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1341  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] Laudatory Maximalism on: March 22, 2020, 07:36:23 AM

Old-timer, you knew facts about Lauda that I did not:  Her surname is Gillis!  And she wears not a skirt, but a kilt—with no underwear, fearsome fighter that she is.

Silly me:  I had always assumed that she was Egyptian.

Well, wow!  Laura is pretty. 3> the dangerous and beautiful cat, « Laura ».

CLASSIFIED TOP SECRET
NSA surveillance photo of Lauda
pwned by nullius

NSA Surveillance Photo of Lauda

* nullius is currently seeking Ægyptian hieroglyphic translators for his most precious thoughts.
1342  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Hybris on: March 22, 2020, 07:27:01 AM
I am sorry to hear your relative has contracted the coronavirus. Hopefully, she will make a quick recovery. Good luck and Godspeed.

Thank you.  Not only for that, but for some intelligent arguments which I believe are wrong, and are worth debate.

Unfortunately, I have had little forum time in the past few days.  I will return here (and to a few other threads) when I can treat this seriously as appropriate.
1343  Economy / Speculation / [WO] The crash: When WO has more drama than Reputation on: March 22, 2020, 03:26:01 AM
Banned on the Forum

Stuck inside these four walls,
Quarantined and dead,

That’s just a little bit melodramatic for a 7-day ban of people who participated in a shitcoin giveaway, yes?

This is an Internet forum.  It is a 7-day ban from an Internet forum, and not undeserved.

Quarantines and death are not really comparable.



Speaking of which, I regret that I am just passing through after missing many pages.  Due to IRL.  You know, the place where we are facing quarantines and death.
1344  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Laudatory Maximalism on: March 22, 2020, 03:18:54 AM
Anyone want to place bets on what the cat would think?  LOL.

O.k.  I will bite.. but maybe not place any bets.

Wise investment strategy:  TA predicts that I would win such a bet. ;-)

By the way, I am thinking that kitty, kitty is NOT very favorably disposed towards any kinds of shitcoin pumpenings.. just a hunch.

I myself was once raked bloody with sharp claws for my having started in Zcash.  I was left pleading that it’s made by Real Cryptographers, that my crypto-idols Greg Maxwell and Pieter Wuille had cordially collaborated with Zcash people on some zero-knowledge cryptography stuff (on the Bitcoin blockchain), that Peter Todd was one of the trusted parties in the original Zcash Trusted Setup (per the blog post that he repudiated and defaced (archival link) when he unleashed a tweetstorm against Zcash), etc., etc.  At least technology-wise, it is not a typical shitcoin!

The cat’s reply:  Hiss.

Lauda is a Maximal Maximalist.

My personal experience HODLing Zcash :-(, plus their horrid handling of an unlimited inflation bug, their backpedalling on their promise to prioritize ASIC-resistance (just when XMR started fighting hard there), and many other stupidities, indicate that Zcash is an atypical shitcoin.  Technology alone does not produce the Bitcoin Social Phenomenon; and worse is good technology poorly executed.  I still say that Zcash is one of the best altcoins; but that is damning with faint praise:  Just saying that it has innovative technology instead of being a dumb clone of Bitcoin sources, and it’s not an outright scam.

Kitty: 1; Nully: NULL.

Hmmm.  Laura has been addressing me as “Nully”, which seems quite close to the grammatically correct Latin vocative.  Does the cat speak enciphered Latin?

Whilst travelling on business in Carpathia,
I doxed Lauda:

Lauda: ACTUAL PHOTOGRAPH



I am thinking that a decent number of peeps in this particular thread do not give as many as two shits about what the cat thinks,

Though your point is well-taken, my mention of Lauda was a one-line off-hand remark about someone whom I am honoured to consider my friend, amidst a post about some WO regulars.

Furthermore, I am thinking that the cat does not give any shits about what those particular peeps think.  As for me—eh.  I am not a cat:  I am a man.

Upon his arrival in Latium, Aeneas, blessed for victory by his goddess-of-sex mother, won himself a wife the old-fashioned way:  Killing his rival.  He then became the Latin king.

Protip:  When a nice guy wants a princess, he buys her diamonds
#ToxicMasculinity ♂ #MakeLoveNotWar ♂ #CodeOfConduct

(Image: Aeneas kills Turnus) width=640



I personally don't have any problem with that scary feline who seems to subscribe to the practice (or philosophy) that "it is better to be feared than loved."  Just like many cats would do...  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

I personally will toast you on that:  Some of the trolls in Reputation perpetually accuse me of being Lauda’s alt.  I take that as a compliment, for I compete with her for the title of most principled and uncompromising. :-)


As for philosophy, although the discussion itself is as ancient as organized society, I believe that perhaps the relevant reference would be Machiavelli—who actually said that it is easier to rule by being feared, but more powerful to rule by being loved.

I love Lauda (don’t take that the wrong way: our relation is amicably professional).  So do many others.  And is she fearsome?  Frankly, I love the cat because she’s not a pussy (so to speak).

