Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +97043 units

[buwaytress]

To be fair to Villa, for a long stretch in the game, they did look like they could pull off at least a draw, and it wasn't like the were simply just parking the bus either. Not to be, unfortunately.

Liverpool must win this one, and I hope to see a big scoreline, so why not a Betbuilder?

Win both halves (2nd half)
LFirst and last to score
Most corners and Over 6.5
Under 19.5 booking points first half
Least booking points
100 units at Sportsbet @5.50
Bet ID: 6009399bd372f6ec4aef0660

Units advantage (roughly): 20

Running advantage after 200 bets: +12,868 (+20)
All-time cumulative: +50,517
Running units after 199 bets (30W|169L): +5,462 (-100)

[1715000350]

1715000350

[1715000350]

1715000350

[1715000350]

1715000350

[1715000350]

1715000350

[buwaytress]

Whelp. 68-match unbeaten streak came to an end. Another frustrating night, unbearable, but we keep going again. The looks on the lads' faces says it all for me.

A simple boosted promo at Sportsbet that nets a 2mb freebet if hit: Villareal, Sevilla, Real and Barca all to WIN @6.00. Other odds: 5.68.

Units advantage: 32

Running advantage after 201 bets: +12,900 (+32)
All-time cumulative: +50,549
Running units after 200 bets (30W|170L): +5,362 (-100)

[buwaytress]

To add to the parlay from yesterday, I'll happily back Saints to beat Arsenal at home, and parlay with a tight Norwich away win in the FA Cup.

Good odds, all around thanks to Super boost at almost 3/1.

100 units at Sportsbet @7.29. Other odds: 6.89
Bet ID: 600c101dbddcf60fcfcca9d0

Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 202 bets: +12,930 (+30)
All-time cumulative: +50,579
Running units after 200 bets (30W|170L): +5,362 (+-0)

[buwaytress]

Both parlays out, with Norwich losing and Villareal only managing a draw.

Liverpool meet United again and this time in the FA Cup. Bookies finally have Liverpool as a distinct underdog, which makes it really good value for a bet methinks.

So, let's go for a 400 unit bet today. Best odds at Sportsbet on Liverpool to WIN @3.09. Other odds: 2.9

Units advantage: 19 x 4 = 76

Running advantage after 203 bets: +13,006 (+76)
All-time cumulative: +50,655
Running units after 202 bets (30W|171L): +5,162 (-200)

[buwaytress]

Man, such a blow to the heart. Liverpool now only in 2 competitions left. So be it, retain the crown and attack the title, says Klopp.

African Nations Cup home underdogs?
100 units on Congo and Niger to WIN @12.00. Other odds: 11.56

Units advantage: 44.

Running advantage after 204 bets: +13,050 (+44)
All-time cumulative: +50,699
Running units after 203 bets (30W|173L): +4,762 (-400)

[buwaytress]

We got one underdog, unfortunately even with the fightback, Niger could not come close to winning, oh well!

We turn back to English games and I wonder if Southampton can take it up another notch and deliver Arsenal another killer blow?

100 units at Sportsbet on Saints, Leeds WIN @7.29. Other odds: 6.96

Units advantage: 33

Running advantage after 205 bets: +13,083 (+33)
All-time cumulative: +50,732
Running units after 204 bets (30W|174L): +4,662 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Arsenal showed their true class, and Southampton just couldn't find enough to deal with their current injury crisis. Oh well. Was worth a shot anyway, even if we did miss out on Leeds netting a nice Rabinha assist-goal display.

Been a while since we did a 5-leg multi, so here we go:

100 units at Sportsbet, insured and boosted on Villa, Chelsea, Brighton, Middlesbrough, Zambia to WIN @21.30. Other odds: 19.89
Bet ID: 601128a1d372f67813f52df4

Units advantage: 141

Running advantage after 206 bets: +13,224 (+141)
All-time cumulative: +50,873
Running units after 205 bets (30W|175L): +4,562 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Not a chance in hell for that parlay, Villa and Middlesbrough lost, Zambia, Brighton, Chelsea all drew. A parlay with all the underdogs handicapped would have netted at least 50/1, that's how it was!

Anyway, we go again for a Liverpool and we take 500 units instead, because we're a bit dumb...

Fairlay odds @2.18 (Sportsbet actually has a boost probably to 2.25 but I ran out of it). Other odds: negligible.

Running advantage after 207 bets: +13,224 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +50,873
Running units after 206 bets (30W|176L): +4,462 (-100)

[Trofo]

Anyway, we go again for a Liverpool and we take 500 units instead, because we're a bit dumb...

