities:  Either (1) I am maliciously lying with the intent to support Faketoshi in a scam, or (2) Bitcoin Core developer and technical forum moderator Andrew Chow is himself so incompetent that he said the foregoing about someone who doesn’t even know how properly to verify a digital signature.

Your set of possibilities omits a third possibility. And that would be that "faketoshi" actually did verify a signature for you. You evidently believe this to be "unrealistic". However, the very framing of the question in this manner precludes the scant -- though actually real -- possibility.

You wield your supposed razor as would a religious zealot.

[...]

With just a bit of digging, I also found you on record defaming Segwit’s security with the usual nonsense.  I have sufficient technical competence to know that it is indeed nonsense.  (That is why I am happy to keep my life savings in Segwit-native coins which I cannot afford to lose, which I would not entrust to unreliable technology.)  It is not only a matter of disagreement about whether or not Segwit is a practical improvement:  You’ve said things that are factually false, which I myself know to be factually false (not just because someone else said so), and which have been debunked so many times in such excruciating detail that I cannot imagine how any intelligent person can believe them sincerely.

And that entire matter of starting a brigaded neg campaign against me. Not like it hurt me in any way, but that's just fucking rude.

I’ll give you this:  You are not a garden-variety BSVer, the type who either lacks intelligence or has a few loose screws (or both).  By process of elimination, that is why I called you a liar.  Rude?  I do think that the world would be a better place if people spineless jellyfish were less concerned about a false politeness than about honesty, freedom, the distinct definitions of English words, and all those other obsolete concepts that altogether too often are “cancelled” because nobody will speak up for them.

If Blockalypse II comes and goes without the same sort of reduction in BTC Dominance that accompanied Blockalypse I, I'll likely acquiesce. In the same sense that I have waved goodbye to the sonics of 2" 30 ips tape. But repudiate the better design? Ain't gonna happen.

Hie ye to Hydrogen Audio for a fresh takedown!

—Oh fork, doesn’t Greg Maxwell have a xiph.org address?  It’s as if them Core people are ruining the whole world for you, ain’t it.


Bears mention on the Internet, where people get misunderstood:  You have seen that I have no problem with being aggressive; passive-aggression is just not my style.  I have stated the foregoing in good faith.





Edit:

jbreher, what did you mean by “sonics”?  The question is actually significant here.

For those who are unfamiliar with high-fidelity audio reproduction, I should briefly explain:  There is a certain type of man who is unalterably certain of the superiority of analogue audio recording technology—stereotypically, vinyl records.  It does not matter how often you explain the Nyquist Theorem.  It does not matter if you use absurdly high-precision scientific instruments to measure audio differences far too small for humans to be capable of hearing, which invariably show that good digital equipment is hands-down superior to the quality of the best analogue device ever made.  It does not matter if you perform empirical double-blind listening tests in anechoic chambers.  And the problem is not stupidity, per se.  It is tantamount to a religion.

If the above quote was intended to imply that 2" 30 ips tape has superior audio fidelity to digital, in the sense of transparent reproduction, then I have just accidentally solved the mystery of jbreher!

On the other hand, some folks frankly state that they prefer the distortions of various analogue media or equipment.  To them, audible imperfections add what feels like warmth or nostalgia that is missing from a more precise reproduction of the source audio.  “Sonics” could mean that, too.  —  On the other other hand, I don’t think that anybody ever said that about 2" (!) 30 ips (!!) tape.  That seems pretty clearly aimed at maximal quality, not audible distortions.
1090  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Medial S: It ſucks with ill-trained OCR! on: September 20, 2020, 01:09:20 AM
Quote from: jbreher (personal text)
lose: unfind ... loose: untight

*Given the pervasivity of that particular misuse, I sometimes worry that the entire innerwebs is trolling me.

Your desire to lose the mob is trolled by Twitter’s desire to loose the mob.

But what will neomaniacal descriptivist zealots soon say about you?  jbreher, that old pedant!  They don’t understand that lose usage causes words too loose their meanings.  Its so simple for them to understand:  Language evolves.

* nullius drags their fingernails across the chalkboard, for to effect extra effect on your affect.

...

You skipped over the most salient point. You have no fckin clue.

Out of curioſity, I ſearched for a fucking clue.  Well, to my ſatisfaction, at leaſt my habit of reading old books has gifted me with ſpecial inſight:  I know the difference between fucking and ſucking.