All good things must be dangerous, and therefore widely feared and hated:  As fire and Lightning, mathematics and cryptography, freedom, and Bitcoin itself.

In keeping with my (in)famous “theme” of quoting things that will upset idiots less if left untranslated:
Quote from: Nietzsche
Hier ist der Herd für die Entstehung jenes berühmten Gegensatzes „gut“ und „böse“: — in’s Böse wird die Macht und Gefährlichkeit hinein empfunden, eine gewisse Furchtbarkeit, Feinheit und Stärke, welche die Verachtung nicht aufkommen lässt.  Nach der Sklaven-Moral erregt also der „Böse“ Furcht; nach der Herren-Moral ist es gerade der „Gute“, der Furcht erregt und erregen will, während der „schlechte“ Mensch als der verächtliche empfunden wird.



and some folks here hate that fury beast.

I know. ;-)

~

Man you talk about lauda an awfull lot..

http://HowManyTimesHasNulliusPostedLaudaToday.tk/ ??

[...]

I also find it very funny that you try to come off as some cypherpunk anonymous anarchistic idealist but can't stop blabbering you unwavering support of the greatest current authoritarian threat who would crush the liberty you portray to protect..
Shit don't add up bro..

I am not particularly inclined to take up an extended discussion about this here in WO.  But you see, I have been running far behind in my quota for talking about Lauda:  The cypherpunk nym who is so powerful that she is a greater threat to liberty than governments, banks, and all the armies of the world combined!

Such wow.

1345  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Shades of the Reputation forum on: March 21, 2020, 07:40:23 PM
There are ban hammers and LFC_bitcoin also affected : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5234398.0



SAD

Also 7-day banned:

JSRAW



Pretty bullshitty, but then again these are bullshit times, which call for bullshit measures. I guess.

Seriously?  A well-known rule that stops massive spews of spam should be bent based on favouratism, so that hardcore Bitcoiners can get away with participating in a shitcoin giveaway?  I don’t always agree with mods; but what’s supremely “bullshitty” is to give them bullshit over a ban that could have been avoided by, um, not participating in a shitcoin giveaway.  Some people whom I generally like are on that list; so, well, see ’em in 7 days.

Forking hell, in a locked thread where I can’t say what was already said anyway, this made me give preeeeccciouss merrritttzz to suchmoon.  Got to be objective, I guess. ;-)

While I do think mass bans are a bit too harsh for this, particularly for a first offense...

  • I'm getting a feeling that some here think the ban is unfair because of who was banned (well known users). That shouldn't matter. If anything, being forum veterans you should be expected to lead by example as far as following rules and shit.
  • I find it quite ironic that some die-hard bitcoiners got banned for shitcoining.

I hope y'all get unbanned but if not - take the opportunity to go outside, I'm hearing good things about it. It's just 7 days. Will be over in no time (in 7 days to be more precise).

That was damn straight.

Anyone want to place bets on what the cat would think?  LOL.



Edit, OT/but for the record that I do not like backtalk, this was attempted at 2020-03-21 20:02:24:



[...]
Quote
Classy.

LOL.



No problem with what mprep done and think but I think this rule is too harsh for the users. The topic creator may given a warning or such thing after trashing the thread.

A warning for the topic creator? !! ? ! ?

* nullius turns bullish on excessive punctuation

I was once a victim on this too and I tell you what, it's not something that makes you feel good.

“Victim”?

So sorry for your hurt feelings.  Please don’t break important anti-spam rules that prevent this place from degenerating into “crypto talk” or whatever.
1346  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Four Horsemen on: March 21, 2020, 07:16:30 PM
All the big cities are deserted, reality surpasses fiction again, only the Martians remain to appear and we will have the complete apocalyptic pack.

hey, easy now

one horse at a time please

Sorry, what does the phrase mean? my english does not capture the meaning.
You can express it in another way so that I can understand it?

Thx.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Four_Horsemen_of_the_Apocalypse

:-)

Stop panicking!

Between the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse, I fear Famine.  I do not fear Plague (at least, not in this instance).  I do fear War.  I have never feared Death; and I do not intend to start now.



The Earth is ridiculously overpopulated.  A long-term global lockdown proximately causing deindustrialization and famine could help to knock off a few billion talking apes.  Maybe it is not such a bad idea after all?

Roll Eyes



Everyone in “crypto” should also be familiar with the Four Horsemen of the Cryptocalypse.  AFAIK/IIRC (?), the identification originated with The Cyphernomicon by Timothy C. May.

https://web.archive.org/web/20020727001417/http://www.cypherpunks.to/faq/cyphernomicron/chapter8.html#3
Quote from: The Cyphernomicon, v0.666, by Timothy C. May (1994-09-10)
8.3.4. "How will privacy and anonymity be attacked?"
  • the downsides just listed are often cited as a reason we can't have "anonymity"
  • like so many other "computer hacker" items, as a tool for the "Four Horsemen": drug-dealers, money-launderers, terrorists, and pedophiles.

See also:  12. Digital Cash and Net Commerce.

