kano (OP)
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August 14, 2017, 12:04:34 AM |
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It's brilliantly interesting to see how statistics (luck) work in real life at kano ;-)
oh btw, kudos to the guy running it all...
now feels like a good time to hit a few good home runs!
Yeah, I just wish it did it at a time when BTC wasn't hitting record highs ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) You expecting BTC to crash some time soon?
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philipma1957
Legendary
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Activity: 4186
Merit: 8188
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 14, 2017, 12:08:08 AM |
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It's brilliantly interesting to see how statistics (luck) work in real life at kano ;-)
oh btw, kudos to the guy running it all...
now feels like a good time to hit a few good home runs!
Yeah, I just wish it did it at a time when BTC wasn't hitting record highs ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) You expecting BTC to crash some time soon? Long term thinking is key
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ztianf
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August 14, 2017, 12:09:45 AM |
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The last block churning over days was when my S3's arrived. This time I just turned on my S9 first time and block goes for days again. Great luck ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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overcon
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August 14, 2017, 01:07:55 AM |
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You expecting BTC to crash some time soon?
I never know! I like to trade on the exchanges when I am not at work as a hobby, so every little bit helps.
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Donate BTC to: 1PXBBTLqXQnT9qAyWsc51XGj2GUt4WW57x
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rossie
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August 14, 2017, 03:55:22 AM |
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more than 60 hours, no block... what a bad luck ![Sad](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/sad.gif)
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usernamehere
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August 14, 2017, 03:58:27 AM |
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more than 60 hours, no block... what a bad luck ![Sad](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/sad.gif) Yup, this happens every now and then.
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firetreeactual
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August 14, 2017, 04:55:41 AM |
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I lost my cable service (Internet, phone, TV) at 1400 HST yesterday when one of Spectrum's crews in the neighborhood was supposed to terminate service on unit 8C in the state-owned housing next door...but they didn't verify their addresses, and instead unplugged MY unit, which is also 8C, but at a different street number. Spectrum at least...after a couple of hairy phone calls...admitted their error and got a tech out here on OT (it's Sunday here) to hook it back up. 24 hrs down. Turns out I didn't miss much, eh? Mine on... ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif)
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To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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NomadGroup
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August 14, 2017, 06:18:43 AM |
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The pool is about to rip a bunch of blocks. I can feel them getting ready to pop ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) I can feel it too! When we don't find a block for a while like now they usually start popping like popcorn! ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) . And Kano, thanks for the payouts! I really needed them! ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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jwk1jesse
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August 14, 2017, 07:45:17 AM |
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500%? hmm.... getting a bit nervous..... what is going on?
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usukan
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August 14, 2017, 09:47:29 AM |
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Kano - have you got a cat or a 2 year old? Maybe they been playing with the "block" switch.
Wowee - this is getting a bit serious.
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kano (OP)
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Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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August 14, 2017, 10:43:34 AM Last edit: August 14, 2017, 11:01:35 AM by kano |
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Guess I better repeat the usual CDF table ... 0.39346934028737 50.000% 1 in 1.6 0.63212055882856 100.000% 1 in 2.7 0.77686983985157 150.000% 1 in 4.5 0.86466471676339 200.000% 1 in 7.4 0.95021293163214 300.000% 1 in 20.1 0.98168436111127 400.000% 1 in 54.6 0.99326205300091 500.000% 1 in 148.4 0.99752124782333 600.000% 1 in 403.4 0.99872735771441 666.666% 1 in 785.8 0.99908811803445 700.000% 1 in 1096.6 0.99966453737210 800.000% 1 in 2981.0 0.99987659019591 900.000% 1 in 8103.1
So, over a long period of time, the average number of blocks over 600% is ... 1 in 403.3 i.e. every pool is expected to get, on average, one block over 600% per 403 blocks ... Lets hope we don't get to 600% ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Edit: and for any who it doesn't quite sink in what those numbers mean, they also apply to the whole bitcoin network. e.g. a block that went by 45 minutes ago: 480482 It was 65minutes and 57seconds after: 480481 A standard network block, if the network isn't growing, is 10 minutes or 600 seconds. That 65minutes 57seconds ... if the network wasn't growing ... would be 3957 seconds - so divided by 600: 3957 / 600 = 6.595 or a 659.5% block Yep even network blocks follow the CDF distribution. Of course, that figure is probably an under estimate of the %, coz the current network is probably growing, so blocks are expected to be less than 600 seconds if it's growing, so the 480482 % would be even higher!
