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461  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A Resounding Assurance of Bitcoin's Dominance. on: June 15, 2023, 02:54:35 PM
How is Binance the end of cryptocurrencies? Binance is just one exchange despite it being one of the biggest. If Bitcoin survived MtGox, how will crypto not survive Binance? It's a no-brainer.

It's true that Binance is one of the biggest exchanges, it is also not the only exchange facing the back fire from the SEC regulators as kraken is lined up too. My point of view is from an angle that subjects the customers/users patience and trust to constant test.
What happened to FTX more than helped in reducing the influx of new users to the crypto world, with Binance, kraken in the news, prospective new users may be faced with a double mindset and may even give up the thoughts of investing in crypto.

The SEC only attacks binance.us and not all of binance, which has already been mentioned here, but it's worth adding that binance.us has a ridiculously small volume comparing to binance (not even comparing to whole crypto traading volume). See for yourself.
Binance.us today trading volume = $40 mln
Binance.com today spot trading volume = $9 000 mln
binance.com futures trading volume = $46 000 mln

so binance.us is not even a 1% of binance. Binance.us is even 4x smaller than pancakeswap (dex on binance smart chain)
462  Economy / Speculation / Re: [POLL] Should the Fed stop raising interest rates? on: June 15, 2023, 02:38:26 PM
Is this the reason why the price suddenly drops again?

It was not the reason for the dump, because the market was convinced that such a decision of the federation would be made. The CME fedwatch tool showed over 95% probability of FED stopping rate hikes. So the fed's decision did not surprise anyone and it should have been priced in long ago. Proof of this can be the fact that both the SP500 and gold did not record pump/dump, there was only a short period of increased volatility.
463  Economy / Speculation / Re: [POLL] Should the Fed stop raising interest rates? on: June 15, 2023, 09:02:26 AM
Lowering interest rates will affect in similar scenario to 1970 and 1940 - another, even greater wave of inflation, even harder to stop. So should they rise more? I don't think so because real interest rates (CPI adjusted) are positive and above 1% which is the best in like 15 years starting from last financial crysis. There is no need to rise it higher especially that next month CPI  is expected to go below 3.5% bringing real interest rates to around 2% - best in 25 years.
They should stop and wait for 6-12 months not doing anything.
464  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: We the Bitcoin Enthusiasts, How can we Safequard our Holdings in Turbulent Times on: June 14, 2023, 01:24:43 PM
How might the closure of a prominent cryptocurrency exchange like Binance affect investors confidence in the broader crypto market, and what steps do you think enthusiasts can take to safeguard their investments in such situations? Please share tips.

I'm thinking about closing my key positions for the time being.

The recent events targets binance.us not binance as whole. Binance.us has only 35 mln daily volume what is a f.king joke compared to binance.com with $5B daily volume on spot and $25B on futures. So the recent FUD relates only to 1% of binance volume. The bigger problem for crypto market is SEC calling altcoins a securities ... but it only affect altcoins (mostly POS after ICO) as bitcoin (POW without ICO) is already clasified as commodity. So all this fud is bullish for bitocoin.
465  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: How BTC˛ Perpetual Index Outperforms 2x Leverage in Risk and Returns on: June 14, 2023, 12:39:46 PM
From what I understand here, you want to create(and probably sell) a financial derivative, that is correlated to the price of Bitcoin.
Who is going to buy such BTC perpetual index shares at 673 million USD.

If BTC^2 is going to be devided by 100 000 000 just like bitcoin is than 1 sat of BTC^2 is just 6$. So its not a problem.

Can't the traders just use 100x leverage instead of this.

x100 leverage is going to rect you after 1% dump. ^2 will not even after 50% dump. So its a complete different type of deal.

I have the feeling that you want to create some kind of magical financial instrument, which offers gigantic profits and reduced loses. This would never happen in the real world.

I have the same feelling.

