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1001  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why is it Bitcoin and Lambo? And not Ferrari for example? on: January 27, 2024, 08:47:05 PM
just a sidenote:
the reason lambo's are defined as a status symbol is not just wealth, its also health
lambo's design means a obese person is not going to be a lambo owner. so those that buy lambo's are showing they have attained wealth and health status.

obese richguys usually show it off in a chauffeured bently or limo of something of larger design
1002  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker on: January 27, 2024, 08:35:51 PM

If the FTX/Grayscale selling is basically over, and the sell-the-news market participants are done, both likely to be true at this point I think, then the ongoing large accumulating of bitcoin from the ETFs is going to start shocking the supply soon.

The withdrawal from Grayscale is not sell orders this means it is not that people are selling Bitcoin for fiat. It is just a transfer of ownership from FTX/Grayscale to BlackRock. Within a few months, we might start seeing the impact of the accumulation by these ETF providers on the price of Bitcoin.

That is simply not true. Much of the Grayscale selling has not be moved over to other ETFs. FTX alone sold over a billion dollars of bitcoin in grayscale. And there was estimated to be a couple billion dollars of money that came into grayscale in recent months with the intention of just using it as an arbitrage trade to pick up the difference in that negative NAV Grayscale had and then selling once that price difference disappeared upon being converted into an ETF. I'm sure SOME of Grayscale selling was people moving to ETFs with cheaper fees, likely at the very least half, and probably more, of the selling simply left the market and didn't go into another ETF.

No idea why you think all the grayscale selling is just going to other ETFs when that is very plainly not true.

..
however it technically is true.. for both statements
the coins are sold.. but also the coins are bought (thats how trade works) the bought coins are then moved to blackrock

when coins unlock(within coinbase) from grayscale, they are sold for fiat. meaning FTX gets fiat (FTX dont retain the coins)
AP's for blackrock use fiat to buy baskets of btc within coinbase to lock into blackrock
they do it via coinbases hotwallet of coins.
unlocking-sell-buy-relocking

coins cannot move "in-kind" from grayscale to blackrock. they have to be sold at the custodian(coinbase) for cash and then bought in cash to then lock into the other ETF(via coinbase)
1003  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who Can Explain What This Guy is Saying About Bitcoin On Reddit? on: January 27, 2024, 06:22:08 PM
The guy is just lying, or lucky, Brute force doesn't really work with seed phrases. And I don't understand why he is trying to do it by himself; if he's interested in it he can use some program to try those combinations.

he CREATED 2 seeds
the seeds had no coin nor history.. so he didnt guess anything.. he didnt brute anything. he just chose 2 new seeds

I can guess any random word and phrase and show a wallet
Not all combination of words give you a valid seed phrase.
In a 12 word BIP39 seed phrase, the last 4 bits are checksum and if you use random words, there's a 15/16 chance that the seed phrase is invalid.
In a 24 word BIP39 seed phrase, the last 8 bits are checksum and if you use random words, there's a 255/256 chance that the seed phrase is invalid.

most wallets these days, even if you input 12 random words. would notice your 12th word is wrong and do a checksum on the 11 words plus couple bytes of 12th word and correct to display new 12th word using the real checksum
1004  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why is it Bitcoin and Lambo? And not Ferrari for example? on: January 27, 2024, 06:15:46 PM
there are lots of social trend of some people (unrelated to bitcoin) shouting YOLO LAMBO, and other lambo related stuff as sign people attained wealth status

and then people getting great gains in bitcoin showed it off via getting a lambo

also there were some bitcoin conferences where organisers hired some lambos to be parked out front of the conference as a PR campaign
1005  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Hodlonaut Trial on: January 27, 2024, 06:06:19 PM
"open commercialisation"
ding ding proof CSW is not satoshi

i too thought his settlement terms were a comedy script which declared him a proven nutjob

heck even his word of "database" instead of "ledger"
lets just use googles best top search answer to show how little he understands things
Quote
A database is typically organised into tables, with each table containing records that can be updated or deleted. A ledger, on the other hand, is structured as a series of entries that are added over time and cannot be changed or deleted

he could have learned so much in 3 seconds but decided to show he is an idiot
1006  Economy / Economics / Re: How will the BRICS currency influence Bitcoin? on: January 27, 2024, 01:36:32 PM
anyone still confused by brics economics...?

well go check out iraq
to join brics they had to ban using the dollar and.. guess what.. not use yuan as a yuanization, nor move to a new single currency global system, but instead re-instate its iraqi dinar. yep, to join brics iraq needed to have its own currency, to move away from us dollar reliance.

