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magicmexican (OP)
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June 30, 2015, 12:13:55 PM |
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Missed the opening match of Zest-sOs today, but had 1.4 units on Zest when he opened near even money (1.95 or something, closed @1.82 i think).
Zest won, will have to look at the VoD later, but it was a great value.
Still down like 15 units for the month, but up 8 or so for the week
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huliocorner
Newbie
 Offline
Activity: 1
Merit: 0
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June 30, 2015, 01:25:17 PM |
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This is a scam. OP is publishing different results than he actually sends out. I am following him for 2 months and now I am down 12btc.
SCAM DO NOT BUY
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subSTRATA
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1043
:^)
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June 30, 2015, 01:44:10 PM |
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This is a scam. OP is publishing different results than he actually sends out. I am following him for 2 months and now I am down 12btc.
SCAM DO NOT BUY
care to show proof that you purchased his service? also he did say it was a losing month, I don't know why youre so surprised. |
theres nothing here. message me if you want to put something here.
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subSTRATA
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1043
:^)
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June 30, 2015, 02:44:23 PM |
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This is a scam. OP is publishing different results than he actually sends out. I am following him for 2 months and now I am down 12btc.
SCAM DO NOT BUY
care to show proof that you purchased his service? also he did say it was a losing month, I don't know why youre so surprised. 95% sure this the alt of this guy = https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=413885Who is just mad that i gave him negative trust and reporting his spam. I have currently 2 subs now, neither of them even finished a month of subscription at the moment. Should've come up with less obvious and less retarded lie :-D oh that guy, yeah hes pretty annoying, doesnt know english too well (at all) either. he spams a fair amount too, surprised he isnt banned after the "where is affiliation" stuff. also magic i might consider buying a subscription in the coming weeks when i actually have money; right now it wouldnt be profitable for me with the payment and my bankroll. |
theres nothing here. message me if you want to put something here.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 30, 2015, 02:54:53 PM |
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Also as i've said some weeks earlier, i will be releasing the spreadsheet with monthly results of the subscription publicly.
First month will be wraped up @July 6
But yeah, the post about "following for 2 months, down 12 btc, and suddenly just now exposing the fact about posting different results on a fresh new btctalk account" is genius, looks as legit as it gets.
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magicmexican (OP)
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July 02, 2015, 08:49:09 AM |
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Breakeven couple of bets @Starcraft 2 MSI Masters Gaming Arena.
Lost 0,6 units on Hurricane vs Dark @3.05, he lost 1-2
Lost 1 unit on Trap @2.4 against Innovation, i capped it close to a coinflip with a slight edge to Trap, seems like Innovation picking up shape again, after being in a slump for so long
Lost 0,8 units on Fantasy vs Solar, Solar was doing horrible in the Prolegue but not so bad in the individual league, that said Fantasy was still the fav to take it, his TvZ is pretty solid.
+2 units from Cure winning Rogue @2.8
+0,6 units from Classic 2:0'ing Reality
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magicmexican (OP)
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July 02, 2015, 07:27:59 PM |
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Some interesting and mostly annoying results :
Took Parting -1.5 @1.6 (no brainer, closed near 1.25 or so) against Targa, and turnes out that HomeStoryCup decided to use new maps, Parting does not veto one of those, and dies to a stupid strategy that he did not know about. Targa had no business taking any maps from Parting.
Had PtitDrogo @3.05 against Showtime, he wins map1, loses map2, had map3 in the bag, but decided to choke and throw. Later he plays Showtime again and wins 2-0. A choke for 4.5 unit difference.
Finstack brought some value once again, won +1.5 spread and almost won ML for 6.00 odds.
Dear "upsets" sOo, losing first 2 maps and then winning 3 in a row, which almost never happens in a bo5, was nice.
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Wendigo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2604
Merit: 1036
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July 04, 2015, 09:41:05 AM |
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Congratulations dude, you finally managed to turn this around and shut up your naysayers in style  |
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Towdriver91
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July 04, 2015, 10:44:48 AM |
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Great job on that man, hope you keep winning!
I'd totally be following your picks except $50 a month is a little too steep for my budget given the expected ROI per month, perhaps you could offer your picks (or at least a selection of them) to people using your referral link or something like that?
Regardless, best of luck with the bets!
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magicmexican (OP)
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July 04, 2015, 12:40:40 PM |
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Nice finals @Proleague, ended up 0,5 units, but should've been up like 2 units.
Started by losing Rogue < Innovation. Good map for zerg, Rogue is strong vs terrans, Innovation @semi-slump and have too many holes in his game. But he did a nice hellbat timing and Rogue did not defend it properly.
