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Author Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +97043 units  (Read 38885 times)
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March 29, 2021, 07:38:44 AM
 #1021

What a crappy parlay that turned out to be, ha ha!

Let's go for halt time leads instead across friendlies and AFCON, sprinkled in with some exotic leagues in Americas and Africa. Because hey, odds are odds for favs;)

100 units at Sportsbet on HT wins from Egypt, Algeria, Ecuador, FC Hradec, Enyimba @14.85. Other odds: 13.98

Units advantage: 113

Running advantage after 283 bets: +19,197 (+113)
All-time cumulative: +56,744
Running units after 282 bets (393W|239L): +8,054 (-100)

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March 30, 2021, 05:41:41 AM
 #1022

Oh that was such a sweet win last night, especially since all our HT wins hit by 1-0 goals;) Blackjack special (21/1 on total cards, goals, corners in a selected match of the day) almost hit last night too, check it out if you're a Sportsbet player!

So we won last night without insurance, shall we do another small one, with insurance. WC and a mix of exotic lower league footie?
100 units at Sportsbet on Slovenia, Russia, MC Alger, Centenary Stormers, Solihull Moors @14.12. Other odds: 13.58

Units advantage: 54

Running advantage after 284 bets: +19,251 (+54)
All-time cumulative: +56,798
Running units after 283 bets (394W|239L): +9,439 (+1385)

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March 31, 2021, 06:48:21 AM
 #1023

That did not go well yesterday, Slovenia and Russia both crashed out to supposedly inferior opponent, but no worries, we do like a pause in between big wins, heh heh. So let's go back to some more HT wins and hope our Hungarian and Scottish boys get some joy early on!

Another 100 units at Sportsbet with a 5-leg boosted insured bet: HT wins for Hungary+Scotland, plus wins for Communicaciones, S Melbourne and Oaklake Cannons @13.25. Other odds: 12.54

Units advantage: 71

Running advantage after 285 bets: +19,322 (+71)
All-time cumulative: +56,870
Running units after 284 bets (394W|240L): +9,339 (-100)

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April 01, 2021, 05:44:31 AM
 #1024

Heartbreak. We had first Melbourne win the game for us late, then Hungary winning the 4th leg by scoring in final minute first-half injury time, and then the last leg Communicaciones were leading 2-1 until... 90th minute. No matter. We get our bet back so lose nothing, isn't free insurance nice?

100 units at Sportsbet on Melbourne City, Angkor Tiger and RB Bragantino -1 AH HT @12.80. Forgot to take other odds oops.

Running advantage after 286 bets: +19,322 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +56,870
Running units after 285 bets (394W|241L): +9,339 (-0)

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April 02, 2021, 01:39:13 PM
 #1025

Bitten right in the ass by another late comeback. But let's not give up on the favorites shall we? I'm thinking the Championship in England will want to get roaring out of the break and secure some promotion berths. Top it off with an early start for the fallen French aristocrats?

100 units at Sportsbet, boosted and insured, Norwich, Watford, Brentford, Blackburn, Monaco HT @16.93. Other odds: 15.73

And Watford and BTTS @4.34. Other odds: 3.80

Units advantage: 120+54 = 174

Running advantage after 288 bets: +19,496 (+174)
All-time cumulative: +57,044
Running units after 286 bets (394W|242L): +9,239 (-100)

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April 03, 2021, 07:07:54 AM
 #1026

Watford won, but could only manage an own goal so we threw that one out. And it started so well until 2nd half in Championship, bottom team actually won and Norwich gave up points. Premier club football back today and there's we we go with selections! Sticking with Monaco but for a full-time result in this 5 leg insured boosted:

100 units at Sportsbet on Liverpool, Leeds, Milan, Lazio, Monaco to WIN @13.65. Other odds: 12.88

Units advantage: 77

And let's throw in a big, big, 1000 units at Fairlay on Liverpool to WIN vs Arsenal @2.28. Other odds: 2.35 Now I bet this really early and odds have actually climbed so I'll admit the disadvantage here = 7 x 10 =70

Another irresponsible big bet? 1000 units at Fairlay on Liv to win HT @2.95. Other odds: 2.85. Advantage: 10x10 =100

Total units advantage: 107

Running advantage after 291 bets: +19,603 (+107)
All-time cumulative: +57,151
Running units after 288 bets (394W|244L): +9,039 (-200)

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April 04, 2021, 10:08:13 AM
 #1027

Well, that was nervy until Jota came in heh heh. I did win the ML bet so that fortunately covers the lost HT bet and even lets us come away with a small profit. We got our bet on the 5-leg parlay, thanks to insurance! Bloody Milan though. Why did I even take them?