(it pays to actually research)
1007  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin devs can undo 21M supply cap but can’t force changes on: January 27, 2024, 05:56:21 AM
value stored in byte form on the blockchain is measured in sats..
yep the blockchain does not understand what a BTC is
btc however is just a GUI expression (just math multiplication at display level of software)
expressing sats amounts in a more compact way for visual ease of user experience

the REAL RULES of bitcoin is actually
starting from 5000000000 units awarded per block, where rewards half every 210,000 blocks

without breaking any code of unit audit rules of the blockchain. coalitions of economic nodes(merchant services/exchanges), devs and mining pool nodes can simply decide that a btc is not sats/100m but sats/1m where by someone with legacy 0.5btc now has 50btc in new math and there being 2.1b btc total eventual circulation, and would not break the unit logic of blockchain data to cause more units. thus no need to even need hardforks or breaking of blockchain logic

EG gold exchanges changing from "gold"=1kg to "gold"=1 ounce to "gold"=10grams.. without having to find/mine more actual gold

..
devs can also break the blockchain logic rules. to cause more units to be produced per block in multiple ways. such as not half every 210,000 block. but this would require majority consensus (again though mainly just the devs, economic nodes and mining pool nodes), where by users nodes would just update blindly to stay in communication and in sync with the services of the network
1008  Economy / Economics / Re: How will the BRICS currency influence Bitcoin? on: January 27, 2024, 05:37:37 AM
The BRICS currency is designed as a currency that will facilitate transactions between member countries which will replace the dollar or the country's local currency. So in the future, by using the BRICS currency, BRICS members will be able to carry out cross-border transactions without needing to use their currency or dollars as a contract. The purpose of the BRICS currency is only to disrupt the dominance of the US dollar or the use of local currencies in transactions across BRICS member countries, it will not interfere with Bitcoin or other Cryptocurrencies because from the start the BRICS member countries did not use them in their transactions.

there is no brics currency (singular)
BRICS plan on a multi currency model
1009  Economy / Economics / Re: The world's logic favours income makers, not the savers on: January 27, 2024, 05:25:05 AM
I agree with your conclusion, saving in any fiat is wrong, in the long run it will lose value. But luckly, investing was never easier... I guess we can thank the internet for that, everything is available and easy accessible. It's hard to beat the system and make a break trough, but I think that crypto is/can be a game changer for many of us. Unlike some other investments it doesn't require a middleman, we can do everything ourselves.

I started learning about these things late, but financial education is very important. People should start learning about this from the early ages.

dont think of savings as wealth creating.
think of savings as a small pot of like 1-3months of resources to save you(rescue you) when in dire need.
(saving=rescue fund.. rather than "saving"=wealth accumulate)

investing is the wealth accumulation to hedge against inflation
1010  Economy / Economics / Re: How will the BRICS currency influence Bitcoin? on: January 27, 2024, 04:54:55 AM
side note
china developed many "free trade zones"
which opened china up more then some western countries that want to control trade.

heck even the UK brexited EU so that the UK can set up its own freeports to emulate chinas free trade zones
yet the UK is still having issues setting up freeports even now years after brexit

UK freeports are a gimmick compared to chinas zones.. UK freeports are just a industrial/business piece of land, only from for a few businesses to manufacture/repackage goods

china offers better independence of international trade..
but western media love to find small nuggest of negativity about china, as their whataboutism to hide the westerns issues. but dare anyone point out the whataboutism to reveal the issues with western countries. topics end up spiralling into patriotic arguments of who can show western adoration more. and the facts get dismissed and replaced with admirations
1011  Economy / Economics / Re: How to stay poor! on: January 27, 2024, 04:11:35 AM
the only issue with giving/lending to friends/family, is who you give it too
if you give it to someone you know is not reliable, and you expect it back, especially if its an amount that will trigger emotion if lost. just say no

however if the friend/family is also on the generous/genuine side knowing they are not the nefarious type to skip out on bills/obligations
and you help them out in a true time of last resort need, with a loan at a 0% rate with repayments in a affordable way thats better then any other offer they can find. (where there is no non-repayment excuse) and you have it wrote out and scheduled by seeing them set up their bank account to make regular payments on their income day+1 so they cant even say they have no money left.  then you can protect yourself

the main problem is the friend/family types that are not reliable with their finances intentionally. so with those types of friends/family, avoid financial support conversations and instead just give verbal advice to them to manage funds better
1012  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Everything you wanted to know about Grayscale BTC Trust but were afraid to ask! on: January 27, 2024, 03:58:44 AM
the alistair milne tweet.. doesnt make sense

he explains
'DCG has ~$2b of debt.. so needs high fees to use high fees to pay off debt'
'DCG has ~$2b of debt.. so needs to sell $2b of its locked coin to pay off debt'
all in the same tweet..

