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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (1%)
7/28 - 11 (11.1%)
8/4 - 16 (16.2%)
8/11 - 7 (7.1%)
8/18 - 5 (5.1%)
8/25 - 7 (7.1%)
After August - 52 (52.5%)
Total Voters: 99

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26456937 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
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August 24, 2022, 05:42:19 AM
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Every couple of months or so, with a few mouse clicks, I convert all my accumulated rewards points on my daily use PayPal credit card into bitcoin.
I use the card for all my purchases and is paid off automatically every month with no interest.
Free bitcoin.
Pretty much a no brainer really.
It looks amazing and impressive. But I still don't have a PayPal credit card or the like right now so I can only rely on certain exchanges to exchange all kinds of coins to Bitcoin which I then keep in my wallet.

There is another bit of news posted by @BTC_Archive where the US FED says that Cryptocurrencies Present Opportunities to the Whole Financial System.
The Federal Reserve has urged Wall Street to prepare to handle digital assets as the market prepares for the “floodgates” to open for institutional investors, noting there are also associated with the sector.

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https://bitcoinist.com/over-9000-crypto-mining-farms-seized-in-iran-to-combat-electricity-crisis/
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These probably didn't happen over night. But, this kind of historical moment news will be looked down upon in the future by the people of those countries. They will blame the stupidity of their ape primitive government leadership that supported this war against BTCiTcoin.  Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes
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August 24, 2022, 07:55:54 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), In the silence (1), Greyhats (1)

[edited out]
Yes, trading and DCAing, though primarily DCA.

Between the time of my first post and that you responded to my post, I had edited my post and I had added some further questions and attempts at explanation.. which I will try to go over again here.

It seems to me that if your primary goal is to accumulate BTC, then the best ways to do that are through various forms of buying and attempting to strategize your buying in order to attempt to maximize your buying aggressiveness without getting overexposed.. so of course, you have to make sure that you balance finances and psychology in such a way that your regular expenses are all accounted for, and you have a sufficient cushion in your budget to deal with emergency expenses as well (including a likely need to have resources that you would draw from first as an emergency fund before you would touch your BTC).  

The three main ways of accumulating BTC is DCA, lump sum investing and buying on dips.. and I would consider selling (which is involved in trading) to be a more advance technique that would ONLY come into play after you have reached your BTC accumulation goals which would also likely include criteria such as either being over-invested and/or making sure that your BTC portfolio is sufficiently in profits... and you are also ONLY selling amounts that are small enough that you would not be bothered if the BTC price continues to go up and you are never able to buy back with the amounts that you had sold.

Of course, guys here have variations of their own ways of employing these kinds of various strategies and what kinds of formulas that they might have created, and some of us don't agree about what might be considered better practices - and in the end, you are completely responsible for your own choices regarding what balances to reach - and of course, you are going to be responsible for various extra risks that you might take or the degree to which you might end up being overly aggressive or overly whimpy in your approach to BTC.. including if you end up getting involved in shitcoins and/or gambling and if so how much...

some guys fuck up their whole long term investing approach because they start to believe some of the shitcoin talking points in regards to believing that some of the longer term accumulation principles apply to that too.. rather than getting in and out if you are going to get involved in that crap at all.

Since I'm still learning how to trade, I buy spot when I feel satisfied with the dip.

I have been in bitcoin for nearly 9 years, and I feel that I did not really sell any BTC for about my first two years because largely if I did sell any it was sell and then buy and replace, and when I finally did implement a trading strategy of selling on the way up and buying on the way down it was ONLY a very small amount of my portfolio and only a small portion of my profits.. so for example, back when BTC was $300, if I had 10 BTC, then if the BTC price went up $10, then that would be $100 in profits so long the price was higher than my purchase price, but I would ONLY authorize the maximum of selling 50% of the profits in the worse case scenario, and many times, I would be selling less than 20% of the profits, and another part of the formula would be that I could sell up to 10% at most of the value of my holdings for every 100% that the BTC price went up.. and frequently the amount sold was way less than the 10% - and these days it is probably less than 5%. of course, with buy back built in, too.. and expectations that I don't necessarily expect to even be able to buy back at whatever I sell.

