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1321  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 08:47:16 AM
Its like the sell function on Houbi has been turned off.

Thinks. This reminded me to check the Stoch RSI. I forgot about that nifty feature.

1322  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 08:28:56 AM
The bulls are behind the train trying to push-start it again.
1323  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 06:56:03 AM
Are we on the train to the moon yet?
1324  Other / Off-topic / Re: NSA to Control the Stock Market on: May 08, 2014, 06:26:29 AM
It's nice to know we have an alternative to Wall Street.
Yet all the bulls want 'wall street to move in' and can't wait for the 'big wall street money' and wall street regulations.
1325  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 04:46:56 AM
What's up with the big btc transactions?


A while ago, I saw five 8k btc transactions and lots of 1k-4k transaction
Sorry that's just me buying my stash for the year.
1326  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 03:48:16 AM
1327  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: May 08, 2014, 02:42:15 AM
Can you guys please stop drawing charts connecting 2014 to 2013. We are broken out of that trend into a completely different trend.

Could you elaborate with some justification? I concede in advance that bitcoin price series have been difficult to forecast, yet clear patterns appear in the history.
Indicators on weekly chart: RSI divergence. EW termination. EMA downcross. Imminent falling under weekly ichimoku cloud.
1328  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 02:22:57 AM
bears please click here.

this has been a public service announcement
Hot newses are not going to do anything to the price trend. There needs to be volume and capitulation.

ya i'm sure everyone is going to capitulate soon, because price is low and that makes poeple want to capitulate

china banned bitcoin poeple sold for 6 months non stop, big deal, why the should i capitulate?
I didn't say a word about China. This is strictly technical. The end of a trend needs to be marked with an increase in volume.
1329  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 02:14:24 AM
bears please click here.

this has been a public service announcement
Hot newses are not going to do anything to the price trend. There needs to be volume and capitulation.
1330  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 12:53:00 AM
egg rolls anyone?
1331  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 12:07:26 AM
Will we finally manage to keep a 3d macd crossover green...that is what I am hoping to see ( on stamp).

You cannot use 3D MACD when 1W EMA is down and is so close ($480). You need 1W MACD to break this:

1332  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: May 07, 2014, 11:42:48 PM
I would draw the lines a bit more like this.

It seems to me BTC is at a critical inflection point.  A break below 400 would be bearish and a break above 550 would be bullish. 

The next few weeks should tell us which way this market wants to go.



Can you guys please stop drawing charts connecting 2014 to 2013. We are broken out of that trend into a completely different trend.
1333  Economy / Speculation / Re: I do not think much will happen on May 10th. I think the worst is behind us. on: May 07, 2014, 11:40:44 PM
10th = Nothing ...5 mins after this Volume enters the market and we will see a rise

TA 101 = Anthing know and expected means the opposite


What if everyone is expecting a rise on May 10, so it falls.
1334  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2014, 11:30:16 PM
1335  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2014, 10:52:29 PM
China's like  'wha what's going on over there in that crazy west with those 'bitcoiners'? Is everthing ok guys? A 1K sell? That's cute. I'm still pumping, ok?'
1336  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2014, 10:43:44 PM
I think this is a distinctive feature of an extended downtrend - the sudden unexpected harsh enforcement action when the bulls start to get out of control.
1337  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2014, 10:34:23 PM
I just saw a 971 btc sell wall flash on finex and then disappear in 2 seconds.

edit: there it is on stamp 1019btc
1338  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2014, 10:28:30 PM
Can the train make it through the guantlet?

1339  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2014, 10:18:01 PM
1340  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2014, 02:31:58 PM

I think it was something about a Chinese bank account closing or the 'apr 15 deadline'. I don't really care about the news though. I just know when we are close enough to the downtrend line, we are bound to go down for some reason or another - the market is just looking for any excuse to jolt down.

You have a shorting target then?

I don't have any guess about the bottom that I can be confident about. I am closing out all my trading positions on the next big move, whether it is up (Trend reversal), or down (good price) and quitting trading.

Fair enough, I'm just waiting for the real trend reversal and then Im max leverage and getting on with life for a few months.
You have to keep in mind that even after the reversal there are going to be a lot of sideways periods that go on for months. Are you just going to hold a leveraged position for months and months? That's a lot of swap fees (and a lot of exchange risk). I only like to leverage during the ATH rallies.

Im not as sure as you that we will see months of sideway action, you could argue that the last month or so has been sideways.

0.07% is hardly a lot of fees if the price is trending upwards. Cheaper than a normal loan but yes there is the exchange risk. When I say when the trend is reversed I mean definitely, for sure, not we've gone up $30 in a day(you could even call it what you may consider an ATH rally situation).

It all depends how you look at it, I think that this trend is not really reversing until China is actually over and done with either way, I think that once that happens its going to be like a spring that has been compressed for months.
Once prices are trending upwards, the swap fee will probably get much higher. I saw it high as 1.5% in November.
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