Currently it will be as token on Dexs ( Q3'23 ) and we will go centralised too with trading pairs, Devs or any part of the ecosystem cannot dump the tokens are noone holds a single token before hand. Arbitrage opportunity can exist with exchanges order book, not directly connected to do with the protocol, under the protocol we will have market makers who will help settle trades if there is less liquidity available, ofcourse when arbitrage opportunity/risk is too high market makers will make sure it is a close to actual value so there is no uncertain premium/discount to traders.

So the only mechanism that peg the BTC^2 price to BTC price is the funding mechanism. How are you going to charge those fees from token hodlers? I guess funding gonna be high to compensate wird type of arbitrage. Not many will do that.
How the initial distribution is going to look like?
466  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: How BTC˛ Perpetual Index Outperforms 2x Leverage in Risk and Returns on: June 13, 2023, 02:05:36 PM
Is it going to be a trading pair on centralized exchange or token listed on dex with fixed price? Don't you think there won't be much of a liquidity because it's impossible for arbitrage traders to do their job effectively?
If it's just a token... Isn't there an additional risk of devs dumping their coins?
467  Local / Polski / Re: Ogólne rozmowy na temat kampanii sygnatur on: June 13, 2023, 12:16:21 PM
Nie rozliczam w Polsce ale jstem przekonany że zdarzenie podatkowe występuje niezależnie od tego czy za wykonaną usługę przyjmujemy płatność w złotówkach, walucie obcej, złocie, bitcoinie czy np gdy przyjmiemy pół świniaka jako zapłatę. Na tej samej zasadzie sklep który akceptuje płatności bitcoinem płaci podatek tak samo jakby przyjmował złotówki (nawet jeśli nie konwertuje BTC od razu).

Podobnie co do wymiany BTC na PLN, samo w sobie, zgaduję, nie jest zdarzeniem podatkowym (np, jeśli kupiłeś i sprzedałes po tej samej cenie lub ze stratą).
Przychód w BTC i przychód (lub strata) ze sprzedaży BTC na PLN to dwie odrębne rzeczy.

Więc w przypadku przychodów z kampanii sygnatur, prawdopodobnie zgłaszamy to jako dodatkowy przychód i patrzymy na wartość BTC w PLN w momencie otrzymania zapłaty, albo musimy zarejestrować działalność gospodarczą. O ile dobrze rozumiem, zgłaszanie działalności nie jest potrzebne jeżeli taki zarobek podchodzi pod kategorie umowy o pracę albo umowy zlecenie/o dzieło.

No właśnie totalnie nie. Polecam zobaczyć jak wygląda pit38. Są tam 2 rubryki do wypełnienia - przychód i koszt uzyskania przychodu (i 1 dodatkowa za koszty z lat ubiegłych). Co do zysków z sygnaturek czy prowadzenia sklepu nie mam pewności, ale w przypadku sprzedania bitcoina do pln jest to przychód od którego trzeba zapłacić podatek. Chyba, że możesz wykazać ówczesny koszt uzyskania przychodu (zakup BTC za pln). Urzędu skarbowego nie obchodzi jaki był kurs BTC w momencie kupienia/sprzedania i czy zamieniałeś go na alty w między czasie. Więc jeśli za bitcoina o wartości 1000$ kupiłeś ETH a potem sprzedałeś za 2x więcej bitcoinów, które w między czasie urosły 2x (masz 4000$ w btc), to nie masz zysku według Urzędu Skarbowego. Jeśli kupiłeś 1 BTC za 10 000 $ (koszt uzyskania przychodu) a potem sprzedałeś na x2 pompie ale tylko połowę pozycji (0.5 BTC za 10 000$) to też nie masz zysku od którego należy się podatek. Zysk pojawia się dopiero wtedy jak sprzedajesz BTC do czegoś o realnej wartości (PLN, USD, pralka) i nie możesz wykazać żadnego kosztu uzyskania tego przychodu (wcześniejszych zakupów o tej samej lub większej wartości). W powyższym przykładzie podatek należy zapłacić dopiero przy zamykaniu drugiej połowy pozycji płacąc wtedy 19% z 10 000$. Jest to rozwiązane inaczej niż zyski kapitałowe z akcji. Moim zdaniem o wiele lepiej dla podatnika. Między innymi też dlatego, że nie trzeba się tłumaczyć z każdej pozycji, spisywać cen. Po prostu wszystko co wyjąłeś z krypto minus wszystko co wsadziłeś jest twoim zyskiem w danym roku od którego płacisz podatek. Dzięki temu dość łatwo jest wrzuć takie zyski z sygnaturek w zyski/straty z handlu, bo nikt nie pyta o szczegóły. zwłaszcza jak ktoś sporo handluje używając stablecoinów (co nie generuje zdarzenia podatkowego).



