Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +98424 units

[buwaytress]

Lovely match, exactly the fighting spirit I was expecting, 10 men for a red card, lots of fouls, scrappy as hell and they also managed to get the other team to get a sending off. Two matches to go, and you never know what these kinds of defeats will mean for a team whose hopes for CL gets dashed. We'll keep an eye on these two.

Today we get a lovely pick for Championship playoffs! I've been having my heart in Leeds most of the season but they lost their grip on top spot and have been flailing in recent form. They're still the favourites in the playoff but I think Lampard's Derby want to avenge 2 losses to Leeds and return to the Prem, and I'm baking Liverpool loanee Harry Wilson to get on the scoresheet so they will win this home game. West Brom play at Villa but without key players, I think the Villains win.

Game 1: Aston Villa vs West Brom: Villa WIN @1.92. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 2: Derby vs Leeds. Derby WIN @3.37. Betcoin odds: 3.30
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.4617. BEtcoin parlay: 6.27

Odds advantage: 3.06%
Units advantage: 19.17

Running advantage after 303 bets: +9,455.76 (+19.17 units)

Running units after 302 bets (70W|232L): +8,210.57 (+383 units)

[buwaytress]

Oh Derby, it just wasn't meant to be was it? Going to be very tempting to bet on them on the return leg at Leeds, but it's going to be difficult to see them break a 3-game consecutive losing streak against them.

Oh well.

Today's the day of reckoning for my good old Liverpool. Nothing but a win will give them a chance of the title, but they still need City to slip up at Brighton. The bookies aren't giving much chances for this to happen, but I don't mind my chances as you can see from the entire season.

Two bets matter here:

100 units on Brighton to WIN vs Manchester City @19.4792. Bitcoinrush odds: 17.43

Odds advantage: 11.76%
Units advantage: 204.92

But if Brighton only draw, we'll take a parlay with a Liverpool win:
Game 1: Brighton vs Manchester City. A DRAW @8.59. Bitcoinrush odds: 7.98
Game 2: Liverpool vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Liverpool WIN @1.33. Bitcoinrush odds: 1.36
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.4247. Bitcoinrush parlay: 10.8528

Odds advantage: 5.27%
Units advantage: 57.19

Total units advantage: 262.11

Running advantage after 305 bets: +9,717.87 (+262.11 units)

Running units after 303 bets (70W|233L): +8,110.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

For all of 88 seconds, I was a genius for picking Brighton. And then the dream died, snuffed out by who else but Sergio Aguero. Idiot's bets I made, but can you blame a Reds fan for hoping?

Moving on from that, we have a game 3 weeks away to seek some salvation. What a season.

A simple home parlay on very tight games in La Liga Segunda and League 2 playoff:
Game 1: Forest Green vs Tranmere. Forest WIN @2.08. BCR odds: 2.06
Game 2: Malaga vs Real Oviedo. Malaga WIN @2.09. BCR odds: 2.06
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.3472. BCR parlay: 4.2436

Odds advantage: 2.8%
Units advantage: 10.36

Running advantage after 306 bets: +9,728.23 (+10.36 units)

Running units after 305 bets (70W|235L): +7,910.57 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

Couldn't really watch the playoff match but it did seem Forest gave it their all, Tranmere were happy to sit back for the draw and go through on aggregate. Malaga had a smashing game so that was a good call, too bad we had to pick the wrong team to pad the parlay.

We're back to the playoffs, and I think Aston Villa will seal progress with another win. West Brom are good, but even home advantage won't be enough. I'll parlay with a local game in the Malaysian Super League for a state team to win against a city club.

Game 1: West Brom vs Aston Villa. Villa WIN @2.59. Betcoin odds: 2.55
Game 2: Terengganu vs PJ City. Terengganu WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.73
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.5671 . Betcoin parlay: 4.4115

Odds advantage: 3.53%
Units advantage: 15.56

Running advantage after 307 bets: +9,743.79 (+15.56 units)

Running units after 306 bets (70W|237L): +7,810.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Reminds me why I avoid my local leagues sometimes. News reports don't say a shade but online people were really unhappy with some of the players who looked like they were high. Heh. Only in Southeast Asia.

Anyway, it's not like Aston Villa did us any favours either. They still scraped through but if they're going to play like this in EPL...

