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Question: Will we close Nov. at or above Plan B's posited minimum of $98K?
Yes - 43 (37.4%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25491752 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (158 posts by 14 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Biodom
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December 04, 2018, 03:51:52 AM

I wonder what is the estimated probability for a 100K party within 5 years from today (in regulars opinion).

IMHO, 10%. Granted, going into 2018 I thought that it is close to 80-90%.

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December 04, 2018, 04:01:04 AM

The odds of a party or the odds of $100k?!
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December 04, 2018, 04:09:30 AM
Merited by infofront (1)

My comment also includes a reference to Bob's representation that he was going to give beers to everyone if the BTC price goes below "x".... BTC price went below "x" and he weasled as good as any disingenuous person that you cannot rely upon at his word.  

OK fucker.

You just had to push me.

I just had to sneak a peek and see whatever nonsense you are crying on about, with respect to not writing checks my mouth has cashed.

Surely emotional.


You are so fucking pompously entitled that it sickens me.

Huh?

If you, for ONE FUCKING MOMENT, think that I was not honest in my desire to follow through with the intention of buying everyone in this thread a beer, then go fuck yourself.

Actions speak louder than words.  There was a promise and then a weaseling

My main point is don't promise if you are not going to deliver, and if you end up having to deliver, you could have at least addressed the matter rather than avoiding it and then coming out with some subsequently lame, which was short for weaseling.

It would have become an OpSec and logistical nightmare; I think even you can see that.

Probably, you should not have promised.

Some folks may have recalled that the way Adam used to do it was that he would pre-load an address and then the first person to scan it would receive the BTC, which was equivalent of a beer. You could have done something like that, and even merely to 10 or 20 members would have at least been some kind of an attempt to fulfil the spirit of what you had promised.

That's why I ultimately "weasled" <sic> out of it, while trying to do so with humor and grace.

you can persist with your assertion that it was a joke, but that seems a bit lame... ..


But now seeing this bullshit pettiness from you has me seeing red, and I'm contemplating possibly violating my OpSec to follow through (eg: Any user within 20 pages either way of "that" post can ping me for $7 USD worth of BTC to put towards a beer purchase.)

Hey.. something like that would be reasonable... .. and surely it is your choice about what to do... not me....

It's not even the fucking value of the BTC. It's just that if I make a "good natured, boastful" post like I do in the past, fail spectacularly - repeatedly - everyone get's a chuckle out of it, and nobody gets hurt, then I don't understand your deal, man. It's called "talking shit" and "bantz", you dumb-fuck.

I suppose that it depends upon how it is phrased.  Some folks probably feel that they deserve a blow job too, based on another representation that you made, if I recall correctly... but whatever.. I am not necessarily saying that all promises are going to be understood the same way, so likely there is some need to be careful with promises, I would think.

JJG, if you want your fucking free beer, and finally put your "grievance" with me to bed, find out what the BTC/USD price was, on the day of my post, post your address here in this thread publicly, and I'll figure out some non-OpSec breaking-way to buy your pussy ass a fucking beer and post the TX.

I never really thought about requesting for myself, but it might not be a bad idea to get a free beer.. .I may have to pass on the blow job part... hahahahahahaa   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy


In fact, compile me a fucking list of all users within 20 pages each way of my "free beer" post, and I'll send them BTC (back-valued to $7 at the time of whatever it was when I posted) for a fucking beer, if they drop me a PM.


What am I?  Your secretary?  I am not the one who made the promise, so logistics should be within your baliwick, not mine... or maybe brainstorm with some members about how to accomplish, and there may even be some members who would not mind assisting to accomplish the objective.

Then when I see you at the $100K party, you MUST attend, and you MUST allow me to give you a clean right-cross square across your smug fucking face.

Did I ever say that I want to break my own opsec to hang out with WO peeps?  And, why would I want to hang out with anyone who has difficulties controlling his emotions and also seems to harbor irrationally high levels of hostility towards me?  Makes sense?  NOT

Deal ?

Seems a bit disingenuous to change the terms of a promise (or gift or whatever it is called) and to create additional conditions prior to fulfilling such.    Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

must be that you continue to be unable to control your emotions.    Tongue Tongue Tongue Tongue

You are a wreck.    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy  hahahahahahaha


I wonder what is the estimated probability for a 100K party within 5 years from today (in regulars opinion).