Won Dark > Maru @2.45 odds, which was absurd price for a bo1 @Maru's worst matchup.
Wanted to hammer Trap > Dark, but Nitro decided to not open the line, even thought it was up @pinnacle for quite some time. The odds were all wrong once again, would've easily made 1.5 units there.
Thinking about moving some money to Pinnacle because of all that missing value when Nitro fails to open the line in time.
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magicmexican (OP)
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July 04, 2015, 07:02:15 PM |
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A lot of real upsets @HomeStoryCup with koreans losing to white people, which almost never happens.
Hyun losing to MarineLord was not a huge shocker, since Hyun sucks and his ZvT style is pure garbage based on roach/hydra. But Rain losing 0-2 to Lilbow was really unexpected.
I did not have any bets on either sides, because odds on favs were really shit, but managed to snatch Parting -1,5 vs Ryung @1.7 before it closed @1.4.
Ryung had no shot of taking a map from Parting in a normal game, and Terrans dont have any real cheeses against Protoss (unlike zergs), so it was really a gamble that Parting wont mess around with someting like a proxy, which he actually did, but luckily it actually ended up working out.
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magicmexican (OP)
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July 05, 2015, 09:59:03 AM |
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Surprised to see some BroodWar lines being offered by Pinnacle, probably the first time ever.
I was assuming that the really big competetive scene there is close to dead, but it seems that its not the case. Which is kind of cool, because i like the game way more than Starcraft2. So if that trend will continue i will for sure start researching the BW scene once again and start betting on that as well.
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philiveyjr
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
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July 05, 2015, 04:23:34 PM |
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This parlay really inspires me to make biiig parlays.! I always do well with the long parlays but..just lose out by 1 game.. which sucks really really hard.. :/ |
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magicmexican (OP)
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July 05, 2015, 04:32:59 PM |
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This parlay really inspires me to make biiig parlays.! I always do well with the long parlays but..just lose out by 1 game.. which sucks really really hard.. :/
I've definately lost my share of big parlays by 1-2 legs. Meanwhile lost Rain -2,5 today against Marinelord, which sucks, because he had such a lead in the game he lost, and it was really weird for him to throw. @2.3 odds i think it was for sure an easy value bet. I've picked some value @Rain -1,5 though, and took Empire ML and Empire +1,5 against VP.Polar, which is being played right now. |
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fox19891989
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July 05, 2015, 05:34:50 PM |
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O damn awesome profit  Ouch, so only nitrogen has e-sports parlays to bet? I am usually betting on betcoin but there is no parlay and e-sport there, is this parlay your biggest parlay winning so far? Congrats. |
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magicmexican (OP)
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July 05, 2015, 07:53:44 PM
Last edit: July 05, 2015, 08:11:26 PM by magicmexican |
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Somehow Empire managed to throw their 2-0 lead in a bo5, allowing VP to reverse it 2-3. Russian dota at its best.
This month was pretty horrible when it comes to straight bets, very dissapointing.
Needless to say that any subs i had will be getting access to the at least 2 free months.
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subSTRATA
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1043
:^)
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July 05, 2015, 08:17:36 PM |
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considering a month's subscription costs $50, what size bankroll would you recommend for following your bets to cover that fee and to still turn a profit? (in BTC)
edit: given a month of average profit, unlike this one
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theres nothing here. message me if you want to put something here.
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magicmexican (OP)
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July 05, 2015, 08:28:09 PM |
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considering a month's subscription costs $50, what size bankroll would you recommend for following your bets to cover that fee and to still turn a profit? (in BTC)
edit: given a month of average profit, unlike this one
Depends on your risk tolerance (choosing the unit sizing, 1-2% is kind of a personal preferance). But i would say it only makes sense if you have at least 2.5-3 BTC to start with. |
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AbengBTC
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
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July 06, 2015, 08:20:26 PM |
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any lock parlay esport bro? by pman
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magicmexican (OP)
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July 09, 2015, 01:56:10 PM |
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Pretty annoying start of the month, i had some big error with my data that resulted in a pretty fucking awful multi-misspick, costed about 4,2 units.
At the same day i lost a ton of value @sc2 because all underdogs managed to choke at the crucial games. In general i was super happy with the price i got them on, one line that i took @3.8 closed at 2.3 which is pretty crazy (fantasy vs dark), and fantasy was on the way to win 3-0, but instead choked 2-3.
A combination of razor thin throws made a difference between -3.5 unit loss and +7 unit gain
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