Risky games but I'm going to back Derby again, come on Wilson you Reds!
100 units at Bitcoinrush on Derby to WIN vs Leeds Utd @4.99. Betcoin odds: 4.96

Odds advantage: 6%
Units advantage: 3

Running advantage after 308 bets: +9,746.79 (+2 units)

Running units after 307 bets (70W|237L): +7,710.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

And we got what we wanted, Derby to meet Aston Villa for the final spot in next season's English Premier League! Our boy Harry Wilson scored too (penalty, but we'll take it) so that's 15 goals for him the season. I'll never forget his freekick to knock out United too!

Anyway, the games are thinning out as the season closes, so it might be that we'll return to tennis a little or just a lot of friendlies.

For today though, I'm again going to bet on the Kiwi girls, who won me a massive underdog victory some time back. US will probably end up thumping them but who knows? Maybe the Kiwis get tough and the Americans field their deputies.

100 units at Betcoin for NZ to WIN vs USA @17.36. Interwetten: 16.75

Odds advantage: 3.64%
Units advantage: 61

Running advantage after 309 bets: +9,807.79 (+61 units)

Running units after 308 bets (71W|237L): +8,109.57 (+399 units)

[buwaytress]

What was I thinking eh? Haha. Just because the Kiwi girls gave me an upset don't mean the US ladies were gonna lay it all down, friendly notwithstanding. Never the matter.

Making quite late picks today so I missed out on an event I wanted, the favourites won anyway so I probably would have lost it (another women's game).

Smelling an upset in the Jordan Cup. Home team Al-Ahli has been having a bad patch in the league, while Wehdat's already in 3rd place and will want to keep that spot, so maybe a wobble in the cup? Parlay with another home win for Ismaily in Egypt.

Game 1: Ismaily vs Daklyeh. Ismaily WIN @2.0. Betcoin: 1.97
Game 2: Ahli vs Wehdat. Ahli WIN @5.07. Betcoin: 4.81
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @10.14. Betcoin parlay: 9.48

Odds advantage: 6.4%
Units advantage: 66

Running advantage after 310 bets: +9,873.79 (+66 units)

Running units after 309 bets (71W|238L): +8,009.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Wow what a way to self-destruct, but what was I thinking, I guess? We'll keep an eye on the return leg of THAT QF though. An away win for Ahly is probably what the bookies will least expect, or even Wehdat. We love complacency when it comes to betting (remember Barca?).

Anyway, we stick with the underdogs today. Lots of matches to bet on too, so I'll add if I like them but for now let's give Captn Troy Deeney a send off at Wembley for today's FA Cup Final against Citeh eh?

100 units at Fairlay on Watford to WIN vs Manchester City @14.6162. Betcoin odds: 13.09

Odds advantage: 11.66%
Units advantage: 152.62

Running advantage after 311 bets: +10,026.41 (+152.62 units)

Running units after 310 bets (71W|239L): +7,909.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Heh. Did we really think Troy Deeney, ex convict, was really going to lead his team to victory and stop the Citeh machine from rolling on towards capturing their domestic treble? I guess I was alone in that, heh, heh, heh.

We look at Serie A today for a simple parlay, games that don't really mean anything so maybe strong teams field slightly weaker sides? You never know. But I'll pick a Napoli home win to parlay an upset by Eibar against Barca in La Liga.

Game 1: Napoli vs Inter. Napoli WIN @2.5. Betcoin: 2.5
Game 2: Eibar vs Barcelona. Eibar WIN @4.1. Betcoin: 3.98
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @10.25. Betcoin parlay:9.95

Odds advantage: 3.02%
Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 312 bets: +10,056.41 (+30 units)

Running units after 311 bets (71W|240L): +7,809.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Napoli pulled through, but Messi as usual saved Barca from defeat. We were close, but should have backed Real to be the one to fall. Even Juventus couldn't win last night but since we seldom bet on handicaps, last night simply wasn't going to win our typical parlays.

We've got eyes on Lazio with Liverpool old boy Lucas Leiva to carry them on for a home win, and parlay against Fenerbahce in the Turkish Super League... they've really done so badly this season but Erzurum could be slacking off tonight.

