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Question: 9/19 Closing Price:
0 - 1 (1.6%)
<$10,000 - 3 (4.8%)
$10,000-$10,500 - 2 (3.2%)
$10,501-$11,000 - 13 (20.6%)
$11,001-$11,500 - 19 (30.2%)
$11,501-$12,000 - 8 (12.7%)
$12,001-$12,500 - 7 (11.1%)
$12,501-$13,000 - 2 (3.2%)
>$13,000 - 3 (4.8%)
>$20,000 - 5 (7.9%)
Total Voters: 63

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 22429579 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (148 posts by 37 users deleted.)
Toxic2040
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March 23, 2019, 10:38:39 PM
Merited by 600watt (1)

Locally we seem intent on challenging this line of resistance at $3.985k
1h


Then 0.786 fib is right around the corner.
4h


Out of the fire into the frying pan with the long handle.
D


Buy the dips.
W

#stronghands'19
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HairyMaclairy
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March 23, 2019, 10:45:32 PM
Last edit: March 23, 2019, 10:56:36 PM by HairyMaclairy
Merited by BobLawblaw (2), xhomerx10 (1), JayJuanGee (1), infofront (1), jojo69 (1)

you'll probably feign disinterest Hairy but according to this you stand finally to become LegendaryHairyMacLairy in 2 day and 2hours (or any fortnight thereafter)

Hairy: "My dear Eddies and Boblaws, Toxics and Yfronts, Globbos and Gooses, Hueristics, Homers and Juans, LFCs and Lightfoots." [cheers]

Old guy: "Lightfeet!"

[Observers laugh]

Hairy: "Today is my seven hundred and seventieth birthday!"

Observer: "Happy Birthday!"

[Long pause]Last of the old shitposters: "Happy Birthday!"

Hairy: "Alas, seven-eleventy is far too short a time to live among such excellent and admirable observers." [cheers abound.]

"I don't know half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve." [There is a dead silence from the crowd. They gaze at each other blank-faced, trying to figure out if they were just insulted. Jimbo smiles.]

Hairy: "I, uh, I h-have things to do." [fidgets with the Casa behind his back. Whispers to himself] "I've put this off for far too long."

Hairy: [to the crowd] "I regret to announce — this is The End. I am going now. I bid you all a very fond farewell." [whispers to Jojo] "Goodbye."

[Hairy plugs the Casa in and vanishes.]

Observers: "Ooh!"
JayJuanGee
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March 23, 2019, 10:47:45 PM

^ fella's blog
http://thepatternsite.com/Blog-Mar19.html#P19

edit: wait what?
5500 baby

So he claims it will be at least 6 years until we return to ATH, on no evidence whatsoever. 

Just pretending for the moment he is not horribly wrong headed (suspend your disbelief if you will) would it truly be an awful outcome to have a 600% ROI spread out over the next 6 years?

I don't really have any problem with a kind of slow volatility and climb up of BTC to new ATH in 6 years or more, like you reminded us of that 600% returns (really about 500% from our current price point.. but who's counting, besides me?)...

Giving the guy the benefit of the doubt of being financially smart, a central problem with a kind of gradual rise scenario that he paints (with perhaps some acceptance of ongoing volatility), and gradual return to new ATH in 6 years seems to be that the whole set up (framework) implies that bitcoin is within a mature market - and that assumption is way off, since bitcoin is far from being with a mature market (especially given its current low level of adoption and a shitload of use cases that have barely been scratched on the surface) - causing his assumptions to fail (perhaps refuse) to recognize, account for and understand the asset about which he is attempting to "reasonably" analyze.
HairyMaclairy
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March 23, 2019, 10:51:49 PM

The reason the price is so jittery at the moment is because we are currently doing a rerun of the $6k precipice.  Except this time we are going to break through and drive a stake through the heart of this bear market based on our support from the 200 Weekly MA.  The next week is critical.

Last of the V8s
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March 23, 2019, 10:57:51 PM

been on the miruvórë again Hairy
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March 23, 2019, 11:12:31 PM



I'm going to drink a beer and listen to some good music, I hope to see a big green dildo when I get back.

