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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26471051 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
JayJuanGee
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August 28, 2021, 02:09:18 PM

... I will say this only once  Wink

Anybody who has followed my meanderings over the years might know my broad-brush fair-value target for BTC-USD since my first discovering it was around $300K ... that was a v. simplistic calculation that bitcoin's addressable market, if it maintained it's exponential network growth and developed to it's potential in the foreseeable future at that time, which I estimated as being at least 10% of the gold market (in early 2011) valued at ~$6 trillion divided by ~18 million btc in future circulation. Caveat being at that time that future US$ inflation and widespread development/adoption could expand the addressable market for btc well beyond capturing 10% of gold's capital value and increase the US$ price target.

Well now 10 years later, I think with all the evidence now surrounding us in 2021 it is time to update my minimum fair-value assessment for bitcoin. The caveat will be exercised and I can say that bitcoin is making great progress towards developing to it's potential, on the network nodes and resiliency, mining roll-out, core client software and higher layer solutions (lightning, Liquid, 3rd party payment channels, client-server payment set-ups, minimum trust custody, etc). Next month bitcoin is going to see it's first national roll-out in El Salvador as a legal tender component for the monetary system of that country. Bitcoin ATM's number in the thousands across the globe. Many people on the street know what you are talking about when the word is mentioned. The largest exchange/provider Coinbase has 60 million clients, has a market cap of $100 billion on IPO and there are many other exchanges/providers besides. Many countries allow bitcoin ETF proxy trading. Major financial institutions are competing to gear-up for providing bitcoin access for their HNWI. There are futures markets offering options and futures derivatives for bitcoin trading on the CME, NYSE-BAKKT and ICE. Listed companies MSTR TSLA are the first to begin accounting for bitcoin in their treasury reserves. All these elements build a picture that bitcoin adoption has now grown to the point that it has created an addressable market substantially in excess of a minor portion of the gold market. As bitcoin continues to grow, develop and build out infrastructure, and demonstrate perseverance as a hard money competing in the market of monetary goods, the size of that addressable market keeps growing.

At a minimum, the US$ inflation rate alone has put the gold market cap almost 50% higher than 2011, now ~$9 trillion. Other measures of global wealth to use as a proportionate estimate for addressable market for bitcoin include, but not limited to, global fiat M0 ~ $80 trillion (and rising), stocks ~$120 trillion, bonds ~$160 trillion, real estate ~$400 trillion. My back of the envelope calculation now puts bitcoin addressable market fair-value target market capitalisation at around $20 trillion (~$1million/btc), in 2021 US$, on the current growth trajectory.

After 10 years, I still wouldn't want to be in any other asset until we get near that fair-market value objective, and I'll again caveat that with assessing bitcoin's current status when we get near that target.

You are a bit bearish to have only come up 3.3333x in your calculations based on evidence of happenings (presuming some of the more than expected happenings) or any logical explanations of bitcoin's dynamics and role in society in the past 10 years.

Sure, gold is also a fair metric, but seems to me that there should be some appreciation that bitcoin is likely around 1,000x the utility of gold, but sure maybe bitcoin is not going to be priced 1,000x gold, but merely having a bitcoin value that is 2x or 3x gold seems quite whimpy. #nohomo

Swapped all my AXS profit to BTC. Bought at $3, sold at $70.
Let's go boys.

I don't see how that is a topic for this thread.

In essence you are saying... let's get involved in shitcoins in order to make more BTC, and I am going to tell you how I did it// blah blah blah....

You did not even say anything negative about that shitcoin.. so how could your post be relevant, herein?
No need to take it in a negative way, just stated that I bought more BTC.
Not sure how that harms anyone in this discussion. Cheers.

You did not merely say that you bought more bitcoin.

If you had wanted to say that you bought more bitcoin, then why did you not just say it like that?

Fuck shitcoins and striving to pump them or pump the idea of being involved in them in this thread.