There can be formulas for attempting to insure your BTC holding for the downside.. just in case it happens, but it may well not be necessarily considered as wanting to profit but a kind of hedge of downside risk, and I have never really considered myself a trader and I have tried to increase the intervals of sales and the spreads to end up gravitating more into falling into a kind of swing trader which would mean the the sell and buy orders are triggered less frequently .. even though for sure it can get tempting to narrow the intervals and the spreads in order to profit from the inevitable BTC volatility - even though I still like to consider my practice as primarily a hedge against downside like a kind of an insurance rather than trying to make any profits, even though the profits do end up playing out as kinds of side benefits - not the primary focus.

I've been using bitcoin for almost 7 years, but not as OG you guys.

In the whole scheme of things 7 years is a decently long period of time, and I ONLY will reach 9 years if I am able to live long enough to be alive by late November and to still be into bitcoin at that time..

So you have a decent amount of time into bitcoin, but sure maybe you had been distracted into other things and got into shitcoins or even were not sufficiently aggressive enough in your approach to bitcoin.

On a personal level, I consider my lil selfie to have had been sufficiently aggressive right out of the gate.  I started in November 2013, and I largely created a 6 month budget that involved some level of attempting to front load my investment into BTC which was largely a DCA approach with some lump sum investments injected in there too... I pretty much extended my investment into BTC plan an additional 6 months of budget and by the end of the first year (which would have been late 2014), I had figured out that I had reached my BTC accumulation goals of having 10% of my quasi-liquid investment portfolio into BTC.. but then I ended up over-accumulating and getting up to about 13.5%-ish of my quasi-liquid investment portfolio into BTC by the end of 2015..

so it seemed to have had been sufficiently aggressive for me right from the get go, even though I was trying to budget and to hold back some of my investment into BTC because anyone could look at the BTC price charts and see that by the time I got into BTC, it had already gone up about 100x during that year (2013).  

I can surely appreciate that there were a sufficient number of folks who were way less enthusiastic about BTC as compared with me during those times, and increasingly so through 2014 and 2015 when the bitcoin downity and slum seem to be never ending.. it was difficult to remain enthusiastic about BTC during those times, especially when I had quite a bit of time during 2015 in which the value of my BTC holdings were quite a bit less than 50% of the amount that I had put in.. and also there were several times that it dipped into the mid 30%.. so it was not easy for any of the then HODLers and BTC accumulators to be excited about their BTC holdings unless they had been holding cash and ready, willing and able to inject cash in the low $200s or even when the BTC price had dipped below $200 a couple of times.. and maybe the dip in August 2015 did not go below $200 but there was not much if any space between the BTC price and $200 either.. which just did not seem right for anyone believing that BTC had fundamentals, but the price would not go up. and seems like the whole market cap (all then existing 15 million coins) could have been bought for less than $3 billion... .

I faced adversities before that hindrance my storing,

Many of us likely made mistakes in regards to our bitcoin security, especially the longer that we been in bitcoin, and then also if there have been various ways that any of us have tried to get involved in various aspects of bitcoin's ecosystem... sometimes we may well end up being more exposed than we should be and we might not even take adequate safeguards.. and it can be especially grueling in some ways if the BTC price goes shooting up from $250 to nearly $20k in a matter of less than 2 years, and then some of the value of the coins that we had been holding (that we might have considered as dust) end up having a lot of value. and maybe even inadequately secured accounting for the amount of value contained therein.

but given the current state of the economy, I'm making a new start by storing sats. I only trade with paper money or demo account.

Hopefully we learn ways to take additional safeguards over the years, and even the safeguards and best practices can become a moving target in terms of both what might be discovered weaknesses, and also if we might not have been paying enough attention to how values might have gone up too.. even going from less than $10k per coin to $64k (6.4x) and then later in the year to $69k (6.9x) may well have contributed to values of holdings to become in need of greater attention regarding how much value was held in what kinds of potentially insecure locations.

