Bitcoin Forum
November 01, 2024, 09:40:54 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 28.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 ... 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 [269] 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 ... 334 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941575 times)
windjc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070


View Profile
November 30, 2017, 09:02:11 PM
 #5361

If I may, with respect, be allowed to contradict the master...
You can see in his chart that PentarhUdi forecasts massive gains because he thinks we'll have a repeat of the 2013 rocket ride.
But the 2013 peak was artificial, caused by the Mt. Gox willy-bot, not organic market forces.
As such I don't see as much substantial predictive value in that pattern as Bitcoin Vanga / PentarhUdi does.


He is NOT basing this prediction on 2013. These log lines MasterLuc uses start at the beginning of trading back in 2010 and they have multiple points of contact since then.
illinest
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 454
Merit: 251



View Profile
November 30, 2017, 09:13:46 PM
 #5362

The master is sticking to his game. $25k on very short term would align with a spike in the BETI indicator. Historically a good moment to consider a temporary sale  Roll Eyes

This ain’t over yet.

A vertical blow off top on the weekly logarithmic chart lines up very well with this as well. My target is anywhere in the $20k-$25k range. There's no telling where the top will occur exactly in this low liquidity / high hype environment. But I'm glad that my thinking lines up with Lucif. That's historically been a good bet. Short term plan: sell above $20k, buy back below $10k.

Time it just right and you could triple your coins. But if we're wrong and this thing goes straight to $100k? I might start feeling pretty butthurt. Tongue
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3892
Merit: 11103


Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"


View Profile
November 30, 2017, 10:23:19 PM
 #5363

The master is sticking to his game. $25k on very short term would align with a spike in the BETI indicator. Historically a good moment to consider a temporary sale  Roll Eyes

This ain’t over yet.

A vertical blow off top on the weekly logarithmic chart lines up very well with this as well. My target is anywhere in the $20k-$25k range. There's no telling where the top will occur exactly in this low liquidity / high hype environment. But I'm glad that my thinking lines up with Lucif. That's historically been a good bet. Short term plan: sell above $20k, buy back below $10k.

Time it just right and you could triple your coins. But if we're wrong and this thing goes straight to $100k? I might start feeling pretty butthurt. Tongue


It is not prudent to sell your whole amount anyhow, even if you have strong feelings (and "indicators")

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
marcus_of_augustus
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349


Eadem mutata resurgo


View Profile
November 30, 2017, 11:30:03 PM
 #5364

masterluc delivers yet again.

ragnar0k
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 154
Merit: 101



View Profile
December 02, 2017, 09:46:40 PM
Last edit: December 03, 2017, 12:21:55 AM by ragnar0k
 #5365

Holy crap he changed the chart...
Wekkel
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3108
Merit: 1531


yes


View Profile
December 02, 2017, 10:50:14 PM
 #5366

Hoily crap he changed the chart...


So its a run up to about $70k, a pause and then back to higher grounds beginning of 2019. Seems plausible.

See below an alternative from me with the double 2013 tops copy/pasted:


illinest
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 454
Merit: 251



View Profile
December 02, 2017, 10:55:46 PM
 #5367

Hoily crap he changed the chart...

Has he, though? It looks to me like it is just zoomed out to show the larger historical wave count. In his previous charts, he predicted Wave 3 would approach $40,000-110,000. It looks to me like his pitchfork is targeting ~ $100k, which makes sense once we account for time.

So its a run up to about $70k, a pause and then back to higher grounds beginning of 2019. Seems plausible.

It could be $70k, which is right in the middle of his previous target range. But at that log scale, the difference between $70k and $100k is miniscule. That could be a matter of one week's price movement by that point. It's crazy how fast price moves once it enters a parabolic uptrend!
Syke
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193


View Profile
December 02, 2017, 11:27:59 PM
 #5368


Buy & Hold
ragnar0k
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 154
Merit: 101



View Profile
December 03, 2017, 12:24:01 AM
 #5369

Hoily crap he changed the chart...

Has he, though? It looks to me like it is just zoomed out to show the larger historical wave count. In his previous charts, he predicted Wave 3 would approach $40,000-110,000. It looks to me like his pitchfork is targeting ~ $100k, which makes sense once we account for time.