R.I.P., T.  C. May (1951–2018).  If he had lived just a bit longer—perhaps he got lucky.
1347  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Did [s]Bill Gates[/s] nullius create Corona Virus? on: March 20, 2020, 07:52:34 PM
The videos I posted are nothing else than Bill Gates' own speeches.

It is interesting you didn't say anything about the content of the videos.

No, I did not—because I did not waste my time downloading and watching a long list of videos as “proofs” of a theory that does not comport with common sense.

You did not even clearly identify the source and content of the videos.  You dumped a bunch of links with clickbait titles and talk beneath a big, scary banner.  If I had a satoshi for every time I had seen a similar format of presentation with Flat Earth, Moon Landing Hoax, etc., etc., ad nauseam, then we would need to hardfork a forbidden increase of max money.  “Watch these ten link-dumped hour-long videos narrated by a breathless nutjob, if you want to know THE TRUTH!!!”


Yes, based on that, I just knew that you were presenting what you purport to be primary-source evidence for a theory that you have vaguely insinuated without bothering to explain in any coherent way.

What in your OP suggests that I should even look (especially when I am under time pressure right now—well, most people are usually busy if their time is worthwhile)?

Nice straw-man. Just because youtube has flatearth videos doesn't mean you can't find anything useful there. If you can't, it means you don't know how to look.

Would you care to watch if I uploaded them to dailymotion or pornhub?

Nice straw-man.  Credibility is not determined by which free-upload video site you put things on.

Also, by the way, I surf the web with a locked-down Tor Browser with Javascript disabled, plus kernel-level restrictions that would prevent audiovisuals from working.  If I want to watch something on Youtube, Dailymotion, Pornhub, or any of these other tube sites, then I use security-isolated youtube-dl manually to download it.  I must expect that that will be worthwhile.  More importantly, I must expect that the time spent watching the long list of videos will be worthwhile.  And no, this doesn’t cut it:

Bill Gates has a warning about deadly epidemics CAN CAUSE HE SAYS 10 MILLION+ DEATHS!! - JUST LISTEN TO THE FIRST 10 SECONDS!

Ahem, no.
1348  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Did [s]Bill Gates[/s] nullius create Corona Virus? on: March 20, 2020, 07:20:14 PM
But I understand where you're coming from -

https://www.businessinsider.com/how-bill-gates-is-dealing-with-coronavirus-outbreak-2020



Why did he give such statement in the first place?

Crikey, again, I myself have said similarly before!  Let’s see...

  • The Spanish flu pandemic of 1918–20 infected 500 million, killed 50 million worldwide (at a time when the world’s population was much smaller, and commercial passenger air transportation did not yet exist—aeroplanes were still quite new technology)
  • The coronavirus outbreak of 2002–03
  • Other reasons I have no time to list here

Maybe there is your “why”.  Just my own little pet theory. Roll Eyes



It is not just one sentence which is suspicious, it is everywhere. Watch the goddamn videos. They are all over youtube. There are many more.

Youtube is a great place to cook your mind with arrant nonsense.

Rule of thumb:  Anybody who has something serious to report on such matters will reduce it to writing:  An information-dense format that admits easy skimming for early evaluation, and also makes it easy to provide citations to sources of information.

Anytime anybody tells me that there is a big secret with the proofs on Youtube, my response is the same:  Will not waste my time.

FYI, the “all over Youtube” category includes positive proofs that the Earth is flat, the moon landings were a hoax, etc., etc.  Youtube has a sort of a reputation that way.  I know this because I have spent much time researching claims about secret truths.  Some of those claims are not fallacious.  You will not find the proofs on Youtube.



To be fair, this is not a totally bogus idea.  I don't buy it, though, in part because in my research I find the impacts of vaccines to be anything but a positive factor in raising a kid to productive adulthood (where they will, with luck, assist the parent in their old age.)  Being highly devastating to health, vaccines are great for prescription drug and adult diaper sales though.

A question that I have been intending to ask you in the other thread, where you ignored my challenge (just have not caught up there due to it being a low priority amongst high priorities):

Do you suggest to parents that all their kids will be just fine without vaccines, with low or no risk of childhood death from illness?

...or:

...oh no, I may have just been kicked out.  I said something that I can predict with arithmetical certainty Dr. o_e_l_e_o will disagree with!  Surely, he will now censor me out of existence.

I have long fancied sitting down with an anti-vaxer, looking him deadpan in the eye, and telling him that yes, I fully agree that all childhood vaccinations should be stopped:  Vaccination removes the necessary selective pressure for a healthy, robust, finely-tuned immune system—and substitutes in its place the empty hybris of a supposition that humans can cure all diseases.

Hey, anti-vaxers, here is a challenge for you:  I will publicly support you, if you will be the first to step up and declare that much though we may wish otherwise, we need some more dead kids in each generation—to prevent unlimited mass suffering and potential extinction in all the generations yet unborn.

I need not reach the question of how bad the side effects of vaccines are or aren’t.  Of course, all medicines have side effects.  Whether vaccines are benign except in a few rare, unfortunate cases, or causing widespread injuries about which The Truth is suppressed by The Medical Establishment, the answer is irrelevant to me.