Tak to jest w Polsce. Zdumiewająco wygodnie i prosto dla podatnika. Aż dziwne.

"Przykład
W lipcu doszło do nabycia Ripple za 40.000 zł w czerwcu sprzedano Dash za 100.000 zł. Podatek wyznacza się od 60.000 zł i płaci się go na koniec roku."

Co się stało w między czasie nikt nie pyta.

Co do sklepu/zysków z sygnaturek nie mam pewności ale przy małych sumach (200zł tygodniowo z sygnaturki) wole chyba te zyski wsadzić w pit38, niż otwierać puszkę pandory, bo jeszcze się okaże, że potrzebne jest założenie firmy, umowa B2B z managerem sygnaturek, opłacenie zusu o ile w ogóle można reklamować mixer krypto albo kasyno krypto.
468  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Trading Bot with smart algorithm Available on: June 12, 2023, 10:14:24 AM
For anyone interested in the offer, I recommend asking yourself why the author of an automatic bot that brings repeatable returns would like to sell his program while sharing the cake (potential profit from  his portfolio). The second question such a person should ask himself is "if it's a good business for the seller, then why are such bots not sold by market leaders, but only shady people from the forum and why via a whatsap account and not a professional website ...
After answering these questions, the potential buyer should probably already know what to do with this offer Smiley if not, I'll give you a hint - stay away.

No one is selling working trading bot via whatsapp.
469  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Blur token unlock on: June 12, 2023, 10:06:47 AM
people are often afraid of such unlocks, but history shows that they are mostly unfounded. If the project fundaments are still there and the project is not dead, the unlock shouldn't affect the price significantly. It was the same with ETH and unlocking staking coins. A lot of people were afraid of it, and on the day of unlocking the price increased instead of falling. This was due to the fact that many more people were selling earlier in the hope of buying back cheaper after unlocking. Their demand after unlocking exceeded the supply of unlocked coins. But fundaments must be there and should be stronger than the moment coins were locked.
470  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Got me 100 QNT, here's why ! on: June 11, 2023, 07:16:19 AM
I have several QNTs. It's been a long time. Earlier when I saw your topic about QNT I again tried to open my portfolio and there I found some QNT.
Right now Quant is at 36 but to be honest I bought Quant for $180 and that means I'm still missing about 40%. But it's not as big as my other portfolio but it's interesting I think QNT will be on top because they also have a small max supply even less than Bitcoin

So in your opinion " a small max supply even less than Bitcoin" is enough to push altcoin to the top? You know the supply is just a number that developer sets at its own will while creating coin? You know that there are coins with supply of 1? 1 coin as a max supply of a project? People trade fractions of this coin just like 1 bitcoin can be devided into 100 000 000 sats.

42-coin has a max supply of 42 and is not on top. Its out of top 1000.
Lint has a supply of 1 coin. Out of top 2000.

@Op and @Rampagoe004 - name one thing that QNT have that can't be stolen, implemented and monetized by market leader using their huge usebase.
471  Economy / Speculation / Re: Chat GPT do a TA about bitcoin on: June 11, 2023, 07:02:26 AM
AI should not be able to surpass human capabilities in many ways and I cannot trust AI any more than I can trust my own brain and experience in the market.

Although AI can predict prices to the best of its ability, the experience of a trader and an investor is the best practice that will support their investment plan. Especially in the long term - I stick to my own plan.

