Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Kylapoiss]

The alt coins must unravel before btc can go up. My prediction is we see dominance climb above 80%.

80%? That's a bold prediction. I'd say 70% will be quite maxxed, after it reaches the peak it will drop drastically, ergo fuelling the next (maybe the last) altcoin run. But after the next run most of the shitcoins will fade into history, as they should. Then daddy takes over for good with some kiddies running around. But you never know if and how they will grow up.

[El duderino_]

The poll is still bullish ...... must be something Going on whiteout me knowing   

[Kylapoiss]

The poll is still bullish ...... must be something Going on whiteout me knowing   

I've been right on the last 2 polls, voted on the first days. Now I can't find a suitable answer

maybe I'm just in a bad mood, should get a drink or smth.

[El duderino_]

i do like jimmy song and put the bet on that idiot 

[El duderino_]

[Yaplatu]

[El duderino_]

ETH is still leading the loss-pack. The pain is increasing.

#BUY BITCOIN

[dutchlincoln]

ETH is still leading the loss-pack. The pain is increasing.

#BUY BITCOIN

i'll wait a few days more and buy me some ETH  

MUST be going uphill, cant miss, an profit increase must be astonashing!

[Wekkel]

i'll wait a few days more and buy me some ETH  

MUST be going uphill, cant miss, an profit increase must be astonashing!

A wise trader at least waits for a second bottom before stepping in. But feel free to catch a fallin' knife.

[El duderino_]

^
That’s One of the things everybody has already had ,a catching falling knives experience.... and if not or When your new .... everyone Will keep doing This kind of things till they get burned , its all included in the crypto learning Manuel 

[vapourminer]

wheres the one with the bored looking guy?

[Majormax]

The alt coins must unravel before btc can go up. My prediction is we see dominance climb above 80%.

80%? That's a bold prediction. I'd say 70% will be quite maxxed, after it reaches the peak it will drop drastically, ergo fuelling the next (maybe the last) altcoin run. But after the next run most of the shitcoins will fade into history, as they should. Then daddy takes over for good with some kiddies running around. But you never know if and how they will grow up.

There may possibly not be another altcoin run (just some failed rallies). It has been my view since Feb that we are in a bear market frame, and it would be unusual for that not to last at least a year or two.

There is still lots of hope around, and price likes to flow down that river.

Of course nobody can make clear predictions, but the logic seems to be that this is an altcoin extinction event, and the next bull phase will involve the main survivors. The large number of surviving zombie coins is diluting scarce buying power.

Until the mass extinction is well under way (and that means getting down to only a few hundred alts)  , it is unlikely that a proper bottom can be formed.  ( just my own guess)

I would be a buyer of just the strongest projects (maybe only BTC) when we get to less than 400 tokens/coins showing some trade on coinmarketcap.

[Majormax]

^
That’s One of the things everybody has already had ,a catching falling knives experience.... and if not or When your new .... everyone Will keep doing This kind of things till they get burned , its all included in the crypto learning Manuel  

Yes. Impossible to predict the long term price moves, only the market can show you. Better to miss the first 25% of a bull market, than to lose a large indeterminate chunk (could easily be 75% or more) of your capital.

Unfortunately, it is natural to be impatient for action, so those losses are the norm.

[JayJuanGee]

I am watching a tutorial to make a rope knot ... 

Well, I told ya not to sell your precious bitcoins for Bitmain Cash and other shitcoins!

i think not really much BTC hodlers actually SOLD BTC for BCH ..... maybe hodl the free shit
i'm happy unloaded ALL of that shit for BTC

I must thank Bcash (aka free shit, as you say) for inspiring me to play around with both the Nano S and the Trezor, and I like the Trezor better.  Also, I learned some other bits about transferring coins and all of that mumbo jumbo baloney, but also got me to be a bit more aware of wallet options in holding coins off of exchanges.

Once I got access to my BCH, I cashed out most of it right away, mostly by setting up sell orders, but from time to time I did some market sales, too.. specially when stupid-ass coinbase distributed me my bcash.. .based on the then shenanigans, I felt it necessary to market sale those babies - even though it cost a bit of extra dough to market sell on coinbase - versus free limited sales that were not really working too well with their seemingly purposeful obstructionism - and shady dealings.

I still hold about 1% of my total Bcash, and I don't give that much of a shit about whether I make anything off of it, or if those coins go to zero... BTC goes up and down 10% in a day, frequently,,.. which pretty much makes the bcash crap appear as a kind of rounding error.

[JayJuanGee]

That is dumb.

Why the fuck is bitcoin being portrayed as equivalent to three other cyptos...   Too misleading, of a pic, in my opinion.

[nanobtc]

I also got a Nano S at the fork. Just recently got a Coinkite Coldcard, it seems much more sophisticated. It can operate it's whole lifetime offline. It has a micro SD slot, you can power up the Coldcard with just an AC USB charger, and sign transactions  (although recent versions of Electrum support it natively). It has a $5 wrench secondary wallet, as well as a 'burnme' PIN.

