Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +100,003 units

[buwaytress]

Yesterday's ripped parlay explained so I won't go into detail, not that the other results went our way.

Choosing statistics today on some exotic pickings, choosing teams that have goal averages above 1 a game, so here's today's parlay:

Game 1 AFC Eskilstuna vs Brommapojkarna [Swedish] - Over 2 @1.8. Nitro odds: 1.785
Game 2 USM Bel Abbes vs CR Belouizdad [Algeria U21] - Over 2.5 @1.85. Nitro odds: 1.831
Game 3 FK Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Ural Sverdlovskaya Oblast [Russia U21] - Over 3 @1.7. Nitro odds: 1.685

100 Units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.7706. Nitro parlay: 5.507

Odds advantage: 4.79%
Units advantage: 26.36 units

Running units advantage after 91 bets: +1,084.6 (+26.36 units)

Running units after 90 bets (26W|63L): +770.41 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

Can't catch a break, but I suppose I had been overperforming at the beginning. Sad to see my bankroll shrink back below 7% profits, I might have been too reliant on statistics.

Premier League is a day away but we have some major European action tonight. Ligue 1, La Liga and Bundesliga's games provide us lone choices, so that's going to be our parlay.

Game 1: Lyon vs St Etienne. Lyon WIN @1.65. Nitro: 1.639
Game 2: Leganes vs Alaves. Over 2 @1.97. Nitro: 1.954
Game 3: Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart. Leverkusen WIN @1.53. Nitro: 1.519

100 units Parlay at Bitcointrush @4.9706 Nitro parlay: 4.865

Odds advantage: 2.17%
Units advantage: 10.56 units

Running units advantage after 92 bets: +1,095.16 (+10.56 units)

Running units after 91 bets (26W|64L): +670.41 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Very draining to keep seeing parlays fall by the lack of 1 single goal but we push on as the Premier League returns to action. Liverpool have to win this to keep pace with City, whom everyone is expecting must win. Fulham have Ranieri at the helm today and at home, I sense a victory is on the cards, even though it's the Saints they're up against.

Game 1: Watford vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.58. Nitro odds: 1.564
Game 2: Fulham vs Southampton. Fulham WIN @2.7. Nitro odds: 2.684
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.6298. Nitro parlay: 4.198

Odds advantage: 10.29%
Units advantage: 43.18 units

Running units advantage after 93 bets: +1,138.34 (+43.18 units)

Running units after 92 bets (26W|65L): +570.41 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

How about that? Fulham got out of the bottom and Ranieri got the maiden win he so deserves, and we got a healthy parlay to boost our flagging profits. Only 2 Sunday games in EPL and we'll make another parlay. A bit of a risk on both legs, but I'm hoping Arsenal get back to their winning ways, while Wolves at home should get the goals flowing.

Game 1 AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @2.05. Nitro odds:2.028
Game 2 Wolverhamption Wanderers vs Huddersfield Town. Over 2.5 Goals @2.42. Nitro odds:2.41

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.961. Nitro parlay: 4.888

Odds advantage: 1.49%
Units advantage: 7.3 units

Running units advantage after 94 bets: +1,145.64 (+7.3 units)

Running units after 93 bets (27W|65L): +933.39 (+362.98 units)

[mallorcagold]

Nice thread bro.

I have a question do you track those odds differences manually or do you use some kind of third party platform or service.

Me for example I use rebelbetting value betting software. They track odds differences just like you on 90+ different fiat bookies.
I already suggested to rebelbetting to implement crypto bookies as well and they took this into consideration for future.

[SyGambler]

Nice thread bro.

I have a question do you track those odds differences manually or do you use some kind of third party platform or service.

Me for example I use rebelbetting value betting software. They track odds differences just like you on 90+ different fiat bookies.
I already suggested to rebelbetting to implement crypto bookies as well and they took this into consideration for future.

I'm kinda sure he does it manually  but there is a site called bitedge offers odds comparison , it's not accurate but it helps a little and they send daily arbitrage alert
they have a shady bookie tho which is 1xbit so better to avoid it , also they don't list bitcoinrush which has the highest odds most of the times so it's not accurate but it gives a little idea

hope your software provider will consider adding crypto sites

[buwaytress]

Nice thread bro.

I have a question do you track those odds differences manually or do you use some kind of third party platform or service.

Me for example I use rebelbetting value betting software. They track odds differences just like you on 90+ different fiat bookies.
I already suggested to rebelbetting to implement crypto bookies as well and they took this into consideration for future.