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/culture/1-million-bitcoin-price-billionaire

Quote
However for Balaji it appears that there is another, perhaps more fascinating flippening that will come soon - the flippening of billionaires. He says that when bitcoin hits milestones like $100,000, there will be as many bitcoin billionaires as there are traditional billionaires. When bitcoin hits one million dollars, the world’s bitcoin and crypto billionaires will surpass the number of traditional billionaires.

Actually, I would not mind seeing more analysis and discussion on these kinds of topics, which is in essence making some efforts to show on the ground metrics and dynamics in respect to how the greatest wealth transfer in history is playing out.

It's an interesting dynamic for sure, and interesting to be a part of it, even if ONLY owning a wee bit (3x) more than newbie beginning aspirational goals of 0.21 BTC
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August 28, 2021, 02:35:09 PM
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Ah Bill, I am not BiPolar. I am Just levels above with my intellectual property...



SCNR  Grin
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August 28, 2021, 03:01:35 PM


Explanation
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August 28, 2021, 03:07:31 PM
Merited by psycodad (1)

The Tunguska Event of 1908 was not caused by Tesla. I've likely known about that longer than you have been alive. There was no way to generate that amount of electrical power at that time, much less focus it. It is considered an impact event.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event
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August 28, 2021, 03:14:35 PM
Last edit: August 28, 2021, 09:50:29 PM by JayJuanGee
Merited by fillippone (5)

https://medium.com/blockstream-markets-weekly/blockstream-markets-weekly-aug-27-2021

- Blockstream raises $210M and acquires hardware maker Spondoolies (as the first step in the establishment of Blockstream’s new ASIC division)
- BTC held by funds/corporates ticks higher as MST buys another $177M worth of BTC
- Morgan Stanley funds expand GBTC positions
- futures-backed ETF may be just weeks away
- and Cuba looks to follow El Salvador’s lead on Bitcoin

Speaking of Blockstream: I fully agree with that tweet.
Not that I hate them, but they are not a good company as an investment.



On the other hand, you don't make a magic internet coin worth 1 Trln Dollar just hodling the coins.

Well there is a difference in terms of investing in something in order to make money on a personal level or investing in something that actually makes a difference or a lot of differences in a broader context beyond individual profits, so there are a decent number of examples of entities, institutions, individuals or companies that are net givers rather than net receivers, and their contributions to society very much outweigh any amounts of profits that they made in connection to their work.

There also might be some folks who are going into investing into blockstream because they want to make a profit rather than a contribution, and perhaps that would not be the correct reason.  There are also likely some folks who want to invest into something, and they kind of want their money to be burnt and to overall benefit the ecosystem and think about how much profit the bitcoin space gets from unselfish research and development, .that might or might end up being profitable when they actually meet the various missions of maintaining open networks and maybe even crowding out some profit seekers from getting involved in the space...

Isn't Jack Mallers proclaiming to approach the lighting network space with some of his strike related developments in a similar way in terms of purposefully keeping fees as zero or close to zero and then forcing the profit seekers (aka rent seekers) into attempt to compete with those low to zero fee services that Mallers is developing and putting out into the world?

There is a kind of strangeness in the way that bitcoin is developed because generally speaking open networks are not profitable, and they are very inefficient, but since bitcoin has some monetary incentives built into it, there are ways to individually invest into bitcoin or to invest in the network in various ways that could be individually profitable, whether playing the role of investor or miner, but there are period that miners might not be considerably profitable, either.. but providing a kind of service (or an ideological service), and so even though open source networks would usually not be financially profitable, even though they provide some services that are beneficial to society as a whole in terms of allowing for information to be out there and developable without any fees, bitcoin does have some profit channels therein - even though also companies that build upon bitcoin, whether referring to Blockstream or some other company may well find some profitable niche (or they may not), and there may be some of those companies that are building upon bitcoin that are not seeking either immediate profit or to ever be profitable - at least not in any kind of competitive way.. even though their various contributions cannot really be denied, even if some people might be either poo pooing such contributions or even framing the contributions in terms of how profitable or unprofitable they are relative to other ways of making money in the bitcoin space.

