Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[BTCETFInvestor]

The cryptocurrency market saw roughly $1.7 billion in total liquidations in the past 24 hours, according to public data aggregated on Coinglass.

Coinglass data showed that of the $1.7 billion in liquidations, about $1.62 billion came from long positions. Within the past four hours alone, roughly $1.09 billion was liquidated, including about $1.06 billion in longs.

In the past 24 hours, over 404,000 traders were liquidated, with the total liquidations reaching $1.7 billion. The largest single liquidation order was a $12.74 million BTC-USDT swap on OKX, according to the data.

Liquidations occur when a trader’s positions in a particular market are forcibly closed due to significant losses or insufficient margin to meet the maintenance requirements. The liquidation figures are typically based on publicly available data, which may significantly understate the true extent of market liquidations. In many cases, API limits and incomplete reporting practices result in only a fraction of actual liquidation activity being captured by data aggregators. This incomplete data can lead to an underestimation of market risk and volatility, ultimately distorting the overall picture.

► https://www.theblock.co/post/371560/crypto-liquidations-surpass-1-billion

[BTCETFInvestor]

Bitcoin ETFs continue to absorb the supply from short term liquidators.

Empirical analysis of immediate price reactions reveals distinct patterns between whale transactions and ETF-related market activities, with measurable differences in volatility generation and market absorption.

Whale Transaction Impact Studies: Real-time analysis of large cryptocurrency transactions demonstrates consistent short-term market effects. The academic study using Synthesizer Transformer models analyzed CryptoQuant data and Whale Alert notifications from 2018-2021, finding 47% correlation between whale transaction volumes and Bitcoin volatility with predictive power extending 24-48 hours.

Specific quantification emerges from orderbook impact analysis. Large transactions exceeding 1,000 BTC typically consume $50-100 million in orderbook depth at 2% market levels across major exchanges. Binance, representing 30.7% of global market depth, experiences bid-ask spread widening of 2-5x during major whale transactions, with recovery periods ranging 5-30 minutes depending on underlying liquidity conditions.

Case study evidence reinforces these patterns. The August 25, 2025 flash crash demonstrated acute whale impact when a single entity sold 24,000 BTC ($300+ million) to Hyperunite, triggering Bitcoin's drop below $111,000 and generating $550 million in forced liquidations across the ecosystem. The weekend timing amplified impact due to reduced market maker activity and thinner orderbooks.

ETF-Related Volatility Analysis: ETF activities generate different volatility signatures than whale transactions. The January 11, 2024 Bitcoin ETF launch created sustained price momentum rather than sharp spikes, with Bitcoin rising 6.7% to $49,021 on first-day volumes of $4.6 billion across all approved funds. Subsequent price action showed reduced intraday volatility compared to pre-ETF periods.

Statistical evidence from impulse response functions shows ETF flows create gradual price adjustments. Rather than immediate 2% jumps from whale transactions, ETF flows generate persistent 1.2% impacts over 3-4 day periods. This difference reflects the institutional flow timing and authorized participant intermediation processes that smooth market impact.

► https://yellow.com/research/etfs-vs-crypto-whales-who-controls-bitcoin-markets-in-2025

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[philipma1957]

monday morning dip is served.

thanks buddy

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[BTCETFInvestor]

With over 404,000 traders liquidating $1.7 billion in the last 24 hours, and the largest single liquidation order of $12.74 million BTC-USDT swap - I am confused by what suddenly prompted all this liquidation.  

Bitcoin declined to $112,350, down over 2% at one point. 24 hour volume is currently over 59 billion and growing...

Can anyone explain the reason for this huge amount of widespread liquidation?

► https://www.theblock.co/post/371560/crypto-liquidations-surpass-1-billion

[IceLincoln]

A lot of new names
Haiku attempts on the WO
Merit seekers though.

As long as they try
not easy, but hard enough
I think it's deserved

#probablymysecondworsthaikuever

My first attempt here
Woke up, head like banging doors
Rain’s my Remedy

Beautiful sunset
Bitcoin takes hit down the road
My hodlers stay strong

[BTCETFInvestor]

Billionaire Michael Saylor’s Strategy Inc. announced on Monday it has purchased an additional 850 BTC for approximately $99.7 million, bringing its total bitcoin holdings to new heights.

The average purchase price for the latest tranche was $117,344 per bitcoin, inclusive of fees and expenses.

639,835 BTC Held as of September 21, 2025

► https://finance.yahoo.com/news/billionaire-michael-saylor-purchases-850-125058927.html

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ESG]

(_____X_____)

Can anyone explain the reason for this huge amount of widespread liquidation?

► https://www.theblock.co/post/371560/crypto-liquidations-surpass-1-billion

because>

"

                            the ocean is a desert with its life underground
                        and a perfect disguise above
                     under the cities lies a heart made of ground
                 but the humans will give no love
                                                               
                                                                                                                          "


The market needs liquidity and cannot remain stagnant by walking sideways in the short term.




Market capitalization remains almost double compared to the same date last year....

In my point of view, these are healthy market movements to generate a little more liquidity

[Theupdude]

You must try again.
5-7-5 syllables
please try googling it

I googled and watched some of youtube videos, now trying again.

Blood red candles fall
Leverage snaps on thin ice
Weak hands drop their bags

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[LFC_Bitcoin]

@CryptoJelleNL
When the weekly stochastic RSI crosses bullish, the average gain is 30%.

Prices would be over $150,000 if we see similar gains again. 👀📈

https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1970133055626244397

[Franklyn-wood]

@CryptoJelleNL
When the weekly stochastic RSI crosses bullish, the average gain is 30%.

Prices would be over $150,000 if we see similar gains again. 👀📈

https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1970133055626244397

Price is looking over sold and maybe we can see and steady upward movement.
The SRP and Stochastic has crossed each other which I think will commence a bull run continuation.
What do you think about this? Possible green candles loading?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[OutOfMemory]

You must try again.
5-7-5 syllables
please try googling it

I googled and watched some of youtube videos, now trying again.

Blood red candles fall
Leverage snaps on thin ice
Weak hands drop their bags

See, young padawan?
Live to learn, don't live to earn
It is not that hard


Better, yes. Keep going.
We usually do Haikus here on Sunday, by the way.

With over 404,000 traders liquidating $1.7 billion in the last 24 hours, and the largest single liquidation order of $12.74 million BTC-USDT swap - I am confused by what suddenly prompted all this liquidation.  

Bitcoin declined to $112,350, down over 2% at one point. 24 hour volume is currently over 59 billion and growing...

Can anyone explain the reason for this huge amount of widespread liquidation?

Sure, open aggr.trade and enable liquidity map.
The yellow areas (much long) are usually targeted by shorters. It's not really a coincidence that this happens just before a future or options settlement date.
CME Futures gap is at $117.5k, this is the area which is aimed for now, until this weekend. A dip to $111-$109k before the recovery is also possible, according to the liquidity map, and the $117.5k are also not guaranteed. It also happens a lot that profits are taken after the gap was closed, but then there's freed liquidity to provide fuel for new buys/longs.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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