Congrats on your two consecutive wins, the tennis question being the most difficult one to predict especially Alcaraz getting to the final on grass it's quite amazing in my opinion and he has a chance to be a champion, and if he can do that it will be his first title in grass tournament, and as a warning to Djokovic as he will again face a big challenge from the Spaniard at Wimbledon later.
Thank you! I'm very happy and it's a good start after suffering so long. Now I hope the luck transfers to my fellow battler LFC_Bitcoin. But fuuu I hope Djokovic and Alcaraz meet again with no injuries! So many red on the spreadsheet, yet you're able to score four goals in a round when most of us are lucky to earn one lol. I've never been this bad at my game; I was overconfident and threw in my answers early. I had a feeling you'd hit the ground running in the champoinship.
I have to admit it's pure luck. Last season I spent a hell lot of time researching and reading, especially on DOTA, this season of course I still looked and read but I didn't spend too much time to overthink. Example Alcaraz, he's good but everyone was talking about injury and grass, but I just saw he was the biggest favorite. Easy. DOTA the same. I took one look at liquipedia and put in the best teams (but it ended up only 1 of them reached final and lost) but I doubt researching would help there. F1 questions are by far the hardest minus Verstappen! It is my first experience in the BSFL and it has started like a nightmare. With Round 3 results it is going to be 1 draw and 2 losses already.  The questions were quite difficult for me in general in this round honestly. I hoped to get a draw at worst but my opponent did really good. It seems like I will need to be more patient to get my first win in the league.  I haven't watched a DOTA tournament even for once in my life. I still managed to answer the question correctly just by making an assessment taking the statistics of the teams into account. At least this made me happy for this round but I hope next round questions are more advantageous for me. Don't worry, sometimes it really is just about bad luck. I didn't get a single win from last season and suddenly now I have a good start, and also making freebet placing running in 2 weeks, but you never know what happens and I could still get relegated again if I have another bad streak. 90% of us never watched DOTA and never will, but we still can do enough research  Now I am just wondering when are we gonna get MMA since next week is supposed to be very quiet and I saw several times it's being brought up, I'm not a big fan for sure but it makes sense that should be in BSFL especially if we have one or two experts here, correct? Oh and J-League! Brasil!  |
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Yes I understand what you mean but if you look its price on Bitfinex it's still around $0.00424 currently that's not far away from $0.005. Bitcoin is highly volatile and a bull run can still happen before saturday, so for me this range has around 25% chances to lose at least. I'm sad because when I placed my bet on this range odds were way more interesting than that, so now I regret the amount of money I have placed on this range and I hope an upper range will win to be honest.
Man yeah it made sense for me at the time with 6 days left to closing and now 4 days left to settling and yet now I think about people like you who went in at much higher odds it doesn't make sense at all. Hope you win it too (the higher range) but FUN's gonna need to be whalenipulated by the majority holders (hehe) to do that and they don't have much stake unless they also bet in the higher range  Tough, but hang in there!! |
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Not sure what you mean about 70x turnover to claim rakeback though. You get rakeback rightaway, the 70x wager requirement is for bonuses (rain, and the hourly/daily/weekly contests). My tactic now is to use the 70% RB rushhour to wager 50% of my bonus wager requirements at house edge games.
Am I missing something here? I thought too that the rakeback is subjected in wagering requirements because I didn't notice additional funds when I'm playing while my bonus balance keeps increasing when I'm playing. Is there a way to track how much rakeback we are earning during the day when the daily reward distribue? I think you're definitely missing something here. I get all my rakeback immediately as it ends. You can try it now, it starts 9am forum time and goes on for 2 hours. Try wagering a bit. And then after 2 hours (11am forum time) you will see your wallet has an amount, and what you get in bonus is probably from hourly contest. I don't know how to keep track, I do it "manually". Well that's the right way, does anyone know what the % house edge for in-house games? I just checked a few pages but couldn't find it
Normally in-house game will set around 2% house edge so for every $1000 wagered Blackjack.fun will collect $20 then the player will get back 70% or $14
What if no bonus pending on your account, do you keep on hunting for this rakeback?