Anyway, here is today's pick;)

Sydney, Dabas, Saints to WIN @6.2. Other odds: 6.1

Dumb 5-leg, insured, why not? Spurs, United, Saints, Real Betis, Sevilla @32.56. Other odds: 31.12

Units advantage: 10 + 144 = 154

Running advantage after 293 bets: +19,757 (+154)
All-time cumulative: +57,305
Running units after 291 bets (395W|246L): +9,319 (+280)

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April 05, 2021, 08:54:15 AM
 #1028

Damn Betis and Spurs. Didn't even get insurance back. Also Dabas (lower league Hungarian) lost as favourites. Need to stop playing these silly games sometimes. What a waste of a Saints comeback!

All parlays lost, here's another 5-leg, no insurance though!

100 units on Barca HT, Flamengo HT, Watford, Rotherham, Melb City WIN @24.42. Other odds: 23.22

Units advantage: 120

Running advantage after 294 bets: +19,877 (+120)
All-time cumulative: +57,425
Running units after 293 bets (395W|248L): +9,219 (-100)

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April 06, 2021, 09:28:12 AM
 #1029

That'll teach me. HT wins for Barca. Tsk. Going to put in an exotic mix of games with UCL and Champs League action tonight. Loads of HT wins from Johor, Norwich and City, a Brentford victory and topping it off is Liverpool away win!

100 units at Sportsbet, boosted and insured @26.83. Other odds: 25.44

But what's the point of Liverpool if not for a crazy 1000 unit bet right? Fairlay odds: 2.92. Other odds: 2.62.

Total units advantage: 139+30x10=439

Running advantage after 296 bets: +20,316 (+439)
All-time cumulative: +57,864
Running units after 294 bets (395W|249L): +9,119 (-100)


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April 07, 2021, 11:03:09 AM
 #1030

Ouch for me, ha ha. That's okay, we can make it back in the return leg, right Liverpool? It's surely not too much to ask for 2-0 win to take us through... then again just looking at Kabak and Nat play like deer in headlights really wasn't convincing at all.

100 units boosted insured on an super mix of exotica: Chelsea, Olympiacos Piraeus, Nacional Potosi, Lithuania (W), Club Leon @12.93. Other odds: 12.55

Units advantage: 38

Running advantage after 297 bets: +20,354 (+38)
All-time cumulative: +57,902
Running units after 296 bets (395W|251L): +8,019 (-1100)

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April 08, 2021, 07:57:20 AM
 #1031

Nope, no luck. Women's friendly won as did Chelsea but everything else came to naught.

We'll do a far simpler parlay today in Europa. Slight favourites should win the day no? And maybe if we see improved odds for Granada and Slavia Prague, we'll take them.

100 units at Sportsbet on Ajax, Villareal, Lyon to WIN @4.73. No odds advantage.

Running advantage after 298 bets: +20,354 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +57,902
Running units after 297 bets (395W|252L): +7,919 (-100)

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April 08, 2021, 04:20:31 PM
 #1032

100 units at Sportsbet on Ajax, Villareal, Lyon to WIN @4.73. No odds advantage.
Why man, why play against Dinamo on their home turf? Dinamo conceded just one goal in all their home Europe matches and that was against CSKA when Dinamo still won 3:1 and they had 3:0 lead so could play with guard down. My bet for this one is first half draw and I even considered taking no goals in the match. I have a feeling both teams would be ok with this first leg finishing as a boring draw. Possible even without goals.

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April 09, 2021, 05:34:22 AM
 #1033

^Ah well Trofo, as it turns out, it was only Villareal who didn't let me down haha. Crazy times in Europe, Lyon still got through the cup but only after penalties, letting go of a 2-goal lead, and Ajax lost at home. Damn!

5-leg boosted insured, odd mix but hey hey. 100 units on Wolves, Watford, Lille, Alashkert and Austria Klagenfurt to WIN @25.31. Other odds: 23.99

Units advantage: 132

Running advantage after 299 bets: +20,486 (+132)
All-time cumulative: +58,034
Running units after 298 bets (395W|253L): +7,819 (-100)

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April 09, 2021, 11:00:12 AM
 #1034

^Ah well Trofo, as it turns out, it was only Villareal who didn't let me down haha. Crazy times in Europe, Lyon still got through the cup but only after penalties, letting go of a 2-goal lead, and Ajax lost at home. Damn!
I knew your ticket is a bust just did not detect problematic game Wink
My serious ticket passed, I had just United to win and Ajax both to score.