Medial S:  It ſucks with ill-trained OCR!

1091  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] Bitcoin will scale on: September 19, 2020, 05:58:14 PM
If you can't sum up your argument in a few sentences, you're pulling a JJG and trying to prove your point with walls of text rather than logical argument.

Evasion of my logical argument with cliché stock stupidity gets my stock answer, with text enlarged to aid comprehension.

My mistake was presuming a literacy level above that of Twitter.

I am here for substance.  I am willing to invest my time in substance (and without a paid signature—for freedom, not “for free”).  If you are not reading it, then it is not for you.
1092  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] Fork attacks on: September 19, 2020, 05:51:06 PM

Needs illustration.

1093  Economy / Speculation / [WO] The Cult of Cassandra on: September 19, 2020, 04:09:58 PM
Story of my life:

Quote from: Hueristic (personal text)
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it

Cassandra was so accursed as punishment for sexually rejecting a god.  What the fuck did you do?

The question is rhetorical—none of my business.  And don’t ask what I did.



I am in Bitcoin because, in my confirmed empirical experience, the banking system “doesn’t work well”.  

Banking is working Exactly as intended, to control people.

Whereas it’s been obvious for years that TPTB are approaching Bitcoin via co-option.  Those too worried about a ban which would be difficult, expensive, and inconvenient to enforce should remember that tyranny interprets freedom as damage, and routes around it.

Why fight Bitcoin openly, when you can shear the sheep all the better by herding them into Paypal 2.0?

Quote from: FinTech Crypto Mass-Marketing
New and improved!  Don’t worry.  Be happy, grinning idiots.  It is just like the comfortable collar that you have always enjoyed on your necks; but it’s more better, now that the upgraded collar is leashed with Blockchain!

For the bankers, the fly in the ointment is that Bitcoin still allows self-control by highly motivated individuals who take matters into their own hands.  It is imperative to keep it that way.
1094  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] Bitcoin will scale on: September 19, 2020, 03:34:20 PM
Nice rant, rolling, loaded with bait-and-switch rhetorical chicanery, bold inversions of the truth, and some smug attempts to intimidate by bluster a nobody who is not thereby impressed.

What it boils down to, in translation:  “Banks and financial manipulators rule the world, whether you like it or not—nyah, nyah!

First, the bait and switch—I replied to this point, which I will quote at some length so as to make obvious the obvious:

how do you determine on-chain transations to cost so much?

He can’t.  His post is just a roundabout way of saying, “Bitcoin cannot scale, and will thus become a banker’s toy as bone-crushing transaction fees force everybody into the next generation of Paypal.”  Baloney.

[...]

The end game is bitcoin becomes the settlement layer for the world. Transaction costs are going way up in the future, you're not going to want to do on-chain transactions when it costs $1000+ to do so, but if you're settling a billions dollars, that's a tiny price to pay.

I could see perhaps something on the order of magnitude of $100 (in today’s current value) on-chain transaction costs, but $1000+?  Smells like FUD.

[...]

The fact is, whether we like it or not, very few individuals (other than those of us here) will hold private keys in 10 years. The transaction costs alone will ensure it.

That would turn Bitcoin into a bankers’ wet dream:  The totally controlled, centralized, regulated basis for a cashless dystopia in which everybody can be tracked, traced, and forced to ask permission to use money.

That is not a new allegation, and it’s not true.

The fact is, whether you the bankers like it or not, cryptographic cleverness will continue to enable technologies that put the individual in direct control of his own money.

Whereupon you ignore what I said (just as you pointedly omitted Lightning from your list of off-chain transaction media), and jump from quote-unquote “the transaction costs alone will ensure it” to:

99% of people don't have the mental ability to deal with private keys, wallets or anything of the sort. They want a bank account and a debit card. Their attention span is about 3 seconds. There is no way they will ever grasp crypto. They may want to invest in crypto or hold it but it will be at a bank or brokerage and governments will impose their restrictions on those accounts just like they are doing now.

So, which is it, rolling?

Is your argument that most people are passive, ovine meat-robots?  I would not argue with that.  I did not argue with your brief mention of that point in your prior post—which was tossed off seemingly obiter dictum, amidst your vehement insistence on the primacy of transaction costs.  Actually, mass stupidity is the principal point of a plurality of my recent writings.

