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Author Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +98424 units  (Read 39041 times)
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July 28, 2019, 09:59:40 AM
 #361

A bit annoying that Inter would have won it almost if they converted, the eventually went through on penalties but our bet was lost at full time 1-1.

Anyway, Liverpool have got a last chance to win a game before their season starts, so I'll back that, as well as Villareal and Stevie G's Rangers!

Game 1: Liverpool vs Napoli. Liverpool WIN @2.04. BCR odds: 2.02
Game 2: Glasgow Rangers vs Derby County. Rangers WIN @2.06. BCR odds: 2.03
Game 3: Cologne vs Villarreal. Villareal WIN @2.27. BCR odds: 2.21
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.5394. BCR parlay: 9.0623

Odds advantage: 5.26%
Units advantage: 28

Running advantage after 44 bets: +2,002.06 (+47.71)
All-time cumulative: +14,792.14
Running units after 43 bets (8W|35L): +405.23 (-100 units)

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July 29, 2019, 03:14:05 PM
 #362

Really Liverpool? I know this is all meaningless friendlies and stuff, but surely a strong back 4 shouldn't let Napoli push 3 past you? Haven't had a clean sheet in any game. And all my other legs won! Argh!

Simplest of parlays for Russian and Segunda teams:

Game 1: Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny. Rubin Kazan WIN @2.57. BCR odds: 2.54
Game 2: Granada vs Almeria. Granada WIN @2.05. BCR odds: 2.02
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.2685. BCR parlay: 5.1308

Odds advantage: 2.68%
Units advantage: 13.77

Running advantage after 45 bets: +2,015.83 (+13.77)
All-time cumulative: +14,805.91
Running units after 44 bets (8W|36L): +305.23 (-100 units)

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July 30, 2019, 07:39:40 AM
 #363

So nice to see 1-0 wins tick the parlay. Couldn't find much info on the Spanish friendly except the goal was scored in injury time of first half. And then Rubin Kazan clinched it with their own 74th min goal. Many yellows flew after!

I picked Basel last leg in Champs League and they did actually take a lead after falling to a goal... only to concede 2 more. I'll back them again, with tight games for Tel Aviv and Ararat.

Game 1: Basel 1893-PSV Eindhoven. Basel WIN @2.73. BCR odds: 2.73
Game 2: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC-FC Cfr 1907 Cluj. Tel Aviv WIN @1.99. BCR odds: 1.96
Game 3: Lincoln Red Imps FC-FC Ararat-Armenia. Ararat WIN @1.88. BCR odds: 1.85
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.2134. BCR parlay: 9.8989

Odds advantage: 3.18%
Units advantage: 31.45

Running advantage after 46 bets: +2,015.83 (+31.45)
All-time cumulative: +14,847.36
Running units after 45 bets (9W|36L): +732.08 (+426.85 units)

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July 31, 2019, 06:13:54 AM
 #364

Basel pulled through, and so did our Europa pick from Armenia, but damn Israelis couldn't find the goal they needed to even bring the aggregate to even. Shame on the 10/1 parlay but gives me a bit of hope for my prediction skills heh heh.

Let's do another Europa pick with a couple of slight favourites in Champs League. I fancy the Serbs who beat Liverpool to bag a few goals.

Game 1: HJK Helsinki-FK Crvena Zvezda. Crvena Zvezda WIN @1.81. BCR odds: 1.78
Game 2: AIK-Maribor. AIK WIN @2.02. BCR odds: 2.01
Game 3: Cukaricki-Molde. Molde WIN @1.93. BCR odds: 1.92
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.0564 . BCR parlay: 6.8693

Odds advantage: 2.72%
Units advantage: 18.71

Running advantage after 47 bets: +2,034.54 (+18.71)
All-time cumulative: +14,866.07
Running units after 46 bets (9W|37L): +632.08 (-100 units)

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August 01, 2019, 07:33:48 AM
 #365

Damn, another bummer and the team that so magnificently smacked Liverpool for 2 goals went down to an almost semi-professional team from Finland's capital. That's football for you!

Europa full of potential. I'm going to back the Bosnian mid table boys to beat Utrecht at home. The Dutch side are a clear favourite but they're usually not so physical, so I hope the Bosnians give a good brawl!