[...]  I don’t need to know medicine:  I know history.  People used to have eight, ten, or even twenty (yes, literally, twenty) kids with the knowledge that some would die, and others would survive...

tvbcof, want to take up my challenge here, where I can’t use self-mod powers to “censor” you?  Stop being a wimp.  Speak up for The Truth!
1349  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] #2783700 “COVlD-19” is a disease worst accompanied by panic that went viral on: March 20, 2020, 06:53:18 PM
Always check trust pages on suspicious Newbie accounts.

I think this one has bad intentions toward us all.

i actually deleted my post you quoted as its pretty bad taste for a joke. but bad taste has never stopped me before. sounds like something i would do actually.

he had only 1 post (that one) when i quoted so there no trust history. yet.

Your post brought this plague to public attention (i.e., my attention), whereupon I created trust feedback.  (“Neutral”, because I do not use negative feedback for non-serious purposes; this is the third “neutral” that I have left in fine humour, and the second one that I’ve left for an alt account that had some humorous element (though the other one had a serious purpose).)

As for the taste of the joke, yes, I will laugh at the plague and laugh at death, too.  It is superior to panicking.  Indeed, I most appreciate the joke now of all times, because I can’t drink myself silly when I am trying to find serious information for serious personal situations.
1350  Economy / Speculation / [WO] #2783700 “COVlD-19” is a disease worst accompanied by panic that went viral on: March 20, 2020, 06:34:41 PM
I'm already here.

not sure if to merit or not.

although i did find it humorous.

Always check trust pages on suspicious Newbie accounts.

I think this one has bad intentions toward us all.
1351  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Did [s]Bill Gates[/s] nullius create Corona Virus? on: March 20, 2020, 06:29:01 PM
Of course there is no proof... It is just I find it suspicious that a billionaire like Bill Gates have been talking about reducing the world population, creating effective vaccines, warning people against epidemics etc etc.

What was Bill's profession again?

Was he a doctor?

No.

He is a god damn computer geek.

I also have strong opinions on the respective topics of overpopulation, vaccines, and epidemics.  (In my case, that last is my opinion of the risk that modern transportation technology can easily turn a local problem into a global pandemic, almost overnight.  What would happen if another Black Death were to occur in the era of aeroplanes and automobiles?  That would be a nuclear weapon, compared in relative terms to a .22 calibre coronavirus pistol.  No, I do not want to get shot with a .22 pistol, either!)  —Also, many opinions on etc., etc.

I am not a doctor.  I suppose that you could call me “a god damn computer geek” (though I would object, on grounds that I am anti-technocratic).

If I were also a billionaire, would you be suspicious that I had created SARS-CoV-2?  Roll Eyes

People are going to die.  Yes.  That’s life.



I find myself arguing against each and all of:

  • Panic.
  • Fantastic dolts who suppose that SARS-CoV-2 must be somehow of different origins from the 2002–03 SARS-CoV.  Wow, a zoonotic jumped species—as has doubtless been the origin of countless diseases throughout the whole history of all living creatures on Earth.  It is closely related to another zoonotic that also jumped species.  Clearly, the most likely explanation is that this is a genetically engineered bioweapon!
  • Panic.
  • Destroying all that remains of civilization, for the purpose of failing to save it.
  • Panic.
  • Tyranny.  The naïve, fallible mortal human in me is shocked that nobody notices we have instantaneously entered an era of global dictatorship, without any significant resistance or even protest.  The dispassionate scholar knows human nature, and is therefore not surprised.  The new normality is that every government everywhere can issue any “emergency” order they want, and nobody will even complain!  WTF.  Are you awake?  (Nice question.)
  • Panic.
1352  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Close to home (albeit faraway) on: March 20, 2020, 06:11:01 PM
Do we have anyone here COVID-19 positive?
Hope no one yet.

Hitting close (though faraway):

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5233043.msg54065345#msg54065345
Somebody close to me is now presenting symptoms fully consistent with COVID-19, including somewhat worrisome respiratory involvement.  [...]

This is the singular person in my extended family to whom I have always felt closest, even when she is faraway.  I love her dearly; nevertheless, I am still not panicking.  Neither is she.  She is calm, rational, a lucid thinker despite the low-grade fever, and about as cheerful as one can be in the circumstance.  We candidly discussed her probability of death (we think, low but not insignificant); and in prudence, I inquired as to her wishes in the event of her death.  I had (and now have) tears welling in my eyes; she was emotionally unmoved.  Her morale is a model of personal courage—a quality for which I admit she handily exceeds me, and always has. [...]

If this person dies, then I will spend a full week doing nothing but weeping, grieving, and contemplating my unalienable right to suicide without actually doing it.  I will then pick myself up, and build good things in her memory.  —If.

That is a very old-fashioned view of life, obsolete in our advanced technological modern society where everybody has an unalienable right to safety.



With due apologies for the extended metaphor—this is too good to resist:

I'll even do a waggle dance for you, if you wear a hat. Here's a preview of the delights that you are in store for. No HOMO

The lovely dancing worker bees are all non-reproductive females in service of the Queen. ;-)

(Point taken; but if anybody can persuade me to change my avatar, I will eat my hat!)



