kano (OP)
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Activity: 4606
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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August 14, 2017, 12:04:34 AM |
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It's brilliantly interesting to see how statistics (luck) work in real life at kano ;-)
oh btw, kudos to the guy running it all...
now feels like a good time to hit a few good home runs!
Yeah, I just wish it did it at a time when BTC wasn't hitting record highs  You expecting BTC to crash some time soon? |
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philipma1957
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Activity: 4298
Merit: 8766
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 14, 2017, 12:08:08 AM |
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It's brilliantly interesting to see how statistics (luck) work in real life at kano ;-)
oh btw, kudos to the guy running it all...
now feels like a good time to hit a few good home runs!
Yeah, I just wish it did it at a time when BTC wasn't hitting record highs You expecting BTC to crash some time soon? Long term thinking is key |
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ztianf
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Activity: 62
Merit: 10
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August 14, 2017, 12:09:45 AM |
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The last block churning over days was when my S3's arrived. This time I just turned on my S9 first time and block goes for days again. Great luck |
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overcon
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August 14, 2017, 01:07:55 AM |
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You expecting BTC to crash some time soon?
I never know! I like to trade on the exchanges when I am not at work as a hobby, so every little bit helps. |
Donate BTC to: 1PXBBTLqXQnT9qAyWsc51XGj2GUt4WW57x
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rossie
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August 14, 2017, 03:55:22 AM |
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more than 60 hours, no block... what a bad luck  |
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usernamehere
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Activity: 85
Merit: 10
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August 14, 2017, 03:58:27 AM |
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more than 60 hours, no block... what a bad luck Yup, this happens every now and then. |
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firetreeactual
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
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August 14, 2017, 04:55:41 AM |
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I lost my cable service (Internet, phone, TV) at 1400 HST yesterday when one of Spectrum's crews in the neighborhood was supposed to terminate service on unit 8C in the state-owned housing next door...but they didn't verify their addresses, and instead unplugged MY unit, which is also 8C, but at a different street number. Spectrum at least...after a couple of hairy phone calls...admitted their error and got a tech out here on OT (it's Sunday here) to hook it back up. 24 hrs down. Turns out I didn't miss much, eh? Mine on...  |
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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NomadGroup
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August 14, 2017, 06:18:43 AM |
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The pool is about to rip a bunch of blocks. I can feel them getting ready to pop  I can feel it too! When we don't find a block for a while like now they usually start popping like popcorn!  . And Kano, thanks for the payouts! I really needed them! |
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jwk1jesse
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Activity: 5
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August 14, 2017, 07:45:17 AM |
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500%? hmm.... getting a bit nervous..... what is going on?
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usukan
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Activity: 1590
Merit: 1002
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August 14, 2017, 09:47:29 AM |
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Kano - have you got a cat or a 2 year old? Maybe they been playing with the "block" switch.
Wowee - this is getting a bit serious.
