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Question: Closing BTC Price June 17:
$0 - 4 (3%)
<$6,500 - 7 (5.3%)
$6,500-$6,750 - 1 (0.8%)
$6,751-$7,000 - 2 (1.5%)
$7,001-$7,250 - 3 (2.3%)
$7,251-$7,500 - 6 (4.5%)
$7,501-$7,750 - 4 (3%)
$7,751-$8,000 - 12 (9.1%)
$8,001-$8,250 - 13 (9.8%)
$8,251-$8,500 - 7 (5.3%)
$8,501-$8,750 - 6 (4.5%)
$8,751-$9,000 - 11 (8.3%)
$9,001,$9,250 - 13 (9.8%)
$9,251-$9,500 - 17 (12.9%)
>$9,500 - 17 (12.9%)
$20,000 - 9 (6.8%)
Total Voters: 132

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21228479 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (66 posts by 16 users deleted.)
Last of the V8s
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March 23, 2019, 11:35:49 PM
Merited by 600watt (1)

^nice^^ Grin

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HairyMaclairy
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March 23, 2019, 11:38:23 PM

The odds of a marriage in the US today lasting for ten years is about 3%.

Yeah no

Your numbers are wrong by at least an order of magnitude

Quote
Rate of divorce" usually refers to the number of divorces that occur in the population during a given period. However it is also used in common parlance to refer to the likelihood of a given marriage ending in divorce (as opposed to the death of a spouse).

In 2002 (latest survey data as of 2012),[39] 29% of first marriages among women aged 15–44 were disrupted (ended in separation, divorce or annulment) within 10 years.[40] Beyond the 10-year window, population survey data is lacking, but forecasts and estimates provide some understanding. It is commonly claimed that half of all marriages in the United States eventually end in divorce, an estimate possibly based on the fact that in any given year, the number of marriages is about twice the number of divorces.[41] Amato outlined in his study on divorce that in the late of 1990s, about 43% to 46% of marriages were predicted to end in dissolution. According to his research, there is only a small percentage of marriages end in permanent separation rather than divorce.[42] Using 1995 data, National Survey of Family Growth forecast in 2002 a 43% chance that first marriages among women aged 15–44 would be disrupted within 15 years.[39] More recently, having spoken with academics and National Survey of Family Growth representatives, PolitiFact.com estimated in 2012 that the lifelong probability of a marriage ending in divorce is 40%–50%.[43]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Divorce_in_the_United_States#Rates_of_divorce
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March 23, 2019, 11:39:57 PM

The odds of a marriage in the US today lasting for ten years is about 3%.

Yeah no

Quote
Rate of divorce" usually refers to the number of divorces that occur in the population during a given period. However it is also used in common parlance to refer to the likelihood of a given marriage ending in divorce (as opposed to the death of a spouse).

In 2002 (latest survey data as of 2012),[39] 29% of first marriages among women aged 15–44 were disrupted (ended in separation, divorce or annulment) within 10 years.[40] Beyond the 10-year window, population survey data is lacking, but forecasts and estimates provide some understanding. It is commonly claimed that half of all marriages in the United States eventually end in divorce, an estimate possibly based on the fact that in any given year, the number of marriages is about twice the number of divorces.[41] Amato outlined in his study on divorce that in the late of 1990s, about 43% to 46% of marriages were predicted to end in dissolution. According to his research, there is only a small percentage of marriages end in permanent separation rather than divorce.[42] Using 1995 data, National Survey of Family Growth forecast in 2002 a 43% chance that first marriages among women aged 15–44 would be disrupted within 15 years.[39] More recently, having spoken with academics and National Survey of Family Growth representatives, PolitiFact.com estimated in 2012 that the lifelong probability of a marriage ending in divorce is 40%–50%.[43]
I didn't say anything about the divorce rate. Also without a source you made those numbers up. WITH a source they almost certainly made them up, given who you are. Don't even bother.
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March 23, 2019, 11:41:25 PM

I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
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March 23, 2019, 11:57:17 PM

Divorce Rate

Luxembourg: 87% With a population of approximately 500,000, Luxembourg is actually one of the smallest countries in Europe. ...
Spain: 65%
France: 55%
Russia: 51%
United States: 46%
Germany: 44%
United Kingdom: 42%
New Zealand: 42%

https://www.unifiedlawyers.com.au/blog/global-divorce-rates-statistics/


Highest Divorce rate according to Guinness world records (2002) based on Divorces per 1,000 inhabitants per year