++:

It's not about the Covid deaths. It's about their consequences.
Snakes don't do much damage to the economy, do they?

Well, maybe we shouldn't overreact and shut down the economy then.

From my perspective, the lingering question is not the virus, but whether this causes non repairable shit in the legacy financial system. Something has been burning since September already when the repo market got sick. This had nothing to do with the virus.

So I am keeping an eye out for more sorrow (and related scare dumps) before I declare all this over.

Whether Bitcoin would dump as well in a renewed scare dump downwards: we will have to wait and see.

...and others!  I just skimmed, and missed much.



I also noticed that my last post here re mindrust somehow missed this before it:

I've been thinking about mindrust. #nohomo

What is extraordinary (nutildah mentioned it first), is his sincerity about the incident.
Should that had not been so, we wouldn't have known - and/or whatever.

It is important to pause, and take the lesson here.
The shake down of a weak (in retrospect) over-invested bull, realizing a capital loss - but most importantly abandoning all hope and position, is not to be taken lightly.



Question: If BTC goes to $2k, will you buy 20 coins or not? I'm guessing a solid no.

I will not rub it in your face any more.
Hopefully you will do what is best for you.
Oh, and $50 per month, won't fucking cut it.

For one, thank you for sharing.

Excellent points.

I followed mindrust’s post history in here, due to my respect for the sincerity with which he has upheld Bitcoin maximalist ideals in other important contexts:  Defending Core against fork attacks (check his post history!), bringing important Bitcoin messages to the Turkish forum at the cost of his own effort, and doing other good things that require significant understanding and self-motivation.  It is why I was flabbergasted that he sold out all his skin in the game, and—now believes that Bitcoin is good for $50/week?

I haven’t been picking on him for the purpose of humiliating him, but to the contrary:  My respect for him has left me shocked and confused.  It is not that there is some cultlike need to pay in to show what a Bitcoiner you are, but the opposite:  If you are preaching the message so hard, then I look at you as somebody who therefore naturally regards Bitcoin as a precious, desirable thing.  That is what threw me.

I have not wanted to rub it in mindrust’s face at all.  Don’t want to now, either.



Not investment advice:  I myself first bought in for €200 when I was literally homeless, from about €500 that a family member had sent for food and other basic necessities—then went sideways a bit, for to err is human.  Times were grim.  For other reasons, it was the time when I finally wanted in; and though I could not afford it, I figured, now or never.



Go, Bitcoin, go!

Life goes on, though I may not be in WO much for awhile.  On the other hand, I do need to keep up with the market—so that I can discuss some good news to my strong-willed sick relative, who would tear me in half if I were to speak only of sickness.
1353  Other / Politics & Society / It is now personal. on: March 20, 2020, 04:39:11 PM
Somebody close to me is now presenting symptoms fully consistent with COVID-19, including somewhat worrisome respiratory involvement.  Her dread phone call hit me amidst other blows of Murphy’s Law.  C’est la vie!

This is the singular person in my extended family to whom I have always felt closest, even when she is faraway.  I love her dearly; nevertheless, I am still not panicking.  Neither is she.  She is calm, rational, a lucid thinker despite the low-grade fever, and about as cheerful as one can be in the circumstance.  We candidly discussed her probability of death (we think, low but not insignificant); and in prudence, I inquired as to her wishes in the event of her death.  I had (and now have) tears welling in my eyes; she was emotionally unmoved.  Her morale is a model of personal courage—a quality for which I admit she handily exceeds me, and always has.

For psychosomatic reasons, I do think that this increases her chance of survival.  I have decided that if I contract the virus, then I will program myself with a subjective 100% dogmatic belief and determination that I will live—even though I objectively know that I am personally at high risk (due to multiple factors, all inapplicable to her).  A whitehat mindhack of pure doublethink:  I would be coldly, rationally fooling myself for the purpose of giving myself a placebo boost—without irrationally basing any practical decisions on that belief.

Anyway, I will not fear the virus.  Everybody dies someday; and death oft first embraces those who fear it.

I record this note both from my respect and admiration for the person of whom I speak, and for the general suggestion that indeed, on the other side of the coin, people who are mortally terrified of the virus are probably not thusly improving their prognoses if they actually catch it.  I once knew a palliative care nurse who watched human death occur daily; she habitually vented at me (before she eventually wound up in professional therapy), and she frequently remarked on the moment when people just give up.  I also have a passing familiarity with anthropological literature on witch-doctors who could literally kill with (the belief in) a curse.

Terror went viral:  The virus itself is genetic thing; on a “memetic” level, governments’ and mass-media’s treatment of the topic is practically a WMDThe viral meme of mass panic is an apocalyptic global pandemic.



Some of you will die from the coronavirus...  The virus may kill me, too; maybe, maybe not.  That is acceptable:  Life is risk, and death is a part of life.  My only sadness is that sometimes, the worst befalls the best of people.

What is unacceptable is panic, bureaucratic “do something!” tyranny, and worst of all, hybris.


