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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26365385 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
goldkingcoiner
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March 03, 2020, 07:51:55 PM

Do you guys know any good writers/editors who work for coin?
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El duderino_
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March 03, 2020, 07:52:49 PM

Do you guys know any good writers/editors who work for coin?

Best writers are in the Wo Tongue, but do they work for coin ??
OutOfMemory
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March 03, 2020, 07:54:58 PM

Had a hell of a bad day today. The topping of all was a marten killing one of our chickens, and the kids found it. Some infant's tears later, i had to fix the compound for about two hours in pouring rain and set up a trap. I spare you all the other ugly details of this disaster tuesday.
Feels good to hang around and backread a whole day of WO. Feels like home²  Smiley
Hope your day was better, y'all.

The corn didn't even move so much. Unusual, when i am busy with RL. A strange day, indeed.
OutOfMemory
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March 03, 2020, 07:58:39 PM

Do you guys know any good writers/editors who work for coin?

Depends.
I'd vote for Gentlemand, if you need some fucked up, but brilliant perv fantasies.
I'd vote for JJG if you need a 800+ page book of flawless on-topic breakdown analysis, say within a week.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
goldkingcoiner
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March 03, 2020, 08:08:59 PM

Do you guys know any good writers/editors who work for coin?

Best writers are in the Wo Tongue, but do they work for coin ??

Sexual favors ok too
bitserve
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March 03, 2020, 08:21:11 PM

Risk is a statistical measure, e.g. the expected loss of a strategy, asset or portfolio.

Not quite. Its the probability that a gain or a loss will differ significantly from what is expected.

This debate caught my interest, so I've looked through Wikipedia and glanced through Investopedia, but I haven't found an unequivocal statement about risk being a probability (pure number) or an expectation (currency units). No clear cut equation anywhere. Some pages say only downside enters the calculation, which would make a negative outcome impossible.

As a layman, I'm left thinking that the unqualified term 'risk' isn't well suited to numerical discussion. Other more precisely defined quantities might be better for that.


This:

Quote
In risk analysis, risk is traditionally defined as a function of probability and impact. The probability is the likelihood of an event occurring and the consequences, to which extent the project is affected by an event, are the impacts of risk.

It's very "numerical"... but, of course, the subjectivity lies on assigning proper values for both probability and impact.
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March 03, 2020, 08:25:42 PM


naah, they all just fell down stairs or drowned in swimming pools or other 'natural causes'.

<snip>


In other news: people in countries with sub-optimal health care conditions are more likely to die from a flu.
Still waiting to see people here in outbreak territory fall over on the streets like seen in the authentic footage from China.
gentlemand
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March 03, 2020, 08:28:48 PM

https://www.businessinsider.com/robinhood-trading-downtime-outage-second-day-backlash-2020-3?r=US&IR=T

The Robinhood app has had two major outages over a couple of days just as things are at their most volatile. Lots of talk of class actions on r/wallstreetbets.

Watch that centralisation, kids.
sirazimuth
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March 03, 2020, 08:36:23 PM

Which is exactly why there is no reason for the boomers here to be butthurt when I talk about how they all deserve to die.

Altogether too true. Inasmuch as we are human. Life extension tech is unlikely to reach escape velocity in our lifetimes. You deserve to die too, motherfucker.

(In my most benevolent paternalistic voice...)

Touché    (Fellow boomer)
bitserve
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March 03, 2020, 08:39:56 PM

via Imgflip Meme Generator

Aaaaaaand how to explain this one at home?  Roll Eyes

Funny. But Fake.
bitserve
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March 03, 2020, 08:44:37 PM

Do you guys know any good writers/editors who work for coin?

Maybe I am wrong, but I think nutildah does that.
Wekkel
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yes


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March 03, 2020, 09:15:24 PM

https://www.businessinsider.com/robinhood-trading-downtime-outage-second-day-backlash-2020-3?r=US&IR=T

The Robinhood app has had two major outages over a couple of days just as things are at their most volatile. Lots of talk of class actions on r/wallstreetbets.

Watch that centralisation, kids.

It seems they Bitfinexed too.
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March 03, 2020, 09:26:12 PM

https://www.businessinsider.com/robinhood-trading-downtime-outage-second-day-backlash-2020-3?r=US&IR=T

The Robinhood app has had two major outages over a couple of days just as things are at their most volatile. Lots of talk of class actions on r/wallstreetbets.

Watch that centralisation, kids.
People who use RobinHood and other tools in a basically rigged market deserve what they get.