Brave that. I was thinking of taking under 2.5 goals in this game but then I found something that looks like free money. Liverpool to win corners battle against Spurs should be a given when you take into account the way those two teams play. Spurs will park the bus and defend whole game and I expect LFC to have much more ball and consequently corners.
Odds are great:
LFC -0.5 @ 1.5
LFC -1.5 @ 1.9

Even higher handicaps are more than likely to hit but I am content with this two. Not good to be greedy

[buwaytress]

Anyway, we go again for a Liverpool and we take 500 units instead, because we're a bit dumb...

Brave that. I was thinking of taking under 2.5 goals in this game but then I found something that looks like free money. Liverpool to win corners battle against Spurs should be a given when you take into account the way those two teams play. Spurs will park the bus and defend whole game and I expect LFC to have much more ball and consequently corners.
Odds are great:
LFC -0.5 @ 1.5
LFC -1.5 @ 1.9

Even higher handicaps are more than likely to hit but I am content with this two. Not good to be greedy

Oh ho ho, nice catch Trofo! I'm going to look at Betbuilder now and try that. Corners handicap is almost always in my Liverpool betbuilders -- and have always hit as I can recall. Even going against City or Arsenal, who play more expansively against us, Liverpool generally have more corners. The odds are rarely so good though, so thanks haha let's see what I can pull out of my ass.

My last 2 big bets on Liverpool were duds, so this is a Hail Mary to claim back lost points.

[buwaytress]

@Trofo: well that was a really strange game. Liverpool only 2 corners, but still better than Spurs' single corner. You generally see a lot of clearances but in fact Liverpool only got their second corner late in the game as I recall, Loris's saves were all to his front, and defenders blasting clear but for throw ins. Bookies knew what they were doing huh!

But oh, sweet win and the Hail Mary worked to take back some of our bankroll, which has been suffering a lot.

I might come back for more tonight but for now, 100 units at Sportsbet on this special: Stuttgart, Porto, Braga, Galatasaray & Lyon All to Win @10.00. Regular odds: 9.85.
Bet ID: 6013b953b0b99c661cce8f38

Units advantage: 15

You can get a better boost if you wait for Braga or Porto odds to go above 1.5 but it might not, so I'm happy with the special.

Running advantage after 208 bets: +13,239 (+15)
All-time cumulative: +50,888
Running units after 207 bets (31W|176L): +5,052 (+590 [118x5])

[Trofo]

@Trofo: well that was a really strange game. Liverpool only 2 corners, but still better than Spurs' single corner. You generally see a lot of clearances but in fact Liverpool only got their second corner late in the game as I recall, Loris's saves were all to his front, and defenders blasting clear but for throw ins. Bookies knew what they were doing huh!

Spurs played this game like Mou told them better they score a goal then you concede a corner It was ridiculous, they could have cleaned the ball into corner for every Liverpool goal.
First goal: Dyer leaves the ball for goalkeeper instead just blasting it to corner
Second goal: Lloris pushes the ball back into play even though he listens on every training that those kind of shots you need to clear to corner
Third goal: Rondan (or whatever is his name) again does not clear the ball when he has a chance

Add to that the fact that Liverpool full backs did not try a single cross whole game, WTF and I scream fix up just to screw my tickets
I managed to stay in the green, that one corner more was enough for main ticket to pass and cover all the losses on other tickets.

PS. And there was one more corner for LFC but it was overruled due to not existing offside.

[buwaytress]

Add to that the fact that Liverpool full backs did not try a single cross whole game, WTF and I scream fix up just to screw my tickets
I managed to stay in the green, that one corner more was enough for main ticket to pass and cover all the losses on other tickets.

PS. And there was one more corner for LFC but it was overruled due to not existing offside.

They have both been really poor in crossing past stretch of games, Trent especially, so I'm glad they tried something different actually. I know last two games they've been switching sides more often, but I would love to see actually Robbo and Trent shoot on goal more. And mix up the crossing with direct tight passing, which they actually both can do far better than defend haha.

Anyway, yeah. Weird, strange season. Klopp's getting highly experimental now I can't predict anything, not the lineup, not the style, not the things to bet on anymore.

[buwaytress]

Finally, a winning parlay to snap our BAD streak, Lyon took it all home with a last gasp winner so we're very pleased with that result.

We'll do a less stressful but more ambitious one today, featuring a difficult Arsenal home win vs United and a Wolves away win at Palace.

