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16221  Economy / Speculation / Re: reeses, jcpham, and smoothie's futures contract (split from #bitcoin IRC log) on: July 19, 2012, 11:30:38 PM
Looks like we've got two trolls on this thread.

You guys wanna cry and whine have at it...this is funny.

I will honor the agreement...just chill.

 Grin Grin Grin
16222  Economy / Speculation / Re: reeses, jcpham, and smoothie's futures contract (split from #bitcoin IRC log) on: July 19, 2012, 11:25:31 PM
This forum moves at a snail's pace and it pains me. 3 days to come to an agreement over 50btc. What the shit. Seriously, is this normal? Do you make decisions this slow in the real world? Why does this move at such a snail's pace? The dweebs usually make decisions faster than this in more real-time places. I imagine for every post someone has here on this forum, it means they missed out on a real good trading opportunity elsewhere.

I'm waiting on confirmations, Maged. I had no idea you guys would pounce on an unknown third party like that, I thought I was doing good by not escrowing with anyone I have any affiliation with at all, but no, that's just not quite good enough for you, you need someone with "forum reputation". Last time I checked it took 1 username, and one password to exploit an identity here.  I pick a random guy from IRC with several months of good trades to steward what amounts to a single bitcoin block reward for us and you say it seems sketchy. I say troll thread is obvious, here's my bitcoins anyways, suckers.

FWIW the authentication on IRC is most certainly 2-factor ( nickserv and GPG/bitcoin authentication ). We dweebs like knowing who we are dealing with. You guys are all socks AFAIK with nothing to lose, there's no way to establish actual trust here on this forum, regardless of what you might think. The only way I can imagine actual trust being established is to gpg-sign every freaking post. This forum does not prove your identity and has no way of doing so.

I'm rather astonished as well.  And glad you beat me to the $550. ;>  Questioning the need for an escrow now and then questioning the escrow himself is just retarded.

You know he's going to disappear in October anyway.

Wanna wager that I will honor my bet? LOL...chicken?...sorry i mean chicken troll?
16223  Economy / Speculation / Re: reeses, jcpham, and smoothie's futures contract (split from #bitcoin IRC log) on: July 19, 2012, 09:41:07 PM
Well it is the FIRST known public bitcoin contract. Just chill man...we're making history!  Grin

Uh.. no, it isn't and no, you're not.

He didn't even know what he was getting into.  Someone else had to tell him the equivalent financial product, and it's not even really that, either.  You could have told him it was a Back-priced bantu bond and he'd get just as excited.

Still trolling? Still butthurt? Aww....poor thing... Grin
16224  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: "Shorting" altcoins on: July 19, 2012, 09:05:28 PM
I still don't see much interest in this yet...
16225  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Will ASIC mining destroy Bitcoin? on: July 19, 2012, 08:47:09 PM
ASIC mining will make it much, much tougher for an entity to borrow a bunch of computing power to attack bitcoin.

For instance, lets suppose BFL sells just $5 million dollars worth of their "coffee warmers". (a highly conservative number that'd probably leave them bankrupt after they paid for the ASIC development costs) That's about 33 thousand coffee warmers, or 234TH/sec. Suppose the attacker decided to requisition a whole bunch of computers to attack Bitcoin, for instance by asking Amazon or Google "nicely" One 4-way Opteron CPU can do about 115MH/s, so for your 51% attack you'll need about 1 million CPU's. If you're renting from Amazon, that's costing you something like a million dollars an hour, assuming you could even get them to let you rent that much computing power. The capital cost of all that computing power is also in the range of hundreds of millions of dollars, heck, easily a billion dollars with server farm overhead.

Finding a whole bunch of GPU's is actually rather tough, as most GPU farms are for scientific computing and use floating-point optimized GPU's that aren't very good at computing hashes.

A final possibility is borrowing an FPGA farm. We could make the rough assumption that the value of the farm's FPGAs will have the same $/Hash ratio as BFL's currently shipping product. So that's 117TH/sec / 0.8GHash/Single * $600/Single = $87.7 Million dollars worth of FPGAs. Intel might have that kind of FPGA farm available - they're used for chip verification - but again, renting it won't be cheap. Also, it looks like BFL is getting it's FPGAs at pretty cheap prices - a $600 single has $2000 worth of FPGAs in it - so with wholesale discounts we still might need to triple or quadruple that $87 million.

With ASIC mining, the cheapest way to computationally attack Bitcoin is probably by doing a run of your own ASICs, and it's not something you can do quickly. All that effort and money just so you can find out the myriad ways that the devs can stop 51% attacks using techniques possible now that Bitcoin is widely established.