Or is your argument that “transaction costs alone will ensure” that individuals who want financial freedom will be unable to control their own money unless they are rich?

Sounds like the kind of rant the bigblockers went on just prior to forking off. You are welcome to get out now and go chase another shitcoin dream. Bitcoin will be just fine without you.

You are the one throwing bigblocker “Bitcoin won’t scale!!!” arguments, only with the twist that you think that’s a good thing.  Or at least, a “hah hah, little guy, you’re just totally fucked—bow down to your masters!” thing.

Is your binning me with the bigblockers intentional irony, whereas you seem afraid to mention the Lightning Network?  You know—the thing the bigblockers don’t believe in, which makes scalable, decentralized, private, trustless, permissionless off-chain transaction costs negligible.

Boldface is rolling’s; highlighting is mine:
The free market will decide what Bitcoin becomes, not an opinion of what it should be. For better or for worse, those with all the money now, will largely be the ones with all the money in the future. Bitcoin is open to everyone including the banks, governments, and billionaires. This will push out the little guy, just like in every other industry in history.

= “STFU and kneel in awe of the ‘free market’, i.e. the slavemarket owned by banks, governments, and billionaires.”

That is your opinion.

Of course, Bitcoin is open to everyone.  As I recently noted, “I myself tend to distrust institutional corporate holders; but there is nothing that I can do to stop them.”  Bitcoin being open to everyone is my point.  Whereas I suggest that you contemplate your blatant self-contradiction that I have highlighted.

On-chain will be for the big boys. If you don't like it, become one of the big boys by filling your bags now while BTC is still dirt cheap.

It is the bluster of a typical proletarian—the type who probably believes that $10 million is a lot of money.

In substantial essence, you are a worshipper of plutocracy.  Too bad for you that the big boys won’t pat you on the head for wanting so very much to be one of them.  Anyway, Bitcoin doesn’t care for your opinions.  It will scale, whether you like it or not.



(Aside to Jay:  As you may have surmised, I am not your typical prole in terms of contact with actual wealth.  And I have a pretty good idea of how the world actually works.  I am much less idealistic about Bitcoin than I tend to let on:  It is a tool.  It is an excellent tool, and timely at this moment in history; but it is just that.)



Quote
Personally, I'm pulling out the champaign that market behaviour is indeed producing activity levels that can pay for security without inflation, and also producing fee paying backlogs needed to stabilize consensus progress as the subsidy declines.
-Greg Maxwell around the BTC all time high Dec 2017. https://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/bitcoin-dev/2017-December/015455.html

I almost quoted that myself, in my prior reply to rolling—in anticipation that some people may object to my discussion of potential fees on the order of $100 value (which was explicitly admitted handwaving in the absence of the crystal ball that none of us has).  No, transactions cannot remain cup-of-coffee cheap—cannot, as Bitcoin slowly transitions to what is effectually a fee-based security model.  The amount of fees produced by the fee market set a practical upper bound on hashrate as block rewards fall toward the point of economic irrelevance.  In the long term, on-chain fees that are too low would cause Bitcoin to fail—wherefore the champagne.

Maxwell made that statement at a time when on-chain transaction fees were close to bank wire transfer rates.

Somehow, I seriously doubt that Maxwell, of all people, was arguing that the future of Bitcoin belongs to banks (!).  He is probably the single most out-of-context quoted personage in the Bitcoin world—other than Satoshi.

For my part, I think that Bitcoin will converge on optimal fees—neither too high, nor too low—as on-chain improvements pack more transactions into a block (e.g., forthcoming Segwit v1 will make much more efficient use of block space for certain types of transactions), and layering developments move most transactions off-chain.
1095  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Pseudohistorical narratives on: September 19, 2020, 01:45:16 PM
Ancient modern history dates back to ancient Greece? Mhe... when great Greek cholars like Thales, Hippocrates, Pythagoras, Socrates, Plato and Aristotle arrived in Egypt the great pyramids of Egypt where already ancient.

Perhaps that may be why the Greeks accorded the Egyptians a great respect for their antiquity.

Why the need to discount the Greeks?

The Greeks invented the philosophical, naturalistic way of thinking that is the foundation of modern science.  Other great civilizations existed; but outside of a few relatively isolated instances of inspired thinkers, their investigations of the natural world were mostly pragmatic, and they never even thought to be objective.  Insofar as is known to history, only the Greeks developed a trend toward doing what later became science and moreover, doing it for its own sake.  Thus, the modern world does indeed descend from the Greeks.