Game 1: Lazio vs Bologna. Lazio WIN @2.35. Bitcoinrush odds: 2.33
Game 2: Erzurum vs Fenerbahce. Fenerbahce WIN @3.16. Bitcoinrush odds: 3.14
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.426. Bitcoinrush parlay: 7.3162

Odds advantage: 1.5%
Units advantage: 10.98

Running advantage after 313 bets: +10,067.39 (+10.98 units)

Running units after 312 bets (71W|241L): +7,709.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Our tougher leg won, but Lazio just couldn't keep their goal safe. Conceded three in the second half, and needed 80th minute equaliser, it almost happened in the final 10 but everyone in the end seemed happy with the draw, except us, of course. We take a French playoff against a Dutch league game:

Game 1: Paris FC vs Lens. Lens WIN @2.81. Betcoin odds: 2.64
Game 2: Utrecht vs Heracles Almelo. Utrecht WIN @1.85. Betcoin odds: 1.82
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.1914. Betcoin parlay: 4.80

Odds advantage: 8.15%
Units advantage: 39.14

Running advantage after 314 bets: +10,106.53 (+39.14 units)

Running units after 313 bets (71W|242L): +7,609.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Oh come on! We've had last minute goals and I like them too but it was a playoff, Paris FC were playing badly and had only 1 shot on target the entire game, then they equalise the last minute. And for what? Took the game on, Lens still progressed. Bloody French football;)
More promotion battles follow, we'll pick the home teams to seek promotion in Eredivisie and Serie A:

Game 1: Excelsior vs Waalwijk. Excelsior WIN @2.00. Betcoin odds: 1.97
Game 2: Verona vs Pescara: Verona WIN @2.17. Betcoin odds: 2.15
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.34. Betcoin parlay: 4.24

Odds advantage: 2.36%
Units advantage: 10

Running advantage after 315 bets: +10,116.53 (+10 units)

Running units after 314 bets (71W|243L): +7,509.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Both bloody 1-1 draws. 6 consecutive losing days shows I suck extra hard at the lower leagues, even in the more established Big 4 European ones. Been looking at great women games too but haven't had the time to look for good upset opportunities, so stuck at making small form-based bets.

U20s World Cup, I like Japan's chances of an upset against Ecuador. They're not physically at a disadvantage here and are suited for rough and tumble, so I'll parlay them with Italy win.
Game 1: Mexico vs Italy. Italy WIN @2.33. Betcoin: 2.28
Game 2: Japan vs Ecuador. Japan WIN @3.70. Betcoin: 3.64
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.621. Betcoin parlay: 8.30

Odds advantage: 3.87%
Units advantage: 32.1

Running advantage after 316 bets: +10,148.63 (+32.1 units)

Running units after 315 bets (71W|244L): +7,409.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Ouf, that was really really close! Japan definitely had the better of Ecuador, but the own goal was the killer, it always sucks to score all the goals in a game and still not win it.

World Youth Cup (now known as U20) has always rather thrilled me. Let's do a long parlay today to include 1 upset by the Kiwis!

Game 1: Honduras vs New Zealand. NZ WIN @2.98. Betcoin odds: 2.94
Game 2: Uruguay vs Norway. Uruguay WIN @2.14. Betcoin odds: 2.04
Game 3: Qatar vs Nigeria. Nigeria WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.51
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @9.6644. Betcoin parlay: 9.06

Odds advantage: 6.67%
Units advantage: 60.44

Running advantage after 317 bets: +10,209.07 (+60.44 units)

Running units after 316 bets (71W|245L): +7,309.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Now that's what I'm talking about! Not only did the Kiwis upset the group favourites, but 5-0 was one hell of a thumping. Really good picks and my only regret is not making the pick for a Ukraine upset as well to round off the murderous opening group days last night. Fantastic results and a nice parlay booked in.

We love taking risks tonight and I can't resist betting on South Korea to produce a fighting win against the Portuguese in the World Youth Cup (U20). The South Africa tie at 8/1 against Argentina also looks tempting, but I always prefer a rough and tumble battle. And if the 9/1 odds aren't enough, let's parlay that with a very much expected Barca triumph in the Copa del Rey against Valencia.

Game 1: Barcelona vs Valencia. Barca WIN @1.69. Bitcoinrush odds: 1.66
Game 2: Portugal vs South Korea. South Korea WIN @ 9.13. Bitcoinrush odds: 9.0
100 units parlay at Betcoin @15.4297. BCR parlay: 14.921

Odds advantage: 3.41%
Units advantage: 50.87

Running advantage after 318 bets: +10,259.94 (+50.87 units)

Running units after 317 bets (72W|245L): +8,176.01 (+866.44 units)

[buwaytress]

Messi, Messi. You really must be heartbroken. The team doesn't deserve you, but Valencia deserved their first trophy since 2012. Great game to deny Barca their double. This really is the start of the end.

And what about South Korea? They could have nicked it a couple of times.

