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Author Topic: ◢◤ e-SPORT ◢◤ picks ►►► (+54.99 units)  (Read 60144 times)
geoffreyqp
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December 22, 2014, 10:32:03 AM
 #41

following all again, except the dk v speedgaming matches. can't find them. maybe they started already? might be more work, but if you can put when the matches begin? at least the earliest ones.
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magicmexican
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December 22, 2014, 11:04:54 AM
 #42

following all again, except the dk v speedgaming matches. can't find them. maybe they started already? might be more work, but if you can put when the matches begin? at least the earliest ones.

You can check when the matches begin at joindota.com (and watch them)

Usually i post my picks way before the start though, at least 3 hours or so.

Sometimes even 10 hours+ before, but it all depends on when pinnacle puts the odds up.
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December 22, 2014, 09:26:03 PM
Last edit: December 23, 2014, 06:47:04 PM by magicmexican
 #43

December 22 results :


December 22 picks :

Dota 2

SLTV StarSeries

--------------------------------------------------------
Basically Unknown v Power Rangers - LOST
Match: Basically Unknown ML 2.421 (+142)

1 unit
--------------------------------------------------------
Lajons v Team Secret - WON
Match: Lajons ML 3.524 (+252)

0.5 units
--------------------------------------------------------
4Anchors v Empire - LOST
Match: 4Anchors ML 3.908 (+291)

0.3 units
--------------------------------------------------------

Dota 2

I-League

--------------------------------------------------------
DK (map 1) v Speed Gaming.cn (map 1) - LOST
Match: DK (map 1) ML 2.175 (+117)

0.4 units
--------------------------------------------------------
DK (series) v Speed Gaming.cn (series) - LOST
Match: DK (series) +0.5 1.476 (-210)

0.8 units
--------------------------------------------------------
Immortal Magneto (map 1) v invictus Gaming (map 1) - WON
Match: invictus Gaming (map 1) ML 1.365 (-274)

0.8 units
--------------------------------------------------------
Immortal Magneto (series) v invictus Gaming (series) - WON
Match: invictus Gaming (series) -0.5 1.895 (-112)

0.4 units
--------------------------------------------------------

Dota 2

Dotapit League

--------------------------------------------------------
Virtus Pro v Team Secret - WON
Match: Virtus Pro +2.5 1.519 (-193)

1 unit
--------------------------------------------------------
Virtus Pro v Team Secret - LOST
Match: Virtus Pro +1.5 2.471 (+147)

0.4 units
--------------------------------------------------------


Starcraft 2

SK Telecom Proleague

-------------------------------------------------
Terror v Life - WON
Match: Life ML 1.283 (-353)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------
Myungsik v Curious - WON
Match: Myungsik ML 2.067 (+107)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------

Day 3 : 6 Wins / 5 Losses   +0.881 unit

TOTAL :  14 Wins / 7 Losses  +3.339 units
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December 22, 2014, 10:07:32 PM
 #44

With the way the volume is going its very probable that the free period will stop after 2 weeks, maybe 3

I am aiming at something like ~100 picks
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December 22, 2014, 10:44:34 PM
 #45

i tailed you on those last ones, a few losses but profit is profit. thanks. Got any more picks comin up?

      


















   


















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magicmexican
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December 22, 2014, 10:55:42 PM
Last edit: December 22, 2014, 11:37:37 PM by magicmexican
 #46

December 23 picks

Starcraft 2

SK Telecom Proleague

-------------------------------------------------------
Maru v Zest
Match: Zest ML 2.008 (+101)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------
Rogue v Flash
Match: Flash ML 1.772 (-130)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------
Yonghwa v Soo
Match: Soo ML 1.619 (-162)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------


Dota 2

I-League

-------------------------------------------------------
HGT (series) v NewBee (series)
Match: NewBee (series) -0.5 1.687 (-146)

0.5 units
-------------------------------------------------------

SLTV StarSeries

-------------------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret
Match: VP Polar ML 2.510 (+151)

0.45 units
-------------------------------------------------------
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December 22, 2014, 11:24:22 PM
 #47

Added 2 more picks for tomorrow, thats probably it, unless some new odds will pop out.
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December 23, 2014, 12:23:22 AM
 #48