Goodness, Dow went down 785 points today. Such faith in the markets, wonder what will happen next.....
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March 03, 2020, 09:29:24 PM

Goodness, Dow went down 785 points today. Such faith in the markets, wonder what will happen next.....

Another wonderful rate cut tomorrow of course to er... erm...

Fifty dollars in the post to every household.

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March 03, 2020, 09:31:29 PM

Goodness, Dow went down 785 points today. Such faith in the markets, wonder what will happen next.....

Another wonderful rate cut tomorrow of course to er... erm...

Fifty dollars in the post to every household.


Commie! Sending money to everyone would be a commie trick. What you need to do is send every person with at least 1 million in assets another million in assets. Those people are wise stewards of money and will know best how to distribute it using the trickle down method.

This will result in the citizens getting showers of gold from on high WITHOUT it coming from the "government". Yes, the common man will come to love golden showers.....
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March 03, 2020, 09:33:30 PM
Merited by lightfoot (2)

Commie!

Says the man raised on government cheese.

They should try it once. Should be fun. They can pretend it's from Bill Gates.
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March 03, 2020, 10:08:04 PM
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Had a hell of a bad day today. The topping of all was a marten killing one of our chickens, and the kids found it. Some infant's tears later, i had to fix the compound for about two hours in pouring rain and set up a trap. I spare you all the other ugly details of this disaster tuesday.
Feels good to hang around and backread a whole day of WO. Feels like home²  Smiley
Hope your day was better, y'all.

The corn didn't even move so much. Unusual, when i am busy with RL. A strange day, indeed.

That's always hard.

Last one we lost I had the satisfaction of doing battle with the racoon up in a maple tree a few days later.  Motherfucker got stabbed pretty good and knocked about 12M to the ground.  I doubt he died, but he never came back.

Felt good to avenge my lady.
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March 03, 2020, 11:08:44 PM
Last edit: March 03, 2020, 11:56:43 PM by OutOfMemory

Had a hell of a bad day today. The topping of all was a marten killing one of our chickens, and the kids found it. Some infant's tears later, i had to fix the compound for about two hours in pouring rain and set up a trap. I spare you all the other ugly details of this disaster tuesday.
Feels good to hang around and backread a whole day of WO. Feels like home²  Smiley
Hope your day was better, y'all.

The corn didn't even move so much. Unusual, when i am busy with RL. A strange day, indeed.

That's always hard.

Last one we lost I had the satisfaction of doing battle with the racoon up in a maple tree a few days later.  Motherfucker got stabbed pretty good and knocked about 12M to the ground.  I doubt he died, but he never came back.

Felt good to avenge my lady.

I can feel you #nohomo
For my part, i promised my wife to set the four footed killer free, in the wild. She even suggested leaving 2 eggs per day outside the compartment, so it doesn't attack the chickens (uhm... yeah?)  Roll Eyes
Mofo will go swimming, with a stone at least four times its own weight. I will spontaneously decide if i knock him out before, because of mercy'n stuff. I have seen enough blood today. I like it clean and the fish will be happy about a nice extra dinner. The leftover corpse of the victim is prepared for the fox, he should have taken it already.
It's a win-win-lose-lose. Fair enough, imo.
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March 04, 2020, 12:27:04 AM

Risk is a statistical measure, e.g. the expected loss of a strategy, asset or portfolio.

Not quite. Its the probability that a gain or a loss will differ significantly from what is expected.

This debate caught my interest, so I've looked through Wikipedia and glanced through Investopedia, but I haven't found an unequivocal statement about risk being a probability (pure number) or an expectation (currency units). No clear cut equation anywhere. Some pages say only downside enters the calculation, which would make a negative outcome impossible.

As a layman, I'm left thinking that the unqualified term 'risk' isn't well suited to numerical discussion. Other more precisely defined quantities might be better for that.

See e.g. here under "Expected Loss". Shows the general definition of risk and shows some particular examples such as quadratic loss, or MSE.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loss_function

This is pretty much canon in Mathematical Statistics, Finance and where ever else you work with statistics and noise. And since it's an integral it is always a number.
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March 04, 2020, 12:27:04 AM

Never seen so much panic about most likely nothing too horrific


Now extrapolate to the entire world being infected. Cause that's the most likely scenario. Show us the numbers.

People look at a single part of a thing... end up missing the totality.  It's not the death rate (which is high for a fucking cold), it's the R0.

And then it's the second order effects.

Those two are what make this unique, and a threat.
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