Actually, on a personal level, there could be some ways of considering how do I want to spend my bitcoins or my excessive bitcoins, and blockstream could be one of those places to put such money.. or to figure out ways to fund "independent" developers or other places in which there might not be a personal return on the money, but the money may well be spent in a way that is good and contributory to the space as a whole.. and maybe even later on, if a developer gets funded for 5 years, and then s/he is able to make it on his/her own and then at some point not only the giving back might happen, but also that person who might not have wanted to stay in the bitcoin space due to having to have to live based on money, then is able to survive during the early years and hopefully make a living (without having to become a shitcoiner along the way).

I completely agree with this statement as we can clearly make judgement from the past price graphs and holders gives it justification.



Those who have held it from 2017 also like not going too behind when they fell from $20k to $3k and instead of panic sell they hold or invested in bitcoin are now proof that profits are delivered to them who hold or invested at dips.But there are still who says it will not be able to stay above this or that level or others who prefer to have shitcoin full portfolio will regret themselves later and fund will be lost.Only bitcoin is the best option.

On the other side who prefer to invest in capital guaranteed or safe bonds in traditional market and call btc bubble or risky investment are ignoring the rising inflation and devaluation of their investment but still happy with it.



Those who are holding bitcoin at this time are the ones taking part in financial revolution and know fiat and inflation will make your net worth very less but btc will do the opposite and gain profits.

These dips are turning more and more DCA for me and i am happy to be btc holder.

Nothing is guaranteed aysg76 including the 4 year cycles and including that BTC will always be profitable 4 years later, but otherwise I agree with what you are saying.

There is also the idea of no correct investment for everyone, so sure some people may end up with some shitcoins in their portfolios based on their circumstances and conclusions about what they believe fits their needs, and for sure I am not advocating shitcoins at all, but I do consider them to be so damned much correlated to bitcoin that it is way the hell better to learn about bitcoin and to get an adequate stake in bitcoin
way before even exploring the mostly nonsense of shitcoins, and frequently those individuals who get involved in bitcoin in fairly deep ways will lose interest for shitcoins, not merely based on monetary performance but based on understanding aspects of what differentiates bitcoins from shitcoins.

A further component would be where someone is at in their investment career.  So if someone is brand new to investing, they might ONLY have low amounts of value that they can invest into anything, even if it is only a few hundred dollars a month.. and in that regard, they may well be better served by going ONLY into bitcoin with their extra hundreds per month that they have available... but as their investment into bitcoin gets larger and larger, there may well be some value in diversifying, even beyond cash, but there might not be any need to go heavily into any kinds of traditional investment categories.. yet in that regard, each person should be weighing if there may well be advantages to investing into 401ks or property (especially if they have some geographical tie downs anyhow) and maybe some other ways to attempt to offset some of bitcoin's volatility, including accounting for the non-zero chances that bitcoin could end up going down the tubes... of course both financial and psychological protections should be built into any guy's/gal's building of his/her BTC portfolio and the various attempts to maintain whatever had been built, too.
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August 28, 2021, 03:15:36 PM
Last edit: August 28, 2021, 03:39:59 PM by eXPHorizon

The Tunguska Event of 1908 was not caused by Tesla. I've likely known about that longer than you have been alive. There was no way to generate that amount of electrical power at that time, much less focus it. It is considered an impact event.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event

Oh you have no idea 😁

Nikola created a device that could generate the power output as a Modern nuclear reactor turned up to its maximum
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August 28, 2021, 03:34:41 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

https://medium.com/blockstream-markets-weekly/blockstream-markets-weekly-aug-27-2021

- Blockstream raises $210M and acquires hardware maker Spondoolies (as the first step in the establishment of Blockstream’s new ASIC division)
- BTC held by funds/corporates ticks higher as MST buys another $177M worth of BTC
- Morgan Stanley funds expand GBTC positions
- futures-backed ETF may be just weeks away
- and Cuba looks to follow El Salvador’s lead on Bitcoin

Speaking of Blockstream: I fully agree with that tweet.
Not that I hate them, but they are not a good company as an investment.