That Villareal goal screwed a great 5xmulti. All odds around 2 and that is the only one I missed. What is worst, no insurance, already used it before.

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April 09, 2021, 11:08:02 AM
 #1035

^Throwing some bets in on games most likely to draw this weekend (Wolves, Huesca for example) but putting them in at HT wins on 2-legs each for a few selections. Liverpool game not looking pretty, and can you believe less than 4/1 for them to qualify -- so bookies believe they're going to score 2 goals min and not let in more than 1... against Real? Crazy odds, poor value heh.

At this rate, only worth betting on 2/3 Liverpool goalscorer bets.

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April 10, 2021, 11:05:27 AM
 #1036

See what happens when I just stick to 5-legs and let the boost give us good value? Ha ha. But no, I know I'm generally just far better at underdog bets (and lately correct score boosts or first scorer boosts just I don't tend to share here as they are promos).

Alashkert game was called off so it's the only shame of the leg, but the boost was kept so all good!

Easy parlay today? Liverpool, Inter, Milan and Arsenal to WIN @6.00. Other odds: 5.60
Bet ID: 606f0a1cc139f955b12781ac

Units advantage: 40

Leeds to WIN is amazing odds 100 units at Fairlay @10.11. Others: 8.00
Units advantage: 211

Running advantage after 301 bets: +20,737 (+251)
All-time cumulative: +58,285
Running units after 299 bets (396W|253L): +9,373 (+1554)

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April 11, 2021, 09:15:19 AM
 #1037

Well, well, well. Standing pretty with that Leeds injury time win, and our parlay's half done too also thanks to a Trent injury-time winner. It doesn't get better than this on Sunday;) We finally haul our asses over the line for 10,000 unit profit too, season end is approaching, hope we can hold on to that, as long as I don't get greedy;)

A bit of an uncharacteristic bet but here goes another parlay: Arsenal, Atletico, Atalanta and Inter to WIN @7.65. Other odds: 7.40
Units advantage: 25

And I know Monaco are on fire but Dijon has won us a bet against PSG before, why not one against French footballing royalty?
100 units on Dijon to WIN against Monaco @18.19. Other odds: 17.70

Total units advantage: 25+49 = 74

Running advantage after 302 bets: +20,811 (+74)
All-time cumulative: +58,359
Running units after 300 bets (396W|253L): +10,284 (+911)

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April 12, 2021, 09:19:26 AM
 #1038

RIP from Atletico, would have been a nice one to hit also, but the earlier parlay settled comfortable with Arsenal taking us home and Inter getting the goal they needed, so all in all, a good weekend!

Start with Monte Carlo tennis today a special on Humbert, Lajovic & Chardy to WIN @4.40. Other odds: 4.20
Units advantage: 20

Running advantage after 304 bets: +20,831 (+20)
All-time cumulative: +58,379
Running units after 303 bets (397W|255L): +10,584 (+500-200=+300)

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buwaytress (OP)
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April 13, 2021, 08:07:56 AM
 #1039

Yeah, that will teach me lessons about tennis. Not easy to judge winners, actually hit 3 unfancied singles and lost this parlay on the first leg (Humbert) to a straight set!

A daring bet for today, why not? A tight home win in Australia, another Porto defeat, and Bayern revenge, because the Germans will bite back hard.

100 units on Newcastle Jets, Chelsea and Bayern to WIN @10.79. Other odds: 10.55

Units advantage: 24

Running advantage after 305 bets: +20,855 (+24)
All-time cumulative: +58,403
Running units after 304 bets (397W|256L): +10,484 (-100)

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buwaytress (OP)
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April 14, 2021, 08:09:47 AM
 #1040

Newcastle Jets killed our small parlay already but it would have been a bigger shame had it won since Chelsea anyway fell to Porto in the death.

A return of a 5-leg boosted insured parlay including UCL legs, with another big Australian A-league to kick it off? Because it's awesome, that's why!

100 units on Adelaide Utd, Botafago, Inter Club Escaldes, Liverpool, City to WIN @21.96. Other odds: 20.60

Units advantage: 136

Also, realised forgot to adjust win total, so now it's correct:

Running advantage after 306 bets: +20,991 (+136)
All-time cumulative: +58,539
Running units after 305 bets (398W|257L): +10,384 (-100)


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