Thank you for your interest mate!

Seems like we try to learn from each other, so sometimes getting into the nitty gritty can be helpful to a variety of members here, including part of the reasons that we are posting in public ways.. besides talking about various injustices in the world and looking at pictures of what some guys at or are thinking about eating (such as McD vs Burger King fetishes.. who would have thunk?)..
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August 24, 2022, 08:24:15 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1)

Most people expect some student loan cancellation tomorrow.
Imho, almost everyone would get mad. Some because they don't want anything cancelled, some because they still have a ton after subtracting $10K.
$10K is probably a small part of a typical private (or even public) university student loan situation.
Unfair!?
See what monkeys do in this situation:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-KSryJXDpZo
TL;DV: they get upset

Perhaps, DXY would drop and bitcoin would rally, though...at least this is what I would expect, but markets lately do crazy moves.


Seems like a pointless exercise indeed.

I watched this disturbing documentary about homeless people in the USA the other day.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NwDAaKJXKPE&ab_channel=JavaDiscover%7CFreeGlobalDocumentaries%26Clips

I'm not saying you can fix these types of issues completely only with money. The whole attitude of low wage pay by massively rich companies seems to be the biggest problem.
If a person working two full time jobs still can't afford to buy a home it just doesn't seem right.

I saw a job advert a few years ago at a Shell garage at £8 per hour. So the people selling the actual commodities to individuals get paid the absolute lowest in the massive chain. Madness.

Furthermore, people forget just how much $300 billion really is. You can in fact buy a $300,000 home for a million people! And better, put all those homeless people to work to build them in the process.

Just using it to pay off some debt by creating new debt seems completely insane to me. These ex students shouldn't be the most needy in a country. And if they are then they shouldn't be wasting their time going to university in the first place.
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August 24, 2022, 09:04:56 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Hey Guys. I hope you guys hear of Midjourney AI Discord server. . The Command Was
Code:
 /imagine Satoshi Nakamoto founder of Bitcoin


Nice
world if bank doesn't exist


And if Bitcoin is legal

It's beautiful
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August 24, 2022, 09:17:25 AM
Last edit: August 24, 2022, 09:59:25 AM by JayJuanGee
Merited by vapourminer (1), Greyhats (1)

Been dca’ing a good bit from ath all the way down to current low. I adjusted by dca over the last few months where 50% would go to purchase on the day and 50% added to ladders down.

Of course, you seem to be describing a kind of hybrid version of DCA plus buying on the dips, and nothing wrong with that.  Of course, a pure DCA strategy would be more rigid in terms of just buying on a regular basis no matter what the BTC price, and most active folks will like try to perform a bit of buying on dip strategies.. but some folks are so nervous about NOT really being able to predict, that they just set their DCAs more rigidly.. to buy no matter what whether weekly, bi-weekly, monthly or whatever other period might work for their cashflow balancing matters.

Worked out well in these last few months have accumulated a nice amount. I set a target for myself with a duration of 3 yrs and I’m about 35% of that accumulation target,

You kind of come off as some kind of time-warped version of myself... hahahaha.. I recall in late 2013, I had set a somewhat arbitrary target regarding how many BTC that I wanted to accumulate.. and then since the BTC price went down all the way from late 2013 until late 2014 and even stayed way the fuck down into depression landia territories in 2015.. I largely accumulated way beyond my initial target ideas both in terms of timeline to reach and amount to reach.

but I’m unsure as whether to continue splitting or just shift more into 100% buy on the day. What say you savy WO folks?

Those are not easy decisions, and you know why?  views about BTC price is only one of the factors that any of us should be accounting for when we are employing our bitcoin accumulation strategies... here's the whole list of what needs to be accounted: cashflow, other investments, view of bitcoin as compared with other investments, timeline, risk tolerance, time, skills and abilities to strategize, plan, research and learn along the way including tweaking strategies from time to time to consider trading, reallocating, use of leverage and/or financial instruments.