On the other hand, you don't make a magic internet coin worth 1 Trln Dollar just hodling the coins.



As much as a respect Paul Sztorc (quite a bit) I think this is fallacious, and basically the exact same argument as "Lazlo is a fool for spending half a billion on Pizza".

Blockstream is controversial for some decent reasons... but they are contributing more the the bitcoin ecosystem than all but a few other companies.  Making this kind of omlette requires broken eggs.
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August 28, 2021, 03:36:07 PM

The Tunguska Event of 1908 was not caused by Tesla. I've likely known about that longer than you have been alive. There was no way to generate that amount of electrical power at that time, much less focus it. It is considered an impact event.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event

It certainly was not a impact event as trees in center still stood upright or at worst broke halve way up.
Tesla certainly had nothing to do with it, that is just flat out trolling.
Most likely natural gas leaked out in large amounts and lighting ignited it.
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August 28, 2021, 03:41:15 PM
Last edit: August 28, 2021, 04:01:22 PM by eXPHorizon

Have you ever seen Lightning stuck a tree? I have, it cause exacly that what you describe. Trees cut down the middle and its top exploded off

Imagine a tree being struck multiple times by massive amount of electricity.

Ok something like Goku Going Ssj3 against Kid Buu kinda lightning show 😆😆

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August 28, 2021, 03:45:51 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

It's not difficult to get rich. It's difficult to stay rich.
Not to say stay rich for 700 years.
As I said the other day to @LFC_Bitcoin:

An important fact to bear in mind is that the children of these long-term richies don't get educated the same way as us lumpen proletariat, they get educated in the means and methods to preserve this wealth. They are also inducted into the networks which assist them in maintaining their status.

Things can still go wrong, of course but most of the stories of kids blowing the wealth their parents built are from the nouveau rich who have focused on building their wealth, not their legacy.
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August 28, 2021, 03:49:49 PM

Well, wouldja look at that?!??!  

I DID have a balance on Gox!




_edit_  Still reeling!  All the talk I do about not leaving your balance laying around, and in reality I was GOXED.


Good god man. Opsec!
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August 28, 2021, 04:00:41 PM

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/culture/1-million-bitcoin-price-billionaire

Quote
However for Balaji it appears that there is another, perhaps more fascinating flippening that will come soon - the flippening of billionaires. He says that when bitcoin hits milestones like $100,000, there will be as many bitcoin billionaires as there are traditional billionaires. When bitcoin hits one million dollars, the world’s bitcoin and crypto billionaires will surpass the number of traditional billionaires.

This assumes that those holding continue to hold. Part of the process of growth is that new people come onboard and holders divest some of theirs to live the lifestyle they've earned.

There will still be plenty of billionaires, no doubt but I would suggest far fewer than he's expecting.
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August 28, 2021, 04:01:26 PM


Explanation
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August 28, 2021, 04:04:58 PM

Like laszlo's pizza buyer: if he'd have known the value of bitcoin today he should have kept its treasure.

He could have rebought, he chose not to.
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August 28, 2021, 04:10:53 PM
Last edit: May 15, 2023, 11:14:45 PM by fillippone


As much as a respect Paul Sztorc (quite a bit) I think this is fallacious, and basically the exact same argument as "Lazlo is a fool for spending half a billion on Pizza".

Blockstream is controversial for some decent reasons... but they are contributing more the the bitcoin ecosystem than all but a few other companies.  Making this kind of omlette requires broken eggs.

