Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[jbreher]

Yeah, it's-a meee.

You can't tell from the linguistics? What would the satoshi-whisperers conclude from that!?

I'll probably not hang 'round, but it is indeed good to visit the old neighborhood for the holidays.

A little bit creepy, a little bit nostalgic, and just a little bit morose. But, the thing must be done.

I do indeed wish you all well.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[Syke]

Sadly, I also feel the same. It would have been so much better for him to be a man about it and admit defeat. But instead of facing the facts, he seems to be moving the goalposts on every failure. OK, he may now be selling fewer PlanB hats, but that's his own problem. Bitcoin is fully alive and kicking last time I checked.

For me, the best "model" is the White Paper itself. Halving = supply reduction by half / 4-year period. That's enough for me to know for a fact that "it's going up forever, Laura!" That's a qualitative assessment that's good enough for me. As for quantitative, short-term, Crystal Ball^TM predictive models, I'll leave those to the resident magicians, purely for amusement purposes, with the occasional collateral damage (read: mindrust events caused by masterluc).

No plan is flawless. We haven't developed psychohistory yet. When the model breaks, adjust it.

[AlcoHoDL]

Sadly, I also feel the same. It would have been so much better for him to be a man about it and admit defeat. But instead of facing the facts, he seems to be moving the goalposts on every failure. OK, he may now be selling fewer PlanB hats, but that's his own problem. Bitcoin is fully alive and kicking last time I checked.

For me, the best "model" is the White Paper itself. Halving = supply reduction by half / 4-year period. That's enough for me to know for a fact that "it's going up forever, Laura!" That's a qualitative assessment that's good enough for me. As for quantitative, short-term, Crystal Ball^TM predictive models, I'll leave those to the resident magicians, purely for amusement purposes, with the occasional collateral damage (read: mindrust events caused by masterluc).

No plan is flawless. We haven't developed psychohistory yet. When the model breaks, adjust it.

Yes, but his Twitter posts show arrogance and inability to stand up to his own earlier tweets about his S2F model being invalid if price does not reach $100k in 2021. In that sense, one could take any equation, adjust it to fit any short-term trend, keep adjusting ad-infinitum and call it a model of everything.

Edit (post-Syke's merit): Having said the above, I don't mind PlanB's work, it has its purpose and value, but IMHO, should not be taken very seriously. He's essentially attempting to predict a non-deterministic, noisy system being affected by more parameters that anyone can process. Short-term predictions of such systems are Crystal Ball^TM material in my book. It's good as a Hopium source though, and I've used it in the past to get my "fix", but it seems the drug is not as potent as it used to be...

[ivomm]

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[cygan]

[naim027]

Meme by me 😅

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[BitcoinBunny]

Merry Christmas everybody.

[aysg76]

A little secret which the government doesn't want to disclose to the general public



But like inflation they can't hide it anymore and they are just piece of paper not backed up by anything and most importantly US government irrelevant policies have destabilize the economy and Bitcoin can save them but still they will issue such useless statements.

MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL WO BROTHERS

[elrippos friend]

I'd say this was a joke, but after Phillip's report and the mass porting of numbers from that phone provider I'm not so sure. Stay vigilant....

You honestly install an app for a dildo 
People seem to get more stupid than i thought, but in the end i think Einstein was correct with his assumption that the only thing bigger then the universe is the stupidity of mankind 

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[shahzadafzal]

It's As Easy As 1, 2, 3

[El duderino_]

GoodMorning brothers

Merry Christmas

The dude is overflowed with wine….

[vroom]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7nT7JGZMbtM

james webb telescope launch in 35 minutes. 25 years of development, 8 billion euros cost. so exciting!

[aesma]

Ready to watch the launch of the James Webb telescope ? https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/12/25/ariane-5-va-256-jwst-mission-status-center/

I see I wasn't the only one.

About metamask, I use it for some shitcoin that made me corn, otherwise I don't trust it with any significant amount (well, probably too much already). Having a wallet online all the time is too risky.

[Syke]

You honestly install an app for a dildo 
People seem to get more stupid than i thought, but in the end i think Einstein was correct with his assumption that the only thing bigger then the universe is the stupidity of mankind 

Are these actual "hacks"? Or is this just a user clicking "Confirm Transaction" without paying attention to what it's asking?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[AlcoHoDL]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7nT7JGZMbtM

james webb telescope launch in 35 minutes. 25 years of development, 8 billion euros cost. so exciting!

An historic launch and a great achievement for mankind. Such a privilege to be a witness of this. May everything go as planned. So exciting, indeed!