Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +100,003 units

[buwaytress]

Swiatek lost, and Kariobangi could only draw, so we didn't even get insurance back, boo.

Semifinals for EURO are back, it's almost over, and Italy has been value bet all tournament long, while England tomorrow should have a crack at Denmark. Likely to enter Extra Time but maybe these two want the final so bad they'll win it in normal time?

100 units at Sportsbet on Italy and England to WIN @5.00. Other odds: 4.49. Units advantage: 51
Bet ID: 60e33e8e03330fc71dadc93e

Running advantage after 401 bets: +27,013 (+51)
All-time cumulative: +65,411
Running units after 400 bets (63W|337L): +13,878 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Man, Italy ruined their chances of getting an early win, but they did have to weather a Spanish hailstorm, good thing Olmo just wasn't so good at finishing last night. A lot of tired legs even before FT so they'll need all the rest they can get before the final. Feeling good, but for today, let's have a look at a Wimbledon special.

100 units at Sportsbet on Djokovic to WIN 3:0 and Over 9.5 games per set @30.0. No odds comparisons, a bit lazy to look but this should be good!

Running advantage after 402 bets: +27,013 (+)
All-time cumulative: +65,411
Running units after 401 bets (63W|338L): +13,778 (-100)

[buwaytress]

That actually was a really close game... he did win 3:0 but the first set was "only" 6-3 so we missed a nice 30/1 shot by just 1 game. Too bad!

Taking a live bet now in China and mixing it up with American games plus a friendly. I know. Terrible combination but while waiting for things to happen;)

100 units at Sportsbet on Beijing Guoan, NY Red Bulls, Nashville, Corinthians to WIN@12.37. Other odds: 11.99

Units advantage: 38

Running advantage after 403 bets: +27,051 (+38)
All-time cumulative: +65,449
Running units after 402 bets (63W|339L): +13,678 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Saw that I put the wrong game in yesterday's pick (Beijing Guoan, I actually picked City) but all for naught as both MLS games played to a draw (boring!).

I'm going to be stubborn and once more pick Evergrande in AFC Champions League. Remember, they lost 0-1 and DREW the last two times we backed them. Perhaps now against a Thai team in 3rd place, they can pull off the upset?

100 units at Sportsbet on Evergrande to WIN vs Port FC @12.55. Other odds: 11.90

Units advantage: 65

Running advantage after 404 bets: +27,116 (+65)
All-time cumulative: +65,514
Running units after 403 bets (63W|340L): +13,578 (-100)

[buwaytress]

No third time lucky for me with Evergrande, heh. Really got to stop pitting stuff like this against the grain when it's really clear Evergrande's just been defending all game all group stage!

Got a nice special at Stake on UFC and I like the odds. I actually took it quite early but it's 2.17 now.
Triple winnings if KO/TKO in first 2 rounds and money back if lose via split decision.

500 units at Stake on McGregor to WIN vs Poirier @2.11. Other odds: 2.10
Bet ID: sport:12190205

Running advantage after 405 bets: +27,121 (+5)
All-time cumulative: +65,519
Running units after 404 bets (63W|341L): +13,478 (-100)

[buwaytress]

OUCH! TKO in round 1 was one of the least expected for me, should have gone for the favourite in this one, that would have won me triple the winnings (effectively a 55/10 payout actually). Ankle injury forced McGregor off but I don't think he'd have won anyway. Terrible way to lose 500 units randomly haha. I have been chipping away at bankroll towards end of season, haven't I?

We'll do an absolute mix!

100 units at Sportsbet on Italy, Ulsan Hyundai, CA Juventud, Al Ahly (Egypt) to WIN @11.43. Other odds: 11.20
Units advantage: 23

Running advantage after 406 bets: +27,121 (+5)
All-time cumulative: +65,519
Running units after 405 bets (63W|342L): +12,978 (-500)

[buwaytress]

Well, that was an expected penalty final, wasn't it? Shame on me to think it might have gone otherwise. Italy in the 2nd half often looked like they would go on to win, though, until the Chiesa pretend injury happened, then both teams looked ready to head to penalties.

