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magicmexican (OP)
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June 07, 2015, 09:06:32 PM |
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If you are interested that much in parlays i suggest you to pass on the subscription. I dont hit parlays often at all, there could be months of not hitting a single one.
Obviously i dont share every parlay i go for to subs, but its not because i keep them to myself, but because i dont think all of them are profitable/smart.
If someone would want me to share every parlay i do with him - i will gladly do that, but he should understand that none of these parlays might ever win, not after 10 parlays, not after 50, not after 500.
I am not really interested in parlays nor would I expect you to hand out loads of parlays and always hit them. I was just wondering if your picks are not only Dota and Starcraft. My straight bets and parlays that i'm confident enough to share are only dota/starcraft |
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 08, 2015, 10:22:30 AM |
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Weird loss on LGD -1,5 today against their EP. LGD are like 2 tiers ahead and EP taking even 1 map from them is pretty close to miracle.
I guess LGD were a bit jetlagged or did not take that tournament all that seriosly.
A bit dissapointed how sharp most sc2 proleague lines are, expected way more value, only had 3 picks there from 12 matches. But perphaps crowd will push some lines towards value direction.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 08, 2015, 06:40:11 PM |
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Starting today i will manage all my active/past picks @google doc's spreadsheet.
Active subs will obviously have a reading access to it, to check all my current picks/parlays, as well as the results of the week/month with graphs and all that jazz.
Will probably be realising the results-only version of it every week or so to the public.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 09, 2015, 10:37:03 AM |
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Had 0.6 units on Leenock @2.72 for +1 unit profit. Got lucky to catch such good odds, the steam that came on Leenock later brought the odds to 2.3 or so.
Really annoyed at the absence of the dota 2 lines by the way, its extremely rare to see so few tournaments/qualifiers running.
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Wendigo
Legendary
 Offline
Activity: 2604
Merit: 1036
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June 09, 2015, 03:42:03 PM |
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Had 0.6 units on Leenock @2.72 for +1 unit profit. Got lucky to catch such good odds, the steam that came on Leenock later brought the odds to 2.3 or so.
Really annoyed at the absence of the dota 2 lines by the way, its extremely rare to see so few tournaments/qualifiers running.
Mind if I ask in this example you posted above, do you size your bets to get 1 unit profit when the odds are considerably higher than 2 and why not just bet a whole unit? Is the probability to win less than 50% more like 30%? I am always fascinated by the bet sizes of other punters and try to size mines better for risk/profit thanks. |
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 09, 2015, 04:18:02 PM |
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Had 0.6 units on Leenock @2.72 for +1 unit profit. Got lucky to catch such good odds, the steam that came on Leenock later brought the odds to 2.3 or so.
Really annoyed at the absence of the dota 2 lines by the way, its extremely rare to see so few tournaments/qualifiers running.
Mind if I ask in this example you posted above, do you size your bets to get 1 unit profit when the odds are considerably higher than 2 and why not just bet a whole unit? Is the probability to win less than 50% more like 30%? I am always fascinated by the bet sizes of other punters and try to size mines better for risk/profit thanks. Just read about kelly criterion if you are curious about the optimal bet sizing. I hate to redirect people to google most of time, but in this case, it would be waste of time for me to explain it. If you dont want to read the wiki article, you can find the short version here : http://www.pinnaclesports.com/en/betting-articles/betting-strategy/how-to-use-kelly-criterion-for-betting |
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 10, 2015, 12:26:05 PM |
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Loss of 1.2 units thanks to Parting playing worst series of his life. This was just disgusting display for the round of 8 of GSL.
He should've 3-0 or 3-1 Byul given his skill advantage that he managed to display @map 4 and 5 even while being on tilt.
Guess he is joining herO in the protoss slump lol.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 10, 2015, 07:01:49 PM |
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Easy wins today on LGD -1,5 (1.9) and ScaryFaceZZZ +1,5 (1.9) to cover Parting's disasterious performance.
Probably the best line-shopping i've done in a while. The steam that came on both lines was pretty insane, the window for profits closed super fast.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 11, 2015, 07:57:36 AM |
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Almost nothing to bet on today when it comes to Dota.
The only one line that i would generally like is too dangerous to jump on today, because of the standin & ddos factor.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 12, 2015, 11:15:53 AM |
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Pretty crazy that Rain 3-1'd Maru. Wish i would fire on Rain, since it was my first though when i saw the odds.
My concerns about Maru's wrist were kind of true, he looks more and more uncomfortable playing.
Yesterday's dota matches were a joke, i am glad i stayed away from firing on C9 and Vega's spreads. I had a suspicion the games would be retarded thanks to Ddos/standins and they sure were.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 12, 2015, 04:09:48 PM |
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This week turned out to be pretty bad (unless something happens today/tomorrow), with a loss of 3.5 units. The week before was awesome though, with a gain of 8.5 units.
Very interesting Sc2 results today with Rain suddenly being godlike once again, and Curious playing super solid and owning Rogue 3-0. So far the whole round of 8 of GSL was pure underdog's winning, with the exception of sOs.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 13, 2015, 04:24:18 PM |
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Decent day today, lost 0,3 units on NiP vs Navi but won CDEC +1,5 @1.7, CDEC ML @2.9, LGD -1,5 @1.4 (1,5 units bet).
Total gain of ~2 units
Proleague week 6 lines should be up soon, looking forward to it.
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Dalord1
Newbie
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Activity: 56
Merit: 0
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June 13, 2015, 04:38:59 PM |
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what a horrible day.....not a single profit at all.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 13, 2015, 04:50:17 PM |
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what a horrible day.....not a single profit at all.
I get that you are just trying to get your post count up, but you should at least try to make it look legit. Posting a complete absurd sentences will give it away. |
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yoloer808
Full Member
Offline
Activity: 288
Merit: 113
Web dev for hire
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June 13, 2015, 05:28:36 PM |
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i am also sad because of the lack of even a single profit.
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 13, 2015, 05:35:17 PM |
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Its more sad that some people have nothing else to do other than post in threads that they dont even read or follow. Reported to the mod for obvious spam/bait.
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yoloer808
Full Member
Offline
Activity: 288
Merit: 113
Web dev for hire
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June 13, 2015, 07:50:45 PM |
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Its more sad that some people have nothing else to do other than post in threads that they dont even read or follow. Reported to the mod for obvious spam/bait.
you seem quite angry. |
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bitcoinprofit
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June 13, 2015, 08:30:20 PM |
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Its more sad that some people have nothing else to do other than post in threads that they dont even read or follow. Reported to the mod for obvious spam/bait.
you seem quite angry. XD Lol indeed |
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magicmexican (OP)
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June 14, 2015, 02:13:13 PM |
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Starcraft 2 - SK Telecom Proleague odds released, and 2 out of 4 matches contain quite a bit of value.
Have bets pending on upcoming Vp-NiP and Secret-EG dota matches, on both ML and spreads.
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