◢◤ e-SPORT ◢◤ picks ►►► (+54.99 units)

[magicmexican]

10-0 for today's bets. Won Flash>Dream (took Flash close to even money) and herO>Patience in Parlays

and went 4-0(8-0 actually, if you count map1 and spread bets) in Dota MarsTV, Chiniese teams performed as they should today without any throws.

Not much bets left, except EG -1,5 vs Rave, which is pretty close to a free money @-220

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[1714616340]

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[magicmexican]

Free pick :




Nothing really to add, very good value spot.

[magicmexican]

EG-vs-Rave game 2 was one of the most beautiful comebacks in Dota i've seen. Really shows what you can do with superior decision making.

[magicmexican]

15-1 for today (9-1 in match bets, if you count ML+Spread as 1 bet), Mouz got outdrafted in game1 and despite playing better overall, couldnt do anything against the Huskar.

Interesting to see odds on C9-EG being so low for C9 (1.45 on C9) just after one 2-0 Victory two days ago.

Just shows how good my previous pick was for @2.037


Most satisfying win for today was M5 beating Burden being almost +400 underdogs for some reason. They already won Burden not that long ago in the past, and got vastly underestimated once again. Burden played pretty well recently, beating NiP and stuff, so i did not expect ML pick on M5 to land, but personal expectations and getting value are 2 very different things that a lot of people dont understand when it comes to capping.

Odds on 4 Clovers were wrong too, so there was a decent amount of value there. However, i did cut my unit sizing for their match just to hedge it somewhat against Ddos that was happening to them a ton.

[michinzx]

keep on the great work...been following this guy recently and he has done very well!

thanks gmode 

okay good we win 3 game today with 0 lose

I think Your all statistic not bad, win rate 50 %: 30 win and 15 lose, so keep update and Good luck bro  

caught this snippet of pure gold while looking at one of the other threads... i see what you meant earlier by the 'overall level of stupidity.' i didnt know it was this bad..

[magicmexican]

Good spot to get 1 unit of profit.

Even being out of shape, StarDust is the pretty decent fav here. Chiniese zergs are just very weak to timings in general, their ZvP meta is very underdeveloped.

Overall, just a good value bet.

[magicmexican]

Lost on Yonghwa today, he couldnt manage to beat the mech of Reality. Grabed him at +130 and he closed at even money, so whatever.

Won Newbee vs TongFu map 1 and -1,5 spread. TongFu being bad as ever and Newbee actually starting to show good form, consistently beating these tier2 teams.



Had no play @CJ entus vs SK Telecom, besides some parlays, and it was weird to see some degens @nitro chat thinking that it will be easy 3-0 for CJ when in reality the first 3 matches were close, with Classic and herO having slight edges, and Dream-Byul being close to a flip.


Last pending bet for today is Newbee-CDEC both map1 and -1,5

[magicmexican]

1-0 Today in a Proleague with MMA winning Cure, took him +145, he closed at around +120 or less.

Had no other plays in Jinair-Sbenu, but it was nice to see Sbenu pulling an upset, keeping some of the parlays alive.

Was about to post the free pick on some dota underdog, but the game got postponed anyway. Very few picks today in general.

[magicmexican]

1-0 Today in StarLeague with herO winning 3:2 against Maru @+100. Have a very small bet on Life against Dream but nothing substantial, odds were not there.

Here is a free pick for today :



Decent spot to take a shot on +2 units of profit with a small risk.

[Joca97]

1-0 Today in StarLeague with herO winning 3:2 against Maru @+100. Have a very small bet on Life against Dream but nothing substantial, odds were not there.

Here is a free pick for today :



Decent spot to take a shot on +2 units of profit with a small risk.

wow thats a pretty big odd,of 6x how sure are you in this match ?

[magicmexican]

1-0 Today in StarLeague with herO winning 3:2 against Maru @+100. Have a very small bet on Life against Dream but nothing substantial, odds were not there.

Here is a free pick for today :



Decent spot to take a shot on +2 units of profit with a small risk.

wow thats a pretty big odd,of 6x how sure are you in this match ?

EP are probably 20-25% to win this bo3, closer to 25%. Just grabbing value, i dont care who wins, i am never "sure" of anything.

A lot of people still confusing picks with predictions.