however even at a discount lets say $40k/btc
selling just 50,000btc would cover $2b
however grayscale dropped by over 100k and still dropping. (502k from over 640k = over 138k)
or in fiat terms they took $5.5b+ out of their own game

its not a high fee to use fees to pay debt. its a high fee to create a closed door to not introduce new share buckets to compete with the need for grayscale to sell its own shares and then relinquish control of those coins
1013  Economy / Economics / Re: China's economy is very sick. What to prepare for? on: January 26, 2024, 07:27:33 PM
It's no secret that after the Kovid pandemic, China's economy has been hit pretty hard.

from all reports (not western media)
in 2019 china did not want to rush to judgement about outbreak until it was truly confirmed even while doctors were gossiping on social media about their patients new symptoms
but by 2020 china announed it and instantly went into hospital building and they managed their covid issues faster then US/UK

so pretending china was hit hard is a stretch compared to people in america having issues even in 2022-24

Further problems were a continuation of the economic confrontation with the U.S., which was not a smart move on China's part, as overestimating its strength is the biggest mistake.

spy balloons? not really in comparison to N.korea threatening nukes, or russia going to war..
come on now. dont go full exagguration

Then there was (and now the problem continues) Evergrande and in general the real estate market and related sectors of the economy....
yep they did 'dun goof' on that, over developed property with an expectation of a baby boom from 2016+, which never happend due to the young female adults still indocrinated with their sex education of one child parenting (they should have waited a decade for the post 2016 pupils taught aof 2-3 child parenting to then grow up into adults to then be at the age to settle down and want multiple room apartments

in short they shot for glory too early. but the apartments will be ready by the time those pupils taught that 2-3 kids is fine, grow up to be ready to start a family.. so just a delay, not a complete loss

And the day before yesterday the news came out: China is considering the option of withdrawing 2 trillion yuan ($278 billion) from offshore accounts of state-owned companies to save the record falling stock market. Bloomberg writes about it.
According to people familiar with the matter, Chinese authorities are considering a package of measures to stabilize the falling stock market after previous attempts to restore investor confidence failed and prompted Prime Minister Li Keqiang to call for "forceful" steps.
well china taking wealth out of the us to concentrate on chinese projects.. logical
much like saudi taking money out of china to concentrate on saudi neom city.. logical

On the one hand, it seems to be the world's second economy, "the world's factory", nominally "the second pole of the bipolar world", on the other hand, it is no longer possible to hide the problems and it is necessary to take such measures.  The question is: since the situation with the Chinese economy is no longer manageable, and we have to take tough and prompt actions to save the economy - how do you think this will affect the global economy, the crypto market, and what to prepare for?

not manageable.. ?
last time i checked it was the US raising the debt ceiling and then having government take administrative breaks.
last time i checked america lost control of its borders
last time i checked america had more mexicans in detention camps than chinese had uyghurs in detention camps

im ancestered, born and raised british(western) but even i can see passed all the FUD of the fox news style rhetoric throwing muffled numbers about to try to make china look bad to hide how bad things are getting in the US

im guessing you are probably in the fox new-esq belief that china control the citizens lives and finances via an app that requires chinese whole life story and reputation..
well test your theory, go to a travel agent that does currency swaps and ask for yuan.. be surprised they hand you bank notes without needing you to register life to chinese app

1014  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is there a group or organization that specifically supports Bitcoin as currency? on: January 26, 2024, 06:20:27 PM
Do you know of any organizations that promote the use of Bitcoin as a currency?
bitcoin is a currency..
if you mean treat as direct money for goods/services. thats another detail
but currency is a umbrella term.
even your spouse and you swap sexual favours as a form of currency
even your neighbour and you swap beers or help fixing a car as favours in a form of currency
anything can be a currency

but if you mean a more defined subclass of currency such as money
you wont find many places right now due to the fee's causing people to be stand-off-ish at the moment to use it as direct tender for goods services

most end up using locked coins with pegged subnetwork IOU units of measure or centralised services to move IOU value which settle-up later on

A user group or organization that specifically supports Bitcoin as a currency could be beneficial.
Do you think it would be worth creating one?

there were many organisations, they designed leaflets and posters and tutorials and done some events.
these days its more locally done by people meeting up in their region/area,
or individuals setting up websites that list where bitcoin ATM's are and bitcoin accepting services.
but most of those have switched to managing funds via centralised services or locking funds up to use middle men required subnetworks to evade the bitcoin fee's (avoid using actual bitcoin network)
1015  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool Observer Topic on: January 26, 2024, 05:28:59 PM