We head to ATP in Germany, with a simple acca on the favs:
100 units at Sportsbet on Thiago Seyboth Wild, Sebastian Baez, Jaume Munar & Ricardas Berankis to WIN @6.50. Other odds: 6.15
Units advantage: 35
Bet ID: 60ebeb27d5698302ecf9137b

Running advantage after 407 bets: +27,156 (+35)
All-time cumulative: +65,554
Running units after 406 bets (63W|343L): +12,878 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Failed tennis special. Wild, Baez came through but Munar crashed and Berankis retired so we lost.

Let's do a double-sized acca instead on some tough internationals and Asian/American footie shall we?

200 units at Sportsbet on CA Patronato Parana, Chengdu Qianbao, Wuhan Three Towns, Qatar and Honduras to WIN @5.90. Other odds: 5.78
Bet ID: 60ed3ed1d56983e2c1f9f42b
Units advantage: 24

Running advantage after 408 bets: +27,180 (+24)
All-time cumulative: +65,578
Running units after 407 bets (63W|344L): +12,778 (-100)

[buwaytress]

NO! Qatar just got edged out, drawing after Panama put away a penalty nicely. My man Ali still on goalscoring form, so that was the silver lining, but they've got to score more and outfox their opponent's offence if they want to keep pace.

Copa games all around and a leg from Champions League and Scandinavia!

100 units at Sportsbet, boosted, insured on Midtylland, Legia Warsaw, Palmeiras, Flamengo and River Plater (HT) to WIN@22.54. Other odds: 21.12
Units advantage: 142

Running advantage after 409 bets: +27,322 (+142)
All-time cumulative: +65,720
Running units after 408 bets (63W|345L): +12,578 (-200)

[buwaytress]

So River Plate killed our acca, but there's still the Midtylland game to play, if that one hits, we get our bet back as insurance, so we'll hold out on that one first. We turn our eyes now to ATP tennis, and if we do well, we'll smack one down the Europe football lane again later today. For now:

100 units at Sportsbet on Gambos, Fognini, Ruud, Laksonen to WIN @6.00. Other odds: 5.7
Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 410 bets: +27,352 (+30)
All-time cumulative: +65,750
Running units after 409 bets (63W|346L): +12,478 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Fognini fell at his hurdle so I didn't even need to bother looking at the rest. Very disappointing ATP outings. We wait for Midtylland to play today to see if we get the outcome of the last insured bet we have, but in Angola we have two teams with poor form, but winning their last games, I'm backing the underdog.

100 units at Sportsbet on Libolo to WIN vs Primeiro Agostos @8.60. Other odds: 8.50
Units advantage: 10

Running advantage after 411 bets: +27,362 (+10)
All-time cumulative: +65,760
Running units after 410 bets (63W|347L): +12,378 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Tsk! A 1-1 draw as it happened, very few shots and corners but we lost our bet. And because Midtylland also lost, we confirm the loss of our earlier insured bet, so whammy. Our healthy profit stats are being eaten up, but with about a month left to Community Shield in England, which kicks off the new season for this thread, I'm happy we will likely end up with over 10,000 units.

Today's a simple Brasilerio and a friendly with our friends at Club Brugge (go Mignolet!).

100 units at Sportsbet on Ceara, Sao Paoloa and Brugge to WIN @10.00. Other odds: 9.30
Units advantage: 70

Running advantage after 412 bets: +27,432 (+70)
All-time cumulative: +65,830
Running units after 411 bets (63W|348L): +12,178 (-200)

[buwaytress]

Ouf Sao Paolo. Unpredictable as ever!

Senegal are the underdogs for today's COSAFA cup match but I fancy them, plus a Koln revival for next season starting with preseason, why not? Shall we take a little more risk with double regular unit size?

