Bitcoin Forum
September 15, 2019, 01:23:03 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 0.18.1 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 [47] 48 49 50 51 »
  Print  
Author Topic: ◢◤ e-SPORT ◢◤ picks ►►► (+54.99 units)  (Read 60144 times)
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 07, 2015, 09:06:32 PM
 #921

If you are interested that much in parlays i suggest you to pass on the subscription. I dont hit parlays often at all, there could be months of not hitting a single one.

Obviously i dont share every parlay i go for to subs, but its not because i keep them to myself, but because i dont think all of them are profitable/smart.

If someone would want me to share every parlay i do with him - i will gladly do that, but he should understand that none of these parlays might ever win, not after 10 parlays, not after 50, not after 500.





I am not really interested in parlays nor would I expect you to hand out loads of parlays and always hit them. I was just wondering if your picks are not only Dota and Starcraft.

My straight bets and parlays that i'm confident enough to share are only dota/starcraft
1568553783
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1568553783

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1568553783
Reply with quote  #2

1568553783
Report to moderator
1568553783
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1568553783

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1568553783
Reply with quote  #2

1568553783
Report to moderator
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction. Advertise here.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 08, 2015, 10:22:30 AM
 #922

Weird loss on LGD -1,5 today against their EP. LGD are like 2 tiers ahead and EP taking even 1 map from them is pretty close to miracle.

I guess LGD were a bit jetlagged or did not take that tournament all that seriosly.


A bit dissapointed how sharp most sc2 proleague lines are, expected way more value, only had 3 picks there from 12 matches. But perphaps crowd will push some lines towards value direction.

magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 08, 2015, 06:40:11 PM
 #923

Starting today i will manage all my active/past picks @google doc's spreadsheet.

Active subs will obviously have a reading access to it, to check all my current picks/parlays, as well as the results of the week/month with graphs and all that jazz.



Will probably be realising the results-only version of it every week or so to the public.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 09, 2015, 10:37:03 AM
 #924

Had 0.6 units on Leenock @2.72 for +1 unit profit. Got lucky to catch such good odds, the steam that came on Leenock later brought the odds to 2.3 or so.

Really annoyed at the absence of the dota 2 lines by the way, its extremely rare to see so few tournaments/qualifiers running.
Wendigo
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2142
Merit: 1031



View Profile
June 09, 2015, 03:42:03 PM
 #925

Had 0.6 units on Leenock @2.72 for +1 unit profit. Got lucky to catch such good odds, the steam that came on Leenock later brought the odds to 2.3 or so.

Really annoyed at the absence of the dota 2 lines by the way, its extremely rare to see so few tournaments/qualifiers running.

Mind if I ask in this example you posted above, do you size your bets to get 1 unit profit when the odds are considerably higher than 2 and why not just bet a whole unit? Is the probability to win less than 50% more like 30%? I am always fascinated by the bet sizes of other punters and try to size mines better for risk/profit thanks.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 09, 2015, 04:18:02 PM
 #926

Had 0.6 units on Leenock @2.72 for +1 unit profit. Got lucky to catch such good odds, the steam that came on Leenock later brought the odds to 2.3 or so.

Really annoyed at the absence of the dota 2 lines by the way, its extremely rare to see so few tournaments/qualifiers running.

Mind if I ask in this example you posted above, do you size your bets to get 1 unit profit when the odds are considerably higher than 2 and why not just bet a whole unit? Is the probability to win less than 50% more like 30%? I am always fascinated by the bet sizes of other punters and try to size mines better for risk/profit thanks.

Just read about kelly criterion if you are curious about the optimal bet sizing. I hate to redirect people to google most of time, but in this case, it would be waste of time for me to explain it.

If you dont want to read the wiki article, you can find the short version here :

http://www.pinnaclesports.com/en/betting-articles/betting-strategy/how-to-use-kelly-criterion-for-betting
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 10, 2015, 08:57:54 AM
 #927

Managed to steal an awesome line that is gone now.