After reading books from Harari, Sam harris, David Eagleman and few more about human brain, how it works and how it evolve "from animals into gods" I don't think we are much of a different form AI. Our brain has only basic mechanisms at birth (Sucking Reflex, Babinski Reflex, Grasping Reflex, Moro Reflex) and then it gets a soup of random information from all senses and desperately looks for patterns in it constantly creating new neuromal connections if a pattern is "invented". AI is not much different in this regard. ChatGPT also got a soup of information from OPENAI and looks for patterns in it. The only real difference between us is the length of AI training (length of evolution of this new species) and the amount of information it has. Given the pace of AI development and moors law, AI will probably soon achieve an undisputed advantage over humans in every possible aspect. The only thing that will then differ us from AI will be the "soul given by God", but this is only an element of religion, not science.

Name one thing that makes you better than AI will be in 10 years from now.
472  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Got me 100 QNT, here's why ! on: June 10, 2023, 04:31:31 PM
You do realize that you are buying startup without use case, without userbase evaluated above $1B? I know it dumped hard from ATH but I think most of altcoin investors don't know how much money is 1 billion.

"Huge partnerships, strong leadership and highly disruptive.
Low token supply, high utility, potentially high demand."
May not be enough to justify 1 billion $ marketcap. The timing might be good. The amount of fud is enormous but it's just one out of 20000 projects listed on CMC. And it's tech is worthless without huge userbase because it's open source and can be copy/paste and implemented into market leaders such as BNB or eth. Just be carrefour. There are high chances for a short term bounce but it can also continue to dump another 99%. Real value is much lower.
473  Local / Polski / Re: Pospekulujmy o aktualnej i przyszłej cenie BTC. on: June 10, 2023, 06:59:39 AM
Sobota, weekendu początek, 6 rano, wall street śpi pijane/naćpane po imprezie piątkowej, brak jakichkolwiek newsów a tu taki dump. Bitcoin w raptem godzinę spadł o 1000$ z czego większość spadku przypada na okres 5 min testując niebezpiecznie, po raz kolejny, wsparcie.
A mimo wszystko dominacja bitcoina puchnie i wybija najwyższy poziom od 2 lat a powodem tego jest, że altcoiny wyglądają jeszcze gorzej. Z top 100 CMC na zielono są tylko stablecoiny. Spora część najpopularniejszych altów na 20% spadku w ciągu ostatnich 24h.
Jak wasze nastawienie?
474  Economy / Speculation / Re: Chat GPT do a TA about bitcoin on: June 10, 2023, 06:47:29 AM
LOL - I'm just not going to believe a lot of what they say in price predictions. Average answers will only point to probabilities and probabilities - so you still have to adjust at your own risk and do a reasonable analysis.

Try using Chat GPT to learn how to analyze bitcoin prices instead of using them to predict prices. Predictions will never be correct because the market is only determined by traders and their activities.

But traders and their activies is determined by their predictions made on the basis of the calculus of probability, which again depends on the available data and general knowledge, in analysis of which AI is slowly surpassing us. Currently chatGPT is not good at making accurate price predictions. I agree with you. However, this is a linguistic model powered by human conversations, not a mathematical model powered by the price history of hundreds of thousands of assets in all possible time frames.

Every human body is different and yet ... AI can predict cancer better than human.
https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/ai-outperformed-standard-risk-model-for-predicting-breast-cancer

Its only a matter of time.
475  Local / Polski / Re: Ogólne rozmowy na temat kampanii sygnatur on: June 10, 2023, 06:26:25 AM
W temacie przychodów z kampanii sygnatur - jak wygląda to w Polsce pod względem zgłaszania takich przychodów w rozliczeniu podatkowym?
Czy to jest coś co kwalifikowałoby się jako działalność gospodarcza i wymagało płacenie ZUS? Czy można to gdzieś upchnąć w PIT jako dodatkowy przychód itp?
A może podpada to pod bycie nielegalnie zatrudnionym, i całe ryzyko ponosi "pracodawca"?