IMHO, 10%. Granted, going into 2018 I thought that it is close to 80-90%.

I am impressed, Biodom, with your ability to attempt to stay on topic...    Cheesy Wink
Biodom
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December 04, 2018, 04:18:29 AM

The odds of a party or the odds of $100k?!

LOL...if btc will be at $100K, a party will happen (99.99% probability in my guesstimate Wink)
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December 04, 2018, 04:18:48 AM

Ride or die mother fucker it'll be like Thelma and Louise, I'll hold your hand off that cliff.

Sent my first Bitstamp wire since 2017.  Starting to put some of my fiat bags at the bottom of the cliff. Mustn’t hurry. Hasten slowly.

Not up on bitstamp news? Deposits and withdrawals suck big time. There is a lot of stamp hate on reddit these days. Took me 6 frackin weeks to get some fiat from those sobs.

I don’t visit Reddit.  How about inbound deposits?  I sent the wire over the weekend so will give it a week to clear and then see what’s up. 
I've done the same. Hopefully this one gets through.  Have to admit I felt nervous about throwing my $$$$'s into BTC for the first time in a long time. Must be the psychological jump needed near the bottom Wink
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December 04, 2018, 04:24:34 AM
Merited by Paashaas (1)

1 On the 30 minute chart, quasibarts, quasi-head'n'shoulders, and a stepwise decay.


1


2 A wider view on the 6 hour scale shows two similar but steeper, scarier stairs preceded by smaller oscillations, on similar and much longer timeframes.  Bractals, as in fast barts flowering on top of long slow squat barts. Our current timescale looks like a couple of small grainy mammoths at the end of the chart (the first is slanted).

(A question for learned problem solvers: can similar patterns be spotted in the past bear cycles? 2013? 2014? Serious.)

2


On the basis of such sophisticated PA (Poetic Analysis, a strictly qualitative discipline), I managed to feed new fuel into my short, green again at last.  Now she can go back down or further if she so wishes, but I'd like her to revisit at least  the 4.2-4.3 region, just for the good ol'times, baby.  I'm not calling it, just to be clear.  She can't be tamed.
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December 04, 2018, 04:26:34 AM
Merited by Paashaas (1)


I am thinking something like this:






or this:





 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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December 04, 2018, 04:45:30 AM
Merited by Paashaas (1)

$7.... at the time of... Sheeiiit, Dat's like two-fiddy today.
Fug it, I'll drink.  It does have bottom on it!
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December 04, 2018, 04:51:49 AM

I wonder what is the estimated probability for a 100K party within 5 years from today (in regulars opinion).

IMHO, 10%. Granted, going into 2018 I thought that it is close to 80-90%.



IMO $100k per coin will be reached within 5 years.

The road from $100k to $1m will be the same rollercoaster as going from $10k to $100k.

We haven't seen anything yet, consider Bitcoins enormous potential with only 21m ~18m coins.....(mindblowing numbers)
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December 04, 2018, 04:52:38 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (1)

Always remember:

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December 04, 2018, 04:53:04 AM

$7.... at the time of... Sheeiiit, Dat's like two-fiddy today.
Fug it, I'll drink.  It does have bottom on it!


In Bavaria, you would be killed for this.




These several references to the airplane series causes me to want to rewatch some of those, and your graphic skills come with some quite hilarious twists..., homer .

Surely, you must be joking.

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December 04, 2018, 04:56:23 AM

Edge of the precipice

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December 04, 2018, 04:59:49 AM
Merited by jojo69 (1)

But they only lived 40 years if they were lucky.

Quote
Suicide was practically non existent among indigenous tribes.  It's clear that modern society is ruining peoples mental health and happiness.
There wasn't much time to think about suicide is my guess.

The Hobbesian "nasty brutish and short" fallacy again.
OK. I've just read about that (life expectancy vs. span) and I now see your point, which however doesn't change the big picture. Low average means that if you pick one existence at random among the actual ones that there were, you are likely to be cut off before you taste, say, the joy of sex. In other words, not everyone can be Plinius' aunt.

