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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26851549 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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October 03, 2025, 05:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
BTCETFInvestor
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October 03, 2025, 05:04:09 PM
Last edit: October 03, 2025, 05:16:19 PM by BTCETFInvestor

Bears are trying to ruin the party  Angry

BTC got to $123,855 - then started dropping with the 24h volume jumping quickly up to $84B and the volume is still flowing heavily.

OutOfMemory
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October 03, 2025, 05:34:58 PM

Bears are trying to ruin the party  Angry

BTC got to $123,855 - then started dropping with the 24h volume jumping quickly up to $84B and the volume is still flowing heavily.



Hmm, a Doji candle over most short-term timeframes (30m to 6h) and more heavy liquidations waiting above $124k
Could take a little while. It doesn't seem to me that ETF's are trading on Weekends, so it's up to the open spot market when and if we break through that (EDIT: in regards of this weekend).

EDIT: Still hoping that i'm awfully wrong and we rocket to above $130k areas tonight and stay there a bit.

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October 03, 2025, 05:35:22 PM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JytP3pCwEFs
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October 03, 2025, 05:35:26 PM

Great googly moogly!  Shocked
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October 03, 2025, 05:37:03 PM

https://youtu.be/iJnlOB946Kc?si=xdBhHRTz57tYJt_F
ruykeri
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October 03, 2025, 05:38:44 PM

UPtober is on going. HODL BTC for building legacy. #Bitcoin

https://x.com/BitcoinThanos/status/1973795122589696187

OutOfMemory
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October 03, 2025, 05:41:30 PM


My daily double kick workout after drinking .666 gallons of bud-soda.

Honestly: This is so 1990, please listen to some good music and stop the spam, will ya?
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October 03, 2025, 05:45:06 PM

UPtober is on going. HODL BTC for building legacy. #Bitcoin

https://x.com/BitcoinThanos/status/1973795122589696187



[rant]
cygan got a nice project for cold storage + wallet.

I hope someone can integrate a lightning node with it.

I wish i wasn't too dumb man or I would have put my ass on the line and done it (for myself).

like, a store +  fedex account (for shopping) + a warehouse (nearby) + cold wallet card + node = boom!

Fucking straight fly to Italy for a pizza.
[/rant]
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October 03, 2025, 05:51:37 PM


========================
         U P T O B E R   2 0 2 5
   
              BTC TO THE MOON
   
                       /\
                      /  \
              ___/____\___
             /   BITCOIN     \
            /                       \
           /____ H O D L ___\
   
    =======================
   
         WEAK HANDS  -->  REKT
         DIAMOND HANDS  -->  RICH
   
    =======================
   
         WHEN IN DOUBT, ZOOM OUT 📈
   
    ========================
              STACK SATS
              STAY HUMBLE
    =======================
ChartBuddy
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October 03, 2025, 06:01:20 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
asUHWEceyc
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October 03, 2025, 06:09:33 PM

$180,000 - $250,000 when i observe into my crystalbal as cycle high.


checks out

220-250 would invalidate diminishing returns, headfake more to supercyclist, and be overheated enough for a traditional bear all the way down, to say, 80k

hopefully this time continues to be different
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October 03, 2025, 06:23:14 PM

UPtober is on going. HODL BTC for building legacy. #Bitcoin

https://x.com/BitcoinThanos/status/1973795122589696187



========================
         U P T O B E R   2 0 2 5
    
              BTC TO THE MOON
    
                       /\
                      /  \
              ___/____\___
             /   BITCOIN     \
            /                       \
           /____ H O D L ___\
    
    =======================
    
         WEAK HANDS  -->  REKT
         DIAMOND HANDS  -->  RICH
    
    =======================
    
         WHEN IN DOUBT, ZOOM OUT 📈
    
    ========================
              STACK SATS
              STAY HUMBLE
    =======================

Fun Fact:

Unlike popular opinion, BTC does not rely on RSA-245 or SHA-256 but is diesel powered somewhere in a tent in Texas, Arizona.

Edit: I forgot to say, the genesis block is tied to a tree. probably pine fruit.

hypebrother
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October 03, 2025, 06:28:30 PM

UPtober is on going. HODL BTC for building legacy. #Bitcoin
~snip~


========================
         U P T O B E R   2 0 2 5
    
              BTC TO THE MOON
    
                       /\
                      /  \
              ___/____\___
             /   BITCOIN     \
            /                       \
           /____ H O D L ___\
    
    =======================
    
         WEAK HANDS  -->  REKT
         DIAMOND HANDS  -->  RICH
    
    =======================
    
         WHEN IN DOUBT, ZOOM OUT 📈
    
    ========================
              STACK SATS
              STAY HUMBLE
    =======================

Fun Fact:

Unlike popular opinion, BTC does not rely on RSA-245 or SHA-256 but is diesel powered somewhere in a tent in Texas, Arizona.

