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Author Topic: ◢◤ e-SPORT ◢◤ picks ►►► (+54.99 units)  (Read 60333 times)
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January 25, 2015, 10:34:33 PM
 #181

And why you never bet in parlay.

With that big odds for game you can do nice money if you can win 4 games parlay.

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January 25, 2015, 10:44:28 PM
 #182

Parlays are more or less sucker bets. In some rare cases i place them, if i notice a really good spot, or just want to sweat some games. However, i dont see any place for parlays in this thread, because they will only distort the stats.

If more people will show any interest, i might start posting some parlays that i find decent. But i still will strongly empathize that i cant guarantee their profitability in the long run.
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January 25, 2015, 11:03:13 PM
 #183

Here is a decent'ish parlay that i can see working out - https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/1197308cHAvcVQyMmhaUHBMTVlrTzZrRGE3UT09

But once again, its probably -EV play that will eat your bankroll in the long run.
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January 26, 2015, 01:58:15 PM
Last edit: January 26, 2015, 04:14:15 PM by magicmexican
 #184

Jan 26 picks




Parlay already failed  Cool Invasion turned up without a full roster (info was released too late to act on it)
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January 26, 2015, 04:38:09 PM
 #185

unfortunately, can not be made as a parlay Smiley
but it was nice, still profit Smiley

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January 26, 2015, 05:54:56 PM
Last edit: January 26, 2015, 06:10:48 PM by magicmexican
 #186

Some Dota results

2W-1L   +0.267 units
Total:   157W-122L   +13.337 units


Pending dota bets : 1 (BU vs BBC)
Pending sc2 bets : 4 (Classic, Hurricane, Yoda, Myungsik)


Will update sc2 results tomorrow because half of the games are yet to be played






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January 26, 2015, 08:32:41 PM
 #187

Parlays are more or less sucker bets. In some rare cases i place them, if i notice a really good spot, or just want to sweat some games. However, i dont see any place for parlays in this thread, because they will only distort the stats.

If more people will show any interest, i might start posting some parlays that i find decent. But i still will strongly empathize that i cant guarantee their profitability in the long run.

Sometimes parlays are much better for bets which you are sure will win.
This way you get a big payout.
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January 26, 2015, 08:39:17 PM
 #188

Thank you for your analysis.

I will keep my eyes open not to miss any "sure win" bets.
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January 27, 2015, 12:02:38 AM
 #189

Jan 27 picks

Not much yet, maybe more lines will come up later.

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January 27, 2015, 04:58:26 AM
 #190

Parlays are more or less sucker bets. In some rare cases i place them, if i notice a really good spot, or just want to sweat some games. However, i dont see any place for parlays in this thread, because they will only distort the stats.

If more people will show any interest, i might start posting some parlays that i find decent. But i still will strongly empathize that i cant guarantee their profitability in the long run.

Yeah parlays sucks..If they r sure shot bets then odds r too low..and If u keep increasing the no og games then the probability of losing one is high. More or less you tend to lose more parlays than win one. but if u get one of those risky parlays right.. that is more than enough for a few days.
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January 27, 2015, 10:04:33 AM
 #191

Jan 27 more dota picks


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January 27, 2015, 11:26:15 AM
 #192

Jan 27 more dota picks




Tailing these picks..!! good luck! Smiley

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January 27, 2015, 11:46:10 AM
Last edit: January 27, 2015, 02:42:54 PM by magicmexican
 #193

Starcraft picks not going well, that +180 Hurricane match was a clear win, everyone including casters thought the game was over, i went for a cup of tea only to see that he managed to throw it somehow.

It was an impossible feat to lose from his position. A throw of the year in sc2 for sure.


All that said, its bo1 with a lot of value betting on the underdogs, so its not that upsetting to lose some units. Will update later with the results, after all matches will be over.
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January 27, 2015, 01:22:28 PM
 #194

Jan 28-29 picks




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January 27, 2015, 01:46:20 PM
Last edit: January 27, 2015, 04:09:11 PM by magicmexican
 #195

Sc2 results

3W-4L   -0.429 units
Total:   160W-126L   +12.948 units

Leenock had no business losing his game to a way lesser player. He made some very cocky decisions that costed him, and even after that, he had a decent position in a game, but choked and threw it a 2nd time.

Hurricane's game was one of the worst throws in a sc2 competetive history. Anyone decent could've close out his game. Its not like i expected a +180 dog to win that often here, but Innovation played really poorly and pretty much gifted him a game, but he refused to take it and threw it back  Cool

Could've been easily a 2-4 units of profit. Instead, slightly down.



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January 27, 2015, 01:46:42 PM
 #196


nice pick mate
im following this
good luck to us
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January 27, 2015, 05:05:56 PM
 #197

Tailing these picks..!! good luck! Smiley

BU won 2-0 over xGame, +2.226 units so far, making other 4 bets a near freeroll.
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January 27, 2015, 08:49:33 PM
 #198

3 Matches got postponed, very annoying, i will have to break down the screenshots to keep the results up to date.

Will update in 1 hour or so after another match will be finished, with the results of 5 bets.
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January 27, 2015, 10:01:14 PM
 #199

Some results

4W-1L   +2.818 units

Total: 164W-127L   +15.766 units

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January 27, 2015, 11:44:29 PM
 #200

Currently pending bets :

Fire Dota ML/Spread - postponed
First Departure vs G-Guard/vs Invasion -postponed/canceled?
Myungsik vs Rogue, Speedgaming vs PR/vs HGT - Jan 28/29

Everything else is done and results posted.
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