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2701  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bottom is in at $215 buying like crazy on: April 16, 2015, 05:59:09 PM
Indeed. Indicators are showing bulls are coming in strong. If you don't get loaded right now with BTC you shall meet regret and desperation in the future. Enjoy.

Just like a month or so ago, when everyone was saying we'd blast straight through $300 on the way to the moon?
2702  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency - 0.8.8.6 on: March 19, 2015, 02:34:39 PM
Does anyone know how many fairly unique code bases exist in this crazy altcoin ecosystem?

Very few: http://mapofcoins.com/technologies

I see that timecoin is missing
2703  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [Re-ANN] iCoin - Democratic Coin Under New Management on: March 19, 2015, 01:58:17 PM
I never thought I'd see the day that iCoin would be resurrected, but here we are. I'll get a node running when I get home and possibly fire up some mining rigs.

..and it still has one of the best names/brands around.
2704  Economy / Speculation / Re: The REAL All In Moment is Today on: March 19, 2015, 01:21:46 PM
Now is the all in moment...to short sell.
2705  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 18, 2015, 07:53:30 PM
The bulls spent all their ammo. GG
2706  Economy / Speculation / Re: How many bitcoins do I need to retire in 20 years? on: March 17, 2015, 03:42:35 PM
Every answer to the question just needs an "if" at the beginning.

If bitcoin becomes the new paradigm, one would probably be enough.
2707  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 17, 2015, 03:38:10 PM
This is pretty dull

Ok, who woke-up the dumpers?



nobody.

longs closing.

Indeed. It's become fairly clear that we won't break out past $300 anytime soon.
2708  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin Venture Capital per Quarter is Exploding :) on: March 16, 2015, 03:46:48 PM
This is great and all but I'd much rather see a chart covering the explosion in new users buying btc for the first time.

I wouldn't. That's a useless metric at this stage.

It would be a great metric, indicating the extent of bitcoin adoption.
Unfortunately, given Bitcoin's pseudonymous nature, I think there is no way we can get such a metric.

Useless might've been too strong of a word, but I believe it's too early in the game to take user numbers too seriously. Predicting the future success of BTC based on the number of new users would've been like predicting the success of the internet based on the number of users in 1992.

More users will follow the big money, as this venture capital is funding the future facebooks, googles, etc. of the bitcoin world. "If you build it, they will come."
2709  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 16, 2015, 02:17:38 PM
just reading "elliott wave principle" and came across an interesting point. Market reversals don't happen on high volume and with strong acceleration, they tend to happen when the extremes have finally been exhausted so volume decreases (imagine a bull run hitting it's peak, as we may have done now mid-term, the bull runs out of breath and gets exhausted).

Also key to note is that during final stages of bull markets before reversal, market participants when polled show demonstrably more optimism than at other times in the market. Basically the more you "believe" as a mass, the closer you get to being delusional and running out of steam, after that the law of gravity comes into action. The same would apply to the inverse. For example, once you lose everything, the only way left is up! Smiley



RE price, I think bitcoin potential price needs to be totally re-evaluated. For one, the market has matured and the crazy volatility of the past has been gradually decreasing. More importantly, Gox is out of the picture now, and all the previous predictions were based on sentiment and information that has been skewed by a skewed exchange.

Also important to note is that as price increases, the ability to affect the price by adding more money becomes increasingly difficult.

You make some good points here. The extremely bullish sentiment on this forum is part of the reason I'm now short.
2710  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin Venture Capital per Quarter is Exploding :) on: March 15, 2015, 05:16:22 AM
This is great and all but I'd much rather see a chart covering the explosion in new users buying btc for the first time.

I wouldn't. That's a useless metric at this stage.
2711  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 15, 2015, 05:08:09 AM
I think we're going to sink a bit further. The bulls are still rattled, since they weren't able to break $300.
2712  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 13, 2015, 02:34:59 PM
Chessnut gets more wrong than right.