I'm kinda sure he does it manually  but there is a site called bitedge offers odds comparison , it's not accurate but it helps a little and they send daily arbitrage alert
they have a shady bookie tho which is 1xbit so better to avoid it , also they don't list bitcoinrush which has the highest odds most of the times so it's not accurate but it gives a little idea

hope your software provider will consider adding crypto sites

Sy's right. Manual so yes I do spend a fair bit of time daily, but hey, it's money and interest worth spending time on!

Yes, Bitedge is a pretty good starting point, and I use that (along with oddschecker which checks on fiat bookies, but only for informative comparisons. They are very seldom as good as Bitcoin bookies).

As Sy says, they advertise 1xbit (which all the gamblers on this forum know to avoid) and don't list Bitcoinrush. They're also not fully real time so you still have to check manually too. I actually closed off my other accounts on other bookies now and practically have everything on BCR.

I'll take a look at rebelbetting... but I don't want to instal any software. If it's something just on a website API might consider it. If it's any better than oddschecker, worth a look. But yeah, until they start adding Bitcoin bookies, pretty pointless IMO, at least for the needs of Bitcoin gamblers. One of main reasons we're using Bitcoin is because most, if not all, fiat bookies wouldn't take our countries (oh, and privacy too, of course).

[buwaytress]

Another damn goal to destroy the parlay, the lucky Arsenal win was all for nought. Wolves did attack, total of 15 shots taken either side, and just the 2 goals to show for it. Good win for Huddersfield to bring Fulham back down to rock bottom for all their efforts on a precious home victory.

Newcastle is looking good and I'd take a risk on them but at only 2.6x, I don't feel it's good value given Benitez's propensity to go for draws away.

So we do a Serie A and La Liga parlay:

Game 1: Cagliari vs Torino. Torino WIN @2.47. Nitro odds: 2.446
Game 2: Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo. Sociedad WIN @2.0. Nitro odds: 1.988
100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.94. Nitro parlay: 4.836

Odds advantage: 2.15%
Units advantage: 10.4 units

Running units advantage after 95 bets: +1,156.04 (+10.4 units)

Running units after 94 bets (27W|66L): +833.39 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Looks like I should have stuck to predictions in the Premier League after all, Newscastle getting 9 points in the last 3 games, they're finally stringing together results like they were last season in the Championship.

Champions League tonight. So much to choose from, so I'll go for a few of the favourites to pad up Real Madrid who must surely win even though they're facing a tough Roma at home. And of course, there has to be 1 upset, why not go for Lyon to repeat their feat against City? In fact, why not bet on misery for both Manchester teams?

Game 1: Roma vs Real Madrid. Real WIN @2.07. Nitro odds: 2.057
Game 2: AEK Athens vs Ajax. Ajax WIN -0.75 @1.88. Nitro odds: N/A assume push
Game 3: Juventus vs Valencia. Juventus WIN @1.4. Nitro odds: 1.386
Game 4: CSKA Moscow vs Viktoria Plzen. Moscow WIN -0.75 @1.96. Nitro odds: N/A assume push

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @10.6348. Nitro parlay: 10.505

Odds advantage: 1.24%
Units advantage: 12.98 units

Underdog picks of the day:
Lyon vs Man City. 100 units on Lyon WIN @7.64. Nitro odds: 7.549
Odds advantage: 1.21%
Units advantage: 10.1 units

Young Boys vs Man Utd. 100 units on Young Boys WIN @12.16. Nitro odds: 12.065
Odds advantage: 0.79%
Units advantage: 9.5 units

Running units advantage after 98 bets: +1,188.62 (+32.58 units)

Running units after 95 bets (27W|67L): +733.39 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Ah, what a way to go out of our parlay, the weakest team in the 4 legs won away from home in frigid Moscow. That's how it is! Lyon also went ahead twice but Aguero broke my heart to equalist in last minutes. And Young Boys, they should have had a point, not that it'd have made a difference.

Tonight is Liverpool, who must beat PSG to qualify. PSG are on the ropes though, so will be fighting teeth and nail to get the win. So I guess we can count on an open game! I'll pad it up with a Barca win

Game 1 PSG vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @3.36. Nitro odds: 3.339
Game 2 Barcelona vs PSV Eindhoven. Barca WIN @1.44. Nitro odds: 1.434
100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.8533. Nitro parlay: 4.788

Odds advantage: 1.36%
Units advantage: 6.53 units

Underdog single pick: AS Monaco vs Athletico Madrid. 100 units at Bitcoinrush on Monaco to WIN @17.45. Nitro odds:17.324

Odds advantage: 0.73%
Units advantage: 12.6 units

Running units advantage after 100 bets: +1,207.75 (+19.13 units)

Running units after 98 bets (27W|70L): +433.39 (-300 units)

[buwaytress]

Lost the parlay and the sucker bet. I really don't know if Liverpool can ever find their away leg form in Europe, but let's hope the Anfield Cauldron takes them past the group stage. That's still 2 weeks away so we'll cross that bridge when we get there.

