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May 27, 2022, 10:40:28 PM *
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Question: Price prediction for the May 21 weekly close:
<$20,000 - 7 (8%)
$20,000 - $22,000 - 0 (0%)
$22,000 - $24,000 - 2 (2.3%)
$24,000 - $26,000 - 3 (3.4%)
$26,000 - $28,000 - 7 (8%)
$28,000 - $30,000 - 12 (13.8%)
$30,000 - $32,000 - 20 (23%)
$32,000 - $34,000 - 8 (9.2%)
$34,000 - $36,000 - 6 (6.9%)
$36,000 - $38,000 - 3 (3.4%)
$38,000 - $40,000 - 2 (2.3%)
>$40,000 - 17 (19.5%)
Total Voters: 87

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25640043 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (168 posts by 4 users with 9 merit deleted.)
JayJuanGee
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ESG, KYC & AML are attack vectors on Bitcoin


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December 04, 2021, 08:14:55 PM

Already going up again.

Turned my 100 Big Macs money into 102 Big Macs within a few hours.
That's better than losing 15 Big Macs per year if I'd kept the money in the bank.

 Cheesy

Seriously, I'm so hungry now, I could eat some of your Big Macs...

I will avoid it, in light of cAPSLOCK's good dietary advice, and will, instead, proceed to a nice BBQ (only meat, lemon, salt, pepper & herbs -- no carbs) at my COVID-19-recovered cousin's place tonight. I hope there's no virus there anymore, as I will not be using protection.

If feels so good to be a true HoDLer. Not affected by dippenings. Not at all.

Life's good. Enjoy every minute of it.

I am thinking about this.. .

the riding it out way of dealing with matters.

Surely, it's a possible approach/perspective.

I guess at this point nobody can tell you what will happen next. It's more than unclear, it's a great enigma. S2F invalidated, 4 year cycle broken (or is it not?). So what awaits us? Truly, this time it's different..

Hahahahahaha

Another interesting perspective.

Which way we are going is like a stab in the dark at this point.. or a throwing a dart at a board with a bad arm or a random pulling of a jelly bean from a jar with a blindfold. 

Who knows?


Who knows?

Don't you just love a mystery?








Or do mysteries like this put you in to trepidation-landia?



Humanitarian aid sent to FTX:



Will the victim be given first aid, so to speak, put on his feet? Roll Eyes

Not sure if I understand who the "victim" would be.

Anyone know?


Anyone?

Anyone?
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December 04, 2021, 08:21:23 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

This is going the way I predicted. Short above $10k. Buy above $100. That's my game.

 So... you're in a sort of self-imposed perpetual liquidation 1:1 hedging over 10k?
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December 04, 2021, 08:26:20 PM

Humanitarian aid sent to FTX:



Will the victim be given first aid, so to speak, put on his feet? Roll Eyes

Not sure if I understand who the "victim" would be.

Anyone know?


Anyone?

Anyone?

  Bitcoin i hope.   I wouldn't be opposed to a 500 million dollar booster shot. 
tertius993
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December 04, 2021, 08:32:51 PM

I guess at this point nobody can tell you what will happen next. It's more than unclear, it's a great enigma. S2F invalidated, 4 year cycle broken (or is it not?). So what awaits us? Truly, this time it's different..

Just to clarify: From my understanding the "floor model" invalidated, while S2F is still intact unless BTC won't hit $100k this cycle.
Right?

I think this depends entirely on your definition of “invalidated”.

As of right now the price is less than half the S2F prediction (which is around $107-109k depending on which version of S2F you want to use). Does that mean it’s invalidated … or do you take a broader view?
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December 04, 2021, 08:34:35 PM

Humanitarian aid sent to FTX:



Will the victim be given first aid, so to speak, put on his feet? Roll Eyes

Not sure if I understand who the "victim" would be.

Anyone know?


Anyone?

Anyone?

  Bitcoin i hope.   I wouldn't be opposed to a 500 million dollar booster shot.  