Anyway, simple. I think the Italy youth are awesome, so they should win it. I have no idea if the Colombians are better than the Senegalese, the bookies certainly think so but I think physicality will give us the day's upset:

Game 1: Senegal vs Colombia. Senegal WIN @3.74. Betcoin odds: 3.56
Game 2: Ecuador vs Italy. Italy WIN@2.11. Betcoin odds: 2.03
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @7.8914. Betcoin parlay: 7.23

Odds advantage: 9.15%
Units advantage: 66.14

Running advantage after 319 bets: +10,325.08 (+66.14 units)

Running units after 318 bets (72W|246L): +8,076.01 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Fantastic outcome for us in the U20s/World Youth Cup. Feels really good to catch the right underdog victories twice in 3 days now. Of course, we actually missed other upsets last night (Sampdoria vs Juventus for example) but Senegal's odds were great enough for me.

Tonight is the world's most expensive game, with $170 million the prize for promotion to EPL. Derby already won us a great upset against Leeds so can I count on them again? I say yes and Harry Wilson to lead them on!

And shall we bet on a USA upset over Nigeria in U20s? Why not? We bet on Nigeria who pommelled in their last match so they will probably be too overconfident in this one;)

Game 1: Derby County vs Aston Villa. Derby WIN @4.31. Betcoin odds: 4.21
Game 2: USA vs Nigeria. USA WIN@2.95. Betcoin odds: 2.96
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @12.7145. Betcoin parlay: 12.46

Odds advantage: 2.13%
Units advantage: 25.45

Running advantage after 320 bets: +10,350.53 (+25.45 units)

Running units after 319 bets (73W|246L): +8,765.15 (+689.14 units)

[buwaytress]

Poor Derby. Villains made it, shame because USA caused the upset we wanted in the U20s. Should have stuck with the youths.

So another long parlay tonight on U20s, featuring an Argentinian upset over the Portuguese, bearing in mind they barely beat the South Koreans, who should make amends today.

Game 1: South Korea vs South Africa. S Korea WIN @2.07. Betcoin odds: 2.08
Game 2: Saudi Arabia vs Mali. Mali WIN @2.37. Betcoin odds: 2.33
Game 3:  Argentina vs Portugal. Argentina WIN @3.29. Betcoin odds: 3.14
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @16.1404. Betcoin parlay: 15.22

Odds advantage: 6.13%
Units advantage: 92.04

Running advantage after 321 bets: +10,442.57 (+92.04 units)

Running units after 320 bets (73W|246L): +8,665.15 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

I love the World Youth Cup heh. Third big win in 6 betting days, and 2 of those losing days were because of non U20 games mixed into the parlay. The underdogs are having a wonderful time in the group stages, and we're doing very well as a result. The Argentina  bet I think was the real value one, but we did ride our luck, South Korea won by the single goal and then Mali fought back from 2-0 down, to score in injury time to win us the game at 4-3. Love it!

Also, this brings our nett profit to over 10,000 units on a starting bankroll of the same. Through a mixture of luck and great value by choosing better odds, though patient betting of only 1% of bankroll, we've doubled the bankroll in little under a year.

Europe League final tonight. It's honestly a fine line between the two. Chelsea were strong throughout, Arsenal slipped several times but always came back to upend the odds. Our luck's been really fine so I think we'll ride it and pick Arsenal to parlay with a Mexico underdog win in the U20s.

Game 1: Arsenal vs Chelsea. Arsenal WIN @3.56. Bitcoinrush odds: 3.46
Game 2: Mexico vs Ecuador. Mexico WIN @5.29. Bitcoinrush odds: 5.11
100 units parlay at Betcoin @18.8324. BCR parlay: 17.681

Odds advantage: 6.51%
Units advantage: 115.14

Running advantage after 322 bets: +10,557.71 (+115.14 units)

Running units after 321 bets (74W|247L): +10,179.19 (+1,514.04 units)

[buwaytress]

MExico lost, by the sole goal of the match, but I'm somewhat less disappointed because Japan and Senegal drew both their games as well, which I would have bet on had I not opted to back Arsenal (who also lost quite comprehensively!).

The underdogs today don't have that much of great value, so I'll actually side the favourites, plus pad it up with a Turkey friendly win over Greece.

Game 1: Nigeria vs Ukraine. Nigeria WIN @2.53. Betcoin odds: 2.54
Game 2: Ukraine vs New Zealand. Ukraine WIN @2.17. Betcoin odds: 2.09
Game 3: Turkey vs Greece. Turkey WIN @1.79. Betcoin odds: 1.78
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @9.813. Betcoin parlay: 9.45

Odds advantage: 3.88%
Units advantage: 36.3

Running advantage after 323 bets: +10,594.01 (+36.3 units)

Running units after 322 bets (74W|248L): +10,079.19 (-100 units)