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Author Topic: ◢◤ e-SPORT ◢◤ picks ►►► (+54.99 units)  (Read 60333 times)
magicmexican (OP)
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April 26, 2015, 07:11:06 PM
 #781

[Picks]






* - can be found under NitroGen's 'coming soon' category @e-sports
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April 26, 2015, 07:13:55 PM
Last edit: April 27, 2015, 07:00:43 PM by magicmexican
 #782

[Picks]


magicmexican (OP)
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April 26, 2015, 09:12:44 PM
 #783

Everything updated, a lot of picks pending (like 20, i think).

Once again, if you want to quickly check the pending picks just check the 1st page of the thread with link to active picks.

Seems like NitroGen finally managed to bring up Sc2 GSL and WCS, which is nice, but a couple lines that i wanted there already sharpened up because they were up for like 48h or so. Oh well, have to play with what we have.



Oh the other note, recently broken the 1000 picks mark. The results are ok, not amazing, definately running a little bit under EV, should be up something like 60 to 65 units with that volume on average, but whatever.

+47 units in 4 months, which translates to 94% net gain (even more in reality, if you count the adjusting the unit size after certain point of growth), with never risking more than 2.4% of a roll on a single bet - its a pretty damn good result in betting.
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April 26, 2015, 10:15:07 PM
 #784

[Picks]






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April 27, 2015, 10:46:02 AM
 #785

[Results]

2W-2L   -0.21 units

Total: 535W-483L   +46.93 units


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April 27, 2015, 03:12:21 PM
 #786

[Picks]


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April 27, 2015, 08:36:05 PM
 #787

[Results]

4W-2L   -0.58 units

Total: 539W-485L   +46.35 units




One of the biggest throws in the Dota history by Vega in the deciding game.
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April 27, 2015, 09:25:39 PM
 #788

[Picks]






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April 27, 2015, 10:07:33 PM
 #789

[Picks]




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April 28, 2015, 10:25:45 AM
Last edit: April 28, 2015, 08:03:01 PM by magicmexican
 #790

A couple of changes made to this thread and overall :

1) Blog discontinued, took too much extra time and effort to keep it up to date. Any potential audience that i had there redirected to this thread.

2) To make this thread less chaotic and overwhelming with picks, from now on picks would be posted during firm timeframes :

7:00 - 9:00  UTC  and   19:00-22:00  UTC    (http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/timezone/utc)

There will be some smalll exceptions to this, mostly when there will be a big tournament running that would require picks to be posted semi-live.

But overall this will make the picks easier to follow.

This, of course, does not mean that there will be always new picks posted twice a day, it will be simply the timeframes when i will monitor the lines to see if there is anything worth betting on.

Rest of the freed time will be spent on analysys and tuning of the system to improve the overall ROI %


On top of that, for anyone familiar with the sc2&dota - there are very big changes coming to both games, with a new patch + expansion for sc2, and a very drastic update for dota2. That would require me to possibly make some changes to the process of picks, because the metagame will be shaken quite a lot. Thats a big difference between e-sports between from a standard sport betting - if you bet on like NBA you know that the weight and shape of the ball, plus the size of a court will be staying the same no matter.

Not the case with e-sports at all.


P.S. Anyone who missed my post on how to avoid "tipster" scam should read this :

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=900561.msg11196446#msg11196446
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April 28, 2015, 07:44:55 PM
 #791

[Results]

4W-2L   +1.24 units

Total: 543W-487L   +47.59 units


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April 28, 2015, 07:50:55 PM
 #792

[Picks]




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April 29, 2015, 09:09:52 AM
 #793

[Picks]




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April 29, 2015, 10:30:50 AM
 #794

invictus gaming nice picks sir
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April 29, 2015, 05:23:07 PM
 #795

Kind of annoying loss @Starcraft WCS :

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April 29, 2015, 08:35:58 PM
 #796

[Results]

1W-2L   -1.92 units

Total: 544W-489L   +45.68 units

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April 29, 2015, 08:39:26 PM
 #797

[Results]

2W-1L   +0.49 units

Total: 546W-490L   +46.17 units

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April 29, 2015, 08:48:34 PM
 #798

[Results]

3W-0L   +2.69 units

Total: 549W-490L   +48.86 units

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April 30, 2015, 02:44:32 PM
Last edit: May 01, 2015, 08:10:33 AM by magicmexican
 #799

[Picks]








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April 30, 2015, 08:34:08 PM
Last edit: May 01, 2015, 03:07:54 PM by magicmexican
 #800

[Picks]


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