I am thinking positively. Is it possible that whales are preparing with these USDT to Buy Bitcoin?
JayJuanGee
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ESG, KYC & AML are attack vectors on Bitcoin


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December 04, 2021, 08:40:12 PM

[edited out]

Looking earning BTC by Mining ETH (yeah I said it) is fine.

Yes... of course, you said it.. but you have a track record of being quite ongoingly distracted.. so there is that angle to what you might consider as "fine", no?

Move on.

Not a bad idea.

But are you ready, willing and able to actually "move on"

Unless I said I was stacking ETH and was hoping for ETH to flip BTC then I would be an a-hole

That's the "a-hole" threshold?  Who would-a-thunk.

Humanitarian aid sent to FTX:



Will the victim be given first aid, so to speak, put on his feet? Roll Eyes

Not sure if I understand who the "victim" would be.

Anyone know?


Anyone?

Anyone?

  Bitcoin i hope.   I wouldn't be opposed to a 500 million dollar booster shot. 

I must be so dumb...

I still don't get it.

naim027
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December 04, 2021, 08:46:56 PM

Just think positive. We are back here from the future. We got a chance to buy the DIP.  Grin Grin

ChartBuddy
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


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December 04, 2021, 09:01:34 PM


Explanation
savetherainforest
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Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!


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December 04, 2021, 09:17:29 PM

GM - DOH - I’m just going off to my happy place for a while



This gave me so much hope for humanity!!! Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Good relaxing content. Have any idea from what movie or commercial it is?? Tongue  Roll Eyes  Grin
xhomerx10
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December 04, 2021, 09:20:33 PM

GM - DOH - I’m just going off to my happy place for a while



This gave me so much hope for humanity!!! Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Good relaxing content. Have any idea from what movie or commercial it is?? Tongue  Roll Eyes  Grin

Either Happy Gilmore or The Matrix; my memory is corrupt.
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born once atheist


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December 04, 2021, 09:24:58 PM
Last edit: December 04, 2021, 10:03:56 PM by sirazimuth

Ya know....I was just thinking...
A lot of folks on this thread have a secret love of Mackle Dee's.
I know I'm addicted to that orange goo and filet-o-fish product thingy, oozing with thick lumpy cum sauce within the golden, spongy, hot steamy Wonder Bread bun ..






GO BITCOIN

eXPHorizon
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December 04, 2021, 09:31:25 PM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISt6u1_gZcE

Sit tight and assess  Grin  Grin  Grin


OutOfMemory
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#BTCdramaQueen


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December 04, 2021, 09:31:36 PM

Between now and 1 year from now bitcoin will spend more time below $40k than above it. Write it down.

Oh my.

That's too bad.

By the way.. goat breath, you may well be lucky to even see one day that ends up actually below $40k in the coming year.. .not saying that it could not happen.. but the odds seem against uie pooie.   Cry Cry Cry

He (she? it?) could be right tho.
After a blow off top in Q1 2022, BTC could well "crash" down under $40k within 2 months-ish and zig zag around, down to the ultimate $20k capitulation bottom in 2023.
Then proudhon's call would be probably valid.

GM - DOH - I’m just going off to my happy place for a while



This gave me so much hope for humanity!!! Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Good relaxing content. Have any idea from what movie or commercial it is?? Tongue  Roll Eyes  Grin

Either Happy Gilmore or The Matrix; my memory is corrupt.

Dude! Happy Gilmore of course!
Legendary. Watched it dozens of times. I can see the DVD case from where i'm currently sitting  Cool
savetherainforest
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Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!


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December 04, 2021, 09:33:50 PM
Last edit: December 04, 2021, 09:46:28 PM by savetherainforest

Between now and 1 year from now bitcoin will spend more time below $40k than above it. Write it down.

Oh my.

That's too bad.

By the way.. goat breath, you may well be lucky to even see one day that ends up actually below $40k in the coming year.. .not saying that it could not happen.. but the odds seem against uie pooie.   Cry Cry Cry

He (she? it?) could be right tho.
After a blow off top in Q1 2022, BTC could well "crash" down under $40k within 2 months-ish and zig zag around, down to the ultimate $20k capitulation bottom in 2023.
Then proudhon's call would be probably valid.