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kano (OP)
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Activity: 4606
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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August 14, 2017, 10:43:34 AM
Last edit: August 14, 2017, 11:01:35 AM by kano |
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Guess I better repeat the usual CDF table ... 0.39346934028737 50.000% 1 in 1.6
0.63212055882856 100.000% 1 in 2.7
0.77686983985157 150.000% 1 in 4.5
0.86466471676339 200.000% 1 in 7.4
0.95021293163214 300.000% 1 in 20.1
0.98168436111127 400.000% 1 in 54.6
0.99326205300091 500.000% 1 in 148.4
0.99752124782333 600.000% 1 in 403.4
0.99872735771441 666.666% 1 in 785.8
0.99908811803445 700.000% 1 in 1096.6
0.99966453737210 800.000% 1 in 2981.0
0.99987659019591 900.000% 1 in 8103.1
So, over a long period of time, the average number of blocks over 600% is ... 1 in 403.3 i.e. every pool is expected to get, on average, one block over 600% per 403 blocks ... Lets hope we don't get to 600% Edit: and for any who it doesn't quite sink in what those numbers mean, they also apply to the whole bitcoin network. e.g. a block that went by 45 minutes ago: 480482 It was 65minutes and 57seconds after: 480481 A standard network block, if the network isn't growing, is 10 minutes or 600 seconds. That 65minutes 57seconds ... if the network wasn't growing ... would be 3957 seconds - so divided by 600: 3957 / 600 = 6.595 or a 659.5% block Yep even network blocks follow the CDF distribution. Of course, that figure is probably an under estimate of the %, coz the current network is probably growing, so blocks are expected to be less than 600 seconds if it's growing, so the 480482 % would be even higher! |
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admidiral
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Activity: 21
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August 14, 2017, 11:02:19 AM |
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hello there, just come to say that my Ebit E9 x 2 (each is 6.3TH) and for some that waiting for shipping are Ebit E9Plus x 2 (each is 9TH) are running on your pool to support now
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kano (OP)
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Activity: 4606
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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August 14, 2017, 11:44:56 AM |
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hello there, just come to say that my Ebit E9 x 2 (each is 6.3TH) and for some that waiting for shipping are Ebit E9Plus x 2 (each is 9TH) are running on your pool to support now
Hopefully with a little luck thrown in Welcome aboard! |
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813bits
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August 14, 2017, 12:04:24 PM |
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I wonder what the record is for the most diff block found by our pool? Are we anywhere close to it?
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kano (OP)
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Activity: 4606
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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August 14, 2017, 12:13:22 PM |
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I wonder what the record is for the most diff block found by our pool? Are we anywhere close to it?
443699 - it's still there on the list (i.e. in the last 750) - 744.977% Part of that dreadful bad luck of December |
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VRobb
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August 14, 2017, 02:54:16 PM |
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December, yes, I've been thinking about that. Turkey is the predominant fowl eaten at that time, while we all know here that chicken is the magic voodoo. Hmmmm  Keep calm and mine on! |
I don't believe in superstition because it's bad luck: 13thF1oor6CAwyzyxXPNnRvu3nhhYeqZdc
These aren't the Droids you're looking for: S5 & S7 (Sold), R4B2, R4B4 (RIP), 2x S9 obsolete, 2xS15-28, S17-56, S17-70
Pushing a whopping 1/5 PH! Oh The SPEED!!!
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clgrissom3
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Activity: 1722
Merit: 1032
Carl, aka Sonny :)
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August 14, 2017, 03:12:29 PM |
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I wonder what the record is for the most diff block found by our pool? Are we anywhere close to it?
443699 - it's still there on the list (i.e. in the last 750) - 744.977% Part of that dreadful bad luck of December I'm glad you posted the CDF table...I was thinking about posting it as I was catching up on the weekend's forum posts and saw you already had. Every needs to realize it is a normal thing that comes around from time to time and not the end of the pool. |
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firetreeactual
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Merit: 1003
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August 14, 2017, 04:18:52 PM |
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December, yes, I've been thinking about that. Turkey is the predominant fowl eaten at that time, while we all know here that chicken is the magic voodoo. Hmmmm Keep calm and mine on! You're absolutely right...so I'll bite...it's time to churn up some electrons and book some blocks...  |
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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Apprentice
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August 14, 2017, 05:27:34 PM |
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Is it worth it to solo mine? My understanding if you mine solo you get the 12.5 minus fees.
if I am now making 1.2 BTC every 4 month with my current hashpower = 3.6 per year (excluding the diff), will let's say it is worth it to let an S9 mine solo for year hoping it finds a block being super lucky? and get the 12.5?
(electricity is for free)!
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philipma1957
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Activity: 4298
Merit: 8766
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 14, 2017, 05:31:36 PM |
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Is it worth it to solo mine? My understanding if you mine solo you get the 12.5 minus fees.
if I am now making 1.2 BTC every 4 month with my current hashpower = 3.6 per year (excluding the diff), will let's say an S9 mining solo find a block and get the 12.5?
if you mine 1 year with an s-9 you should not hit a solo block |
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