Ah,
Great minds think alike:


https://twitter.com/fillippone1/status/1431529565755740166?s=21



An important fact to bear in mind is that the children of these long-term richies don't get educated the same way as us lumpen proletariat, they get educated in the means and methods to preserve this wealth. They are also inducted into the networks which assist them in maintaining their status.

Things can still go wrong, of course but most of the stories of kids blowing the wealth their parents built are from the nouveau rich who have focused on building their wealth, not their legacy.

A fun article I was reading right now:

First-class flights, chauffeurs and bribery: the secret life of a private tutor

Quote

Tutoring has become a weapon in the global arms race in education. There’s no limit to what some parents will pay

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August 28, 2021, 04:20:11 PM

Tutoring has become a weapon in the global arms race in education. There’s no limit to what some parents will pay


It's definitely time for a refocus on education, I think. Right now seems to be a golden opportunity too with things in flux. I received what I consider to be a decent education but there were definitely things missing that could have led to me exploiting several opportunities which, frankly, I had no capability to deal with.
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August 28, 2021, 04:29:56 PM

the morning wall report

dyor

1h



4h

stronghands
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August 28, 2021, 05:00:25 PM

Well, wouldja look at that?!??!  

I DID have a balance on Gox!




_edit_  Still reeling!  All the talk I do about not leaving your balance laying around, and in reality I was GOXED.


Good god man. Opsec!

I could certainly be wrong.. But my opsec is borked way past anything this picture reveals.  This just reveals that I had an account on Mt Gox with a least a trivial amount of Bitcoin under the same name I use here.  My post history has already given all of that away.  Several times.  Also my address reuse, and other early errors make my privacy nearly non existent...  It's sad but true.
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August 28, 2021, 05:01:26 PM


Explanation
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August 28, 2021, 05:06:18 PM
Merited by Paashaas (1), bitcoinPsycho (1)

Quote from: Farmer Bill

Delusions of Grandeur

You mean me don't you?



I do not know why But i feel so much pity for People Who only learned about money in their life and just revolve their life about money.

Get a fucking grip, you diptwat.

If you are participating in a thread that is about bitcoin, then the fucking topic is about money and value and various kinds of topics that are related, so if you come to the thread and you proclaim that too many people are obsessed with money in this thread, then you are surely not being genuine.

Another thing is that participants in this thread come from a lot of differing angles in terms of their perceptions but also in terms of how much value they might be starting with.

Folks who come to the thread, and seek handouts do not really have much if anything to contribute except for stating their wishes to improve their position, but don't even seem inclined to make one fucking effort in the direction of improving their lot.

There are many times that we have both shown historical levels of small contributions that have gone a long way, but also mentioned that if you are not starting with hardly shit, not even a dollar per day, then you just do what you can.. maybe you save for the month, and you are able to put together $30.. which would still be $1 per day, but it took you the whole month to save it up.  Of course, we might discuss a bit higher amounts of investment because the majority of normies can afford more than $1 per day and it would likely pay off quite a bit more to attempt to be a wee bit more aggressive, if the ability to be aggressive is there.  Yet, in any event each person can ONLY do as much as s/he can in terms of figuring out how to much to be able to invest into bitcoin on a fairly regular basis, if possible.

No intuition to inventions, Just : how am I going to rob the next person blindly. Thats all they learned..

Just like the person Who only learned that 1+1=2 and there is no other way 😂

You are just making up shit.. that's called a strawman argument.  You make up some bullshit and easy argument of the supposed position of others in order that you can easily knock it down..   Not a genuine way of attempting to have a conversation.


Look at the post below quote by Farmer Bill, the JJG Post and look at JJG posting history. He is talking about the same thing over and over and over again with Words swithched up. Like a Politician would do..

And no I dont want a troll like JJG to know anything. He deserves to know nothing 🙂he deserves to be kept in the Dark.