I don't have it off the back of my head but I know BJ is 1%, if not even lower (if you count during rakeback). I generally only wager a lot to get bonus, but for sure, if I am chasing something (even contest) then it's rakeback time. |
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~snip
It's a deal for us, then. I'll pay for you in Calcio!
deal \ Las Palmas should make it interesting, and I think that Granada will survive for sure Granada played very good football in the early time that they were last in La Liga, this I remember, we probably was also in Superbru already doing this pool, if my memory is right. They even beat us once I remember, so we know they are capable of good football, but not capable of maintaining the same levels in a whole seaosn. Honestly I can't wait for it to start again, I think we have a tough time defending title, and Atletico might be another surprise package. |
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Can't believe my luck, I got too impatient and checked the spreadsheet and it seems that I am now leading Strongkored by 4-2, with both of us getting the tennis question wrong, we only have DOTA question left to grade, so it seems, I have won my second game in this new season. So crazy about tennis, but alcaraz for sure saved my butt like a lot of you guys lol
Kudos to those who predicted about Jamaica. After the Belgium question, this was the next where very few people picked the right answer. USA can't be trusted seriously!
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If you think your bet @1.01 would lose one time in 100, it's not a value bet, because the EV is not positive, it's null and even a little bit negative since 1/99% = 1.0101... actually.
EV = 1.01 x 99/100 - 1 = -0.0001
But to be honest I think FUN has way more chances than 1% to go back above $0.005 in one week, because BTC is very volatile and a flash bull run can happen in the coming days.
Lol ok guys, seems like everyone doesn't seem to get me. EV is of course negative but you count this 1% against all the other 1%s possible in gambling today or right now, which is dice, and sports betting. This particular 1% returns is lower risk than dice and sports betting, which has higher risk for the same returns. That's all I'm saying I get your point and it is more safe to bet on the FUN token price than on a soccer/tennis match with 1.01 odds. But it will only make sense if you bet a very high amount on it as your profit is so low. I have had bad experiences with betting on these low odds (that was on a live tennis match) so not comparable to this bet, but I will never bet anymore on low odds (everything below 1.5 is low for me lol).
Would really like to see you in the football discussions sharing bets, I always feel like it's a moderate group of people actually gambling, majority are just talking about it |
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@casperBGD wow no I didn't know about Alaves going like that, if I was paying more attention I would for sure have tried to look it up not that it is easier for me to watch anyway, with time difference lol
I would love to pay for you at once, I'm joining all the football pools for sure, ever since I started I feel like they are the most worthy things to put money on, and it's one whole season, total fee per pool anyway is what I would bet in 1/2 weeks if I only placed daily one bet at my "normal" size.
It's a deal for us, then. I'll pay for you in Calcio!
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And 70% rakeback is active every day for 2 hours, from 9am to 11 am UTC (same as forum time). So no need to wonder and wait for the VIP or Elite seat cashback just play these 2 hours and you'll get a lot of your house edge back Exactly, This is what I’m pointing out, The current benefits of Blackjack.fun is already considered as benefits of high tier VIP level. People with normal bankrollshould be happy on current benefits because we can’t experience 20% or 70% rakeback once VIP was introduced since tier system will be activated. Only those whale players can experience that kind of high rakeback. A 70x turnover just to claim a rakeback is small requirements to pay for the benefits that only high tier VIP players can have. Right? And you can do a lot in 2 hours. In fact, I probably did 50% of all my past few months gambling on BJF in these 2 hours and the rakeback is instant after the period ends, I kinda enjoy seeing that rightaway because it covers the house edge loss I have usually. Not sure what you mean about 70x turnover to claim rakeback though. You get rakeback rightaway, the 70x wager requirement is for bonuses (rain, and the hourly/daily/weekly contests). My tactic now is to use the 70% RB rushhour to wager 50% of my bonus wager requirements at house edge games. |
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I don't think betting on FUN token at 1.01 odd would provide a massive substantial amount of money in profit if you put even huge amount of money on this bet,the reason is that you will get just 1% plus and let's say that you put 1000 dollars on it you will get 1010 dollars in total,if you put 10.000 dollars on it you will get 10.100 dollars so logic wise it is never recommended to try and risk 1000 for 10 dollars or 10.000 for 100 dollars,you get the idea.The bet also can go wrong despite me thinking it will be a sure win but you need like 100.000 dollars to get 1000 dollars,again not worth risking this amount of money for that little profit you get.