200 units at Sportsbet on Senegal and Koln to WIN @5.12. Other odds: 5.00
Units advantage: 12

Running advantage after 413 bets: +27,444 (+12)
All-time cumulative: +65,842
Running units after 412 bets (63W|349L): +12,078 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Urgh, scoreless draw. Senegal went on to lose the penalties, when a win could really have strengthened their fight for a World Cup place. No worries. We take a longshot parlay with a smattering of friendlies and Scandinavian + Brasileiro, because, why not?

100 units at Sportsbet on Beitar Jerusalem, Hvidovre, Gyeongnam, Napredak, Halmstads, and America FC to WIN @29.62. Other odds: 26.88
Units advantage: 274

Running advantage after 414 bets: +27,718 (+274)
All-time cumulative: +66,116
Running units after 413 bets (63W|350L): +11,878 (-200)

[Trofo]

Urgh, scoreless draw. Senegal went on to lose the penalties, when a win could really have strengthened their fight for a World Cup place. No worries. We take a longshot parlay with a smattering of friendlies and Scandinavian + Brasileiro, because, why not?

100 units at Sportsbet on Beitar Jerusalem, Hvidovre, Gyeongnam, Napredak, Halmstads, and America FC to WIN @29.62. Other odds: 26.88

Damn man, you are scraping bottom of the barrel at the moment. I don't know what is worse you betting on those teams or me knowing for each and every one which Country and League they are from and even a rough table position

I am keeping my bets mostly on tennis while waiting for the "proper" leagues to start.

[buwaytress]

Damn man, you are scraping bottom of the barrel at the moment. I don't know what is worse you betting on those teams or me knowing for each and every one which Country and League they are from and even a rough table position

I am keeping my bets mostly on tennis while waiting for the "proper" leagues to start.

Damn man, I really appreciate you sharing in my pain. Sometimes, I wonder what goes through my mind when I make this picks. I like going for underdogs but I don't know these teams well enough, and then I kill acca above on the 2nd leg. Have to say you win the "worse" as you even know their league position haha...

Don't ask me to show my tennis betting. It's even worse... I picked Rune in ATP today and he lost =)

[buwaytress]

I'm going to take a few UCL qualification bets tonight, but probably live, or closer to the game. Tactic: bet on the team that goes down an early goal, at least 1 should make it through for a comeback win haha.

Anyway, a boosted insured 100 units on Sportsbet on Olympic Brisbane, Clyde FC, Sarmiento, Irtysh Omsk, Amkar Perm to WIN @13.37. Other odds: 12.79 (nice odds right?)
Units advantage: 58

Running advantage after 415 bets: +27,776 (+58)
All-time cumulative: +66,174
Running units after 414 bets (63W|351L): +11,778 (-100)

[Trofo]

I see you are still keeping with the unknowns from football.

I have finally found some normal games in CL qualification games and made a treble with:
Dinamo ML
Cluj ML
Rapid - Sparta, Both to score

Total odds just shy of @3, enough for me. It is time for one ticket to hit and get me back to winning streak

[buwaytress]

Enough of this nonsense, actually made 6 and 7 leg accas yesterday that hit on all except stupid Celtic. I've been complaining everywhere haha.

Today, keep it simple. Underdog matches and I want to bet on a slip up by the favourites at home, against a super inspired Estonian league leader. Also the worst odds tonight so let's see;)

100 units at Sportsbet on Flora Talinn to WIN @16.95. Other odds: 15.50
Units advantage: 145

Running advantage after 416 bets: +27,921 (+145)
All-time cumulative: +66,219
Running units after 415 bets (63W|352L): +11,678 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Ended up losing 2-1, didn't watch the game but the stats showed they actually put up a better fight than would have been assumed. If not falling to the 2nd minute goal, who knows?

Either way, Olympics are starting soon, shall we get in early on the action? I'll be adding some live ones maybe. Rare opportunity to watch the future of national teams + some vets;)

100 units insured, boosted on Romania, South Korea, Brazil, Ivory Coast, Argentina (HT) WIN @29.57. Other odds: 27.54
Units advantage: 203

Running advantage after 417 bets: +28,124 (+203)
All-time cumulative: +66,422
Running units after 416 bets (63W|353L): +11,578 (-100)