Moim zdaniem te sumy są za małe by otwierać puszkę pandory. Osobiście traktuję je jako swoje DCA bo jedyny pit dotyczący krypto to pit38 a tam podaje się jedynie "ile krypto sprzedałem do fiatów". A że zyski z sygnaturek płacone są w krypto a ja nie dumpuję tego do fiatów to zdarzenie podatkowe chyba nie powstaje.
Ostatecznie nie ma chyba tego do końca uregulowanego, więc każdy urzędnik uzna według swojego widzi misię a potem, niezależnie od tego co ustalisz i tak orzekną na szkodę podatnika jak przydzielą ci innego urzędnika o innym widzeniu sprawy.

Ja bym albo uznał to za wieloletnie DCA, albo rozliczał w ramach zysków kapitałowych i pitu38 i nie drapał się tam, gdzie mnie nie swędzi.
476  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What happens if pools try to maximize fees by congesting the network? on: June 09, 2023, 06:48:02 AM
in the short term, anything is possible. In the long term, only what is profitable is possible. if a pool starts to mess with transactions and its return on the provided computing power from miners starts to decrease, individual miners will start to move to the competition. the same will be done by miners who will not want to take part in the attack.

if tx cost pumps, the network will start to produce fewer transactions (because users will start delaying transfers or using altcoins to transfer value) and thus sooner or later most of the transactions mined by the network will be transactions generated and paid for by the attacker. and it doesn't matter if the miner will mine up his spam transactions and the fee will come back to him (cost 0) or someone else's on which he earns (profit) and his spam transactions will be mined by another miner (loss) it's  net zero.

net zero when it comes to revenue and a great loss, when you add the costs of running the ming rig to the calculations  (electricity and equipment depreciation)
477  Local / Polski / Re: TalkImg.com - Hosting zdjęć dla BitcoinTalk on: June 09, 2023, 06:07:47 AM

łącznie przesłano już ponad 17 000 zdjęć.
obecnie przesyłanych jest 300-500 zdjęć dziennie.

I jak twórca zamierza sobie radzić z wykładniczo rosnącymi kosztami prowadzenia serwisu? Ma jakieś pomysły na monetyzację chociażby w zakresie pokrycia kosztów? Widziałem, że akceptuje datki w bitcoinie ale obawiam się, że może to być za mało.
478  Economy / Speculation / Re: Chat GPT do a TA about bitcoin on: June 09, 2023, 06:03:06 AM
Ok, I have thought that it's such a crazy thing that will require some hacks from the backend.
Yea, it can remember previous conversations but when there are inconsistent data from different sources, the result will be somewhat inaccurate.

Yeah it's very inaccurate. The longer i use it the lesser I'm scared when reading articles "AI will kill us all". At least not in near future. The answer is very often stupid or at least wrong and slight changes in prompt generates complete different answers. You have to continue to ask untill answer start to sems plaseble.
479  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: How to use Rising Wedge Pattern?? on: June 07, 2023, 02:42:57 PM
Good topic. According to Barry D. Moore CFTe rising wedge has a success rate of 81% which is super decent in TA. Also in crypto trading wedges are very popular andvery accurate (this 81% sounds very likely). One of my best patter.

Speaking of rising wedges, it begs to mention falling wedges. After all, it is exactly the same pattern with the same specifics and principles, but only in the opposite direction. 1 more photo and 2 more sentences and the topic is supplemented with a second pattern.
480  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Please recommend a reliable Bounty Hunter... on: June 07, 2023, 02:21:54 PM
FireDAO is planning to launch our signature campaign and bounty campaign very soon. We know that there are alot of experience players here that can provide us very informative tips. Please recommend a few trusted and reliable bounty hunter so that we can have a great start when taking off our marketing campaign.

Check this service. They are dealing with comprehensive marketing in crypto. They have translators, access to influencers, can run a bounty/signature campaign or mediate in the selection of a well-known bounty manager, employees for hire by the hour, developers, head hunters etc. I haven't used them, but my friend did and they delivered what was promised.
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