In my eyes, there are no "sure" bets so betting on odds like this makes no sense for me. We have had numerous examples (also on this forum) of bets that went wrong by betting on this low odds. Chances that the FUN tokens will go above 0.005$ is indeed very very low, but there is no value for me on it.
You and babygun got me wrong hehe but let me try explain I wouldn't put that bet anytime, but 1.01x in football is different from 1.01x in dice and 1.01x in this particular FUN bet. 1.01x in football actually pays for something that will lose around 1 in 40 times. For example, City will not win against I don't know, Al-Ahly C team. 1.01x in dice pays for something that will lose around 1 in 25 times if you play on FBC. Because of high house edge. But to me, 1.01x in this FUN bet will lose around 1 in 100 times. Because it has to almost 20% up now in price within 6 days (after already going up 10% in 2 weeks). That's never happened AFAIK and as I said would require a whale to buy it all in this week. I checked CMC and the best it did was around 12% in 2 weeks this whole past year. So you guys get what I mean about value? Rich people see 1% return in government bonds as very high value. The risk is very very low for the government not to pay back to you, less than 1 in 100 chance. So yes, people put in millions and billions in bonds for 1.01x per year exactly because of the low risk to reward and the value. |
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Interesting promo on Women's World Cup, I have to admit I don't follow that, or U21 football, but mainly because either there's no coverage for those games here, or there is not really a good level of skill on play. I don't want to get into the later excuse too much because it might sound like I'm hating lol but women's football is only good at a few teams. Anyway Long time no share bets, so putting Japanese games and Brasil on my ticket and hoping for a big win! |
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14. Ilia Topuria
13. Amanda Ribas
12. Justin Tafa
11. David Onama
10. Bruno Silva
9. Neil Magny
8. Wellington Turman
7. Mateusz Rebecki
6. Gillian Robertson
5. Zhalgas Zhumagulov
4.
3. Jack Jenkins
2. Tatsuro Taira
1. Sedriques Dumas
NOT go the Full Distance 5
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Well done on winning leea! We haven't met yet in BSFL but I see you're doing so well in promotion and now top of Division 2! Anyway La Liga schedules are already published, Real got Bellingham and we got Gundogan, so it's gonna be really really tough. We start with Getafe, where it's always tough for us but the pick of the first match is for sure Sevilla versus Valencia lol Good luck everyone, and is it possible for me to send all my fees for all pools everywhere instantly? |
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Meanwhile, those who bet on FUN Tokens are really very small, the odds are in the range Less than $ 0.005000, only @ 1.01 it's not worth betting at all on price predictions on this token.
On the other hand, I see it as more than impossible for FUN price to go up above 0.005 currently, given the bad performance, and only a whale buying up everything would move it that much. Odds wise, this means 1% chance for it to happen, but in reality, I think it's more like 0.1% chance. In other words 1.01 when the payout should be 1.001 seems actually very big value to me lol |
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To answer questions above, as a regular daily player and investor: no, VIP is not active yet. And 70% rakeback is active every day for 2 hours, from 9am to 11 am UTC (same as forum time). So no need to wonder and wait for the VIP or Elite seat cashback just play these 2 hours and you'll get a lot of your house edge back |
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Nice reading a lot about pitch and how it makes a difference for tennis, nice discussions guys, but I'll stick to good players most of the time anyway. Why because it might be easy to see player performance for top seeds but it is less accurate for low ranking players I believe, especially because the level of records is lower there. We are both away from homes for a couple of days so you get only limited coverage. I am on river Zrmanja, rafting with buddies from work and cell signal isn't what it should be. At situations like this I really appreciate outdated design of bitcointalk. It is the only web page I frequent which works almost normally Can't access Liquipedia and check exact situation but if everything is same, tie breakers are played. On other words one map match. It seems the DOTA tiebreaker is happening indeed, and games record has no meaning but I wonder why they keep track of it then? Also, Cro2, Wow rafting on a river and still can get data, complete opposite for me, if I go back to nature, we don't even have normal phone lines, enjoy the trip Cro2 you deserve it |
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Always had opposite belief, red is good time to enter, if there is bloodbath it's even more so, like the recent one, who purchased in it would be in profit today.