I agree that a hunter-gatherer life, if purged of the inevitable brutality, is more fun in mostly any way. No boss but the priest. Easier women. Not much to fear from your peers (except for the other gang, well they too will eat you for obvious reasons, but that's just normal).
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December 04, 2018, 05:29:12 AM
Merited by BTCMILLIONAIRE (1)

You know if any of you want to become hunter gatherers you can.  Plenty of room in the Artic. 
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December 04, 2018, 05:38:43 AM
Last edit: December 04, 2018, 08:15:26 AM by Biodom
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), Last of the V8s (1)

I wonder what is the estimated probability for a 100K party within 5 years from today (in regulars opinion).

IMHO, 10%. Granted, going into 2018 I thought that it is close to 80-90%.



IMO $100k per coin will be reached within 5 years.

The road from $100k to $1m will be the same rollercoaster as going from $10k to $100k.

We haven't seen anything yet, consider Bitcoins enormous potential with only 21m ~18m coins.....(mindblowing numbers)

I'll pick up this argument even though I would like nothing more than 100k (or more).
Points:

1. Bitcoin is showing a propensity for too much volatility. It is OK for a $1bil asset to decline more than 80%, but it is different (inappropriate) for a $300-350bil asset. It should have shown a bit more maturity. It did not.
It is still barely hanging within respectable params, but below $2.8K (85-86% decline) all bets would be off.

2. Apart from lightning that is making good progress, what exactly is happening, technology wise? Last time I checked blockchain.com wallet has about 80-90% similarity to the 2014 version.

3. "They" did a job on us with the futures and now gloat about it. No matter, "they" will be the ones to miss more powerful bitcoin when their SHTF.

4. Nobody have a slightest idea where bitcoin is going price-wise and why. A gigantic gap in future valuation estimates (between nothing and 100tril) shows that the matter is not settled even after millions of people first learned of bitcoin in the fall of 2013.
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December 04, 2018, 05:43:13 AM

I wonder what is the estimated probability for a 100K party within 5 years from today (in regulars opinion).

IMHO, 10%. Granted, going into 2018 I thought that it is close to 80-90%.



IMO $100k per coin will be reached within 5 years.

The road from $100k to $1m will be the same rollercoaster as going from $10k to $100k.

We haven't seen anything yet, consider Bitcoins enormous potential with only 21m ~18m coins.....(mindblowing numbers)

Forgive me for being 1,111 pages behind, ( TL:DR) but with all the DUST, lost seeds, lost hard drives and basic human stupidity, I think there is far less BTC really out there.
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December 04, 2018, 05:58:25 AM

Fucking hell

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December 04, 2018, 06:08:02 AM

Ok. See. Right there is one of the reasons I outright ignored JJG.

Even though I'm pretty sure JayJuanGee is a Google chat bot that just cut and pastes things from dictionaries, from an outside, non-biased perspective, I would say he has more shitcoin credibility due to the fact BOB was telling everyone NOT to sell at the top while he was dumping everything.  Then he typed something like "thanks guys, I'm now a millionaire" right after.  It was something resembling an altcoin pump and dump group from the year 2013.

He didn't say it once, but numerous times telling all the other shitcoiners in the thread not to sell while he was.  Lucky for Bob, I seem to be the only person that remembers that.
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December 04, 2018, 06:16:42 AM

IMO $100k per coin will be reached within 5 years.

You don't seem to be aware that even with one more halving, for the price to rise to $100k, the amount of mining would also need to rise an order of magnitude...or more, and then bitcoin would probably use more power than the entire United States.  If you claim that scenario is plausible, you are either a scammer or have a peanut brain.  

There is a limit to how high these imaginary, valueless tokens can be pump and dumped due to the PoW mechanism.  The only reason it was able to go as high as it did was because Bitmain still had mostly a monopoly on the entire sector, which means the price can then vastly diverge from cost of production.  If people like Samsung and whoever else bring in competition, the cost of production will then need to be raised much higher in order to successfully pump up the price.

TLDR:  the more centralized a coin is, the easier it is to pump something.  Bitcoin is almost completely centralized by Bitmain mining and in-house market rigging, which is why the price went up a lot.  If other people bring competition in mining, there will be no $20k coin prices with a $3k cost of production ever.
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December 04, 2018, 06:20:19 AM

A little shake down...
... and one up.
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