Edit: I forgot to say, the genesis block is tied to a tree. probably pine fruit.

Edit 2: Greetings! aphelio, friend of wane, upholder of uptober, holder of diamond hands, fake praise enjoyer of WO, advocate of zoom lens, may we reign long.
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October 03, 2025, 06:32:41 PM
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Sometimes I think there should be a newbie admission test in order to be able to post here. Maybe it's just me...
Searing
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October 03, 2025, 06:59:13 PM



My BTC "Hoard" is 10x the of what it was at he low of 2020....just saying.....as a caution (IMHO) however is that Institutions or those who HODL and move BTC/Crypto for

others and take a fee....will never really HODL long term...with maybe the exception of Strategy....all those fees....all those bonus....all that looking good for managment

for moving/shaking and stirring all that btc/crypto....so if it comes between them looking like they are smarter and make their bonus or selling early rather then HODL

the people 'moving' this btc/crypto around will never really HODL and get out first...it is just (again) human nature....no INDIVIDUALS HODL'ing no issues..even SOME

institutions that HODL btc directly...But as to blackrock...with 'clients' doing so for others...

I kinda think they will get in and out at various times (probably wrong) and let their clients eat

the down end and get fees on the top end FOMO..as a way to keep fees and lessen risk to say blackrock....but meh....I know zip...just how I see it....more volatility due to

institutions...smarter people then me have made this view known...

Brad - Many retirees have spot Bitcoin ETFs (Blacktrock's IBIT & Fidelity's FBTC) in their tax-deferred, self-directed IRA accounts which have mandatory RMD (Required Minimum Distribution). Those investors will most likely only be making an annual RMD withdrawal of about 4-6% of the balance from the total of their account. That said, the people with spot Bitcoin ETFs in their retirement accounts will most likely only be shedding a very small number of those ETF shares, retaining the balance - therefore the amount of Bitcoin needed to cover those ETFs will of course be held.  I don't foresee any 'get in and get out' from the retirement accounts. Retail traders on the other hand will be the ones that will try to time the market...  Investors such as myself will not be playing that game of trading...and I strongly suspect a lot of 'investors' (in the truest sense) have bought shares in spot Bitcoin ETFs and plan to hodl as I do.    



But if everyone withdraws like in other panics..due to real life needs (runs to broker like in 2006-2007) I can see such decison's to unload...

if that is what the majority of the clients want

in my view at least briefly IF we have a major recession people will dump btc...due to the reality no equity in house...(falling worth) credit card debt and basically

 for a lot of folks they will hit the btc before they touch stocks as


24/7 for fomo 24/7 for panic


I assume 'blackrock' and others would sell especially if they l bought lower....so blackrock may HODL but it won't be the same btc..it will be sometimes must sell a lot

and sometimes buy a lot depending on clients i would think up down over months...(then again people could wait it out if bonds were doing worse) just saying there is no buffer

from what i can tell any income high or low....people get over extended...thus recession..thus everyone knows on such they should be buying at the low stocks or btc or whatever
 
reality is they sell....btc the original 24/7 emergency $$$ is first to go

I wish blackrock would just ride it out and HODL..but with corporate think..just can't see it
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October 03, 2025, 07:00:36 PM

@OgNasty - It would clearly be bad mistake selling at $140k when 7X that amount ($1 million) is just six or 7 years away in 2031/2032 - unless of course you don't expect to still be around then.  
You must be very young. It's not about still being around. Go through a pair of cycles, add 10 or so to your age, and you might begin to understand some grown up talk.
You must not have seen the posts in which BTCETFInvestor had already told us that he is investing 8 figures, which surely strongly suggests that he is either a grown up or he is a very smart youth..    Tongue Tongue Tongue
Apparently, it is "only" mid six figures...it used to be called a "crab".
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT.P/XTxYv1rd-What-Kind-of-BTC-Sea-Creature-can-you-be-BTC-Owner/

Alas, since it is through FBTC, it might not qualify.

He's ongoingly talking about the BTC ETFs as if they were the same thing as BTC, and even if it makes sense for him and/or some others to invest into (and fuck around) with BTC ETFs rather than BTC, it is deceptive to talk about such BTC ETFs as if they were the same thing as BTC.

Another thing is that he has been denigrating self-custody, as if self-custody were an inferior practice, which it is not.  Apparently, he has not learned lessons about 2022 - to the extent that he was even out of his grandma's basement way back then, at that time.

Sure there are folks who are not going to hold the underlying asset, just like there are folks who choose to hold paper gold rather than real gold, and surely it is much easier (and sometimes even pays more) to play around with paper gold rather than real gold.

