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6221  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 18, 2015, 04:31:43 PM


what does everyone think of this? (outlook on price going down being a (kinda) good thing for bitcoin)

http://cointelegraph.com/news/113987/bitpay-reveals-the-good-reason-why-bitcoin-price-is-down

me..who knows but it gets eyeballs to their site I'd imagine


Cointelegraph  and Cryptocoinsnews are like the "Captain Obvious" of the Bitcoin world.  They print so called 'breaking news' that is easily found elsewhere, sometimes days before. 

And every time the price swings or is trending they quickly print a 'trend prediction report' that's so laughably bad and obvious, and always has the disclaimer at the end of "We think the price should swing [up/down/sideways/take your pick], but we don't know for sure and could go the either way."  What a joke.  Lol
6222  Economy / Speculation / Re: China temporarily out of the Bitcoin game? on: April 17, 2015, 08:59:49 PM
Those invests in the stock market and those who invests in Bitcoin are different people. There might be some who dumped their bitcoins to trade stocks instead. I believe these are the minority, at least in money terms.

indeed.


Those who invest in BTC usually don't have enough money to invest on Stock Markets or Forex.

Of course after each bubble things changes and some people cash out from BTC to invest in other stuff

I love how you two make this sweeping generalization (that's completely wrong), and then pat yourself on the back in agreement  Roll Eyes
6223  Economy / Speculation / Re: Just e-mailed Gemini support to ask when they're launching. Here's the reply on: April 17, 2015, 04:51:44 PM
3.  Barry lied about Wallstreet getting in Q2 2014.  That was a fkn year ago, Barry.
4.  Another exchange launch will do nothing for the price except maybe a small PnD.  Look at the announcement of Coinbase's exchange launch... did nothing except a quick pump and then back down again.
5.  The twins are always a day late to the party, they keep getting lapped by other players
6224  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 17, 2015, 03:28:19 PM
i feel something big is coming and mega-pump seems imminent, news are talking bitcoin again http://www.cnbc.com/id/102594745


mega pump? lol




Notice the fine print:
"Genesis hopes that rebranding as its own entity will help the firm gain new clients", he added.

Translation:
"We've been laughed out of town as SecondMarket, so we decided to rebrand ourselves as Genesis and hope no one notices."   Tongue
6225  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 17, 2015, 02:03:41 PM
My play stash is waiting to buy in at 198.

That said it could be a ruse to draw in shorts. 4.5k added today. Longs unchanged at 25M. A quick flash crash into the 1xx's would be painful but isn't out of the question.

I get the feeling it is the same guys moving the price up and down and manipulating the orderbooks.

Always remember this: At the beginning of Oct 2013, bitcoin was still going sideways with little volume.  Then there was a sudden 30% flash crash (130--> 90).  Then it immediately rose, and the rally took off soon after that.  

Hmmm, thinking back, I wonder why someone would want to flash crash the market right before starting a huge rally?   Wink
6226  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 17, 2015, 11:55:01 AM
Collection of the best names so far for our beloved fake/scam exchanges:

Quote
OkCoin = NOkCoin, 0kCoin (ZerokCoin), OkGox, fOkCoin, OxCoin

Please feel free, to add names for other "highly" trusted exchanges.

NotOkCoin

JustOkNotRealGoodCoin

JustOkNotForChildrenWhoCan'tReadGoodCoin
6227  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 17, 2015, 02:53:24 AM
Not surprised at all to see price bounce off the totally-not-fake $229.99 resistance wall.   Roll Eyes

Do whales really think we're still this stupid, after watching the charts closely for 2 years now?
6228  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 17, 2015, 02:48:12 AM

SoonTM

Yeah, at this point I expect the same to happen as all the other great bitcoin-related news:

Absolutely nothing, or dump.
6229  Economy / Speculation / China temporarily out of the Bitcoin game? on: April 16, 2015, 07:15:13 PM
http://money.cnn.com/2015/04/15/investing/china-stock-market-bubble/

Would explain a lot, especially since January...
6230  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 16, 2015, 04:29:14 PM
Yeye m8, never underestimate power of chinese wash volume

Wtf m8, do you know what that even means or what you are saying?
6231  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 16, 2015, 03:51:30 PM
We are, pretty much, right on track. If you look from the bottom recovery a few months ago, and draw an averaging line, we have hit above, and now below, that line. If we continue up, we'll be 100% right on track to another bull swing. Smiley

I hear you brother

To play devil's advocate, I can honestly say that the price is going nowhere without a 'push' higher from some high net worth people.  It certainly won't come from Joe Public, as all they have to do is look at a 15 month old price chart and go "Eh, oh hell no!  No sign of life, and might still be falling further."  