Thanks a lot. Good picks!
geoffreyqp
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December 23, 2014, 01:24:10 AM
 #49

public seems to be going the other way today. better odds on a couple of the picks are out now.

flash ml being the biggest change. i don't know anything about esports but maybe there missing some star player or something?


none the less, i'm still betting/following you bets. best of luck
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December 23, 2014, 01:53:06 AM
 #50

public seems to be going the other way today. better odds on a couple of the picks are out now.

flash ml being the biggest change. i don't know anything about esports but maybe there missing some star player or something?


none the less, i'm still betting/following you bets. best of luck

Flash is a player, not a team (starcraft is a 1 vs 1 game, dota is a 5 v 5 team game).

Anyhow, dont read too much into the line changes. Especially in e-sports. I will gladly trust myself and take better odds, following the crowd wont get you far.
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December 23, 2014, 02:36:28 AM
 #51

Nice thread, i will start following it, and hope to have luck in my bets with your picks  Smiley

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[/]
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December 23, 2014, 02:10:09 PM
 #52

Another pick for today (match starts in 5 hours or so) :

December 23

Dota 2  

Dotapit League



-----------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret
Match: VP Polar +2.5 1.355 (-282)

1.2 units
-----------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret
Match: VP Polar +1.5 2.087 (+109)

0.8 units
-----------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret
Match: VP Polar ML 3.347 (+235)

0.5 units
-----------------------------------------------
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December 23, 2014, 04:13:17 PM
Last edit: December 23, 2014, 09:40:06 PM by magicmexican
 #53

December 24 picks :

Starcraft 2

Starcraft 2 StarLeague

--------------------------------------------------
Stats v Innovation
Match: Innovation ML 1.631 (-158)

1.2 units
--------------------------------------------------

Dota 2

I-League

-------------------------------------------------------------------
TongFu.WanZhou (series) v invictus Gaming (series)
Match: TongFu.WanZhou (series) +0.5 2.264 (+126)

0.25 units
-------------------------------------------------------------------
LGD Gaming (map 1) v Invictus Gaming (map 1)
Match: LGD Gaming (map 1) ML 2.333 (+133)

0.55 units
-------------------------------------------------------------------
LGD Gaming (series) v Invictus Gaming (series)
Match: LGD Gaming (series) +0.5 1.499 (-200)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------------------

SLTV StarSeries


-----------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Empire
Match: VP Polar ML 2.116 (+112)

1 unit
-----------------------------------------------
Virtus Pro v VP Polar
Match: Virtus Pro ML 2.510 (+151)

0.25 units
-----------------------------------------------
magicmexican
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December 23, 2014, 10:40:36 PM
 #54

December 23 results :


December 23 picks

Starcraft 2

SK Telecom Proleague

-------------------------------------------------------
Maru v Zest - LOST
Match: Zest ML 2.008 (+101)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------
Rogue v Flash - LOST
Match: Flash ML 1.772 (-130)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------
Yonghwa v Soo - Canceled
Match: Soo ML 1.619 (-162)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------


Dota 2

I-League

-------------------------------------------------------
HGT (series) v NewBee (series) - LOST
Match: NewBee (series) -0.5 1.687 (-146)

0.5 units
-------------------------------------------------------

SLTV StarSeries

-------------------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret - WON
Match: VP Polar ML 2.510 (+151)

0.45 units
-------------------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret - LOST
Match: VP Polar +2.5 1.355 (-282)

1.2 units
-----------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret - LOST
Match: VP Polar +1.5 2.087 (+109)

0.8 units
-----------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret - LOST
Match: VP Polar ML 3.347 (+235)

0.5 units
-----------------------------------------------

Day 4 : 1 Win / 6 Losses -4.321 units

Total : 15 Wins / 13 Losses -0.982 units
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December 24, 2014, 12:06:47 AM
 #55

December 23 results :


December 23 picks

Starcraft 2

SK Telecom Proleague

-------------------------------------------------------
Maru v Zest - LOST
Match: Zest ML 2.008 (+101)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------
Rogue v Flash - LOST
Match: Flash ML 1.772 (-130)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------
Yonghwa v Soo - Canceled
Match: Soo ML 1.619 (-162)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------