For instance, lets suppose the NSA decides to attack Bitcoin. They could probably round up the hundreds of millions of dollars worth of computing power to make it happen, although it'd be a big hit to their black budget. Chances are within a few hours to days the devs will respond with something like a "coin-age" rule and ask everyone to upgrade. Now blocks get rejected, and nodes blacklisted, if they try to pass blocks into the network that don't meet coin age requirements. Transactions start flowing again, although the price on Mt. Gox has dropped severely, lets say 50%. At the same time the "known-legit" mining pools are also taking steps to protect their investment, by temporarily centralizing a bit, and blocking connections to nodes that aren't on a whitelist; the "most-difficult-block-wins" rule has been temporarily suspended. Note that at this point it's still not possible for anyone to steal coins, and not much more possible to do double spends.

Now, one thing the NSA could do is buy a bunch of coins so their blocks get accepted again. The problem is, now they're basically giving people a way to get out of Bitcoin, and boosting the price on the exchanges, restoring confidence. Exactly what they don't want! If they do nothing, they're still burning at least hundreds of thousands of dollars an hour, while the network figures out ways to mitigate the damage.

Honestly, ordering some assassinations on the guys running major exchanges sounds a lot cheaper...
Why wouldn't someone trying to 51 the network just approach BFL? They'd have ready-to-use chips and it would significantly cheaper for them to produce them than the entity doing it themselves.

As far as I can see, bitcoin security is proportional to market capitalization. The more bitcoins are worth the larger the income for miners will be and, thus, more miners will exist. The marginal cost of ASICs is tiny though. So if some entity were to develop their own ASIC, I'm not sure if it would matter that they'd have to produce 100,000 chips instead of 10,000.

Quote
Honestly, ordering some assassinations on the guys running major exchanges sounds a lot cheaper...
And I realize our developers being assassinated is not realistic, but then again I really really really don't want them all on the same plane on any business trips...  
We should instate the Coca Cola rule. No two developers can ever travel on the same plane at once!

EDIT: Also, bike helmets are now mandatory for the devs.

+1 lol
16226  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: LAST DAY OF SC TRADING ON BTC-E EXCHANGE!!!! on: July 19, 2012, 08:34:16 PM
Why would someone buy SC now?

Why should have anybody bought SC in the first place?
There's a sucker born every minute.

Edit: Are there any exchanges left where SC is traded or was btc-e the last one?

https://vircurex.com/welcome/index?base=btc&alt=sc

Damn one more to go...lol
16227  Economy / Speculation / Re: reeses, jcpham, and smoothie's futures contract (split from #bitcoin IRC log) on: July 19, 2012, 08:33:50 PM
Well it is the FIRST known public bitcoin contract. Just chill man...we're making history!  Grin

Uh.. no, it isn't and no, you're not.

Link?

I'm not trolling my irc logs to prove you wrong.  Its happened repeatedly in #bitcoin-otc.

Have any of those exchanges occured 3.5 months out into the future?
16228  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: LAST DAY OF SC TRADING ON BTC-E EXCHANGE!!!! on: July 19, 2012, 08:27:29 PM
Good point mates! Nope...zero exchanges!
16229  Economy / Speculation / Re: reeses, jcpham, and smoothie's futures contract (split from #bitcoin IRC log) on: July 19, 2012, 08:04:12 PM
Well it is the FIRST known public bitcoin contract. Just chill man...we're making history!  Grin

Uh.. no, it isn't and no, you're not.

Link?
16230  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How many BTC do you have? on: July 19, 2012, 07:49:28 PM
with so many trolls on the forums

i wouldn't believe anyone that clicks 100,000

+1
16231  Other / Off-topic / Re: 5000 posts and only a year later on: July 19, 2012, 07:48:00 PM
Remind me again why this post is about you and not ONLY about bitcoin?

This needs to be moved to Off Topic IMO.

Love your work but sometimes you talk too much about yourself.

Regards

Smoothie  Grin Grin Grin
16232  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is my bitcoin wallet on MY local computer? on: July 19, 2012, 07:43:02 PM
I want to start to accumulate bitcoin so it is easier for me to transfer/exchange when I need them. I installed bitcoin wallet from bitcoin.org. When and if I tranfer BTC into this wallet are the bitcoin stored locally within this program or this program just captures the transactions and just displays them? I'm just looking for the easiest / quickest way to accumulate and transfer bitcoin. I really do not want to associate anything with a credit card or bank account. I want to be safe, not sorry. Thanks, I really appreciate the info.



Think of it that your password to access your bitcoins (and only you) are stored on your computer.

Keep it safe!
16233  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why compared to the dollar? on: July 19, 2012, 07:39:30 PM
Isn't the whole idea behind bitcoin not affiliating itself with regular money as we know it? I see so many comparisons to btc/usd. If people are only interested in what a btc is worth compared to an American dollar then what is the idea behind btc? Why even compare a bitcoin to the dollar? Can't it just be itself and worth what people would make it worth? I know I'm not explaining myself correctly probably. Like what is the real benefit of bitcoin over the dollar? It is not backed or insured....is it just the "idea" of having an underground money? It is not like I can go out food shopping and pay with bitcoin. I'm just curious...what people have to say.



Profit
16234  Economy / Speculation / Re: A Theory on what pirateat40 is doing on: July 19, 2012, 07:37:49 PM
No way this is a ponzi guys.