We need an uptrend to show on the charts for many more months, maybe a year, before Joe Public starts to take interest again.  Or we need a surprise pump that catches people off-guard (like in 2011, and Jan 2013).

Sad but true.

i disagree
i have lots of friends that i've been informing about bitcoin for a while now, none of them bought, they all wish they did, and they've been thinking of buying ever since the bubble, but we're fearful of buying because i was saying things like
"bear market"
I've told them it was a good buy at 400, months ago, but they didn't buy.
its one thing to say I'll buy some, and its an other thing to actually set up an account get verified and transfer money
I bet if i pushed a little i could get them to buy a few off me right now,
I keep telling them to make an account and buy in slowly, but this is to difficult for them, i'll have to be there dealer.
I plan to show them the "use bitcoin anywhere paypass is accepted" thing ( I should have a account of that when beta is ready )
they will see first hand how easy it is to buy stuff with bitcoin, by then the bull market will be self evident, i figure i can easily get them buying 300-400$ coins at that point. ( which is a very nice entry point if you ask me, 32,000$ in < 2 years poeple...)

the things i do to make sure my friends make sound investment decisions... unbelieveable.

The thing is, for people that don't know anything about bitcoin, but are curious, they will buy purely based on emotion.  Your friends will see the price flying high (on a pump), have this 'ah ha' moment where they say "Adam must have been right all along!", struggle to quickly get their accounts set up, struggle to get their first purchase made (and perhaps denied because a false 'high risk' flag gets tripped), yada yada, and finally by the time their first purchase goes through, the price will have tripled from whence it started  It will probably rise from there, and they will continue to hold and pat themselves on the back for finally joining the 'wealthy elite gentlemen' club.  

And then comes the inevitable crash, out of nowhere.  But maybe they will still hold.  The only sad thing is, 12-18 months later, the price they paid could well be 50-100% HIGHER than the new low point it may make.  And if they held to that point, they would be disappointed and sad, along with many others.

I would argue that PnD'ing bitcoin is bad for bitcoin.  It attracts the WRONG kind of people, the "lotto-winner-get-rich-quick" mentality crowd.  We need everyone involved, not just the "I'm only buying if it keeps going up" crowd.  But it seems that's all we have right now.

On the flip side of that argument though, if all of the Lotto players in the U.S. would instead take that weekly throwaway lotto money to instead bet on bitcoin, OMG you would see a continuous, epic rise in price almost overnight.  Sadly though, they actually believe that they have a better chance to win the lotto than win big long term with bitcoin.
6232  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 16, 2015, 02:28:46 PM
We are, pretty much, right on track. If you look from the bottom recovery a few months ago, and draw an averaging line, we have hit above, and now below, that line. If we continue up, we'll be 100% right on track to another bull swing. Smiley

I hear you brother

To play devil's advocate, I can honestly say that the price is going nowhere without a 'push' higher from some high net worth people.  It certainly won't come from Joe Public, as all they have to do is look at a 15 month old price chart and go "Eh, oh hell no!  No sign of life, and might still be falling further."  

We need an uptrend to show on the charts for many more months, maybe a year, before Joe Public starts to take interest again.  Or we need a surprise pump that catches people off-guard (like in 2011, and Jan 2013).

Sad but true.
6233  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin vs "Silicon Valley" plot on: April 16, 2015, 01:53:18 PM
The last episode of Silicon Valley was uncanny...and I think that it is related to what happened to bitcoin.
"Silicon Valley" (HBO show)Plot: Richard is voluntarily reducing his company valuation in the series A round on the advice from Monica as to not to have a crazy initial valuation that "Pied Piper"-their company- cannot live up to. Presumably, this would cause up-rounds and steadily increased valuation later on.
How this relates to bitcoin?

