Analysis

[Flor1982]

I don't believe of shared predictions, forecasting and even analysis anymore as i believed that no one could really predict the future of Bitcoin that in fact, most of these guys are already proven a foolish for so many times before because of the bearish so better just wait and see of what will come next.

[1713541793]

1713541793

[1713541793]

1713541793

[1713541793]

1713541793

[greensheep]

News from the master:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/JSP3KDmy-New-long-term-prediction-as-I-see-it-now/

What do you think?

[gentlemand]

$1300-3000 low in early 2019 followed by highs beyond 2020. Seems fairly believable to me and what I've been expecting for a while. It seems less adventurous than his previous predictions but in line with what's been unfolding. 

[greensheep]

re-test of log trend line 10k-20K in 2019 seems positive to me, I'm not expecting alot in 2019

[figmentofmyass]

News from the master:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/JSP3KDmy-New-long-term-prediction-as-I-see-it-now/

What do you think?

either the timeline or the magnitude of recovery seems a tad optimistic.

if we compare to the 2015 bottom, there was a 6-month recovery that confirmed the end of the bear market, same as his current prediction. but price only doubled from bottom to top in that recovery. he's potentially talking about a 10x or better before falling back to $6k support, which seems a bit hard to believe.

i agree with the overall idea, but i'm not sure about the target levels/times.

[keystroke]

Onward to the next decade....

[machouno]

New comment from the master:

Фoндoвoмy pынкy плoxoвaтo. Биткoин мoжeт лeгкo пpoтянyть дo $2000. Зимa близкo ) Ho дyмaю кoppeкция вxoдит в зaвepшaющyю фaзy, и нижe 3000 я бы пoкyпaл, ecли бы были дeньги =)



Google Translate:

The stock market is not so good. Bitcoin can easily stretch up to $ 2000. Winter is coming) But I think the correction is entering the final phase, and I would buy below 3000 if there were money =)

[STT]

The point about the stock market is this loops in any leveraged  investors even if they are not in borrowed money for Bitcoin because its an asset like everything else.   So they lose their bet on a bullish call for stocks and especially those without dollars such as some in Asia, will sell BTC to fund repayment of margins they made on stocks.   Commodities also fell, oil and so on.  

If theres a recession especially globally, BTC definitely loses its icing no matter what separate dynamic it might claim as there is definitely ordinary business involved who will retract from that outside influence.    In any case it was already pulling back, so its a blow when its trying to get back up which is not helpful.   Nothing unexpected though, the only truly bearish case is the unknown unknowns

[ImI]

New post, master says to buy anything 10k and under before the train takes off.  This is the last week.

boom

[Bitcoinaire]

New post, master says to buy anything 10k and under before the train takes off.  This is the last week.

boom

He's been way off for a long time now.

[JayJuanGee]

New post, master says to buy anything 10k and under before the train takes off.  This is the last week.

boom

He's been way off for a long time now.

Yep.

Shows the fallacy of trying to rely on sorcery to give too much weight to probabilities about BTC price movements, especially short-term.

[songsunling]

New comment from the master:

Cross-пиздoc нa cтoкax пo днeвным мa 50 и 200

Я вce eщё дyмaю, чтo биткoин мoжeт cвoзить в cвязи c этим дo 2к. Ho этo дoлжнo быcтpo и бoдpo oтcкoчить, ecли бyдeт. Taк чтo coвeтyю гoтoвить бaкcы. Ecли oни y вac кoнeчнo ecть ))

A вooбщe нeдeльнaя мa 200 (oкoлo $3000) нe мoжeт быть пpoбитa нeдeльным зaкpытиeм. Пo этoмy, я дyмaю, чтo вce чтo нижe 3к бoдpo oтcкoчит.



Google Translate:

Cross pizdos on the day 50 and 200 drains

I still think that bitcoin can bring up to 2k in this regard. But it should quickly and cheerfully bounce, if it is. So I advise you to cook bucks. If you have them of course))

In general, weekly ma 200 (about $ 3000) cannot be broken through weekly closure. By this, I think that everything below 3k will bounce cheerfully.

[exstasie]

New comment from the master:

Cross-пиздoc нa cтoкax пo днeвным мa 50 и 200

Я вce eщё дyмaю, чтo биткoин мoжeт cвoзить в cвязи c этим дo 2к. Ho этo дoлжнo быcтpo и бoдpo oтcкoчить, ecли бyдeт. Taк чтo coвeтyю гoтoвить бaкcы. Ecли oни y вac кoнeчнo ecть ))

A вooбщe нeдeльнaя мa 200 (oкoлo $3000) нe мoжeт быть пpoбитa нeдeльным зaкpытиeм. Пo этoмy, я дyмaю, чтo вce чтo нижe 3к бoдpo oтcкoчит.