[srgkrgkj]

gotta say if you win that what a amazing payout i think that invictus gaming can let their gaurd down and damn you make a payout of 2 btc :O The world of Esports gaming is volatile as hell lol with some matches even being fixed

[magicmexican]

gotta say if you win that what a amazing payout i think that invictus gaming can let their gaurd down and damn you make a payout of 2 btc :O The world of Esports gaming is volatile as hell lol with some matches even being fixed

I had twice as bigger bet on them hitting +1,5 spread (which they just did), for 2.875 odds. So i already made a profit no matter if ML hits or not.

[magicmexican]

About 3.3 units of profit today.

Lost small on EP v IG ML and Life v Dream. Also lost on VG.P vs MY medium'ish.

Won EP v IG +1,5 - they clearly showed that are more than capable of taking games of IG, so very happy with my +520 ML bet.

Won herO v Maru ML

Won Vega v BU map1 and -1.5

Had Vega v Nip map1 & -1,5, but Vega was late to play map 1 and received a defloss - therefore canceled

[magicmexican]

Pretty good day @Proleague, won my bets on Life, Zest, Gumiho and MMA. Lost on Bomber&Losira. And herO losing to Departure (lol) killed some of the small yolo-parlays. But decent profit overall.

Rest of the day will be somewhat boring USA Ti5 qualifiers with most lines being sharp, not much value there at all (there is some, but i dont feel like posting it for free).

Have some picks for upcoming StarLeague and GSL, but those are days away. So nothing really for now.

[magicmexican]

Lost on Solar<Soo today. Won Innovation>Bravo, Dear>Classic, when it comes to SC2

Dota bets started breakeven, but ended up with a healthy profit from Wings crushing HGT in the deciding match for TI5 qualifiers.

Here is a cool little underdog value bet for free :

[bitcoinprofit]

If you call this parlay 'smallish' I would be very interested in seeing one of your 'biggish' parlays pretty please   And congratulations by the way.

I guess biggish would be something like this that i am yet to win : https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/3bcf70ab0xRZ1pNV1REWWhCamprdkRrUW9rZz09

Best one i have so far is https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/53015aeSUdBaTJyeWNGUEkwK25ReFh2elM4QT09, even if the amount is not that much higher, the odds are.

I too am interested in your famous occasional parlay picks like above I am still skeptical...would I be able to test your pick???...I propose we work something out... how does this sound if I win the +6 pick parlay it will be your choice of the following: 1) I subscribe to your picks for at least one month  OR 2) I send you half of the winnings in bitcoin...

If I lose I get 100% of the wager back in bitcoin.

Deal? Let me know.

[Joca97]

If you call this parlay 'smallish' I would be very interested in seeing one of your 'biggish' parlays pretty please   And congratulations by the way.

I guess biggish would be something like this that i am yet to win : https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/3bcf70ab0xRZ1pNV1REWWhCamprdkRrUW9rZz09

Best one i have so far is https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/53015aeSUdBaTJyeWNGUEkwK25ReFh2elM4QT09, even if the amount is not that much higher, the odds are.

I too am interested in your famous occasional parlay picks like above I am still skeptical...would I be able to test your pick???...I propose we work something out... how does this sound if I win the +6 pick parlay it will be your choice of the following: 1) I subscribe to your picks for at least one month  OR 2) I send you half of the winnings in bitcoin...

If I lose I get 100% of the wager back in bitcoin.

Deal? Let me know.

wow thats kind of risky for the provider ...but if you want 100% i dont think that magicmexican would agree to that,why would he give you 100% back? when he can bet all of that and win all for him self
50% would be okey if its back

[magicmexican]

If you call this parlay 'smallish' I would be very interested in seeing one of your 'biggish' parlays pretty please   And congratulations by the way.

I guess biggish would be something like this that i am yet to win : https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/3bcf70ab0xRZ1pNV1REWWhCamprdkRrUW9rZz09

Best one i have so far is https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/53015aeSUdBaTJyeWNGUEkwK25ReFh2elM4QT09, even if the amount is not that much higher, the odds are.

I too am interested in your famous occasional parlay picks like above I am still skeptical...would I be able to test your pick???...I propose we work something out... how does this sound if I win the +6 pick parlay it will be your choice of the following: 1) I subscribe to your picks for at least one month  OR 2) I send you half of the winnings in bitcoin...

If I lose I get 100% of the wager back in bitcoin.

Deal? Let me know.

Lol, you have to be joking.

However, if you were serious - just get out

[Wendigo]

Lol who is going to give you a 6-team sure win parlay in here mate are you joking? Kids these days