It was better for bitcoin to be at $10-30 and rising as it was in 2012 at 200-300% a year.
Instead, bitcoin blew up sky high to $1200, X100 fold or 10000% in a year!
Bitcoin could not hold valuation, and as a result, it is facing an equivalent of valley's "down" round, which manifested itself in criticism for excesses, Foundation alleged insolvency, overall negativity etc. etc. Who wants to be associated with a currency in decline?
Best bitcoiners should have limited the parabolic rise, instead, they praised it and now almost all long positions are losing money, reducing the desire of anyone to open a new long position.
Steady rise would have been so much more conducive to bitcoin development.
Oh, well.

It's almost as if powerful, wealthy people might have "pumped" bitcoin, just so that it's price can fall from an unsustainably high place, having the effect of actually discouraging the Joe Public from buying it because they don't trust it.

Oh, wait...
6234  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 16, 2015, 01:33:51 PM
Why do I get the feeling that everyone on this thread is an obsessive gambler, but no one ever wants to be truly wealthy?

For all the fkn around with bitcoin you guys do day trading (and mostly losing), I could have pointed you to at least 5 stocks that in 2014 would have doubled your money going long and holding.

where were you in 2010 genius?

Don't you know?

Bitcoin started at $1200 and has been falling ever since.

It's been a one-way trip south.

<insert images of tulips, Beanie Babies, the Titanic, pyramids, etc>

 Roll Eyes

In 2010 I was definitely not in the know about bitcoin (didn't find out until 2013).  But had I known, I would have been excited and crazy enough to mail a check to MtGox from the US, praying to get my btc back.  I wish I had known about it then.

But I'm just saying that, while we've all had fun watching Bitcoin fall in price over the last 15 months, I've had two stocks in my portfolio that have nearly doubled (eg., DIS, KR).  So bitcoin isn't the only "ride to moon" out there.
6235  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 16, 2015, 04:37:02 AM
Why do I get the feeling that everyone on this thread is an obsessive gambler, but no one ever wants to be truly wealthy?

For all the fkn around with bitcoin you guys do day trading (and mostly losing), I could have pointed you to at least 5 stocks that in 2014 would have doubled your money going long and holding.
6236  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: April 14, 2015, 09:49:44 PM
i for one won't be investing in the stock mkt at this point in time.  only until a full on wash out crash has cleared out the speculation.

Only one problem though, Bitcoin (and all crypto) is still being treated like a stock.  So a stock market crash would instantly loot bitcoin as well (and it would not be pretty).

PM's and cash would be the only safe haven.

And in some weird way, I see an economic rise continuing for at least the next 2-3 years.  Not sure what will happen after that though, as it will likely be a lot of smoke.
6237  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 14, 2015, 09:25:06 PM
This is becoming laughable.

And I mean by laughable, in this way:

6238  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 14, 2015, 03:40:45 AM
Wow,

this looks bad now, looks like it has still not hit the bottom as yet.
It did... in January.

Well, I certainly thought the same.  The high volume dump in January was surely the final capitulation, ne's pas?  But now I see a slow grinding down still going on, with no rebounds.  Not high volume dumps, but enough grinding down to make me think we will retest 200.  Until I see some real buy support come in, I'm not convinced that January was the final.  If 200 doesn't hold, I'm not sure what the next support line would be.  Who does?

And public sentiment is at an all time low.  No one is talking about bitcoin, and no one seems to care.  That is troubling.
6239  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 14, 2015, 12:01:52 AM
Jesus, Bitcoin has been the slowest asset to reach any bottom that I've ever been involved with.  This has just been excruciating to witness over the past 16 months.

Are we fkn bottomed out yet?  Does anyone in the public even care about bitcoin anymore?

And oh joy, the 2013 bubble had to just be the one in Bitcoin's history to take the *longest* ever to deflate.  Good lord.  

What's gonna happen in the next one, a run up followed by 4-5 years of down?  That's sure to boost consumer confidence in bitcoin long term.  Roll Eyes
6240  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 10, 2015, 11:36:25 PM
Did someone say crave?

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