It can take a long time to figure out each of these, but you do not have to figure them all out before getting started investing in bitcoin.. and accordingly any person could start by investing small -  or investing something that they believe is reasonable and prudent - and continue to study their own circumstances, and perhaps tweak their investing strategy from time to time along the way.


So?  How can we answer for you?  split or no split?  How much budget to allocate towards what?  

On a personal level, I tend to attempt to maintain some buy orders that go way below what I expect the BTC price to ever go.. so earlier in the year (maybe as late as late April  - early May), I had my buy orders go down to just above $20k.. which I considered extreme as fuck and not going to happen.. .. but what ended up happening?  All of those bad boys ended up filling.. and before I could run out of money, I had to tweak them. which was not what I wanted to do, but I considered it was for my own good.. so then I spread them below $20k while the BTC price was still in the UPper $20ks... and then I tweaked again and again and again.. and I was getting tired of tweaking.. it felt like twerking... .. and even the days when the BTC price reach $17,593, I had to pull my buy orders for a few hours.. because I was running out of money.. even though some of my earlier tweaks had actually taken money out from areas that were no longer supposed to be part of BTC purchasing.. but the BTC price was dropping so fast that my previous presets did not really seem like they made sense any more.. and I am not even completely comfortable with my having buy orders down to $13k that I believe will never fill .. but that money was not even supposed to be in BTC anymore either.. but it is.. and it might get tweaked if I rethink it.. but for now, it sits there and if I happened to fall asleep and wake up with the BTC price at $12k, I will have used up all of my buy orders. and again have to rethink the seemingly unthinkable.. and so in that regard "let's".. (the royal let's) hope that shit no does not happen!!!

None of these are easy balances.. and they are somewhat personal rather than objectively applicable.. even though it may well be objectively applicable that every damned person would like to be able to buy at the bottom and sell at the top with frequent rinses and repeats, and that shit no does not happen either, except in shitcoinlandia.. and who wants to live in that scammy and scummy world.. . We live in an actual bitcoin market world in which the manipulations of our BTC prices remain more organic.. even though it frequently no does not feel like that (organic, I mean    Cry Cry Cry)

Split or don't split.. ?  You surely gotta consider your budget and for sure anyone who has cashflows that exceed expenses have more liberties.. but it's not just cashflows, its the whole package of balancing those list items that I outlined above... so in that regard. .you gotta figure it out for ur lil selfie...    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy


Every couple of months or so, with a few mouse clicks, I convert all my accumulated rewards points on my daily use PayPal credit card into bitcoin.
I use the card for all my purchases and is paid off automatically every month with no interest.
Free bitcoin.
Pretty much a no brainer really.
It looks amazing and impressive. But I still don't have a PayPal credit card or the like right now so I can only rely on certain exchanges to exchange all kinds of coins to Bitcoin which I then keep in my wallet.

There is another bit of news posted by @BTC_Archive where the US FED says that Cryptocurrencies Present Opportunities to the Whole Financial System.
The Federal Reserve has urged Wall Street to prepare to handle digital assets as the market prepares for the “floodgates” to open for institutional investors, noting there are also associated with the sector.

It's an amorphous blurb that sounds like someone (gov and/or financial peeps?) is expecting an ETF? or some similar kind of bitcoin related financial product to be released into the wild, no?

They cannot be starting to think that bitcoin could be the savior to the economy.. and actually one of the ONLY ways that I would consider bitcoin to be the savior to the whole fucking mess of an economy would be if the US government had been sly-ly accumulating bitcoin (such as accumulating a million or more coins), and they are not likely smart enough (or self-aware enough) to do that, are they?
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August 24, 2022, 10:23:15 AM

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August 24, 2022, 10:27:37 AM

JayJuanGee Thank you for that insightful advice! I've been following your posts for several years here in WO. One of the commendable members in WO. I'm happy that you noticed me and share your knowledge even though I cannot all grasp it.  Smiley
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August 24, 2022, 11:07:23 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


If this happens in my area, it's like a dream come true. It reminds me of the classic story that every teenager who owns gold as an investment asset for the future. This kind of teenager will get praise from people around.
Bitcoin is indeed present in line with the progress of world development considering that the world economy (fiat) which can experience inflation can even be forfeited or wiped out due to war.
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Bitcoin is the first crypto currency that is in high demand by people today, showing how important bitcoin is in both general and specific perspectives.
If today people look at the charts and analysis of Money flows on Binance and invest one bitcoin, then as long as the big pump going on for bitcoin will be something very valuable, it can provide the maximum return on one BTC bought today.