Bitcoin is not the same as gold even though it has similar characteristics. 

I would suggest that self-custody of bitcoin is not as easy as holding bitcoin through an ETF and/or other third party, yet there are several ways that it is easier to hold bitcoin as compared with gold - and surely a lot of the downfall of gold likely related to the difficulties to take custody, as well as other ways that gold is inferior to bitcoin...

So taking custody of bitcoin is a lot of what ends up causing bitcoin to be such a powerful, disruptive and even paradigm shifting technology that likely ONLY achieves is power, disruptiveness and/or paradigm shifting characteristics through taking self-custody and/or threatening to take self-custody. 

The third party "contractual" relations vary, and in some of them it is not even possible to take self-custody.  They can ONLY be sold for cash (or perhaps for some other asset that might be offered by the third party).  There is a contracting away of rights to self-custody, and surel sometimes that contracting away comes from some enticement of yield and/or other conveniences.

In a note sent by Citi to clients today, October 2, 2025, Citi forecasted that Bitcoin will reach $181,000 within 12 months. That's a 50% increase in 12 months!

The bank also set a year-end 2025 price target for Bitcoin at $132,000.
Citi pointed to growing interest from institutional investors and financial advisors as a key driver for Bitcoin.

It looks like Citi is in agreement with many other experts on the price prediction for Bitcoin 12 months from now in October, 2026:


Sure it might seem reasonable to project BTC prices to go up and to the right - but BTC spot prices do not tend work like that - even though so far the 200-WMA has been working like that... so the putting of minimums and maximums hardly makes any sense.. even though surely there could be more bullish and more bearish case scenarios, it does not seem realistic to be describing them as minimum's or maximums, especially when describing BTC spot prices.

I think with the 200-WMA, it makes more sense to describe minimums and maximums, since the 200-WMA does not tend to vary so much and it also tends to trend upward.

Senate hearing on bitcoin, etc, taxation...scroll to what you are interested in:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Y1zv__mAIU
for example:
https://youtu.be/3Y1zv__mAIU (coincenter policy guy, who makes sense).
I need a tldr for those nanny state bitches as I can't stomach listening to their retarded statements.
Do they think they are going to tax mining pools and Lightning?

I think THEY need to be removed.
Tax Shitcoin Staking and leave POW alone bitches.

In my opinion, we (the people) do not get away without taxes, unless it becomes impossible to tax, so surely the powers that be are going to attempt draconian measures.  Whether they are successful or not it another story, and the extent to which there are casualties is another story.  I would prefer not to be a casualty.

There really is something quite beautiful about seeing Bitcoin at $120,000.

We still have one more big, explosive leg upwards in this bull market too. I’m thinking maybe a slow grind up to $130,000 in the first two weeks of October and then the big push, blow off top to $160,000 or similar in late October to early November.
Indeed. I get excited at $120K, which probably means I am holding too much Bitcoin. I am keeping my eye on the exit though. I do not believe that we are in a supercycle and think that regardless of how high Bitcoin gets, it will be lower than it is now in 18 months. I do think we’ll hit $140K before this run is over and that is the price where I’ll start finding it difficult to hold on for dear life.
I do understand though I will hold on to 75% of current stash.... I already sold some at previous prices that were this high and a little lower... now the max of current stash to sell = 25% but @ prices around 140 and up a bit... if I don't meet targets I have no regret as I did sell already to live my life as i'm used to... I also don't need more to sell or it must go extreme.... though the more I'm selling now would only be to buy back lower as I have no needs IRL which I cannot handle as how it is from now.
Bitcoin is not only an investment or a store of value, it's a lesson in life.
Remember all the highs and lows?
And you, respectively, have witnessed some more than me.
It's also the lessons learned by others' lessons, like mindrust, elwar... (as some brief examples) that, if learned well, gives us confidence, and also experience.
Bitcoin is a just a different pair of shoes, not only in this regard, but also unique and thus unable to compare.
I'm so glad to be able to live in these exciting times. This and keeping out of the "flooded with shit"-zone enables one to live a satisfying life.
(Edited some details and errors)

What is the lesson from Elwar?  I think that he probably lost most if not all of his bitcoin getting involved in the seafarer (seasteader) businesses - even though there were some interesting stories that came out of the situation, to the extent that he was able to make it through his various ordeals.  I have my doubts.  There can frequently be questions regarding whether we want to survive or go down as a martyr (look at his last post(s) from November 2022.
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October 03, 2025, 07:01:13 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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October 03, 2025, 07:17:13 PM
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Chopper be flyin'!

#uptoberhaiku
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Sometimes I think there should be a newbie admission test in order to be able to post here. Maybe it's just me...

My ignore list is so long the site literally cannot load and display it.
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