100 units on Zrinjski Mostar to WIN vs Utrecht @5.00. Betcoin odds: 4.83
Odds advantage: 3.4%
Units advantage: 17

Running advantage after 48 bets: +2,051.54 (+17)
All-time cumulative: +14,883.07
Running units after 47 bets (9W|38L): +532.08 (-100 units)

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August 02, 2019, 10:33:23 AM
 #366

Well, what do you know? I was right! Didn't watch the game at all but Utrecht actually took the lead and seems there was a lot of commotion near the end but the Bosnians got their winning goal and they're through. Dutch football. Silky but not tough at times.

I'm going to back 2 underdogs today in a parlay. Lebanon to take advantage of Syria's lapse in form and Middlesbrough to snatch an away win from Luton in the Championship.

Game 1: Luton Town-Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough WIN @2.95. BCR odds: 2.96
Game 2: Lebanon-Syria. Lebanon WIN @3.36. BCR odds: 3.22
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.912. BCR parlay: 9.5312

Odds advantage: 3.99%
Units advantage: 38.08

Running advantage after 49 bets: +2,089.62 (+38.08)
All-time cumulative: +14,921.15
Running units after 48 bets (10W|38L): +1,032.08 (+500 units)

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August 03, 2019, 07:48:20 AM
 #367

Well, the games both ended in a draw, so I guess I should be happier for having backed the underdogs, but losing doesn't really give any comfort heh heh.

Oh and also, I made a mistake with yesterday's tally, it should have been +400 profit not +500, I'll just reflect it in today's adjustment. VERY ambitious parlay today on a whole slew of friendlies, picking the teams I think will unexpectedly perform next season.

Game 1. Manchester United vs AC Milan. Utd WIN @1.88. BCR odds: 1.87
Game 2. Hoffenheim vs Sevilla. Sevilla WIN@2.40. BCR odds: 2.34
Game 3. Borussia Monchengladbach-Chelsea. Chelsea WIN@2.27. BCR odds: 2.25
Game 4. Lille Losc-AS Roma. Roma WIN @2.54. BCR odds: 2.55
100 units parlay at Betcoin @26.0152. BCR parlay: 25.1062

Odds advantage: 3.62%
Units advantage: 90.9

Running advantage after 50 bets: +2,180.52 (+90.9)
All-time cumulative: +15,012.05
Running units after 49 bets (10W|39L): +832.08 (-200 units)

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August 04, 2019, 08:11:00 AM
 #368

2 wins, 2 draws. We could have had 6/1 if we just chose the biggest odds, typical isn't it?

The day I've been waiting for for weeks is here, and yes it's nothing more than a fancy way to start the season but I've never really looked down on Charity Shield. We've won 15 already and City's got 5, let's make sure the gap gets bigger, yeah?

I actually got a bigger bet at fairlay earlier but I'll make the tip for today on today's odds. Fairlay's got a lot of action and odds could always jump so I'd keep my eye on there for good value.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Liverpool to WIN vs Manchester City @3.86. Betcoin odds: 3.85

Odds advantage: 0.33%
Units advantage: 1

Running advantage after 51 bets: +2,181.52 (+1)
All-time cumulative: +15,013.05
Running units after 50 bets (10W|40L): +732.08 (-100 units)


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August 05, 2019, 04:51:54 AM
 #369

This was a great match, and really we should have won. The last attack was magnificent. Salah somehow managed to head the ball after it was saved. Bloody Walker scissor kick it away before it crossed the line.

Some friendly.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Derby to win in the championship against a really poor Huddersfield @3.6. Betcoin odds: 3.56

Odds advantage: 1.11%
Units advantage: 4

Running advantage after 52 bets: +2,185.52 (+4)
All-time cumulative: +15,017.05
Running units after 51 bets (10W|41L): +632.08 (-100 units)

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August 06, 2019, 06:52:44 AM
 #370

Right on, Derby! I would never wish anything bad to teams but Huddersfield were just so visibly poor that I wasn't surprised by this loss at all. In fact, opening matches of Championship have been quite full of upsets, too bad I haven't been keeping up!

