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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26816702 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
fillippone
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Duelbits.com - Rewarding, beyond limits.


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March 12, 2020, 10:41:51 AM
Last edit: May 16, 2023, 06:28:29 AM by fillippone
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (5), Quickseller (1)

Hello WO Gang.

Observing corn @6,700

All is good.
1BTC=1BTC
Fillippone still not COVID positive (this is a success for the moment)

I re read my post, and I am still convinced this is the true reason of the fall.
Some miners are capitulating, as difficulty is now going to be revised down to -5%!

Interesting times ahead


Let me just elaborate a little bit more on this idea for explaining the dump.

So the idea is the following:

  • Difficulty is increasing steadily over the last adjustments according to https://btc.com/stats/diff. Hash rate has already grown more than 20% YtD.
  • Next expected difficulty adjustment is still expected upwards. It is too early to call for a reliable estimante , but according to https://diff.cryptothis.com/ will be between+0.5% and + 7.50%
  • Bitmain has just introduced the S19 and S19 PRO miners, which are going to destroy the s9 miners.
  • Halving is exactly two months time (according to https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/). This will put a lot of pressure on less efficient miners, pushing their mining profitability below the survivor ship minimum threshold.
  • Market is thin and nervous around critical supports, a whale selling could trigger lower levels to profit from
  • As brillantly pointed out by @plutosky in the italian board, the move didn't start from the bad fincancial world. True, BTC derivatives experienced record volumes during the past hours, but Open interest actually declined. This is a strong hint that the volumes were caused by longs being stopped out. Of course it could also meaning shorts taking profits, but in the end this means derivatives didn't originate the move, as they are now with reduced positions.

    As you can see volumes were steady before the movement:



    Suddenly there were a lot of liquidations:



    That led to a reduced open interest:



So yes, this is a reasonable explanation in my opinion, why miners could have been actually selling this market.
I doubt however they had the firing power, or the interest, to start this movement.


somac.
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Never selling


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March 12, 2020, 10:43:19 AM

big volume, wonder if its those plustokens everyone is on about.

aesma
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fly or die


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March 12, 2020, 10:43:43 AM

RED RED RED it's crazy !
qwizzie
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March 12, 2020, 10:44:06 AM

thats one red dildo pointing south  Shocked

$6420
El duderino_
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“They have no clue”


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March 12, 2020, 10:44:18 AM



LFC_Bitcoin
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March 12, 2020, 10:45:05 AM

WHAT THE FUCK IS GOING ON!

What caused this?
somac.
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Never selling


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March 12, 2020, 10:45:12 AM

It ain't stopping. This has to be some kind of ploy to manipulate ahead of the halving.
qwizzie
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March 12, 2020, 10:46:06 AM

Looks like the whales are done playing around and are getting serious.

$6309

Now would be a good time to keep an eye on altcoins.
goldkingcoiner
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March 12, 2020, 10:47:19 AM

holy fuck
Dakustaking76
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March 12, 2020, 10:47:34 AM

Bitcoin dead? This time?

El duderino_
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March 12, 2020, 10:47:43 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1)

Is it now officially open to say........... All TA is flawed most of the times?  Roll Eyes
OutOfMemory
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March 12, 2020, 10:47:45 AM

bargain timez  Grin
aesma
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fly or die


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March 12, 2020, 10:47:51 AM

It's not stopping.
podyx
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March 12, 2020, 10:47:54 AM

somac.
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Never selling


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March 12, 2020, 10:48:00 AM

fuck! this is insane
strawbs
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March 12, 2020, 10:48:14 AM

Is it now officially open to say........... All TA is flawed most of the times?  Roll Eyes

And always has been
nutildah
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March 12, 2020, 10:48:23 AM
Merited by somac. (1)

big volume, wonder if its those plustokens everyone is on about.

It must be. This is beyond usual whale fuckery, stock market jitters and covid fears.

I'm calling it: officially blood on the streets. $5900. Buying time. But if we go down to $4000, don't sue me.
peonminer
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March 12, 2020, 10:48:43 AM

https://youtu.be/NO04VXBIS0M

bitcoinPsycho
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$130000 in one hour confirmed


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March 12, 2020, 10:48:54 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

It's the btc to tp flipping
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March 12, 2020, 10:48:55 AM

$5600 on coinbase wow!
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