How good these odds? The ScaryfaceZZZ ML are availible at 2.1 now, and this is +1,5 spread for 1.84.

http://i.gyazo.com/7bb1cac3e32b59974494730ceb4e3f2b.png
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 10, 2015, 12:26:05 PM
 #928

Loss of 1.2 units thanks to Parting playing worst series of his life. This was just disgusting display for the round of 8 of GSL.

He should've 3-0 or 3-1 Byul given his skill advantage that he managed to display @map 4 and 5 even while being on tilt.

Guess he is joining herO in the protoss slump lol.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 10, 2015, 07:01:49 PM
 #929

Easy wins today on LGD -1,5 (1.9) and ScaryFaceZZZ +1,5 (1.9) to cover Parting's disasterious performance.

Probably the best line-shopping i've done in a while. The steam that came on both lines was pretty insane, the window for profits closed super fast.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 11, 2015, 07:57:36 AM
 #930

Almost nothing to bet on today when it comes to Dota.

The only one line that i would generally like is too dangerous to jump on today, because of the standin & ddos factor.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 12, 2015, 11:15:53 AM
 #931

Pretty crazy that Rain 3-1'd Maru. Wish i would fire on Rain, since it was my first though when i saw the odds.

My concerns about Maru's wrist were kind of true, he looks more and more uncomfortable playing.

Yesterday's dota matches were a joke, i am glad i stayed away from firing on C9 and Vega's spreads. I had a suspicion the games would be retarded thanks to Ddos/standins and they sure were.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 12, 2015, 04:09:48 PM
 #932

This week turned out to be pretty bad (unless something happens today/tomorrow), with a loss of 3.5 units. The week before was awesome though, with a gain of 8.5 units.

Very interesting Sc2 results today with Rain suddenly being godlike once again, and Curious playing super solid and owning Rogue 3-0. So far the whole round of 8 of GSL was pure underdog's winning, with the exception of sOs.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 13, 2015, 04:24:18 PM
 #933

Decent day today, lost 0,3 units on NiP vs Navi but won CDEC +1,5 @1.7, CDEC ML @2.9, LGD -1,5 @1.4 (1,5 units bet).

Total gain of ~2 units

Proleague week 6 lines should be up soon, looking forward to it.
Dalord1
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 58
Merit: 0


View Profile
June 13, 2015, 04:38:59 PM
 #934

what a horrible day.....not a single profit at all.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 13, 2015, 04:50:17 PM
 #935

what a horrible day.....not a single profit at all.

I get that you are just trying to get your post count up, but you should at least try to make it look legit.

Posting a complete absurd sentences will give it away.
yoloer808
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 237
Merit: 100


Web dev for hire


View Profile
June 13, 2015, 05:28:36 PM
 #936

i am also sad because of the lack of even a single profit.
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 13, 2015, 05:35:17 PM
 #937

Its more sad that some people have nothing else to do other than post in threads that they dont even read or follow. Reported to the mod for obvious spam/bait.
yoloer808
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 237
Merit: 100


Web dev for hire


View Profile
June 13, 2015, 07:50:45 PM
 #938

Its more sad that some people have nothing else to do other than post in threads that they dont even read or follow. Reported to the mod for obvious spam/bait.

you seem quite angry.
bitcoinprofit
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 854
Merit: 1000


View Profile
June 13, 2015, 08:30:20 PM
 #939

Its more sad that some people have nothing else to do other than post in threads that they dont even read or follow. Reported to the mod for obvious spam/bait.

you seem quite angry.

XD Lol indeed
magicmexican
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1000



View Profile
June 14, 2015, 02:13:13 PM
 #940

Starcraft 2 - SK Telecom Proleague odds released, and 2 out of 4 matches contain quite a bit of value.

Have bets pending on upcoming Vp-NiP and Secret-EG dota matches, on both ML and spreads.

Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 [47] 48 49 50 51 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Sponsored by , a Bitcoin-accepting VPN.
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!