Without the Greeks, you would not now have the Internet with which to make that post, and there would be no TV and smartphones...  Wait, now I hate the Greeks.  Damn it, they also invented democracy.  Lunatics.  The ancient Egyptians, Hindus, and Chinese were much wiser and moreover, saner!

I love history it gets really crazy the more i search.

Most of what you think you know about history is wrong.

That’s not personal.  It is just a general observation.  Most of what people believe to be “history” is fake news, either twisted or just made up by somebody with an agenda somewhere along the line—the Bible being only the worst and most notorious example.  Indeed, if you want a neat demonstration of just how bad the problem is, peruse the idiot-bait on Wikipedia and follow the “verifiable” citations to so-called “scholars” who crank out arrant nonsense “supporting” or “investigating” the historicity of completely fictional stories.



I wrote the foregoing yesterday, but did not consider it to be finished.  I have not edited it, because I really think it’s done now:

in his worldwide bestseller "Sapiens - A brief history of humankind" (which is a great book, that I can deeply recommend, even for historians) Harari explains why our ability to cooperate with strangers to build kingdoms and other large entities was an important driving force of history. shared beliefs (or intersubjective truths) like religions and money were the tools humans used to cooperate. progress was happening but was relatively slow. then came the invention of limited corporations (yet another shared belief/intersubjective truth) a few hundred years ago. since then we treat limited corporations as legal entities that can be sued and held liable for their actions/products. (before that the liability was always on the founder/owner and that crippled any progress for millennia.) Harari argues that it was the invention of limited companies that brought all the economic progress of the last couple of hundred years. he writes it was capitalism via limited companies, technology and science that were the main driving forces.

Nice narrative.  And another case in point.

Ironically, just now when I saw this, I was writing a condemnation of Globalist Capitalism—another guise of International Communism, with stock market enterprises that own the State in lieu of State-owned enterprises.

Highlighting has been very purposefully selected, word by word.  The tail wagging this historical dog has been underlined.



Edit:

"Sapiens - A brief history of humankind"

Discovered and read it during the lockdown (thank you Wuhan), instant classic which you simply can't put down. You can borrow it for free on The Archive.

Being anti-copyright in principle, I just checked:  Several copies in multiple languages are available on libgen.  Just in case you do not want to “borrow” with DRM invading your computer, or fork over to a bigcorp propaganda mill.
1096  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Bitcoin will scale on: September 19, 2020, 03:55:57 AM
how do you determine on-chain transations to cost so much?

He can’t.  His post is just a roundabout way of saying, “Bitcoin cannot scale, and will thus become a banker’s toy as bone-crushing transaction fees force everybody into the next generation of Paypal.”  Baloney.

Almost all bitcoin transactions in the future will be done on exchanges, between bank accounts, or through digital warehouses without any bitcoin moving on chain. I'm not holding mine like that but you know most people and companies will, out of fear or because they don't know any other way.

Nice list.  You are basically describing a centralized shitcoin that’s like meta-Paypal 2.0 with magic “blockchain” pixie dust sprinkled on top.  Who needs it?  (Not the banks, who do not like transparent blockchains for their own use!  There is a reason why JPMorgan Chase (!) paid the erstwhile Zcash Company to adapt zk-SNARKs to their own bigbank confidentiality requirements.  See also Greg Maxwell’s discussions of bigcorp interest in Confidential Transactions—which are accordingly implemented in Blockstream’s Liquid.  Only idiots make their own finances publicly transparent; bigcorps are not so stupid.)

Notably, you omitted Lightning Network, and other off-chain things not under the control of banks and other regulated corporations.

The end game is bitcoin becomes the settlement layer for the world. Transaction costs are going way up in the future, you're not going to want to do on-chain transactions when it costs $1000+ to do so, but if you're settling a billions dollars, that's a tiny price to pay.

I could see perhaps something on the order of magnitude of $100 (in today’s current value) on-chain transaction costs, but $1000+?  Smells like FUD.

Bitcoin needs to be accessible to even relatively poor individuals for long-lived channel management on a future L2:  Scrape together, say, $100 to open a channel that runs for years.  N.b., I am not saying it will cost that much!  Just taking that as a figure that will seem high to most people, it would be less expensive overall, amortized over the channel lifetime, than the ripoff fees that regulated money transmitters charge to the “unbanked” in many regions.  Proportionately, the poor always get ripped off the worst!  Speaking from experience—if I had back all of the money that I have ever paid to move small amounts of money without a bank account...