People are going to die.  Yes.  That’s life.



I find myself arguing against each and all of:

  • Panic.
  • Fantastic dolts who suppose that SARS-CoV-2 must be somehow of different origins from the 2002–03 SARS-CoV.  Wow, a zoonotic jumped species—as has doubtless been the origin of countless diseases throughout the whole history of all living creatures on Earth.  It is closely related to another zoonotic that also jumped species.  Clearly, the most likely explanation is that this is a genetically engineered bioweapon!
  • Panic.
  • Destroying all that remains of civilization, for the purpose of failing to save it.
  • Panic.
  • Tyranny.  The naïve, fallible mortal human in me is shocked that nobody notices we have instantaneously entered an era of global dictatorship, without any significant resistance or even protest.  The dispassionate scholar knows human nature, and is therefore not surprised.  The new normality is that every government everywhere can issue any “emergency” order they want, and nobody will even complain!  WTF.  Are you awake?  (Nice question.)
  • Panic.

My own perspective:  Humans endured plagues for all time before modern history.  There are now two significant differences:

  • Technology makes plagues spread much faster.  I shudder to imagine the Black Death in the era of aeroplanes and automobiles.  Could happen someday—is not the coronavirus situation.  Many coronavirus-type incidents have probably occurred over the centuries, but remained local, minor, barely worth remark.

    Indeed, I would suggest that Chinese scholars should probably examine the question of whether there is any evidence of previous SARS outbreaks, before modern times.  My hypothesis:  Variants of this virus have jumped to humans many times within the five millennia for which at least some historical record may exist.  Minor local outbreaks may have burned out without leaving any historical evidence that would be extant today (especially after the last century’s upheavals destroyed much historical evidence in China).  Thus, a negative cannot be proved (as is oft the case with historical hypotheses).

    I do think that’s an important question; and it is just the type of question that nobody thinks of.
  • Modernity has made humans soft and weak.  Soft, weak creatures do not survive.  In this context, I mean that collectively, in the long run.  Sooner or later, humans have a high risk of going extinct due to having degenerated into wimps who are totally maladapted to the harsh conditions of life in this world.  Evolution is blind:  It does not always “progress” or “advance” a species with godlike intentions, as commonly assumed and implied by pseudoscientific liberals.

I never said that the virus is not bad (although I think its level of badness is much exaggerated, whereas people have faced much worse historically).

I never said that people will not die.  Actually, I am of the opinion that everybody dies someday.

I said and say, stop panicking.  If the current trend does not soon change, then a relatively moderate global epidemic of coronavirus will have ushered in a new era of mass starvation.  It has already inaugurated global tyranny, the full extent of which has yet to be seen.


I condemn anybody and everybody who PANICS.

Out of respect for those few Americans who are not contemptible domestic animals begging to be wrapped in unlimited chains forever, I will quote a great American—a famous quote, which obviously applies here:

“Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety.” — Benjamin Franklin
1354  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Quick notes: “Honey...” on: March 19, 2020, 10:29:17 PM
Let me say that again: The Halving is coming in 54 days!

Honey, I need to mortgage you so that I can accumulate some more Bitcoin before the halvening.

Not a new thought.  Also, as usual for me, it is not a wise investment strategy; people should ask Jay for those.  I am an extremist. ;-)



Who let the 14-year-old quora reject post here?

If you want to insult me with the type of nonsense that says everything about you and nothing about me, then please at least have the balls to say my name.

Though you’re not the only one who is afraid to.



I assume this is unrelated—but just in case, for the record:

Whats with all these disgusting no-hatters on our WO thre- oh. A pump. I see.

From trying to figure out where mindrust had gone, I wandered in here during the dump, before the pump.  I wouldn’t change my avatar for the same reason that I don’t have a paid signature, and would only take one to avoid immediate personal catastrophe (admittedly possible).



Life is just one big string of interruptions lately.  One after another...  Reply to mindrust stuck in drafts box.  I hope Jay’s advice is well taken:  It is sound, logical, and pro-Bitcoin without being hotheaded bull.
1355  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Risk management on: March 19, 2020, 06:18:39 PM
So you sold 10BTC at roughly $4400, you have at least $40,000. Buy 5BTC back & throw the rest into stocks & in a couple of years all will be good for you.

What if it goes down to $1k like Peter Brandt says.  Grin I can't take that.

Simple: Put in an amount consistent with “what you can afford to lose”.  Then “if” it goes down to $1k (which I think is very unlikely), or even if “the motherfucker” goes to zero (!), put on your strong face and endure the pain—safe in the knowledge that you didn’t just lose your shirt.

If that amount is not greater than or equal to 0.00000001 BTC, then why are you even involved in Bitcoin!?

For me, that amount is equal to “all the long-term monetary savings that I have”.  But that is because I am—well, I am me.  I have endured physical hardship for my principles.  Losing my life savings would be very painful; but as I have said repeatedly, if hypothetically Bitcoin were to totally fail, then I would be much more worried about losing what may be our last historical chance for freedom-money.

I decided that carrying that much wealth in btc is not good my mental health. It is far too volatile.