He would not want to do anything illegal since his identity is public.

Oh wait ... "but Bitcoin".

Just hope GPUMAX coins won't be blacklisted or some other crap after this folds.

Carry on pirate !

And we should listen you because you have a scammer tag? LOL!
16235  Economy / Speculation / Re: reeses, jcpham, and smoothie's futures contract (split from #bitcoin IRC log) on: July 19, 2012, 07:35:46 PM
I think someone got up on the wrong side of the stable this morning...

+1 I concur
16236  Economy / Speculation / Re: [POLL] when will the panic buying begin? on: July 19, 2012, 07:35:09 PM
after those who sold into the rally get over their initial euphoria and get a strong visceral sensation
that the dollar ain't what it used to be.

I doubt that there will be much panic buying because of reward halfing.

What counts is what the ASICS owners do with their coins.

My mindset has always been, if I mined, I'd like to save all the coins, but I'd need to sell a portion to pay for the electricity anyway, so I probably would have sold more than necessary.

But now with the electrical costs being so low, I can afford to take whatever meager amount I mine and just save it all away.

I suspect that, in general, ASICs miners will be doing far more saving than GPU miners do.


+1 And perhaps GPU miners will have to close shop or find alternatives to keep mining.
16237  Economy / Speculation / Re: reeses, jcpham, and smoothie's futures contract (split from #bitcoin IRC log) on: July 19, 2012, 07:34:06 PM
This forum moves at a snail's pace and it pains me. 3 days to come to an agreement over 50btc. What the shit. Seriously, is this normal? Do you make decisions this slow in the real world? Why does this move at such a snail's pace? The dweebs usually make decisions faster than this in more real-time places. I imagine for every post someone has here on this forum, it means they missed out on a real good trading opportunity elsewhere.

I'm waiting on confirmations, Maged. I had no idea you guys would pounce on an unknown third party like that, I thought I was doing good by not escrowing with anyone I have any affiliation with at all, but no, that's just not quite good enough for you, you need someone with "forum reputation". Last time I checked it took 1 username, and one password to exploit an identity here.  I pick a random guy from IRC with several months of good trades to steward what amounts to a single bitcoin block reward for us and you say it seems sketchy. I say troll thread is obvious, here's my bitcoins anyways, suckers.

FWIW the authentication on IRC is most certainly 2-factor ( nickserv and GPG/bitcoin authentication ). We dweebs like knowing who we are dealing with. You guys are all socks AFAIK with nothing to lose, there's no way to establish actual trust here on this forum, regardless of what you might think. The only way I can imagine actual trust being established is to gpg-sign every freaking post. This forum does not prove your identity and has no way of doing so.






Well it is the FIRST known public bitcoin contract. Just chill man...we're making history!  Grin
16238  Economy / Economics / Re: Trust/backing... on: July 19, 2012, 07:32:17 PM
In another thread venom said:
Quote
Give people some kind of assurance that there isn't a way that the operator of the currency can just start minting bitcoins at will.  It's probably irrelevant at the moment - but imagine if BC$ was as popular as e-gold in its heyday - the owner, if he were less than honest, could essentially be an Internet millionaire spending his own currency at will around the interwebs.   In theory it's possible with any digital currency - but at least, the theory behind the digital gold currencies is that if all else fails, you can call them up and redeem physical gold (I'm referring to c-gold, e-gold, Pecunix, GoldMoney, and probably many others) so you have something 'tangible' as backup.  What is BC backed by?  Just saying, these might be things that a skeptic will ask himself before wanting to use this currency.
So the short answer is that BC is backed by mathematics/cryptography and the "wisdom of crowds"; assuming there's no flaw in the algorithms, and assuming that there is no grand conspiracy of more than half of the BC nodes, it is impossible to inflate the currency or make fraudulent payments.

I don't believe in grand conspiracies, so that doesn't worry me.  And I can't see any flaw in the algorithms... but that's where I'm skeptical (there might be bugs in the BC code, but those can and will be easily fixed).

Are there any professional cryptographers looking at Bitcoin?
Or will they only get interested if/when Bitcoin gets popular?



Gavin had the right attitude from the first few weeks in getting involved with bitcoin.

It's not all about mining and not all about profit, but perhaps USABILITY!
16239  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: BFL Labs just like Get-rich-quick-schemes on: July 19, 2012, 07:22:37 PM
I have a feeling that some who ordered will get their order received after some others...and possibly in a way that will hurt their profitability.

Just saying...look at how many let downs we have had: MyBitcoin, Bitcoinica, etc...hacked exchanges...

Wouldn't be surprised...but I do know one thing....it won't affect bitcoin much.
16240  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / LAST DAY OF SC TRADING ON BTC-E EXCHANGE!!!! on: July 19, 2012, 07:19:58 PM
HURRY UP AND BUY AND SELL AS MUCH AS YOU CAN OF SHORTBUSCOIN! TIME IS GETTING SHORT CINDERELLA!

One more day and counting....

 Grin Grin Grin
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