That is not some bleeding-heart egalitarian hogwash.  It is simply a functional description of what is necessary to be something other than just another bankers’ tool.

$1000+ tx fees would mean that Bitcoin is destined to fail—or worse, to become an abomination against financial freedom—and that I should dump it and get out right now.

Fortunately, I do not believe you.  On-chain scalability improvements, combined with off-chain layering, must and will keep “Be Your Own Bank” financial independence within the reach of ordinary individuals—including those who are not early-entrant “Bitcoin rich”.  Just look at the excellent work in Segwit v1, soon nascent, and then consider what the same types of continuing incremental improvements will bring to the baselayer—and what types of new protocols they will support.

The fact is, whether we like it or not, very few individuals (other than those of us here) will hold private keys in 10 years. The transaction costs alone will ensure it.

That would turn Bitcoin into a bankers’ wet dream:  The totally controlled, centralized, regulated basis for a cashless dystopia in which everybody can be tracked, traced, and forced to ask permission to use money.

That is not a new allegation, and it’s not true.

The fact is, whether you the bankers like it or not, cryptographic cleverness will continue to enable technologies that put the individual in direct control of his own money.
1097  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Abnormality is the new normal on: September 18, 2020, 09:58:15 PM
Piss flaps?

It is a recursive semiotic which signals that your interpretation of my interpretation of your pic-post is that you want to measure people’s interpretations using pseudoscientific incantations that evoke the measurer’s interpretation of others’ interpretations.

I have been wanting to toss that at jojo69.  You got it instead—lucky you!  It is on my part a general statement, not only directed at any particular post.  Indeed, it is even a meta-statement on some of my own prior posts.

Not that I would expect for anybody to get it:  Abnormality is the new normal.  The more maladapted you are to life in this world, the more you are “the future”!  For example, autists are unable to grasp subtle humour.

But as a practical matter, the “high-functioning” autists would probably make suitable overseers in a world of technocratic mass-enslavement managed by robots.  Perhaps that may be why this stuff is being promoted:  A dystopia of socially-distanced, isolated individual units who have none of the normal human connections that characterized all of prior history—who interact with each other only by chatting through machines...  Why, it is almost as if autists were designed and engineered for such a world!


I struggled to interpret the interposition of the Bitcoin symbol.  It can be read a few different ways.

P.S., for the benefit of the Wall Observer, of course I posted the card which most frequently evokes sex.  You caught the nonexistent vulva, but missed the nonexistent erect penis at the top—among innumerable other things that may be seen in a blot of ink smeared onto cardstock a century ago by an insane psychiatrist, who then proceeded to use it to diagnose schizophrenia, homosexuality, and whatever else he decided to see in your perceptions of his little mind-game.
1098  Economy / Reputation / A droll troll v. the “Lauda Gang” on: September 18, 2020, 08:54:37 PM
I am offended you haven't included me. Don't you know I'm her covert synthetic hackerman?
Am I kicked out of Lauda's gang?  Angry Angry Angry

I am seriously hurt by not being included.  Virtually in tears.  If the troll does not frivolously flag me, I may become so depressed that I give up and leave the forum forever. Sad



-snip-
donotfeedthetroll.jpg

I'm not at home and I can't be bothered searching old threads on mobile to find the picture, so I'm afraid this will have to suffice for now.

Old-school:

Source:  The Internets, probably some decades old.
Code:
         +-------------------+             .:\:\:/:/:.            
         |   PLEASE DO NOT   |            :.:\:\:/:/:.:          
         |  FEED THE TROLLS  |           :=.' -   - '.=:          
         |                   |           '=(\ 9   9 /)='          
         |   Thank you,      |              (  (_)  )            
         |       Management  |              /`-vvv-'\            
         +-------------------+             /         \            
                 |  |        @@@          / /|,,,,,|\ \          
                 |  |        @@@         /_//  /^\  \\_\          
   @x@@x@        |  |         |/         WW(  (   )  )WW          
   \||||/        |  |        \|           __\,,\ /,,/__          
    \||/         |  |         |          (______Y______)          
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\//\/\\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
==================================================================



Edit:  Unfortunately, I need to quote this at length as a stable reference for trust feedback.