Paging Jay, I think that mindrust needs some n00b-level generalized investing tips about risk management and not being “muh mental health!” tier weak hands.

I am not even a financial investor, and I know that much.  [Edit:  Jay posted while I was writing this post.  Just hammered through.  Go read what he said. ++Jay]

mindrust, what if Tesla goes to zero?  Or the goddamn dollar goes to zero?  Where is your risk management there?

I have no idea where to park my money though.

USD is doing a super nova. EUR is going down as it should. Gold is not practical. BTC has a Tether issue. (and far too volatile)

No idea.

I know that Jay is going hard on you lately, but daaaamn, you need it.

Actually, not only generalized investment advice:  Generalized life wisdom.

Life is risk, and death is a part of life.

An inexorable, inviolable law of the universe in which we live:

Only the dead are safe.
1356  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 19, 2020, 05:58:02 PM
It triggered a sell order. Maybe I am just looking for excuses for my stupidity. I don't know.

A sell all order!?  If there is money there that you really cannot afford to lose, it may be rational to hedge sometimes.  But close out your whole position!?

It was 4:00 AM. I was emotional.

I suppose that is an object lesson about emotional decision-making, generally. :-/

Edit:  P.S., see edit of my prior post.  (Damn, this thread moves fast.)
1357  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 19, 2020, 05:54:28 PM
It triggered a sell order. Maybe I am just looking for excuses for my stupidity. I don't know.

A sell all order!?  If there is money there that you really cannot afford to lose, it may be rational to hedge sometimes.  But close out your whole position!?


Edit:

*I wish nullius was right. No. This is not a story. I am really that retard who sold the bottom.

I know.  I am just joking around.  It is my way of coping with the discovery that a totally die-hard Bitcoin defender sold every last satoshi on the belief that it was all about to go to zero.

;-)
1358  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Tragic boating accidents, and unexplained disappearances on: March 19, 2020, 05:51:35 PM
Idea: Now is a good time to have an "accident" and go off the grid completely. Sort of like all the gold bugs had a boating accident.

“9/11” was the best opportunity for wealthy New Yorkers (or Pentagon insiders) to vanish.  No bodies!  Any questions would be unpatriotic and offensive to family left behind!  Of course, opportunity favours the prepared; and that opportunity happened to favour wealthy, very shrewd people with overseas assets that may already have inadvertently slipped through the cracks and gotten lost.  Whoops!  The perfect storm of tragedies!  —Déjà vu:  I idly speculated on this with a personal associate, sometime before evening on 2001-09-11.  Neither of us were so foolish as to infer any connection between the people who perpetrated the attack, and anybody who may have conveniently exploited it for their own purposes.  Opportunity does favour the prepared!

As a separate but related issue, if I understand correctly, the Tragic Boating Accident pandemic started with the gun owners.  Of course, I expect that it should be contagious to goldbugs.


Funny memes aside, of course, I do not think that this would actually work in reality—unless your accident was well-documented, and occurred significantly in advance of any seizures.  With firearms, that probably also invokes a problem that you could get in big trouble for being caught currently in possession of an item with a serial number, which was legal before you proved that you lost it (and from which it is highly illegal to remove the serial number).  Gold is more fungible than guns are; and if you store only some of it in your boat, it may be difficult to tell which part is which.  Ammo is also fungible—and also has the ancillary benefit of being consumable.  Do you go shooting an awful lot?

I do hear that the plague of tragic boating accidents has made marine wildlife peculiarly dangerous.  PSA:  Be careful with the boat that you logically use to store your guns, ammo, gold, and also the only backups of your Bitcoin wallet!*  Think of the environment!



* Invokes the problem of blockchain analysis.  Be careful.


I am in a peculiarly poor state of general health (not irrelevant to 20-month absence).  And with limited supplies of food and other critical items.  Things do not look good.

* nullius unplugs his computer, and disappears into the void.




Damn, this thread moves fast.  Edit before posting:

I thought the motherfucker was going to zero. Fuck.

*I already made a chain of mistakes, I'll do another I won't hurt xd

I heard stocks are cheap right now. Time to buy TESLA?

Too bad that mindrust had a tragic mental malfunction of the “totally WTF” calibre.  (← Edit after posting:  Worthy of its own meme graphic.  Hmmm.)  The silver lining is that he can report to the Turkish tax/doxing authorities with iron-clad documentation that he sold at the bottom, and now he just does stocks. ;-)
1359  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Caveat on #1027389 “asUHWEceyc” BCH/BSV shill on: March 19, 2020, 04:16:01 PM
Think what you want about COVID19.

The current crisis is actively being used to :

eliminate HK, Iran, France, etc protests
decimate short term economic activity, creating debt demand for individuals and overextended businesses that wish to continue operations
global QE-infinity, an attempt to spark real price inflation
create new laws without scrutiny
trial balloon physical&psychological submission ("social distancing")
pay selected winners (airlines, pharma, tp manufacturers, banks of course, etc)
distract from, justify, and create popular clamor for market manipulation (see above)
dislocate discussion of the above via direction to controlled, virtual platforms


1M USD is pessimistic in the medium to long term : currently observing 5778

Done shilling BCH/BSV and decided to make sense now?