Incredible number of games at Europa, we'll pick 2 juicy ones for goals and pad with a favourite to win yet again (Arsenal!):

Game 1: Rangers vs Villareal: Over 2.5 @1.68. Nitro: 1.670
Game 2: Astana vs Dinamo Kiev. Over 2  @1.93. Nitro: 1.918
Game 3: Arsenal vs Vorska Poltava. Arsenal WIN @1.78. Nitro: 1.764

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush for 5.7865. Nitro parlay: 5.65

Odds advantage: 2.42%
Units advantage: 13.65 units

Running advantage after 101 bets: +1,221.4 (+13.65 units)

Running units after 100 bets (27W|72L): +233.39 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

Poor night in Europa, very few teams scored over 2 goals so even the ones I was considering didn't, although the we did have buckets of them in three games. I'm two losses away from recording a negative sheet from a really bad run of only 1 win in 10 days or so. That's the nature of it all!

I'll pick the FA Cup, where Blackpool's given pretty nice odds considering their opponent's from Conference leagues, and parlay that against a riskier Russian league game, favouring Rubin Kazan to get a tight home victory against their Moscovite opposition.

Game 1: Solihull Moors vs Blackpool. Blackpool WIN @1.93. Nitro odds: 1.913
Game 2: Rubin Kazan vs Dinamo Moscow. Kazan WIN @2.12. Nitro odds: 2

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush for 4.083. Nitro parlay: 3.826

Odds advantage: 6.72%
Units advantage: 25.7 units

Running advantage after 102 bets: +1,247.1 (+25.7 units)

Running units after 101 bets (27W|73L): +133.39 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Both legs of the parlay drew, didn't foresee their opponents just having backs to walls and getting away with it. But we look to the premier leagues of Europe tonight for some salvation as we stand 1 bet away from an overall loss.

We'll go for convincing wins from the Old Lady in Turin, parlayed against Real in Madrid (yes I know, they are far from their best but this makes for good odds) and round it up with a Newcastle 4th win on the trot.

Game 1 Fiorentina vs Juventus. Juve WIN @1.67. Nitro odds: 1.656
Game 2 Real Madrid vs Valencia. Real WIN @1.57. Nitro odds: 1.564
Game 3 Newcastle Utd vs West Ham Utd. Newcastle WIN @2.51. Nitro odds: 2.496

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.5875. Nitro parlay: 6.465

Odds advantage: 1.89%
Units advantage: 12.25 units

Running advantage after 102 bets: +1,259.35 (+12.25 units)

Running units after 101 bets (27W|74L): +33.39 (-100 units)

[DarkStar_]

Hey, I have some other sportsbook suggestions for you to get better odds:

Fairlay is a sports betting exchange. Might be a little bit more complicated but they offer better/equal odds to BitcoinRush the majority of the time, even after commission (0.25% if you win). They don't allow parlays though, but you can certainly get better value from your single bets.

Betcoin's sportsbook now has really good margin for Soccer now. You can find better/equal odds at least a third of the time for ML bets. Margin for Totals/Handicaps is still pretty bad. Trust might be an issue for you but they've been running quite well after new management (from what I've seen).

[buwaytress]

Hey, I have some other sportsbook suggestions for you to get better odds:

Fairlay is a sports betting exchange. Might be a little bit more complicated but they offer better/equal odds to BitcoinRush the majority of the time, even after commission (0.25% if you win). They don't allow parlays though, but you can certainly get better value from your single bets.

Betcoin's sportsbook now has really good margin for Soccer now. You can find better/equal odds at least a third of the time for ML bets. Margin for Totals/Handicaps is still pretty bad. Trust might be an issue for you but they've been running quite well after new management (from what I've seen).

Hey DS, thanks for dropping by, always appreciate the pointers from fellow bettors. I'm actually also really trying hard to find something better (aren't we all?). Your last recommendation was really good for major leagues in Europe but they've now dropped their sportsbook indefinitely so there's a gap to be filled.