The USA in third spot and Maldives is in the First spot

http://www.guinnessworldrecords.com/world-records/highest-divorce-rate
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March 24, 2019, 12:11:29 AM

I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
The probability of a marriage lasting for 10 years or longer is something different than the rate of divorce. Even if the former probability excludes cases of deaths ending marriages early. Feel like the 3% number is still too low, even though I'd expect most failed marriages to divorce earlier on rather than later.
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March 24, 2019, 12:14:58 AM
Last edit: March 24, 2019, 12:44:27 AM by Biodom

The odds of a marriage in the US today lasting for ten years is about 3%.

More like 50% or even 60-70%:
https://www.refinery29.com/en-us/2017/01/137440/divorce-rate-in-america-statistics
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March 24, 2019, 12:16:35 AM

I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
The probability of a marriage lasting for 10 years or longer is something different than the rate of divorce. Even if the former probability excludes cases of deaths ending marriages early. Feel like the 3% number is still too low, even though I'd expect most failed marriages to divorce earlier on rather than later.

Well, strictly speaking 100% of all marriages eventually end
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March 24, 2019, 12:19:56 AM

I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
The probability of a marriage lasting for 10 years or longer is something different than the rate of divorce. Even if the former probability excludes cases of deaths ending marriages early. Feel like the 3% number is still too low, even though I'd expect most failed marriages to divorce earlier on rather than later.

Well, strictly speaking 100% of all marriages eventually end
Yeah, but he claimed that 3% of marriages end within 10 years. Which I doubt and can't be bothered looking up. But still, not divorce rates.
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March 24, 2019, 12:21:24 AM
Merited by kenzawak (1)

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 Cheesy
Last of the V8s
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March 24, 2019, 12:24:50 AM

Alea iacta est. Angry
Ἀνερρίφθω κύβoς

anyway w/e it's much more palatable than Mcaffe's cock thing
the Hayes Line it is
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March 24, 2019, 12:37:48 AM

"Dovie'andi se tovya sagain (It's time to toss the dice)"

HairyMaclairy
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March 24, 2019, 12:43:16 AM

I have always wanted a yacht called Vedi vici veni
JayJuanGee
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How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


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March 24, 2019, 12:47:33 AM

oh lol it's Sunday at the bowel end of the earth
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12saLhlUoqIdairxzuSPu6EYGrt7FN2lOstO1yDjCEbA/edit#gid=1012758442&range=B89
you'll probably feign disinterest Hairy but according to this you stand finally to become LegendaryHairyMacLairy in 2 day and 2hours (or any fortnight thereafter)


hahahahahaha...


Maybe he will get lucky?   He is surely eligible.  The maximum activity level is around 1,030, and I recall that I was about 1,000 by the time that mine converted from Hero to Legendary...   but ultimately, there is some randomness in the upgrade, according to my understanding of the matter.  Maybe we should create a poll on the topic?  will become jinxed, or no?
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March 24, 2019, 12:49:00 AM

Your elven tongue has no power here Tongue
veni vidi vici
HairyMaclairy
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March 24, 2019, 12:50:06 AM

Think about it for 5 minutes then come back
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March 24, 2019, 12:50:17 AM

Interesting stat: Belgium has a very high divorce rate (70%).
So, maybe not getting married is not such a bad idea.
Keeps you on your toes.
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March 24, 2019, 12:52:13 AM

Nope your magic has bested me Angry
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March 24, 2019, 12:55:06 AM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (2)

I want to call my yacht “I saw, I conquered, I came”



Edit:  although I might call it 15 for short (VVV)
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March 24, 2019, 12:58:54 AM

How funny. Think about it for 5 minutes then come back.

stupidly there is even such a yacht (sort of) http://ybi1.com/vedi_vidi_vici_mangusta_130_fast_offshore_motor_yacht_for_charter.htm

anyway it was just your speeling put me off 'vedi' Huh

meanwhile Prices:
July/August/Festivals: Euros 119,000/week
Other times: Euros 94,000/week
seems ok
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