(Why I love the cat.  And why I always check trust pages before hitting the merit button on Newbie accounts.)

See also:
[...]
*All segwit coins become miner property or are hence effectively burned, significantly reducing existing supply

[...]

I would like to know how during this hypothetical scenario, from your perspective, miners might decide to support BitcoinSV's doubly forked ledger as the true chain rather than a de-segwitted BTC, when avoiding segwit on the majority chain has been an option all along?



(Will catch up with you all soon.  ENOTIME.  This was an emergency post, LFC_Bitcoin.)
1360  Economy / Speculation / [WO] Instant tyranny: “The new normality” on: March 19, 2020, 02:55:01 AM

N.b., I refuse to carry a phone.  For reason of its location-tracking.  (And its bugging ability, but that is somewhat easier to control.)  I guess the “new normal” does not have a place for me.  Excerpted in pertinent part:

Quote from: Gideon Lichfield, Technology Review, 2020-03-17
We’re not going back to normal
Social distancing is here to stay for much more than a few weeks. It will upend our way of life, in some ways forever.

[...]

We don’t know exactly what this new future looks like, of course. But one can imagine a world in which, to get on a flight, perhaps you’ll have to be signed up to a service that tracks your movements via your phone. The airline wouldn’t be able to see where you’d gone, but it would get an alert if you’d been close to known infected people or disease hot spots. There’d be similar requirements at the entrance to large venues, government buildings, or public transport hubs. There would be temperature scanners everywhere, and your workplace might demand you wear a monitor that tracks your temperature or other vital signs. Where nightclubs ask for proof of age, in future they might ask for proof of immunity—an identity card or some kind of digital verification via your phone, showing you’ve already recovered from or been vaccinated against the latest virus strains.

Quote
I had to travel earlier this month and this is how my movements were being tracked for the purpose of #COVID19 containment.

Follow @RadiiChina for more videos on #China! #coronavirus #COVID2019 pic.twitter.com/yHzdm7q6HF
— Carol Yin (@CarolYujiaYin) March 16, 2020

We’ll adapt to and accept such measures, much as we’ve adapted to increasingly stringent airport security screenings in the wake of terrorist attacks. The intrusive surveillance will be considered a small price to pay for the basic freedom [sic] to be with other people.

[...]

The world has changed many times, and it is changing again. All of us will have to adapt to a new way of living, working, and forging relationships.

I called it!  Enjoy!

All of these actions are praised by the sheep, due to mass panic.  Dissidents will be immediately labelled “conspiracy theorists” and/or accused of wanting for people to die.

2.  The government’s actions do not actually stop the emergency.  This is a feature, not a bug.  Short-term “emergency” measures become long-term daily realities to which people have become accustomed:  The instant new normality.

[...]

If this does not blow over fast (viz., if the virus does not magically disappear right quickly), then the foreseeable alternatives are two sides of the same coin:  Tyranny and anarchy (that last being “anarchy of the rabble”).

If all hell breaks loose, then it is foreseeable that my area will be overrun by roving bands of criminals violently pillaging from anybody who has food—or just hurting people for fun.  Moreover, as the government starts to collapse, it will clamp down as hard as it can as it spins out of control.

And if all hell doesn’t break loose, that only means that the new normality is total State control of food, personal movement, and who-knows-what-else tomorrow.

If any of this seems alarmist, look to history.  Alarmists like to predict Ends Of The World:  Jesus floating down from a cloud, invasion by space aliens, etc., etc.  I am predicting that if the current course of events does not change soon, something will happen that has happened many times in history—except that it has never yet happened on a totally global scale.  Hmmm.



Do the opposite of what panicking people are doing.  For example, I have my own take on this excellent photo of panic personified:

Mass Suicide!




At that point, from the U.S. government’s perspective—yeah, sure, ok, let some right-wing nut in Flyover Country stash a few little gold coins.*  Whatever.  He can keep them between the ARs which he thinks he can use to “defend freedom” militia-style against a régime that twice steamrolled the most powerful Arab military without even blinking, among other exemplary demonstrations of military superpower, and subsequently used Iraq as a testbed for new technologies in asymmetric “counterinsurgency”—hey!  American “patriots”, did you notice that “your” military was busy perfecting unopposable “counterinsurgency” at exactly the same time as “your” domestic police forces suddenly became even more extremely militarized due to “post-911”?  Hmmm?  Anyway, sorry, a few bullion coins at the margins are meaningless in the big picture of the global financial system.

(* I say this without disrespect to the people thus insulted; I am stating the USG perspective on it, and urging would-be American freedom-fighters to be strategically realistic.  Don’t give up your AR, but don’t delude yourself into believing that this is 1774.)



Edit:
I condemn anybody and everybody who PANICS.

Out of respect for those few Americans who are not contemptible domestic animals begging to be wrapped in unlimited chains forever, I will quote a great American—a famous quote, which obviously applies here:

“Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety.” — Benjamin Franklin
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