So its a run up to about $70k, a pause and then back to higher grounds beginning of 2019. Seems plausible.

It could be $70k, which is right in the middle of his previous target range. But at that log scale, the difference between $70k and $100k is miniscule. That could be a matter of one week's price movement by that point. It's crazy how fast price moves once it enters a parabolic uptrend!

What I am finding scary is that after the 70k from my understanding we will enter in a fairly long bear period... I hope we can get out soon enough or its bad news. I sure will be happy if we reach 70k tho
cofefeGandalf
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 96
Merit: 14


View Profile
December 03, 2017, 12:44:15 AM
 #5370

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...
RoadTrain
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009


View Profile
December 03, 2017, 02:36:54 AM
 #5371

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


"I believe the peak is gonna be ~ $20k -- the historical 3rd. The subsequent corrective 4th is the same as 2nd, so it will take approx 2 years. And then, the 5th gets us to ~$100k."
Bitcoinaire
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 696
Merit: 439



View Profile
December 03, 2017, 03:21:38 AM
 #5372

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


"I believe the peak is gonna be ~ $20k -- the historical 3rd. The subsequent corrective 4th is the same as 2nd, so it will take approx 2 years. And then, the 5th gets us to ~$100k."


He now thinks a 2 year bear market occurs before $100,000?
cofefeGandalf
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 96
Merit: 14


View Profile
December 03, 2017, 04:20:30 AM
 #5373

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


"I believe the peak is gonna be ~ $20k -- the historical 3rd. The subsequent corrective 4th is the same as 2nd, so it will take approx 2 years. And then, the 5th gets us to ~$100k."

Thx!
windjc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070


View Profile
December 03, 2017, 06:35:49 AM
Last edit: December 03, 2017, 07:22:01 PM by windjc
 #5374

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


Actually he revised his chart upward as translated:

I in kammentah drew my current count and something I see does not converge. Between 3 and 4 there is very little time, 3 itself is some kind of tiny, absolutely not like 3.

I think this is the option also has the right to life, then everything looks more logical. In this case, we go to 50k +.


So he is saying 50k on this bubble top. 2 year bear, then six figures.

cAPSLOCK
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3808
Merit: 5266


Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!


View Profile
December 03, 2017, 02:49:09 PM
 #5375

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


Actually he revised his chart upward as translated:

I in kammentah drew my current count and something I see does not converge. Between 3 and 4 there is very little time, 3 itself is some kind of tiny, absolutely not like 3.

I think this is the option also has the right to life, then everything looks more logical. In this case, we go to 50k +.


So he is saying 50k on this bubble top. 2 year bull, then six figures.


I think there you mean bear.
windjc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070


View Profile
December 03, 2017, 07:21:41 PM
 #5376

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


Actually he revised his chart upward as translated:

I in kammentah drew my current count and something I see does not converge. Between 3 and 4 there is very little time, 3 itself is some kind of tiny, absolutely not like 3.

I think this is the option also has the right to life, then everything looks more logical. In this case, we go to 50k +.


So he is saying 50k on this bubble top. 2 year bull, then six figures.


I think there you mean bear.

Yes, bear, sorry.
neilol-real
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 142
Merit: 100


View Profile
December 03, 2017, 07:29:17 PM
 #5377

Set some sells above $45k and that should be enough to get you through the bear market :p
600watt
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106



View Profile
December 04, 2017, 12:20:47 AM
 #5378

Set some sells above $45k and that should be enough to get you through the bear market :p

if the top had been $45k even the mother of all bear markets could not erase my perma smile.  Smiley
ragnar0k
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 154
Merit: 101



View Profile
December 04, 2017, 03:23:47 AM
 #5379

...Yet I feel that using past patterns to predict what is coming might not work this time as institutions are on board... We'll see I guess
btc4lifer
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 57
Merit: 0


View Profile
December 05, 2017, 01:14:44 AM
 #5380

Set some sells above $45k and that should be enough to get you through the bear market :p

if the top had been $45k even the mother of all bear markets could not erase my perma smile.  Smiley

94% er might do it. Even from $60k that is $3,600 btc.

Don't get me wrong, nothing can shake the hands of $3 btc holders, but that would be a nasty ride.  Grin
Pages: « 1 ... 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 [269] 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 ... 334 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!