But unfortunately the public does not see this opportunity, as an alternative long-term investment to increase their financial portfolio.

The image above is only a partial illustration, what if someone could afford to invest in bitcoin.
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August 24, 2022, 02:01:52 PM

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler says that there is no need to treat the crypto market differently from other capital markets.
Noting that “the SEC will serve as the cop on the beat,” Gensler encouraged crypto trading and lending platforms “to come in and talk to SEC staff.”

https://news.bitcoin.com/sec-chairman-says-crypto-should-be-treated-same-as-other-capital-markets/



PLEB MINER MONTH CELEBRATES THE RISE OF HOME BITCOIN MINERS
At-home bitcoin miners are the backbone of a decentralized Bitcoin network.

Bitcoin mining began at home with Satoshi Nakamoto mining the first 50 bitcoin in the genesis block on what would likely be considered an antiquated desktop computer by today’s standards. Mining has since morphed into a multibillion-dollar industry with fiat-style publicly traded mining behemoths with market capitalizations well into the billions. This includes large companies such as Marathon Digital Holdings, Riot Blockchain, Hut 8 Mining, Hive Blockchain and the like.

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/culture/pleb-miner-month-celebrates-home-bitcoin-miners




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Hey Dear check this out.
Always happens when you train someone with future


https://twitter.com/bestbitcoinmeme/status/1562413869968105472?s=20&t=pkUYCR4qcjolrQFLBoxMPw
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August 24, 2022, 03:33:34 PM
Last edit: August 24, 2022, 09:09:09 PM by Hueristic
Merited by vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)

I watched this disturbing documentary about homeless people in the USA the other day.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NwDAaKJXKPE&ab_channel=JavaDiscover%7CFreeGlobalDocumentaries%26Clips

I'm not saying you can fix these types of issues completely only with money. The whole attitude of low wage pay by massively rich companies seems to be the biggest problem.
If a person working two full time jobs still can't afford to buy a home it just doesn't seem right.

I saw a job advert a few years ago at a Shell garage at £8 per hour. So the people selling the actual commodities to individuals get paid the absolute lowest in the massive chain. Madness.

Furthermore, people forget just how much $300 billion really is. You can in fact buy a $300,000 home for a million people! And better, put all those homeless people to work to build them in the process.

Just using it to pay off some debt by creating new debt seems completely insane to me. These ex students shouldn't be the most needy in a country. And if they are then they shouldn't be wasting their time going to university in the first place.

This can all be traced back to legalized lobbying, only the rich can afford to buy the lawmakers and push their agenda.

Its a death by a thousand cuts situation where every little thing the rich are allowed to get away with gets heaped ontop to become the straw that broke the camels back.

The trap is the rich think they need to compete to stay where they are and the inevitable place they can cut the bottom line is always the people that do the tasks that can't be automated.

The thing is when one of them cut lets say health care and then lowers their price to compete then the next domino company has to do the same, its a race to the bottom.

That is why some regulation is necessary such a s a living minimum wage.

Congress has given themselves 4 raises without passed a minimum wage increase (this is off the top of my head I may not have the number correct but i'm too lazy to care enough to search the current numbers). And this correlates to people being able to afford a home, it has nothing to do with healthcare or forced insurance.

Once Walmart got away with cutting their workforce to part time workers to avoid having to pay benefits all the other industry had to do the same to stay in business. I remember back then boycotting walmart for 20 years and telling people they are only fucking themselfs by shopping there but no-one listens and now we see the inevitable results. And now there is nothing else left and I have no choice but to go there.
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