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admidiral
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August 14, 2017, 11:02:19 AM |
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hello there, just come to say that my Ebit E9 x 2 (each is 6.3TH) and for some that waiting for shipping are Ebit E9Plus x 2 (each is 9TH) are running on your pool to support now
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kano (OP)
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Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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August 14, 2017, 11:44:56 AM |
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hello there, just come to say that my Ebit E9 x 2 (each is 6.3TH) and for some that waiting for shipping are Ebit E9Plus x 2 (each is 9TH) are running on your pool to support now
Hopefully with a little luck thrown in ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) Welcome aboard!
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813bits
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August 14, 2017, 12:04:24 PM |
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I wonder what the record is for the most diff block found by our pool? Are we anywhere close to it?
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kano (OP)
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Activity: 4564
Merit: 1850
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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August 14, 2017, 12:13:22 PM |
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I wonder what the record is for the most diff block found by our pool? Are we anywhere close to it?
443699 - it's still there on the list (i.e. in the last 750) - 744.977% Part of that dreadful bad luck of December
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VRobb
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August 14, 2017, 02:54:16 PM |
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December, yes, I've been thinking about that. Turkey is the predominant fowl eaten at that time, while we all know here that chicken is the magic voodoo. Hmmmm ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) Keep calm and mine on!
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I don't believe in superstition because it's bad luck: 13thF1oor6CAwyzyxXPNnRvu3nhhYeqZdc These aren't the Droids you're looking for: S5 & S7 (Sold), R4B2, R4B4 (RIP), 2x S9 obsolete, 2xS15-28, S17-56, S17-70 Pushing a whopping 1/5 PH! Oh The SPEED!!!
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clgrissom3
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Carl, aka Sonny :)
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August 14, 2017, 03:12:29 PM |
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I wonder what the record is for the most diff block found by our pool? Are we anywhere close to it?
443699 - it's still there on the list (i.e. in the last 750) - 744.977% Part of that dreadful bad luck of December I'm glad you posted the CDF table...I was thinking about posting it as I was catching up on the weekend's forum posts and saw you already had. Every needs to realize it is a normal thing that comes around from time to time and not the end of the pool. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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firetreeactual
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August 14, 2017, 04:18:52 PM |
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December, yes, I've been thinking about that. Turkey is the predominant fowl eaten at that time, while we all know here that chicken is the magic voodoo. Hmmmm ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) Keep calm and mine on! You're absolutely right...so I'll bite...it's time to churn up some electrons and book some blocks... ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif) ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FHiVYVpL.png&t=664&c=x8yijPWOH2nwZw)
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To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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Apprentice
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August 14, 2017, 05:27:34 PM |
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Is it worth it to solo mine? My understanding if you mine solo you get the 12.5 minus fees.
if I am now making 1.2 BTC every 4 month with my current hashpower = 3.6 per year (excluding the diff), will let's say it is worth it to let an S9 mine solo for year hoping it finds a block being super lucky? and get the 12.5? (electricity is for free)!
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philipma1957
Legendary
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Activity: 4186
Merit: 8188
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 14, 2017, 05:31:36 PM |
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Is it worth it to solo mine? My understanding if you mine solo you get the 12.5 minus fees.
if I am now making 1.2 BTC every 4 month with my current hashpower = 3.6 per year (excluding the diff), will let's say an S9 mining solo find a block and get the 12.5?
if you mine 1 year with an s-9 you should not hit a solo block
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