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Author Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +97043 units  (Read 38923 times)
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February 22, 2021, 09:33:08 AM
 #981

To be fair to Toon Army, after the equaliser, it did look like they could pull off something drastic, except of course it was United who came out strong out of the blocks again in the second half.

Palace look sorry and they've got their own squad crisis now so no surprise Brighton are the favourites but maybe they still can pop a win without Zaha?

100 units at Fairlay on Palace to WIN vs Brighton @5.72. Other odds: 5.60

Units advantage: 12

Running advantage after 232 bets: +14,746 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +52,295
Running units after 231 bets (35W|196L): +5,951 (-100)

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February 23, 2021, 08:13:10 AM
 #982

They led, and then needed all of the last few minutes to take another shot on goal AND win. Sometimes, you do end up backing the right side in a one-sided match. Hah! 2 shots, both goals. Benteke. Strange, strange game.

100 units at Sportsbet on a special with Bayern, Atletico, Real Madrid and City to WIN @16.00. Other odds: 15.20
Bet ID: 6034b655ea6f2514c315c474

Units advantage: 80

Running advantage after 233 bets: +14,826 (+80)
All-time cumulative: +52,375
Running units after 232 bets (36W|196L): +6,423 (+472)

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February 24, 2021, 09:08:45 AM
 #983

Atletico. Back to their old ways in Champions League, worked against Liverpool, but not last night. They could still snatch it in the return leg, they just need two goals and that could be what they wanted to do last night, conserve for the killer blow ala Simeone style.

Anyway. City are awesome but Gladbach a value dark horse at 10/1?

100 units at Sportsbet on Gladbach to WIN vs City @10.02. Other odds: 9.70

Units advantage: 32

Running advantage after 234 bets: +14,858 (+32)
All-time cumulative: +52,407
Running units after 233 bets (36W|197L): +6,323 (-100)

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February 25, 2021, 06:34:21 AM
 #984

Actually, thought I edited the post yesterday to add in a Real Madrid hedge (which would have worked out) but suppose I forgot after all. No worries.

Europe Last 32 looks solid tonight. First leg was sorely disappointing for the favourites, Roma, Milan, Leicester drawing and Leverkusen losing, but should we place our trust in them again? With insurance, why not?

100 units at Sportsbet, insured, boosted on Arsenal, Shakhtar, Milan, Leicester and Roma to WIN @12.78 Other odds: 11.54
Bet ID: 603743e4ea6f25595d17da0d

Units advantage: 124

Running advantage after 234 bets: +14,982 (+124)
All-time cumulative: +52,531
Running units after 234 bets (36W|198L): +6,223 (-100)

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February 27, 2021, 09:46:37 AM
Last edit: February 27, 2021, 12:29:21 PM by buwaytress
 #985

Couldn't even get insurance back, terrible performance from the Foxes, and another ultimate disappointment from Milan (who progress anyway though through away goals and earn a United match up!). Zlatan facing his former employers, should be exciting!

A dangerous parlay tonight but if it hits we get a 2mbtc freebet, so:

100 units at Sportsbet @4.00 on Liverpool, City, Bayern and Spurs to WIN. Other odds: 3.40.
Bet ID: 6037b9c7212aeb80e9da602d

Units advantage: 60

Edit: I don't usually mix live games but good 2nd half odds on games leading so:
Western Utd (L), Kabylie (L), Brighton, Barca, Juve WIN @24.40. Other odds: 22.90
Bet ID: 603a0d85ea6f2549441a4c67
Units advantage: 150

Running advantage after 237 bets: +15,192 (+210)
All-time cumulative: +52,741
Running units after 235 bets (36W|199L): +6,123 (-100)

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February 28, 2021, 08:53:46 AM
 #986

Damn Juventus. If you'd only won I might have at least had my insurance back. Ronaldo scoring doesn't even mean 3 points these days. Damn season is rotten everywhere.

Liverpool have to win today to bottom club Sheffield. Blades a shadow of their former selves last season so no surprise Reds odds are shite even in their current run of results.