Anyway, since we're doing so well with single bets, my prediction is the Ukrainians to get a surprise away win at Brugge... who seem to be strengthened by a certain new signing heh heh but here's our Champs League pick!:

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Dinamo Kiev to WIN at Club Brugge @4.04. Betcoin odds: 3.98

Odds advantage: 1.51%
Units advantage: 6

Running advantage after 53 bets: +2,191.52 (+6)
All-time cumulative: +15,023.05
Running units after 52 bets (11W|41L): +888.08 (+256 units)

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August 07, 2019, 02:53:57 AM
 #371

Mignolet's team got lucky heh but all good, happy he will likely go through, let's not meet later though I hate these mid level meetups haha.

I'll go with a simple bet again today and likely for the rest of the week. Since they seem to be going well-ish.

100 units at Bitcoinrush of Cluj to smackdown Celtic @3.15. Betcoin odds: 3.09

Odds advantage: 2%
Units advantage: 6

Running advantage after 54 bets: +2,197.52 (+6)
All-time cumulative: +15,029.05
Running units after 53 bets (11W|42L): +788.08 (-100 units)

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August 08, 2019, 12:56:20 PM
 #372

Well, we were actually ahead when Cluj got the just goal they deserved for all that early pressure. Then they gave it away and revealed why they weren't favourites. Celtic should win at home so let's see the odds on that.

We look for a Europa upset by Georgian high flyers Dinamo Tbilisi who face a Feyenoord struggling to capture European form.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Tblisi WIN vs Feyenoord @7.09. Betcoin odds: 6.93

Odds advantage: 2.43%
Units advantage: 16

Running advantage after 55 bets: +2,213.52 (+16)
All-time cumulative: +15,045.05
Running units after 54 bets (11W|43L): +688.08 (-100 units)

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August 09, 2019, 01:37:16 AM
 #373

Wow. What a meltdown. Feyenoord took their time, but this hammering and shutout means they need only score 1 goal on the return leg and they still go through even if Tbilisi score 5.

Liverpool play tonight but the odds are stacked super high against their opponents Norwich, I see only a bet in Ligue 1 that's worth it, and I'm backing Monaco to shrug off last season's malaise and return to challenge PSG.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on AS Monaco to WIN vs Lyon @3.03. Betcoin odds: 2.99

Odds advantage: 1.33%
Units advantage: 4

Running advantage after 56 bets: +2,217.52 (+4)
All-time cumulative: +15,049.05
Running units after 55 bets (11W|44L): +588.08 (-100 units)


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August 10, 2019, 04:35:55 AM
 #374

Monaco were in it, despite falling behind. More possessiom, more courage. And then Fabregas gets red carded and I knew I lost the match.

Good thing Liverpool won, not that I bet. But is an upset in tonight's round of EPL worth it? Hell, yeah.

Let us now see new look Villains showcase their 120m assembly.

100 units at Bitcoinrush for Aston Villa to WIN vs Tottenham Hotspurs @10.58. Betcoin odds: 9.76

Odds advantage: 8.4%
Units advantage: 82

Running advantage after 57 bets: +2,299.52 (+84)
All-time cumulative: +15,133.05
Running units after 56 bets (11W|45L): +488.08 (-100 units)
[/b]

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August 11, 2019, 04:29:56 AM
 #375

We were almost there! Aston Villa had the one goal for so long, even had more shots on target (4) than Spurs (1) at one point, but then you just don't defend when you've got Harry Kane on the team (and their new boy equalised too).

Anyway, tough, close but no cigar eh?

On a weekend without upsets, shall we see new look old look Chelsea beat a Lukaku-less United? I mean they got big money but their defence still sucks...

100 units on Chelsea to WIN vs Manchester United @3.65. Betcoin odds: 3.57

Odds advantage: 2.24%
Units advantage: 8

Running advantage after 58 bets: +2,307.52 (+8)
All-time cumulative: +15,141.05
Running units after 57 bets (11W|46L): +388.08 (-100 units)

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August 12, 2019, 10:29:16 AM
 #376

I didn't see THAT walloping coming! Chelsea must really be slinking away with their tails between their legs now. The lacquered layers of Hazard removed, exposing the Blues for what they were: an expensively assembled team with no cohesion. Sarri must be looking back in relief.