I enjoy reading his analyses, and he seems to know EW really well. However, you're correct.
2713  Economy / Speculation / Re: Critical Levels - EW analysis on: March 12, 2015, 08:57:03 PM
I find it odd that there is calls for more despair. Anecdotally almost every single person that I personally meet asks me about Bitcoin. When will it recover? Do i think there is any hope left? One of them even confessed to selling most of his stash around $210 out of "despair. This makes me have a bias towards accepting that $160 was capitulation because not only did I see despair in those around me but we also witnessed a massive selloff that is indicative of capitulation.  

FWIW, the sentiment near the bottom of the 2011-12 bear market was much, much worse. Of course, bitcoin was younger and we were all n00bs.
2714  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 12, 2015, 06:52:33 PM
I think we're going UP but correction is very good now (to 260-280, max to 240).

For chart is always better to go with corrections than in no-correction crazy pump mode (look at January).

I agree. I think we'll see low 280s by the end of next week.
2715  Economy / Speculation / Re: 100 bitcoins. Will I be a millionaire by 2020? on: March 12, 2015, 06:47:36 PM
What people aren't realizing is that if you do become a Millionaire in Bitcoin, the second you cash out you will have to pay a 40% capital gains tax, which will leave you with only $600k. Socialism FTW!

anyone who ends up with over a million  or several million $ worth of btc could easily fly to switzerland or the emirates or  china  etc or wherever there is no or very little tax to be paid

trying to bring the cash back home would be stupid though so i would probably live in an alternative country than give up half my money for tax ..........

A million isn't really enough to do much these days. 5 million is probably barely enough if you live frugally* and you are single. If you have a family, you'll probably need 20M+.


*Frugally, in the context of being upper-class. No $1000 bottles of wine everyday, no caviar and truffles with wagyu everyday, no vacation villas around the world, etc.

$5m and live frugally? Over 40 years (assuming I die at 82) that's $2400 a week. That is far from frugal my friend!

For a family of 4, not living in a major city, I'd say that's enough to catapult them to an upper middle class lifestyle.
2716  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: [DRK/XMR/SDC] Summary explaning differencies between best anon coins (MUST READ) on: March 12, 2015, 03:57:20 PM

It's not the problem, the anonymization require a 3RD party app, so it's not end to end.


Darkcoin Wallet daemon:

https://www.darkcoin.io/binaries/darkcoin-0.11.1.25-linux.tar.gz

Darkcoin Masternode daemon:

https://www.darkcoin.io/binaries/darkcoin-0.11.1.25-linux.tar.gz

Notice the difference ? No ? (Thats because there isn't any. Masternodes are wallets).


Ok, the "3rd party app" maybe not fully appropriate, but it makes no difference,

The anonymization is handled by those "configured wallets", it's still not end to end.
+1

by DRK's own admission DRK is a two-tier network.
this is not P2P or end to end

agreed?



Agreed.
2717  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 11, 2015, 02:46:31 PM
Code:
2015-03-11 14:22:00	Buy	0.00249999	11787.22847907	29.46795332
Some real buying going on Polo  Roll Eyes
is 0.0024 the new bottom?

That was originally a 13,000 XMR wall, and it was eaten in a matter of minutes.
2718  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 10, 2015, 04:36:58 PM
It seems reasonably safe to get in under .003 for now.

The most startling thing I'm seeing is the lack of sell orders. There are a lot more HODLers than I would've thought.
2719  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: [DRK] Darkcoin is NOT Anonymous? Possible Proof inside. on: March 10, 2015, 01:33:13 PM
If the re-branding is going to coincide with a shift away from anonymity I think the DASH dev knows something we don't, perhaps some flaw not yet disclosed to general public was discovered which is so fatal to anonymity that only re-purposing and re-braning the whole project makes sense.

This sounds likely to me. The one thing DarkCoin had going for it was that it was faux-anonymous.
2720  Economy / Speculation / Re: Has it been so bad before? on: January 26, 2015, 08:44:53 PM
this is not even a crash compared to the 2011 one, also this crash was really slow from 1200 to current value, not a big drop in short amount of time, which could lead in to some "uninterest" from the majority of people, instead of just pure manipulation

Yeah, I don't think the 2011 crash was comparable at all.

Just in terms of sentiment, I remember the boards filled with complete despair and a good amount of fear. I would sum up the sentiment of the boards in this crash as disappointment with a sprinkle of fear.
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