[RoomBot]

I also got a Nano S at the fork. Just recently got a Coinkite Coldcard, it seems much more sophisticated. It can operate it's whole lifetime offline. It has a micro SD slot, you can power up the Coldcard with just an AC USB charger, and sign transactions  (although recent versions of Electrum support it natively). It has a $5 wrench secondary wallet, as well as a 'burnme' PIN.

That is so cool that I don't understand half of it!  I do like my Trezor, though. Got mine with dumped BCash too, LOL.

[JayJuanGee]

ETH is still leading the loss-pack. The pain is increasing.

Indeed... feels weird tho... Let's c next week where we are at... Really Really interesting week ahead of us... 

Yes.. let's see next week, but we are also seeing what is happening this week, and it is an ongoing dump in process that could end up in a kind of dramatic capitulation that brings the product to 2 digits (not sure if it will stay there, though?). 

Originally, about 4 years ago, I had thought ETH had a value in the less than $10 range, sustainably.  Of course, I was proven wrong, and the building of a large number of ICOs and various shit products upon ETH has shown that it has some value - including the value to raise capital from individual investors (if you can label 14 year old snot noses as "investors?).

I would love to c the 3-4k levels... will be like a HUGE BTFD Last time opportunity..... BTC + LN + Schnorr <<<<<----- BOOM..!!!!!!!!!!!!

I have a difficult time measuring, and even making some kind of guess, because as you likely recognize, we will experience breaking upon breaking of support levels that cause further down support levels to get broken.  So far, it seems that those support levels have been getting broken in various alt coins a lot more than in bitcoin, and in that regard, I thought that you were implying some kind of ETH capitulation that could occur next week, and that is why I asked why we would need to wait until next week to see such capitulation in ETH and perhaps in some of the other alts - even though ETH seems to be leading such further and further support level breakenings - which does not necessarily follow that bitcoin is going to transverse to any kind of similar extremes.. maybe you would be lucky to buy below $5k and even that may be a bit too high of a bitcoin price downfall expectation.. perhaps buy some BTC at $5,300 rather than waiting for anywhere in the $3k to $4k levels... o.k?

[RoomBot]

But it's not going lower than $5,900 EVER again!!!!!11111

#Bullish

[JayJuanGee]

I am watching a tutorial to make a rope knot ...  

Well, I told ya not to sell your precious bitcoins for Bitmain Cash and other shitcoins!

i think not really much BTC hodlers actually SOLD BTC for BCH ..... maybe hodl the free shit
i'm happy unloaded ALL of that shit for BTC

BCH was a coin that was created in what I like to call "bad faith". I stripped my wallets of it and turned it into btc.

Now that I think about it, ETH was also a bad faith coin, I have a bit of ETC because I believed in an immutable chain, not what ETH became....

This man invested in bad faith coins. And paid the price. Pity him. Learn from him.

I did a google image search, and I found this article.

https://money.cnn.com/2018/09/11/investing/bitcoin-crash-victim/index.html

I am thinking How fucking stupid can you be?  but then, I suppose that there are quite a few folks who bought at the top, and then made a bad situation worse by gambling.  He would not be doing so bad, right now, if he had kept his focus on Bitcoin rather than getting distracted by shitcoins...   Hard to recover, when your principle is only worth about 4% of what you started with?

I am not sure how much to pity such a crazy-ass gambling case, as described in the article.

For example, with myself, I bought into bitcoin towards the height of the late 2013 BTC price peak with my first 1.24BTC for $1,500, which is about $1,200 per coin to start with.  But during the initial price fall through 2014, I kept with bitcoin and kept buying BTC incrementally, so the average price of my BTC holdings was about $520, and the price of bitcoin was about $200-ish with some price spikes below $200, so the value of my holdings stooped to below 35% of what I had invested, yet by the end of 2015, BTC price seemed to bottom in the $250 arena, and I made several mistakes, but continued to buy with what I could which brought my average cost per BTC to around $500, which is about 50% losses.

I guess I am thinking that 50% losses, is still way more principle to work with than 96% losses.  When bitcoin recovered I made some more mistakes, including getting phone ported hacked, which caused my average cost per BTC to go up to about $750 per BTC, but I guess I did not have the fucking burden and confusion of multiple alt coins cluttering up my thinking...

Today, I kind of consider my average price per BTC to be in the $650 to $750 range, and the reason that average cost per BTC is not clear is because there is some uncertainty about how much value I should give to BTC, fiat and other token holdings on WEX, especially since they seem to have their own shenanigans going on.. and I am not quite ready to write those coins off.. .. even though their ongoing price shenanigans and their withdrawal freezes are seeming more and more difficult to recover from such negative public image.   i am still hesitant to write off those coins.

Anyhow, you can have a lot of fuck ups in BTC, and still retain a certain decent amount of value, and I question myself regarding how much sympathy I want to give to folks who are gambling on alt coins, especially shit, scam and attack vector coins like Bcash and Ethereum.