Bye.
You mean you are wishing to see Bob? 😛
I mean have fun bother 🙂

Well, I would share a few beers with him, judging by his comments, I would surely learn more in BTC strategy.
Actually I would share some beers with all WO members without exception. Wink
You are generous brother.🙂

Good afternoon WO brothers. I hope we are doing well.


$100k party at VB1001's pad...... WOOT!!!!  WOOT!!!!!!     Grin
Wanna buy a beer for everyone in case of hitting $100K. Let's start the party next year Smiley

hahahahaha

Who's buying beer based on BTC price actions?  You?

If you make such promises, you are going to need to be ready, willing and able to deliver upon your promise when the time comes...

Probably, you would be clearly able to afford beers for all WO participants if BTC prices were to go up to $100k in the next few years; however, if it takes 10 years or longer, you might have issues being able to deliver those promised beers, perhaps?

By the way, I do believe that each of us BTC HODLers/accumulators should be prepared for either scenario (fast or slow to $100k), but we should also be prepared in the event that $100k does not come within our lifetime (which duration is going to vary between members, too).
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March 23, 2019, 11:14:55 PM

▬▬▬.◙.▬▬▬
═▂▄▄▓▄▄▂
◢◤ █▀▀████▄▄▄▄◢◤
█▄ █ █▄ ███▀▀▀▀▀▀▀╬
◥█████◤
══╩══╩═
╬═╬
╬═╬
╬═╬
╬═╬
╬═╬  just dropped down to say
╬═╬   
╬═╬  Satoshi changed everything
╬═╬☻/
╬═╬/▌
╬═╬/  \

https://twitter.com/CarpeNoctom/status/1109481357540016128
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March 23, 2019, 11:15:08 PM
Merited by jbreher (1)

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March 23, 2019, 11:15:59 PM

still i don’t get it (the whole getting to marry stuff )

Marriage is a fitness thing.  And not the picking up and putting down heavy objects type.

Quote
A major survey of 127,545 American adults found that married men are healthier than men who were never married or whose marriages ended in divorce or widowhood. Men who have marital partners also live longer than men without spouses; men who marry after age 25 get more protection than those who tie the knot at a younger age, and the longer a man stays married, the greater his survival advantage over his unmarried peers.

https://www.health.harvard.edu/newsletter_article/marriage-and-mens-health

Gonna think this one through tomorrow

To heavy sh*t @this time on this Saturday Tongue
The odds of a marriage in the US today lasting for ten years is about 3%.
xhomerx10
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March 23, 2019, 11:32:57 PM

still i don’t get it (the whole getting to marry stuff )

Marriage is a fitness thing.  And not the picking up and putting down heavy objects type.

Quote
A major survey of 127,545 American adults found that married men are healthier than men who were never married or whose marriages ended in divorce or widowhood. Men who have marital partners also live longer than men without spouses; men who marry after age 25 get more protection than those who tie the knot at a younger age, and the longer a man stays married, the greater his survival advantage over his unmarried peers.

https://www.health.harvard.edu/newsletter_article/marriage-and-mens-health

Gonna think this one through tomorrow

To heavy sh*t @this time on this Saturday Tongue
The odds of a marriage in the US today lasting for ten years is about 3%.

 Oh no!  We're past due... we celebrated our slightly over 10th wedding anniversary today with a vegan luncheon.  It was actually quite tasty and I feel a little healthier this evening.
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March 23, 2019, 11:34:20 PM
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Like Tarzan and Jane  Cry


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March 23, 2019, 11:35:49 PM
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^nice^^ Grin

HairyMaclairy
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March 23, 2019, 11:38:23 PM

The odds of a marriage in the US today lasting for ten years is about 3%.

Yeah no

Your numbers are wrong by at least an order of magnitude

Quote
Rate of divorce" usually refers to the number of divorces that occur in the population during a given period. However it is also used in common parlance to refer to the likelihood of a given marriage ending in divorce (as opposed to the death of a spouse).