Not necessarily. The thing is you also have to be lucky, as in picking the right coin to go in during a bloodbath, and picking the right time. Bloodbaths can be very tricky, you either pick a coin that'll never recover, or pick a time that will only go down more and more and never to recover past a certain line. I'm proof of that. I bought a lot of coins in 2017, thinking 50% bloodbath was good. Most of those coins went on to lose more and more, 50%, followed by another 50% and so on. If you only bought BTC and ETH you would be fine but I entered as a noob and bought sooo many shitcoins, mostly died. Some never recovered to even 5% of ATH. Beware entering the dip |
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I think it's a lot more about predictions being right compared to other people that must be making it even more fun. I mean we are talking about so many people predicting and you are being right more than all the other people, which makes it so much more fun.
I had the same thing with my NBA fantasy league last season, I was right and I knew that my draft looked weird because everyone assumed that I would not be able to get as much wins as the other people, and picked the wrong guys. I knew that my guys were wildcards but because I was lower on the ranks I had to pick those guys and I was right in the end. So being right is good, but if there is no context then it's not that fun, but if you are right when others are not, that's actually quite fun.
Yeah, predictions are always fun, and I win freebets every now and then also from just randomly choosing the right side (I always view right side of UFC as the "least favorite". Not a good pool strategy however Yes @slaman29 is top on the leaderboard of the F1 pool for the forums so it would be very strange if he wasn't happy and enjoying himself in the slightest.
So the rest should let him talk smack if he wants too now since he has earned it.
Like a gigachad until the next race starts that is.
Hadn't heard about that bird until @owengtam09 mentioned it actually on here a day later. But apparently he was driving around with stuck inside the car since lap 11!
Definitely going to enjoy the gigachadness for as long as it lasts. I guess there really is such a thing as beginners luck, but lets see if I don't talk too soon and start slipping down. For as long as Verstappen continues to win, and I have faith in him, it'll work out. Crazy bird stories indeed, you would think it would have slowed him down at least 1 second every lap, weird right? |
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Also anyway I noticed a couple of days ago actually that the betting options for FUN price was a bit too good to be true, with a week til closing, and price even going 50% up would still cause you to win the 1.01x. Not bad huh.
Is there a chance they might be earning 10-50K sats only daily basis just from the referral free rolls? Thats insane. It's pretty easy to see if you are earning much but to earn 10k sats, you would currently need 5000 freerolls (you get half the sats from what people get which is currently 4 sats). If 500 people are active who roll 10 times daily, that's what you get. I doubt many people even have 50 active refs They do give commission from any sale they do or any buy they do for the FUN tokens and I can imagine if just 1000 people buy and sell daily the amount of satoshi that one gets without doing anything here is truly insane.
I think the interest is the real "killer" deal. If you have just 1 guy who doesn't even do anything but park let's say just 2 BTCs, you can get quite a pretty amount daily. |
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Just couldn't resist looking at spreadsheet in the end because I was sure I got all wrong, luckily, I have 1 green line there but even more lucky my opponent has all wrong so far!
But Wow Belgium guys, just 2 of you picked them AND picked under 2.5 goals. Amazing pick. Now I'm worried about England Germany cause I went for high goals lol.
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You should work together with blockchain explorers, something like what Etherscan does for Ethereum addresses (you can see which wallets are always guilty of fraud, which wallets always do scam transactions).
So you might for example work with Blockchain explorer to see address info taken from your software, instead of people manually entering addresses.
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