A correct score SuperBoost at Sportsbet on a 3:0 win for Liverpool @10.25. Other odds: 8.40

Odds advantage: 185.

Running advantage after 238 bets: +15,377 (+185)
All-time cumulative: +52,926
Running units after 237 bets (36W|201L): +5,923 (-200)

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March 01, 2021, 09:29:49 AM
 #987

Oh man! One disallowed goal and one tight miss from Salah or we'd have hit our exact 3:0 =D

Anyway, Liverpool did win and we hit our parlay from the day before... which I now notice I mistakenly chalked off as a loss yesterday (so used to losing haha). So instead of going back to edit two days, I'm lazy so I'll reflect that 4/1 win in today's calculation instead!

Two hard games today, but super boost helps make it worthwhile.

100 units at Sportsbet on Saints + Real Madrid WIN @8.34. Other odds: 7.80

Units advantage: 54

Running advantage after 239 bets: +15,431 (+54)
All-time cumulative: +52,980
Running units after 238 bets (37W|201L): +6,223 (+300)

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March 02, 2021, 10:30:48 AM
 #988

Lols at myself for thinking I could outsmart defensive teams. Minamino also injured, my bad for not checking lineups. But Real were hammering to be fair, it just didn't happen for them!

Right then, no use pondering.

Big game again for Liverpool coming up, and I'm using a huge freebet from Sportsbet to put on it (2 mbtc)Wink

We consider this as 100 units though, on Gaziantep (tonight) and Liverpool to WIN @4.17. Other odds: 3.89

Units advantage: 28

Running advantage after 240 bets: +15,459 (+28)
All-time cumulative: +53,008
Running units after 239 bets (37W|202L): +6,123 (-100)

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March 03, 2021, 08:27:40 AM
 #989

Nice if nervy win for Gaziantep! I mean, to go behind by a goal, and THEN get a man sent off so early I thought it was over when the whistle went for HT. Didn't even keep track of the game til it was over much later, so nice surprise!

I'm going to go for a dumb United correct score, see if I can't get another one right. Super boost makes it worthwhile IMO.

100 units at Sportsbet on United to win 2:1 at Palace @10.00. Other odds: 8.20

Units advantage: 180

Running advantage after 241 bets: +15,639 (+180)
All-time cumulative: +53,188
Running units after 239 bets (37W|202L): +6,123 (-+0)

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March 04, 2021, 07:44:27 AM
 #990

Two 0-0 drab draws in a row, I really ought to have nailed that looking at just how tired United's midfield looked. Liverpool didn't teach them a lesson in tired legs or what?

Anyway, we got the Liverpool game tonight to take us home on our parlay from 2 days ago, but how about we double down on some tough games for a 5-leg boosted parlay?

100 units at Sportsbet on Liverpool, Club Brugge, Genk, River Plate and Fluminese to WIN @34.17. Other odds: 32.57

Units advantage: 160

Running advantage after 242 bets: +15,799 (+160)
All-time cumulative: +53,348
Running units after 240 bets (37W|203L): +6,023 (-100)

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March 05, 2021, 08:17:24 AM
 #991

It wasn't to be. Didn't even get insurance back because Brugge and Fluminese dropped like Liverpool. Sadness for an unwanted records of 5 consecutive Anfield losses (many 1-0 too) but I hope we make this season the one to take all the crap and we push for something else next season. Top 4 is still the fight, and Champions League itself.

Tennis?

100 units at Sportsbet on Tsitsipas, Rublev, Coric & Fucsovics All To Win @4.00. Other odds: 3.78

Units advantage: 22

Running advantage after 243 bets: +15,821 (+22)
All-time cumulative: +53,370
Running units after 242 bets (37W|205L): +5,823 (-200)

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March 06, 2021, 09:44:39 AM
Last edit: March 06, 2021, 03:44:20 PM by buwaytress
 #992

I honestly thought I'd lose the tennis parlay, Tsitsipas sure took his time to win this, while Rublev also needed to come back from a first set loss. But a happy way to start the weekend.