In 2002 (latest survey data as of 2012),[39] 29% of first marriages among women aged 15–44 were disrupted (ended in separation, divorce or annulment) within 10 years.[40] Beyond the 10-year window, population survey data is lacking, but forecasts and estimates provide some understanding. It is commonly claimed that half of all marriages in the United States eventually end in divorce, an estimate possibly based on the fact that in any given year, the number of marriages is about twice the number of divorces.[41] Amato outlined in his study on divorce that in the late of 1990s, about 43% to 46% of marriages were predicted to end in dissolution. According to his research, there is only a small percentage of marriages end in permanent separation rather than divorce.[42] Using 1995 data, National Survey of Family Growth forecast in 2002 a 43% chance that first marriages among women aged 15–44 would be disrupted within 15 years.[39] More recently, having spoken with academics and National Survey of Family Growth representatives, PolitiFact.com estimated in 2012 that the lifelong probability of a marriage ending in divorce is 40%–50%.[43]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Divorce_in_the_United_States#Rates_of_divorce
Ibian
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March 23, 2019, 11:39:57 PM

The odds of a marriage in the US today lasting for ten years is about 3%.

Yeah no

Quote
Rate of divorce" usually refers to the number of divorces that occur in the population during a given period. However it is also used in common parlance to refer to the likelihood of a given marriage ending in divorce (as opposed to the death of a spouse).

In 2002 (latest survey data as of 2012),[39] 29% of first marriages among women aged 15–44 were disrupted (ended in separation, divorce or annulment) within 10 years.[40] Beyond the 10-year window, population survey data is lacking, but forecasts and estimates provide some understanding. It is commonly claimed that half of all marriages in the United States eventually end in divorce, an estimate possibly based on the fact that in any given year, the number of marriages is about twice the number of divorces.[41] Amato outlined in his study on divorce that in the late of 1990s, about 43% to 46% of marriages were predicted to end in dissolution. According to his research, there is only a small percentage of marriages end in permanent separation rather than divorce.[42] Using 1995 data, National Survey of Family Growth forecast in 2002 a 43% chance that first marriages among women aged 15–44 would be disrupted within 15 years.[39] More recently, having spoken with academics and National Survey of Family Growth representatives, PolitiFact.com estimated in 2012 that the lifelong probability of a marriage ending in divorce is 40%–50%.[43]
I didn't say anything about the divorce rate. Also without a source you made those numbers up. WITH a source they almost certainly made them up, given who you are. Don't even bother.
HairyMaclairy
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March 23, 2019, 11:41:25 PM

I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
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March 23, 2019, 11:57:17 PM

Divorce Rate

Luxembourg: 87% With a population of approximately 500,000, Luxembourg is actually one of the smallest countries in Europe. ...
Spain: 65%
France: 55%
Russia: 51%
United States: 46%
Germany: 44%
United Kingdom: 42%
New Zealand: 42%

https://www.unifiedlawyers.com.au/blog/global-divorce-rates-statistics/


Highest Divorce rate according to Guinness world records (2002) based on Divorces per 1,000 inhabitants per year

The USA in third spot and Maldives is in the First spot

http://www.guinnessworldrecords.com/world-records/highest-divorce-rate
BTCMILLIONAIRE
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March 24, 2019, 12:11:29 AM

I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
The probability of a marriage lasting for 10 years or longer is something different than the rate of divorce. Even if the former probability excludes cases of deaths ending marriages early. Feel like the 3% number is still too low, even though I'd expect most failed marriages to divorce earlier on rather than later.
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March 24, 2019, 12:14:58 AM
Last edit: March 24, 2019, 12:44:27 AM by Biodom

The odds of a marriage in the US today lasting for ten years is about 3%.

More like 50% or even 60-70%:
https://www.refinery29.com/en-us/2017/01/137440/divorce-rate-in-america-statistics
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March 24, 2019, 12:16:35 AM

I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
The probability of a marriage lasting for 10 years or longer is something different than the rate of divorce. Even if the former probability excludes cases of deaths ending marriages early. Feel like the 3% number is still too low, even though I'd expect most failed marriages to divorce earlier on rather than later.

Well, strictly speaking 100% of all marriages eventually end
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March 24, 2019, 12:19:56 AM

I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
The probability of a marriage lasting for 10 years or longer is something different than the rate of divorce. Even if the former probability excludes cases of deaths ending marriages early. Feel like the 3% number is still too low, even though I'd expect most failed marriages to divorce earlier on rather than later.

Well, strictly speaking 100% of all marriages eventually end
Yeah, but he claimed that 3% of marriages end within 10 years. Which I doubt and can't be bothered looking up. But still, not divorce rates.
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