Google Translate:

Cross pizdos on the day 50 and 200 drains

I still think that bitcoin can bring up to 2k in this regard. But it should quickly and cheerfully bounce, if it is. So I advise you to cook bucks. If you have them of course))

In general, weekly ma 200 (about $ 3000) cannot be broken through weekly closure. By this, I think that everything below 3k will bounce cheerfully.

Thanks for sharing.

Does anyone know what he means about the 50-day and 200-day MAs? I don't see why they'd be relevant here (except the 200-day being a selling target). It sounds like he's alluding to a death cross, but that death cross already happened back in April.

I've been making the same assumption about the 200-week MA. Hopefully we're both right!

[drays]

New comment from the master:

Cross-пиздoc нa cтoкax пo днeвным мa 50 и 200

Я вce eщё дyмaю, чтo биткoин мoжeт cвoзить в cвязи c этим дo 2к. Ho этo дoлжнo быcтpo и бoдpo oтcкoчить, ecли бyдeт. Taк чтo coвeтyю гoтoвить бaкcы. Ecли oни y вac кoнeчнo ecть ))

A вooбщe нeдeльнaя мa 200 (oкoлo $3000) нe мoжeт быть пpoбитa нeдeльным зaкpытиeм. Пo этoмy, я дyмaю, чтo вce чтo нижe 3к бoдpo oтcкoчит.

Google Translate:

Cross pizdos on the day 50 and 200 drains

I still think that bitcoin can bring up to 2k in this regard. But it should quickly and cheerfully bounce, if it is. So I advise you to cook bucks. If you have them of course))

In general, weekly ma 200 (about $ 3000) cannot be broken through weekly closure. By this, I think that everything below 3k will bounce cheerfully.

Thanks for sharing.

Does anyone know what he means about the 50-day and 200-day MAs? I don't see why they'd be relevant here (except the 200-day being a selling target). It sounds like he's alluding to a death cross, but that death cross already happened back in April.

I've been making the same assumption about the 200-week MA. Hopefully we're both right!

In his text regarding "Cross pizdos", he refers to stock markets (ma50 and ma200). Not sure which specific stocks he means, but he speaks about stocks.
And... don't ask me for literal translation of fabulous "cross-pizdos" expression . But in fact you got the meaning right anyway

One another correction to translation above: "cook bucks" == "get your dollars ready".

[exstasie]

In his text regarding "Cross pizdos", he refers to stock markets (ma50 and ma200). Not sure which specific stocks he means, but he speaks about stocks.
And... don't ask me for literal translation of fabulous "cross-pizdos" expression . But in fact you got the meaning right anyway

One another correction to translation above: "cook bucks" == "get your dollars ready".

Thank you! It didn't occur to me to look at the stock market, though he mentions it often. Indeed we just had a death cross (50/200 DMA) on the S&P 500 index the first week of this month! I suppose in retrospect we shouldn't be surprised the market dumped like it did last week.

The last time we saw this type of action in stocks was in 2015, at the tail end of the last Bitcoin bear market. The two markets seem pretty well correlated.

[birr]

News from the master:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/JSP3KDmy-New-long-term-prediction-as-I-see-it-now/
What do you think?

I created a spreadsheet with a square root fitted to Gox/Bitstamp concatenated price history.
Here's a link to the spreadsheet
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1rBFpga3tLH2Lkac1YuvF-xQgjSDoWR6Y/view?usp=sharing



E3=0.0913388*A3^0.5-1.51936

edit:  below, charting price with respect to the sqrt baseline.

[thefiniteidea]

News from the master:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/JSP3KDmy-New-long-term-prediction-as-I-see-it-now/
What do you think?

I created a spreadsheet with a square root fitted to Gox/Bitstamp concatenated price history.
Here's a link to the spreadsheet
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1rBFpga3tLH2Lkac1YuvF-xQgjSDoWR6Y/view?usp=sharing



E3=0.0913388*A3^0.5-1.51936

edit:  below, charting price with respect to the sqrt baseline.

Interesting work!

[keystroke]

Кcтaти. Bitcoin ceгoдня иcпoлнилocь 10 лeт :пивac:

[akapulka]

50k -70k for a blow off top for BTC sounds about right. Followed by a two year bear market while the tech catches up. Lightning network etc. Same goes for all the other platforms. CryptoKitties clogging up the Ethereum chain will be talked about years from now.

But they did with the help of CryptoFlowers

[Wekkel]

Google translation:

Kstati Bitcoin today is full 10 years: beer: