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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941407 times)
mymenace
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November 30, 2017, 08:36:40 PM
 #5361

If I may, with respect, be allowed to contradict the master...
You can see in his chart that PentarhUdi forecasts massive gains because he thinks we'll have a repeat of the 2013 rocket ride.
But the 2013 peak was artificial, caused by the Mt. Gox willy-bot, not organic market forces.
As such I don't see as much substantial predictive value in that pattern as Bitcoin Vanga / PentarhUdi does.

willy-bot

are you sure, your basing your prediction on a conspiracy theory.

what if mt gox was an organic rise. the buyers were still there...hence the correction next november


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European Central Bank
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November 30, 2017, 08:48:11 PM
 #5362

You can see in his chart that PentarhUdi forecasts massive gains because he thinks we'll have a repeat of the 2013 rocket ride.

until mark karpeles throws up some code it's conjecture, but still likely of course.

but the real peak was under china's control. and real money was exchanged in large quantities. the aftermath is a good indicator that it was hollow but all bubbles are anyway.
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November 30, 2017, 09:02:11 PM
 #5363

If I may, with respect, be allowed to contradict the master...
You can see in his chart that PentarhUdi forecasts massive gains because he thinks we'll have a repeat of the 2013 rocket ride.
But the 2013 peak was artificial, caused by the Mt. Gox willy-bot, not organic market forces.
As such I don't see as much substantial predictive value in that pattern as Bitcoin Vanga / PentarhUdi does.


He is NOT basing this prediction on 2013. These log lines MasterLuc uses start at the beginning of trading back in 2010 and they have multiple points of contact since then.
illinest
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November 30, 2017, 09:13:46 PM
 #5364

The master is sticking to his game. $25k on very short term would align with a spike in the BETI indicator. Historically a good moment to consider a temporary sale  Roll Eyes

This ain’t over yet.

A vertical blow off top on the weekly logarithmic chart lines up very well with this as well. My target is anywhere in the $20k-$25k range. There's no telling where the top will occur exactly in this low liquidity / high hype environment. But I'm glad that my thinking lines up with Lucif. That's historically been a good bet. Short term plan: sell above $20k, buy back below $10k.

Time it just right and you could triple your coins. But if we're wrong and this thing goes straight to $100k? I might start feeling pretty butthurt. Tongue
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November 30, 2017, 10:23:19 PM
 #5365

The master is sticking to his game. $25k on very short term would align with a spike in the BETI indicator. Historically a good moment to consider a temporary sale  Roll Eyes

This ain’t over yet.

A vertical blow off top on the weekly logarithmic chart lines up very well with this as well. My target is anywhere in the $20k-$25k range. There's no telling where the top will occur exactly in this low liquidity / high hype environment. But I'm glad that my thinking lines up with Lucif. That's historically been a good bet. Short term plan: sell above $20k, buy back below $10k.

Time it just right and you could triple your coins. But if we're wrong and this thing goes straight to $100k? I might start feeling pretty butthurt. Tongue


It is not prudent to sell your whole amount anyhow, even if you have strong feelings (and "indicators")

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
marcus_of_augustus
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November 30, 2017, 11:30:03 PM
 #5366

masterluc delivers yet again.

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December 02, 2017, 09:46:40 PM
Last edit: December 03, 2017, 12:21:55 AM by ragnar0k
 #5367

Holy crap he changed the chart...
Wekkel
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yes


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December 02, 2017, 10:50:14 PM
 #5368

Hoily crap he changed the chart...


So its a run up to about $70k, a pause and then back to higher grounds beginning of 2019. Seems plausible.

See below an alternative from me with the double 2013 tops copy/pasted:


illinest
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December 02, 2017, 10:55:46 PM
 #5369

Hoily crap he changed the chart...

Has he, though? It looks to me like it is just zoomed out to show the larger historical wave count. In his previous charts, he predicted Wave 3 would approach $40,000-110,000. It looks to me like his pitchfork is targeting ~ $100k, which makes sense once we account for time.

So its a run up to about $70k, a pause and then back to higher grounds beginning of 2019. Seems plausible.

It could be $70k, which is right in the middle of his previous target range. But at that log scale, the difference between $70k and $100k is miniscule. That could be a matter of one week's price movement by that point. It's crazy how fast price moves once it enters a parabolic uptrend!
Syke
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December 02, 2017, 11:27:59 PM
 #5370


Buy & Hold
ragnar0k
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December 03, 2017, 12:24:01 AM
 #5371

Hoily crap he changed the chart...

Has he, though? It looks to me like it is just zoomed out to show the larger historical wave count. In his previous charts, he predicted Wave 3 would approach $40,000-110,000. It looks to me like his pitchfork is targeting ~ $100k, which makes sense once we account for time.

So its a run up to about $70k, a pause and then back to higher grounds beginning of 2019. Seems plausible.

It could be $70k, which is right in the middle of his previous target range. But at that log scale, the difference between $70k and $100k is miniscule. That could be a matter of one week's price movement by that point. It's crazy how fast price moves once it enters a parabolic uptrend!

What I am finding scary is that after the 70k from my understanding we will enter in a fairly long bear period... I hope we can get out soon enough or its bad news. I sure will be happy if we reach 70k tho
cofefeGandalf
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December 03, 2017, 12:44:15 AM
 #5372

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...
RoadTrain
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December 03, 2017, 02:36:54 AM
 #5373

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


"I believe the peak is gonna be ~ $20k -- the historical 3rd. The subsequent corrective 4th is the same as 2nd, so it will take approx 2 years. And then, the 5th gets us to ~$100k."
Bitcoinaire
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December 03, 2017, 03:21:38 AM
 #5374

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


"I believe the peak is gonna be ~ $20k -- the historical 3rd. The subsequent corrective 4th is the same as 2nd, so it will take approx 2 years. And then, the 5th gets us to ~$100k."


He now thinks a 2 year bear market occurs before $100,000?
cofefeGandalf
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December 03, 2017, 04:20:30 AM
 #5375

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


"I believe the peak is gonna be ~ $20k -- the historical 3rd. The subsequent corrective 4th is the same as 2nd, so it will take approx 2 years. And then, the 5th gets us to ~$100k."

Thx!
windjc
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December 03, 2017, 06:35:49 AM
Last edit: December 03, 2017, 07:22:01 PM by windjc
 #5376

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


Actually he revised his chart upward as translated:

I in kammentah drew my current count and something I see does not converge. Between 3 and 4 there is very little time, 3 itself is some kind of tiny, absolutely not like 3.

I think this is the option also has the right to life, then everything looks more logical. In this case, we go to 50k +.


So he is saying 50k on this bubble top. 2 year bear, then six figures.

cAPSLOCK
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December 03, 2017, 02:49:09 PM
 #5377

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


Actually he revised his chart upward as translated:

I in kammentah drew my current count and something I see does not converge. Between 3 and 4 there is very little time, 3 itself is some kind of tiny, absolutely not like 3.

I think this is the option also has the right to life, then everything looks more logical. In this case, we go to 50k +.


So he is saying 50k on this bubble top. 2 year bull, then six figures.


I think there you mean bear.
windjc
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December 03, 2017, 07:21:41 PM
 #5378

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


Actually he revised his chart upward as translated:

I in kammentah drew my current count and something I see does not converge. Between 3 and 4 there is very little time, 3 itself is some kind of tiny, absolutely not like 3.

I think this is the option also has the right to life, then everything looks more logical. In this case, we go to 50k +.


So he is saying 50k on this bubble top. 2 year bull, then six figures.


I think there you mean bear.

Yes, bear, sorry.
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December 03, 2017, 07:29:17 PM
 #5379

Set some sells above $45k and that should be enough to get you through the bear market :p
600watt
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December 04, 2017, 12:20:47 AM
 #5380

Set some sells above $45k and that should be enough to get you through the bear market :p

if the top had been $45k even the mother of all bear markets could not erase my perma smile.  Smiley
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