Dutch football, away upset at a much-fancied Youth team from Eindhoven. Why not?

100 units on Den Bosch to WIN vs Jong Eindhoven @3.71. Betcoin odds: 3.68

Odds advantage: 0.8%
Units advantage: 3

Running advantage after 59 bets: +2,310.52 (+3)
All-time cumulative: +15,144.05
Running units after 58 bets (11W|47L): +288.08 (-100 units)

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August 13, 2019, 07:35:23 AM
 #377

Ah damn, it was actually going well until the home team's red card, from whence they parked the bus and the bus driver. We were almost there!

Carabao Cup is tonight, and I've got a sentimental pull towards Leyton Orient for a slight upset over Plymouth. Good odds? James Alabi to score?

100 units at Fairlay on Leyton Orient to WIN vs Plymouth @3.205. BCR odds: 2.99

Odds advantage: 7.19%
Units advantage: 21.5

Running advantage after 60 bets: +2,332.02 (+21.5)
All-time cumulative: +15,165.55
Running units after 59 bets (11W|48L): +188.08 (-100 units)

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August 14, 2019, 01:57:44 PM
 #378

Me and sentimental bets. With last night's loss, I'm almost back to zero, eating away all the good profits from parlays past. Maybe it's time for me to return to them?

Super Cup is the only game worth watching tonight. Liverpool missed out on Community Shield by playing well but being unable to score. Will they lift silverware tonight? I say sure, but the bookie odds are far less interesting. So we'll parlay that with Ararat Armenia causing yet another upset in their so far so great Europa League campaign, and Iraq to claim victory in WAFF over Bahrain.

Game 1: Liverpool vs Chelsea. Liverpool WIN @1.65. BCR odds: 1.62
Game 2: FC Saburtalo Tbilisi-FC Ararat-Armenia. Ararat WIN @3.45. BCR odds: 3.48
Game 3: Iraq-Bahrain. Iraq WIN @1.80. BCR odds: 1.77
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.2465. BCR parlay: 9.9786

Odds advantage: 2.68%
Units advantage: 26.79

Running advantage after 61 bets: +2,358.81 (+26.79)
All-time cumulative: +15,192.34
Running units after 60 bets (11W|49L): +88.08 (-100 units)

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August 15, 2019, 09:46:05 AM
 #379

Typical. Our underdog won, but our favourite did not. Not that it'd have mattered since Liverpool also ended extra time 2-2. Not a good penalty I'd say, and we won the trophy anyway but the save was lucky.

Still. Can't knock a good prize pot of 4.5 million euros!

Europa league fare. Let's go for a parlay to try bring us back to positive!

Game 1: Valletta FC-FC Astana. Astana WIN @1.75. BCR odds: 1.73
Game 2: Glasgow Rangers-FC Midtjylland. Rangers WIN @1.67. BCR odds: 1.64
Game 3: Aberdeen FC-HNK Rijeka. Aberdeen WIN @2.47. BCR odds: 2.49
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.2185. BCR parlay: 7.0646

Odds advantage: 2.18%
Units advantage: 15.39

Running advantage after 62 bets: +2,374.2 (+15.39)
All-time cumulative: +15,207.73
Running units after 61 bets (11W|50L): -11.92 (-100 units)

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August 16, 2019, 08:41:51 AM
 #380

Well, that's a bummer. Should have gone for all the favourites and still wrapped up a nice 4/1. Anyway, there's Europa for you. Exciting times but in the end, generally predictable?

Shall we have a parlay on last season's EPL losers, along with La Liga's opener... will we see a fully fit Messi?

Game 1: Huddersfield Town-Fulham. Fulham WIN @2.29. BCR odds: 2.28
Game 2: Athletic Bilbao-FC Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.75. BCR odds: 1.73

100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.0075. Bitcoinrush parlay: 3.9444

Odds advantage: 1.6%
Units advantage: 6.31

Running advantage after 61 bets: +2,380.51 (+6.31)
All-time cumulative: +15,214.04
Running units after 62 bets (11W|51L): -111.92 (-100 units)

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