It's a "He". Tongue ... Only Gawd is a 'She', cuz it's always fun to have erotic dreams with a Goddess. <3  Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes  Shocked  Grin  Cheesy  Cheesy
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#BTCdramaQueen


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December 04, 2021, 09:37:03 PM

Would Schroedinger also currently ask himself if this cat is dead or alive?

We need some more volume, imo.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w9gOQgfPW4Y
savetherainforest
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December 04, 2021, 09:44:35 PM
Last edit: December 04, 2021, 11:52:57 PM by savetherainforest

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISt6u1_gZcE

Sit tight and assess  Grin  Grin  Grin





https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMiLUB-skEg    <<< BAHAHAHAHAHAaaaaa....

.... Aha... Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy


cAPSLOCK
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----------bbl


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December 04, 2021, 09:48:16 PM
Last edit: December 04, 2021, 09:59:31 PM by cAPSLOCK
Merited by El duderino_ (3), vapourminer (1), xhomerx10 (1), JayJuanGee (1), somac. (1), ErisDiscordia (1), OutOfMemory (1)

Price thoughts as of 12/4.


In case you've missed it, we have had a fairly large drawdown in price very quickly over the last 24 hours.  I have been working on some hopium so I can keep deluding myself from proudhon's science.

As I have been saying for some time, retail markets have been very thinly traded during this "cycle".  Retail is more interested in dog coins and NFTs this time around.

Long exchange open interest futures have been rising for a couple of months.  It is natural for these big futures imbalances to get "washed out" from time to time.  And since the majority of futures trading still happens on retail exchanges when the contracts get executed because of price they settle on those exchanges.  This is all done automatically and the sells execute into the retail order books.

Since the order books at retail exchanges CONTINUE to be anemic this can cause a fairly extreme price swing on these retail exchanges.

It is my assertion that bitcoin trade is happening elsewhere than the retail exchanges for the most part.  But these exchanges still act as a price oracle for most other trading.  Prices on a DEX or something like localbitcoins.com are tied to exchange prices.  Coinbase, Finex, Stamp and Kraken often being seen as the metric.  And of course the OTC desks at these entities operate based on that exchanges price.

Because of this I see a high likelihood of this being a STRONG over-correction and expect the price at the exchanges to bounce back as long as we are not entering an extended bear market.  That makes this a bit of a March '20 event, and people taking long positions right now are likely to do well.

I expect that the institutional/family office/hedge fund type traders are lighting up the OTC desks open over the weekend, while the retail volume REMAINS anemic.  I think we should see some good gains early next week as well if my theory is true.

I believe this market is out of balance.  In my opinion, it will remain so until retail volume begins to pick up.  This is NOT because retail volume is all that important.  In fact, it is because retail PRICES are more important than they should be.  These markets are trading differently than any other times in Bitcoin's history  And the current forces with the market and news, and general zeitgeist are continuing to drive the price of Bitcion in a direction it is not natural for it to be going.

One more thought:  People seem to be holding an awful lot of funerals for PlanB.  And I would think his prediction of 100k in 2021, IS indeed likely not to come to pass at THIS point. Particularly with retail poised to sell in December to settle tax bills.  But I would not write off his model entirely yet... It could take a dent here, but pick back up depending on how things go over the next several weeks.  Depending on what happens next this could be a fairly quick V shaped dip.

Or maybe bitcoin is just dead this time...
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December 04, 2021, 09:50:55 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (3)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISt6u1_gZcE

Sit tight and assess  Grin  Grin  Grin





Why do the words "tight" and "asses(s)" always sting out when i read this?   Grin Cool

EDIT: #nohomo

EDIT2: Need some market distraction. Movie time  Smiley
ChartBuddy
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December 04, 2021, 10:01:26 PM


Explanation
BobLawblaw
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Welcome to Costco. I love you.


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December 04, 2021, 10:17:37 PM

Or maybe bitcoin is just dead this time...

It's super cereal dead this time, bro.

For realz.

RIP.
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