No I do not want to give JJG any space 😁

Of course, if you have little to no ability to actually read the substance, then of course, everything is going to look alike... just words on paper, right?  It shows more about your lack of abilities rather than anything else.

By the way, regarding BTC price, we surely have been in a kind of less than 8% correction zone for about the past 5 days.. with the low of $46,309 a couple of days ago, and surely questions regarding if the price is going to continue UP or not...Not bad ongoing upwards pressures, and surely getting back above our local high of $50,562 from 5 days ago would not be a bad thing and really does not seem that difficult to achieve, especially with the price bouncing in the $48ks and $49ks in the past 24 hours-ish.

Nice...

Nice...

[edited out]

Thanks for taking the time to comment on my post and for a snippet into some aspects of your personal life.

Good observation, that although I do not have a boss, I do have obligations to certain entities via contracts, in which I often have little sway over the terms.

I like your example that one of the things Bitcoin has enabled you to do, was to walk away from a business you were not happy to be running and to move on with your life. It's often hard for folk to just say fuck it and walk, because of the sunk cost that's been invested over the years.

Sure.  Sometimes there can be calculations that regard "how much work do I want to put into this?"....  And, sure, I had been put into a position in which I was doing some of my usual accounting and behind the scenes business matters, but the disappearance of the other partner caused me to have to do those duties too.. which likely is not that unusual when entering into joint projects that any kind of wrap up or changes in the business direction might not be agreed upon.. so then a lot of work could come from such a changed situation, and even a situation in which a guy/gal thought that s/he had a lot of control and even profits from little labor becomes a lot of labor and even questionable in terms of how much profits are coming from the amount of work that ends up having to be deployed to keep the ball in the air.

We can also consider that in 2013 to 2016, my expectations in regards to bitcoin was appreciating that "it could become very BIG, but I am NOT going to rely upon such bitcoin BIGness to live my life."  So yeah, I had been hoping that bitcoin would appreciate 6% per year, but it did not have to, and I thought that maybe I could get 2x or 3x or 4x of my return expectations, but I did not need that either.  If it did not happen, then it did not happen.

So in late 2017, when we see a BTC price appreciation of more than 20x my expectations and then even a correction that still remains at least 3x above my bottoming expectations, there still remains something quite tangible and concrete in terms of the creation of an incentive that the side investment in little fiends ends up having greater returns than the business and surely with quite a bit less efforts.. so if the returns are greater, and even if the value ends up surpassing the value of the business (even multiples of value), too, then there is a kind of negating of the need to either keep the business open or to feel any kind of compelling concern about attempting to recoup value from the business, either...

The business that seemed to have a decent amount of value started to have some feelings of being something like a shitcoin that is held, and might seem to have a decent amount of value to others, but when the prize (bitcoin) dwarfs such value, then that same business starts to be perceived as being kind of peanuts (relatively speaking).

As for my son's continuing investment it is much greater than the figures you envisage. Far from being reckless he regards this amount as sound investment towards his future.
He bought his first coins in 2011 whilst a student over in England from Intersango GBP1000 around $1500 worth at the time, 200+ coins.
The money was deposited in cash over the counter to Intersango's account, what trust! It was early days and UK banking system was not ready for this or to grant Intersango proper banking facilities. They were all sold at $30 (6X purchase price) to help fund his studies.
In and out of Bit and Shit coin over the years he's now in a good job in finance in the City of London and has been increasing his stash of Bitcoin again over last several years. Like nanobtc he did not like the farming life, but the long hours and hard work in all weather put him in a good position to take life in its stride. When colleagues bitch about their long hours or hard work he tells them to go work on a farm for a month.


Of course, I am not necessarily interested in getting into too many particulars of your son, but I did consider that ongoingly it remains a good topic to bat around ideas about what it takes to get to fuck you status and also to maintain fuck you status, and surely when a guy is younger there can be some trade-offs that are difficult to calculate in terms of deciding to give up the regular jobs and perhaps to just be a full time money manager (manager of his own money).. and for sure, if there is a bit of cushion in there, then any of us could be more prepared for the various unexpected aspects.