But suchmoon is just alt of Foxpup. Next flag must be to the Foxpup - he is a main puppeteer
Oh yeah, guys, I see what you're saying about BSV's zero-neuronal input posts and that he should just be ignored.  I hadn't read any of his recent posts, but if he thinks suchmoon and Foxpup are alts and that Foxpup is a puppeteer of...something...then yeah.  He's flown off his rocker and has landed ass smack on the grass.

Also: Vod is included in this?  The "Cult of Lauda" thing was a joke a while back, i.e., not a real thing.  Not a gang.  No organization with any structure or a leader.  And the members who got associated with this joke cult didn't include Vod as far as I remember--he's always stood on his own ground and didn't get chummy with any of the members on that list as far as I know.

Finally, not that I was worried about this BS flag being hoisted up the pole by three-fingered, snot-dribbling morons but I do thank those members who opposed mine.  I appreciate your support.  I don't know how the hell I got thrown into this mix anyway--or why the "Lauda gang" thing is being resurrected.  I'm not sure Lauda is even active anymore.

Then you know nothing. Or just spouting shit as usual.
Vod is merely an old man on welfare. Previously he has confessed to wanting to exclude or tag lauda but has been afraid to due to believing his account would be ruined as retaliation.  Over the years he has been ostracized by other elder members and has fallen in with the likes of lauda and tman. Who he constantly praises and protects.
He's a scammer support and enabler. Much like thepharmacist.

Theymos is well aware, but many believe that Lauda has something on him so Lauda the scammer gets away with pretty much anything.
Others claim Theymos and Lauda are family relations. The evidence is kind of weak and based from what I can tell on the fact laudaM and the apparent MM (theymos).
Foxpup is not suchmoon. Suchmoon is likely to be Lauda.
For a full expansive list of the Lauda scam gang see the dirty turds thread in meta.

This forum has died. There are at times less than 150 members browsing. That would have previously been a sad and unwelcome statistic. Now since a small corrupt group of scammers have gained control of the hilariously designed merit and trust systems and leveraged them to dominate all rev streams it is not so sad.

DT1 is a protection racket. Most there are entirely untrustworthy.

 

1099  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 18, 2020, 08:17:59 PM
1100  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 18, 2020, 06:20:10 PM
TBH, I'm not sure why the Bitcoin community is high-fiving each other over this revelation.

Left door:  Group psychology.
Right door:  Desire for bullish news, due to skin in the game.

What looks like probably a large long-term holding is good news.  0.2% of the total current BTC supply just moved from dumping bears and knife-juggling day-traders to cold storage.  Good.

Something else that does not seem to have been mentioned:  MicroStrategy is effectually dumping dollars.  Their big “cash reserve” is now much smaller; they are no longer HoDLing the dollar.  Hmmm...  As a dollar bear who has been warning people to dump dollars, I am thinking about what, of course, Saylor will not say even if (if) he is thinking it, too.

I mean sure, it's exciting that a corporation has figured out how to take a large long position in BTC without rocking the boat. I'm sure that other corporations will begin to follow suit in the coming 3-6 months or within the year. The more institutional corporate hodlers, the better. This is overall good news.

I myself tend to distrust institutional corporate holders; but there is nothing that I can do to stop them.

The more adoption by businesses (= the economically significant money in the productive economy, i.e. outside the extractive, destructive financial sector) and individuals (= attracts business), the better.

But look, if the straight-laced corps with good intentions have figured out how do this, then so can the nefarious Wall Street whale traders as well as other country's seedy deep pocket whale traders (China, Russia, Germany, England, etc). These guys have hundreds of millions $$$, if not billions $$$, at their disposal too. And the difference is that they don't have to make any public announcements, or get their respective legal teams and corp shareholders involved to fight through a bunch of red tape and months of wrangling before they do it. These types will be the first to dump all their btc at the top of the next bubble, for sure. This is not so great news.

That is similar to why I did not share the excitement about CME, etc. in late 2017.  And I was right...



Sometimes, simpler is better to avoid missing the point:

Quote
78,388 off-chain transactions
18 on-chain transactions.

Fine, paid a lot of fees to miners (good boy)...

He paid fees for 18 on-chain transactions to miners.  Smart man.

I should have avoided my speculation obiter dictum on what he meant by “off-chain”.
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