100 units at Sportsbet on Wolves and Arsenal to WIN @8.11. Other odds: 7.67

Units advantage: 44

Running advantage after 209 bets: +13,283 (+44)
All-time cumulative: +50,932
Running units after 208 bets (32W|176L): +5,952 (+900)

[buwaytress]

The odds for a Liverpool win today are really good, but West Ham are on form, and I might put in a different parlay, but for today, a rather "small" value bet on Arminia to lose and Sassuolo to get their scoring boots on.

100 units at Sportsbet on Cologne and Sassuolo to WIN @5.22. Other odds: 5.02

Units advantage: 20

Running advantage after 210 bets: +13,303 (+20)
All-time cumulative: +50,952
Running units after 209 bets (32W|177L): +5,852 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Sassuolo almost there, shame. But avoided some crazy upsets yesterday with so many home team favourites losing. Monday specials don't look interesting to me but the Hornets to carry on their climb to the summit, and a tight Sporting win at home?

Tonight, 100 units at Sportsbet on super boost, Watford and Sporting CP to WIN @5.06. Other odds: 4.99

Units advantage: 7

Running advantage after 211 bets: +13,310 (+7)
All-time cumulative: +50,959
Running units after 210 bets (32W|178L): +5,752 (-100)

[buwaytress]

I could have sworn I put the parlay on La Liga and not the Championship, why did I go for Watford against QPR? Because I love surprises, probably. Right then, no need to dwell on mistakes. United to fall again, and why not, Southampton aren't a shit club.

100 units at Sportsbet with superboost on Saints to WIN against Man Utd @7.45. Other odds: 6.89
Bet ID: 60192f2fb0b99c2f00d2cb36

Units advantage: 56

Running advantage after 212 bets: +13,366 (+56)
All-time cumulative: +51,015
Running units after 211 bets (32W|179L): +5,652 (-100)

[Trofo]

I could have sworn I put the parlay on La Liga and not the Championship, why did I go for Watford against QPR? Because I love surprises, probably. Right then, no need to dwell on mistakes. United to fall again, and why not, Southampton aren't a shit club.

That Watford game killed my otherwise winning ticket and I had a "super safe" option of 1x and under 3.5. After first half ended 0:0 I already considered that one won and then even Watford got in the lead and managed to lose. WTF?

I am on both to score on United game, over cards is also always good option when Mike Dean is ref. Same as Pogba and Ward Prowse to get yellow card. I am thinking one betbuilder on that game could rank up some serious odds. Did I read correctly that Minamino has joined Southampton on loan? If so he could be a good addition for them, especially if Walcot is injured.

[buwaytress]

I could have sworn I put the parlay on La Liga and not the Championship, why did I go for Watford against QPR? Because I love surprises, probably. Right then, no need to dwell on mistakes. United to fall again, and why not, Southampton aren't a shit club.

That Watford game killed my otherwise winning ticket and I had a "super safe" option of 1x and under 3.5. After first half ended 0:0 I already considered that one won and then even Watford got in the lead and managed to lose. WTF?

I am on both to score on United game, over cards is also always good option when Mike Dean is ref. Same as Pogba and Ward Prowse to get yellow card. I am thinking one betbuilder on that game could rank up some serious odds. Did I read correctly that Minamino has joined Southampton on loan? If so he could be a good addition for them, especially if Walcot is injured.

The Hornets are still one of the best value bets in Championship, IMO, with boosts or timing, you can get generally close to 2/1 for a win from them (Sportsbet even seems to have stopped Watford specials because they hit with alarming regularity haha. I've raked in at least 5 5/1 specials from Watford!

But there you go, they can lose at home as favourites...

Anyway, yeah, I am doing a Saints betbuilder AS WELL for the separate comp, and adding a card each is pretty good value booster almost 10/1 but I feel my single is good enough. Ings goal, defend, win?

And yes, Mina will probably thrive with Ings. He is a super presser, but Liverpool currently can't fit him into a system without good defenders (which is why they want him back when VVD and co are all fit). Crazy situation, the loan fee for Mina used to pay for our new defender fee. There's no cash anywhere!

[buwaytress]

Oh Southampton. The good news is a huge drubbing like this normally results in a bounce back in form, if we recall they did splendidly after getting as badly thrashed last season by Leicester.

Time for a 5-leg insured boosted play!

100 units at Sportsbet on Liverpool HT, Leicester, Lille, Stade Rennais and Monaco to WIN @23.21. Other odds: 21.65

Units advantage: 156

Running advantage after 213 bets: +13,522 (+156)
All-time cumulative: +51,171
Running units after 212 bets (32W|180L): +5,552 (-100)