Another SB special here for 6/1. 100 units on Liverpool, Arsenal, Spurs, City to WIN. Other odds: 5.69
ID: 6041d8e6212aeb72b5e2ff58

Edit: Gunners lost, a quick one now as we love insured boosts too... so Sevilla, Leipzig, Saints, Bayern, Barca nost 1H corners: 15.00. Other odds: 13.90
ID: 604341a3212aeb34bce41543

Units advantage: 141

Running advantage after 245 bets: +15,962 (+141)
All-time cumulative: +53,511
Running units after 243 bets (38W|205L): +6,123 (+300)

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March 07, 2021, 12:20:18 PM
Last edit: March 07, 2021, 02:50:28 PM by buwaytress
 #993

Damn Barca. They still won, comfortably, but for some reason couldn't get more corners than Osasuna, so we didn't even get our insurance. Can't be blaming them though, Sevilla lost the parlay for us long before that.

So we go for another parlay today =)

100 units on United and Liverpool WIN @10.08. Other odds: 9.20

Units advantage: 88

I'm an idiot, and I want to see my team win. So Liverpool HT win @2.29 against Fulham. Surely we can?
100 units at Fairlay. Other odds: 2.09

Units advantage: 20

OK we lost that bet, sadness, going down to Fulham at HT. More money on Luis Suarez to score first in Atletico v Real? @5.20. Other odds: 4.80.
Units advantage: 40

Running advantage after 248 bets: +16,120 (+148)
All-time cumulative: +53,659
Running units after 245 bets (38W|207L): +5,923 (-200)

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March 07, 2021, 04:27:05 PM
 #994

I'm an idiot, and I want to see my team win.

OK we lost that bet, sadness, going down to Fulham at HT. More money on Luis Suarez to score first in Atletico v Real? @5.20. Other odds: 4.80.
Top reason why I skip betting on teams I want to see win. You are just not capable to judge the situation with cold head. That was the perfect game for you to take Fulham win and if it was some other big team from PL in terrible form like LFC you would have capitalized on that I am sure  Wink

Good call on Suarez, my favorite way to win the bet 15 minutes in and then I can watch the rest of the game with no stress or place another bet. Ah can't even write it with straight face, of course I am immediately placing another bet  Grin

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March 07, 2021, 04:39:48 PM
 #995

I'm an idiot, and I want to see my team win.

OK we lost that bet, sadness, going down to Fulham at HT. More money on Luis Suarez to score first in Atletico v Real? @5.20. Other odds: 4.80.
Top reason why I skip betting on teams I want to see win. You are just not capable to judge the situation with cold head. That was the perfect game for you to take Fulham win and if it was some other big team from PL in terrible form like LFC you would have capitalized on that I am sure  Wink

Good call on Suarez, my favorite way to win the bet 15 minutes in and then I can watch the rest of the game with no stress or place another bet. Ah can't even write it with straight face, of course I am immediately placing another bet  Grin

Yeah Trofo, you're right. I know I would have bet against Liverpool every game if I weren't a fan. Though to be fair, odds still aren't so great, funny that bookies still didn't give Fulham 10/1 (last I checked) against Liverpool. Anfield's a curse now... But yeah, Suarez bet is done, settled so early and I don't need to worry about the outcome.

Anfield is suffering right now, friends, the gift that keeps on giving to relegation strugglers, derby rivals who never felt victory. Christ these losses are eating at me.

So thanks to Suarez, very small consolation, which I placed right after we ended the half letting in that goal from Fulham. It was a superboost today on 1st goalscorer and at least a former Red made it all right for me today.



And another former Red is celebrating at Rangers now that Celtic couldn't win their game.

Small joys on another miserable day...

BTW I was trying so hard to put a bet on Fernandes to score first but my bet would never be accepted WTF and he scores a penalty!!! I KNEW United were due a penalty after so bloody long and we finally have it.

I did get a  last-ditch United ML bet in though at over 6/1: but too late to add here so I'll keep it for posterity. Damn us but we can't stop betting haha!