I HAVE looked at Fairlay in the past and even 1hash (I believe quite similar style of market making/taking), but they weren't very good for selections, perhaps time to check them out again now whenever I back the underdog in Singles.

Betcoin yes. The trust issue very difficult to ignore, but fair enough to give them a chance.

I'll look into them the next week or so, it would add variety for sure!

[buwaytress]

And so today after just over 100 bets, bankroll goes into negative. Real and Juve won, but not Newcastle. But since this was never really a tipster thread and a record of how betting regularly at bookies with better odds/lower margins is a good strategy for maximising profits (or mitigating losses haha), we continue and hope to get back into the black.

Tonight of course we back Liverpool, there's no point in winning a parlay if my beloved team lose.

Game 1 Liverpool vs Everton. Liverpool WIN @1.44. Nitro: 1.433
Game 2 Chelsea vs Fulham. Corners over 10.5 @2.01. Nitro: 2.003
Game 3 Alaves vs Sevilla. Sevilla WIN @2.05. Nitro: 2.038

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.9437. Nitro parlay: 5.85

Odds advantage: 1.60%
Units advantage: 9.37 units

Running advantage after 103 bets: +1,268.72 (+9.37 units)

Running units after 102 bets (27W|75L): -66.61 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Doom and gloom, as it turns out, but for Liverpool to win the Merseyside derby the way they did, I'd have given up yesterday's parlay any time of day. Some wins are just everything and we'll remember this one for a long time.

Monday night football's not going to get me to go on telly, but here is today's parlay on 2 away wins at Serie A and Bundesliga:

Game 1: Atalanta vs Napoli: Napoli WIN @2.2. Nitro odds: 2.187
Game 2: Nurnberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Leverkusen WIN @1.78. Nitro odds: 1.764
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.9054 Nitro parlay: 3.858

Odds advantage: 1.23%
Units advantage: 4.74 units

Running advantage after 104 bets: +1,273.46 (+4.74 units)

Running units after 103 bets (27W|76L): -166.61 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Leverkusen tried and tried very hard but to no avail. Have I been caught out by the winter period where teams run out of energy or are conserving them? So many parlays lost by a goal or a failure to win by favourites. Nonetheless, we keep our spirits high because there's still 2/3rd of the season to go.

Premier League is back tonight and we'll go for two home games to keep it simple!

Game 1: AFC Bournemouth vs Huddersfield. Bournemouth WIN @1.67. Nitro: 1.661
Game 2: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace. Brighton WIN @2.99 Nitro: 2.973

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.9967 Nitro parlay:4.938
Odds advantage: 1.1%
Units advantage: 5.83

Running advantage after 105 bets: +1,279.29 (+5.83 units)

Running units after 104 bets (27W|77L): -266.61 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Excellent night out, home teams all played really well last night, even Watford despite their fighting loss to Manchester City. Very happy we got the Brighton win, even though they were the slight underdog, they raced into a 3-0 lead that Crystal Palace were never going to go level with.

We switch over to the away teams tonight!

Liverpool once more features tonight, and we parlay that against a goalfest at Old Trafford (poor odds on either winners so why not bank on Emery's boys to fire away?) and the Leicester away win?

Game 1: Burnely vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.3. Nitro: 1.286
Game 2: Man Utd vs Arsenal. Over 2.5 goals @1.63. Nitro: 1.619
Game 3: Fulham vs Leicester. Leicester WIN @.2.56. Nitro: 2.545

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.417. Nitro parlay: 5.299

Odds advantage: 2.23%
Units advantage: 11.8

Running advantage after 106 bets: +1,291.09 (+11.8units)

Running units after 105 bets (28W|77L): +133.06 (+399.67 units)

[buwaytress]

I'm a fan of happy endings, and I was inside rooting for a Fulham result against the club he took to immortality, but Leicester had to win this... and didn't. RIP parlay and our bankroll is back down almost to even balance.

A few exotic games tonight, but let's look at Copa del Ray and Coppa Italia for some hunting.

Game 1. Genoa vs Virtus Entella. Over 2.5 goals @1.81. Nitro: 1.798
Game 2. Eibar vs Sporting Gijon. Eibar WIN @1.51. Nitro: 1.498
Game 3. Real Betis vs Racing Santander. Betis WIN @1.41. Nitro: 1.4
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.9605. Nitro parlay: 3.7707

Odds advantage: 5.03%
Units advantage: 18.98

Running advantage after 107 bets: +1,310.07 (+18.98 units)

Running units after 106 bets (28W|78L): +33.06 (-100 units)