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Author Topic: Yet another analyst :)  (Read 269515 times)
Dargo
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March 20, 2013, 05:12:23 PM
 #941

but no need to be snippy about it.
i am not

I misunderstood - thanks for the book recommendation then.
myself
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March 20, 2013, 05:17:07 PM
 #942

but no need to be snippy about it.
i am not

I misunderstood - thanks for the book recommendation then.
also u can take a look at this https://community.bitfinex.com/showthread.php/98-Myself-Scalping-Strategy  Grin

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
robocoin
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March 20, 2013, 05:45:43 PM
 #943

Market can not just grow and grow. Even Ponzi. Drammatic rise = drammatic fall. Slow rise = slow fall.

lucif, oh lucif, gimme hope.
samson
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March 21, 2013, 12:18:31 AM
 #944

Possible head and shoulders 'top' formation ?
Odalv
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March 21, 2013, 12:27:40 AM
 #945

Market can not just grow and grow. Even Ponzi. Drammatic rise = drammatic fall. Slow rise = slow fall.
But there is(was) not similar market as Bitcoin. Bitcoin is revolution. (not slow evolution, just as Apple, Facebook ... stock) What do you mean ?
Dargo
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March 21, 2013, 12:45:57 AM
 #946

Wave 5 probably go above 100.

Whoa, missed that comment before...
myself
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March 21, 2013, 02:05:17 AM
 #947

Possible head and shoulders 'top' formation ?
wait for confirmation

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
RyNinDaCleM
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March 21, 2013, 02:07:03 AM
 #948

Possible head and shoulders 'top' formation ?

It's difficult to make anything from such a short time period, but it does look like one forming. I would bet more on a small scale correction rather than reversal.

BitPirate
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March 21, 2013, 03:28:16 AM
 #949

Possible head and shoulders 'top' formation ?

It's difficult to make anything from such a short time period, but it does look like one forming. I would bet more on a small scale correction rather than reversal.

I hope so... my "buy" finger is itchy.

nanopene
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March 21, 2013, 07:28:17 AM
 #950

That's okay, its free. I don't expect him to be right, no one can be expected of that. I use his analysis to provide a second perspective and to see if I've missed anything. Besides, I haven't seen anyone else posting anything...

ah well  Smiley

I use his technical analysis to do exactly the opposite of what he recommends.
He has a knack of being consistently wrong, and I am reaping profits from it lol
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March 21, 2013, 08:50:48 AM
 #951

wait for confirmation


The pattern started to break before the end of the second shoulder then I went to sleep and it appears to have recovered and right now we're only a few BTC away from another ATH over $66.

I'm coming to believe that the only real option is to hold long term and just wait and see what happens.
myself
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March 21, 2013, 08:59:56 AM
 #952

I'm coming to believe that the only real option is to hold long term and just wait and see what happens.
there is allot of trades u can do on simple dont go against the trend sell at daily R3 R 4 buy at daily R1-PP kinda does the trick

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
lucif (OP)
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March 21, 2013, 05:18:55 PM
 #953

Local short-term top imho. Otherwise I missed 3/4 with 1/2 and some more upside comming.



Yeah, this wave should be something...


lucif (OP)
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March 21, 2013, 05:28:15 PM
 #954

But this is run out of standard deviations, so i think its a local top

BrightAnarchist
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March 21, 2013, 10:05:12 PM
 #955

But this is run out of standard deviations, so i think its a local top



Cool. This is perfectly in line with where I think stocks are poised, except in their case I think the top is already in as of a few days ago.

It's funny how the exact same psychological/sentiment backdrop runs through people in different markets at the same time. Euphoria always gives way to fear...
myself
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March 21, 2013, 10:08:30 PM
 #956

It's funny how the exact same psychological/sentiment backdrop runs through people in different markets at the same time. Euphoria always gives way to fear...
note that there can be one more spike on the SP500 just to test the ATH but any drop below 1535 can be a good confirmation for shorts
http://www.sierrachart.com/image.php?l=1363903724693.png

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
BrightAnarchist
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March 21, 2013, 10:27:29 PM
 #957

It's funny how the exact same psychological/sentiment backdrop runs through people in different markets at the same time. Euphoria always gives way to fear...
note that there can be one more spike on the SP500 just to test the ATH but any drop below 1535 can be a good confirmation for shorts
http://www.sierrachart.com/image.php?l=1363903724693.png


Agreed. Right now most wavers I've asked say it still looks like a small fourth wave that may give way to another ATH, but in that case we're still very close to a major top. Obviously I'm leaning towards the interpreting that the top is already in, but the next week or two and the market should yield its hand.
myself
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chaos is fun...…damental :)


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March 21, 2013, 10:30:19 PM
 #958

It's funny how the exact same psychological/sentiment backdrop runs through people in different markets at the same time. Euphoria always gives way to fear...
note that there can be one more spike on the SP500 just to test the ATH but any drop below 1535 can be a good confirmation for shorts
http://www.sierrachart.com/image.php?l=1363903724693.png


Agreed. Right now most wavers I've asked say it still looks like a small fourth wave that may give way to another ATH, but in that case we're still very close to a major top. Obviously I'm leaning towards the interpreting that the top is already in, but the next week or two and the market should yield its hand.

check this http://www.marketwatch.com/Economy-Politics/Calendars/Economic for risk events

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
lucif (OP)
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March 22, 2013, 12:45:48 PM
 #959

Some short term counter-trend formation. May be considered as a bull flag as price didn't leave acceleration channel so far



BrightAnarchist
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March 22, 2013, 12:51:17 PM
Last edit: March 22, 2013, 01:05:37 PM by BrightAnarchist
 #960

Litecoin clearly topped on the 20th, and has been crashing. In fact, all the alt coins seem to have followed the same script. I think this is important - it means the speculative juices have maxxed out on those markets. Bitcoin is bigger and taking longer, but I fail to see why it won't eventually follow suit.

Another interesting thing that I've noticed is this tendency for people to claim that "bitcoin does well when bad things happen in the world". This same argument has been used for gold. And yet, so far, the charts tell the opposite story: bitcoin does well when stocks and general financial speculation are high (such as the high in 2011, which perfectly matched the high in the US small caps/large caps ratio), and goes down when speculative fever does. So far when the economy worsens, people want cash, and not gold or bitcoins.

Things could change for sure, but I'm just pointing out the hard, cold evidence thus far doesn't match the kinds of fundamental arguments I'm hearing based on past market activity. They sure sound good and logical on paper though, I won't argue with that
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