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March 08, 2021, 08:00:25 AM
Last edit: March 08, 2021, 08:02:00 PM by buwaytress
 #996

Right, Liverpool ruined both the parlay and single, as mentioned, I did have a single ML on United but wasn't in time to put it here, but Suarez took us home so we're still good! Also, odds were actually 5.40 not 5.20 as posted, reflected below

100 units at Sportsbet on Boosted Leeds and Chelsea WIN @5.87. Other odds: 5.77

Units advantage: 10

Edit: add this insured monster: Madhyapur, Aab, Gent, Inter, RBetis @23.85. Others: 21.99
ID: 6045d841ea6f25e9c6242d98
Units advantage: 186

Final edit because I seem to be doing well haha: Alaves HEDGE @6.17. Others 5.97
ID: 6046826f212aeb2506e6ec09
Units advantage: 20

Running advantage after 251 bets: +16,336 (+216)
All-time cumulative: +53,875
Running units after 248 bets (389W|209L): +6,163 (+240)

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March 09, 2021, 01:46:28 PM
 #997

Last night was pretty dramatic. Chelsea won comfortably, so I was confident in Leeds. Then Aalborg needed an injury-time penalty to win, so we were 2/5 on the 5-leg parlay also, that's when I thought the hedge bet on Alaves was smart.

Cut half time Leeds down 2 goals, Gent up 1 goal and Inter still scoreless but Alaves up 2-0! So I thought, phew, hedge worked out.

Except then Betis levelled at 2-2 late so I was staring down losses and insured bet returned. And then Betis completes the comeback at 88th minute so our first 5-leg win in weeks yay!

Early CL special? 100 units at Sportsbet on BVB, Liverpool, PSG and Juve all to WIN @19.00. Other odds: 17.80
Bet ID: 60477b4b212aebf8bde79c3c

Units advantage: 120

Running advantage after 252 bets: +16,456 (+120)
All-time cumulative: +53,995
Running units after 251 bets (390W|211L): +8,248 (+2085)

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March 10, 2021, 08:25:19 AM
 #998

Damn you Dortmund haha. Thought you'd do better at home after winning away but actually could have lost it as well. Not enough to take us home, Juve.

Was a nice way to cash in on City losing but Southampton are a different proposition altogether. Still, we like wasting money so why not?

100 units at Sportsbet on Saints to WIN @17.11. Other odds: 16.36

Units advantage: 75

Running advantage after 253 bets: +16,531 (+75)
All-time cumulative: +54,070
Running units after 252 bets (390W|212L): +8,148 (-100)

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buwaytress (OP)
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March 11, 2021, 11:09:25 AM
 #999

Heh, Saints totally overpowered in the end. No Ings, no magic?

Anyway, Rangers are looking so irresistible now, and would love playing the underdog. With everything won already in Scotland, they'll give it their all in Europa!

100 units at Sportsbet on Rangers and Arsenal to WIN @6.09. Other odds: 5.80

How about trust in Arsenal? 100 units on Arsenal and AC Milan to WIN @10.67. Other odds: 10.55
Bet ID: 6049f622ea6f25f75c2795a3

Total Units advantage: 41

Running advantage after 255 bets: +16,572 (+41)
All-time cumulative: +54,111
Running units after 253 bets (390W|213L): +8,048 (-100)

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buwaytress (OP)
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Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443


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March 12, 2021, 10:08:53 AM
 #1000

Arsenal got us the goods but both parlays failed because our chosen underdogs only managed to draw level with the home team. Still a great away goal each to take a slim advantage to the next leg at home, but I doubt we'll get such good odds again, oh well!

Toons and Villains take on each other, both having only won once in the last five games. Superboost please, and a "guaranteed" Atalanta hom win?

100 units at Sportsbet on Newcastle and Atalanta to WIN @5.71. Other odds: 5.55

Units advantage: 16

Running advantage after 256 bets: +16,588 (+16)
All-time cumulative: +54,127
Running units after 255 bets (390W|215L): +7,848 (-200)

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