Many of us personally realize that even if we are young and healthy, we do have to attempt to account for ongoing health costs whether it is just maintaining some kind of insurance or somehow being able to calculate insurance/health care costs if multi-jurisdictions are potentially involved.

There are quite a few people who will NOT really rely upon all their anticipated future sources of income whether it might be a combination of pension benefits, various retirement plans such as 401ks or roths or other private tax deferred plans or something like social security.  If a guy is 40-ish, he might calculate that by the time that he can draw from those various funds, the amounts might not be as much as projected, so there could be ways to discount the future value of those funds to account for those kinds of risks.  Some medical based funds could also fit into such category in terms of some insurance carriers are NOT even going to want to fund you in the future, and none of us can really guarantee that we might not end up having some health condition or accident that causes us to either need coverage and/or to have more medical expenses than we had anticipated.

Another thing that guys might do is to just account for the various assets that he currently has control over (they are not age-based), and to consider that he could maintain x lifestyle on this amount of withdraw of funds and even have a cushion too, and if those future age-based funds do end up coming through, then so be it, they end up being like windfall value that does not affect his thought regarding how much value it takes to go into fuck you status based on considerations of the value that is currently available to him (and his anticipated withdrawal/burn rate...

Just to flesh that last paragraph out a wee bit further.  Let's just say that the thoughts on current life style are about $3k to $4k per month, so $6,666 per month of fuck you status would be comfortable because there is an extra $3k or so per month there... but then there might be thoughts of wanting to increase living standards or even to make new purchases, and surely traditional folks who enter into retirement will consider that they want to remove most of their extra expenses because they are anticipating that their fixed income is going to be worth less and less with the passage of time (it will not keep up with inflation, even if it has an inflation adjusting component built into it).  So surely the cushion can be helpful, but it is also going to be important to consider whether fuck you status is going to mean sustaining a similar standard of living or if it might involve some additional expenses whether travel related or purchase of property, yachts, hookers, lambos and blow, so none of those extra expenses would be unreasonable so long as they are contemplated in terms of reasonable and prudent income draws rather than prematurely living off of principle.. and even living off the principle would not necessarily be unreasonable, either so long as you know and appreciate the difference between living off of sustainable withdrawals of income versus actually living off of the principle.

On a side note, I am wonder if maybe your son found out about bitcoin before you?  or did you find out about bitcoin before him?  It is interesting that there also could be some simultaneous finding out about bitcoin, but then each of you end up reinforcing the ideas of each other once you find out that the other knows about it - because who cannot appreciate the values of good ideas (such as bitcoin), once they figure out some of the value propositions behind it?

Maybe some of the frustrating part for many of us longer term bitcoiners remains that sometimes we have conversations with peeps who we believe should "get it" but something never seems to click with some of these people..... Do the consider that my continuous willingness to talk about the topic with them is because I am desperate?  I tell them that I give no shits about if they invest or not, even while telling them that they should be investing 1% to 10% of their investment portfolio into bitcoin.. that tends to be my punchline to everyone, and then attempting to leave it upon them to figure out the details.. but still even seemingly smart people have a lot of difficulties appreciating the fact that even a small allocation ends up being a good hedge, overall.  

So yeah, back to your son, I can imagine that there can be all kinds of possible scenarios in terms of levels of conviction, willingness to get involved in shitcoins, and even the Peter/Spencer Schiff scenarios of seeming opposite positions of father/son - though sometimes gotta wonder with public personas, too..

Peter surely admits that he makes a whole fucking lot of money (by gaining attention) from his ongoing anti-bitcoin stance.. because he gets way more attention to any of his dumbass ideas once he mentions bitcoin.  
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