Dota 2

I-League

-------------------------------------------------------
HGT (series) v NewBee (series) - LOST
Match: NewBee (series) -0.5 1.687 (-146)

0.5 units
-------------------------------------------------------

SLTV StarSeries

-------------------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret - WON
Match: VP Polar ML 2.510 (+151)

0.45 units
-------------------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret - LOST
Match: VP Polar +2.5 1.355 (-282)

1.2 units
-----------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret - LOST
Match: VP Polar +1.5 2.087 (+109)

0.8 units
-----------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret - LOST
Match: VP Polar ML 3.347 (+235)

0.5 units
-----------------------------------------------

Day 4 : 1 Win / 6 Losses -4.321 units

Total : 15 Wins / 13 Losses -0.982 units

When i start following your bets this happen, maybe i bring the bad luck  Sad

Hope to have better luck for the next time

.BitDice.               ▄▄███▄▄
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December 24, 2014, 12:21:40 AM
 #56


When i start following your bets this happen, maybe i bring the bad luck  Sad

Hope to have better luck for the next time

I would not really call it a "bad luck". Yes, some underperforms here and there, but its just standard variance that you face.

Some people like to write novels on losing days on why it happened and how unlucky they are, but i am not one of them.

To give you an idea about how much i care about losing -4 units day, here is the graph from my last 1100+ picks :


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December 24, 2014, 07:49:02 PM
 #57


When i start following your bets this happen, maybe i bring the bad luck  Sad

Hope to have better luck for the next time

I would not really call it a "bad luck". Yes, some underperforms here and there, but its just standard variance that you face.

Some people like to write novels on losing days on why it happened and how unlucky they are, but i am not one of them.

To give you an idea about how much i care about losing -4 units day, here is the graph from my last 1100+ picks :




I know you are good in this business, i just want to follow your bets to make bitcoins, dont realy care about the units.

Do you have any picks for today?

Any way... Feliz Navidad  Cheesy

.BitDice.               ▄▄███▄▄
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magicmexican
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Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



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December 24, 2014, 08:03:37 PM
 #58

December 25 picks (part 1)

Starcraft 2

StarLeague

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Bbyong v CJ.Hero
Match: CJ.Hero ML 1.640 (-156)

1.2 units
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Yonghwa v Leenock
Match: Leenock ML 1.566 (-177)

1 unit
--------------------------------------------------
Super v Byul
Match: Byul ML 1.631 (-158)

1 units
--------------------------------------------------
Dark v Parting
Match: Parting ML 1.563 (-178)

1.2 units
--------------------------------------------------

Myunggsik v San
Match: San ML 1.645 (-155)

1 unit
--------------------------------------------------
magicmexican
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December 24, 2014, 08:31:37 PM
 #59

Last results :

December 24 picks :

Starcraft 2

Starcraft 2 StarLeague

--------------------------------------------------
Stats v Innovation - LOST
Match: Innovation ML 1.631 (-158)

1.2 units
--------------------------------------------------

Dota 2

I-League

-------------------------------------------------------------------
TongFu.WanZhou (series) v invictus Gaming (series) - WON
Match: TongFu.WanZhou (series) +0.5 2.264 (+126)

0.25 units
-------------------------------------------------------------------
LGD Gaming (map 1) v Invictus Gaming (map 1) - WON
Match: LGD Gaming (map 1) ML 2.333 (+133)

0.55 units
-------------------------------------------------------------------
LGD Gaming (series) v Invictus Gaming (series) - WON
Match: LGD Gaming (series) +0.5 1.499 (-200)

1 unit
-------------------------------------------------------------------

SLTV StarSeries


-----------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Empire - LOST
Match: VP Polar ML 2.116 (+112)

1 unit
-----------------------------------------------
Virtus Pro v VP Polar - LOST
Match: Virtus Pro ML 2.510 (+151)

0.25 units
-----------------------------------------------

Day 5 : 3 Wins / 3 Losses -0.904 units

Total : 18 Wins / 16 Losses -1.886 units
johny08
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December 24, 2014, 09:04:36 PM
 #60

someone playing? is it working?
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