                                                                                                   ^        ^
                                                                                                    A        BC
at first i thought pools were letting in zero fee's .. then realised it was just a couple "empty blocks"
A https://www.blockchain.com/explorer/blocks/btc/827402
B https://www.blockchain.com/explorer/blocks/btc/827452
C https://www.blockchain.com/explorer/blocks/btc/827453

just checked on a few recent actual blocks.. rather than averages of the fee buddy and charts here..
and some blocks do average below 20byte/sat (i know feebuddy measures in vbyte, which is different )

1016  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Hodlonaut Trial on: January 26, 2024, 04:59:34 PM
getting back to the hodlonaut case

(the UK one)
https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/01/26/uk-supreme-court-refuses-craig-wright-appeal/

CSW last summer was not happy with his £1('here have a lollipop, crybaby') in damages for defamation. and so wanted to appeal...
in december the courts said no

seems the court rejected CSW appeal last month and hodlonauts lawyers didnt hear about it until this week, neither did coindesk check


as for the COPA case
CSW also released a letter pleading to settle the COPA case.. but with conditions that benefit him..
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/dr-craig-wright-issues-settlement-offer-to-copa-members-and-all-parties-in-upcoming-intellectual-property-litigation-302043611.html

 that too was rejected by those in COPA
1017  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: This Bitcoin block is new for me. Can anyone explain what happened? on: January 26, 2024, 04:36:33 PM
miners dont see/touch transactions.. mining pool(managers) do... miners mine block candidates passed to them
mining pool(managers) dont mine, they validate and collate transactions into candidate blocks
This is a bit confusing, I assumed that miners and mining pools can exist independently. Miners can join pools but they can also operate independently and in that case would not need mining pools to pass off candidate blocks to them.

- Jay -

we are not in the solo mining days of 2009-2011

these days miners are ASICS (2013+)
the act of mining is the hashing of a block candidate

asics have no hard drive to store the blockchain.
asics do not collate transactions
all a asic does is hash256 a header(mine)

even the misleading concept of "solo ckpool" is still a pool managing the transactions where only the reward is paid out to the winning miner of the pool that solved the difficult hash..

To operate independently they need to be in possession of hashpower comparable to mining pools.
thats just a private pool.
asics miners do not store the blockchain so you still need a manager to collate transactions and communicate that block template to your miners
1018  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: This Bitcoin block is new for me. Can anyone explain what happened? on: January 26, 2024, 12:35:44 PM
The blocks were mine faster before miners were able to include any transaction into their candidate block. You can take a look at the transactions, they were mined in just some seconds.

The mining pool that mined the two blocks also mined the third block which has transactions included.

miners dont see/touch transactions.. mining pool(managers) do... miners mine block candidates passed to them
mining pool(managers) dont mine, they validate and collate transactions into candidate blocks


so wording it correctly
miners mined a candidate block before a mining pool was able to include any transactions
1019  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitwise becomes first US spot Bitcoin ETF to disclose BTC holding addresses on: January 26, 2024, 10:03:00 AM
I personally feel it's quite lol to see that the reason others are not doing the same is "security concerns" of hacking and tampering. Clearly they don't even know shit if they think you can actually risk being stolen just by showing your holding address.

Bitcoin experts clearly right?

if a server has a file that lists their private keys and labels them to the associated address, to know which key is for which address
then a hacker can just scan the server for addresses in a file, and grab any/all files containing that address, thus then grabbing privatekey just by association

for instance bitwise is using legacy, thus no multisig of split keys on different devices, so by hacking bitwise computers and only downloading files containing its reserves bitcoin address, they can quickly mostlikely grab a file with privkey too
1020  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How the Bitcoin ETF could actually tank Bitcoin's market value on: January 26, 2024, 09:46:08 AM
there is a non-zero bottom with bitcoin (unless the technology broke(code bug))

even if hobby miners cant mine. there is a significant amount of mining farms that are not day players but instead already invested 2 years worth of electric contracts and 2 years of hardware lifetime. so they will mine no matter what..
and they want to break even so they wont sell daily or at a loss, they will just accumulate coin as they dont have daily costs. its all prepaid longterm


this means hashrate wont drop to zero. this also means there is a non zero cost of mining even most efficiently. which everyone on the planet sees as a base rate no one can acquire for less and everyone cant afford to sell for less if they acquired.

everyone will then project their own personal/regional higher costs and if the market is cheap they will be happy to buy bitcoin cheap

this will and does cause a non zero market price support.
yes traders can try to sell large lumps of bitcoin to push the price down, but even they will run out of coin.

the amount that the price can tank is not down to zero (unless bitcoins code was broken)

so these corrections back to value levels. are not "tanking to zero" risk.. but instead temporary discount opportunity


on the other hand PoS coins dont really have any "work" cost of mining.. so PoS coins can tank to zero
especially coins which do not have their own market sentiment but are instead shadow tracing bitcoins price.

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