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Author Topic: ⚽UEFA EURO 2020 Discussion Thread | Winner: ITALY!  (Read 31359 times)
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October 15, 2019, 01:01:02 PM
 #701


It is still unbelievable France failed to score even twice against Turkey's defense. But after losing more bets i'll try the safest ones  this time in a parlay, ML on Israel and Georgia while Italy vs Liechtenstein at over 2.5.

I like Switzerland at home against Ireland but i'll try not to be tempted.   

Once again I wonder why you would prefer over 2.5 for Liechtenstein vs. Italy @ 1.21 instead of (HC 2:0) and Italy to win @ 1.36 (odds taken from Sportsbet.io)

Do you expect Liechtenstein to score? I´d say 0:3 is more probable than 1:2 so I would take the better odds for the "bit more risky" handicap over the totals - just an idea Wink

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October 15, 2019, 01:15:11 PM
 #702

I did not bet for a while, but I'm kind of tempted to try and go for a Sweden win today.
Spain is dominating the group but their performances away from home were all a bit underperforming, Sweden is a decent team and it has Romania away next so they need to play well today.
Spain has it easy until the end, 2 games at home, they are practically qualified already. It might be a losing one, sure, but the odds are decent enough to try.

Spain's best goalscorer in this qualifiers is Sergio Ramos, they are really not at the free-flowing level you expect Spain to be at. Odds are @ 4.00.

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October 15, 2019, 01:17:44 PM
Last edit: October 15, 2019, 02:13:00 PM by tomahawk9
 #703

My picks for tomorrow's games: Ireland / Spain / Bosnia - all ML at almost 30 odds. Last bet during this international break, go big or go home (;

What a parlay selection this is, And you've got some guts.
I haven't won a single bet in this international break (i think that Wolves ML bet at 20 odds vs City drained all of my luck completely lol), so why play it safe in the last day? Let's be greedy  Cheesy

But we have the same mind on Ireland, I didn't go as big as you though, only an Ireland and Spain parlay at 14/1. I generally think the Swiss are good, and they HAVE to win this but the Irish will want to ensure they get this 3 point in case they lose to Denmark.
Nice! Best of luck, man. I added Bosnia mainly because a win for them means 2nd place and a lot of pressure to Armenia and Finland in the next international break, and also because of the boost in odds Cheesy

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October 15, 2019, 01:19:38 PM
 #704

Yeah, seems it was protest against football federation:
http://www.ultras-tifo.net/photo-news/6037-bulgaria-england-14-10-2019.html
But I hope these "fans" will be identified and will get lifetime ban to visit stadium - it's probably best method to fight against racism.

They should be identified and then banned from every match and their picture must be posted on every available media to show that he's a racist. That's probably the only way to stop people from doing stupid things and hurt others in a football pitch.
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October 15, 2019, 01:31:58 PM
 #705

Another day, another European Qualifiers parlay. These are my picks for today:

France vs Turkey 1
France will probably give Turkey a good lesson on Stade de France. The roasters will surely go for the revenge after the tour match when they've lost with a shaming 2-0. Although both teams are theoretically already qualified it will probably be a "pride" fight.

Moldova vs Albania X2
Moldova has no chance to catch any of the first 2 places and Albania is at 3X their points so they're only playing for their reputation while Albania has to work and give their souls on the pitch today to have a chance at catching Iceland. I'm playing it safe by going with a X2 as I know these two teams don't have powerful attack players and they're mostly playing in defense.

Got 1 out of 2 bets right yesterday. Perhaps I should have been more aggressive on Albania's win as they smashed Moldova with a whopping 4-0. I don't know what happened with France though. They have all those star players, but again they couldn't get a victory against Turkey + they've had home terrain advatange.

Today I'm thinking of a riskier play that Bosnia & Hertegovina will beat Greece in depart. Greece is standing quite bad in the group ranking and Bosnia could really use 3 points to advance to the qualifier spot. I expect a hard match though as greeks are renown for their fighting spirit. Probably I'll go for a solist on Bosnia today as it has pretty high odds - over 2.30 on my sportsmaker & the other matches don't really "wink" to me.
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October 15, 2019, 01:35:27 PM
 #706

Greece - Bosnia & Herzegovina

This is the last chance for BIH to try to reach the 2nd place in the table, the next match is against Italy (they are on the top, and secured the next stage of the tournament) and the last is against Liechtenstein, and there should be no problems with the last match
So, this is the most important step for BIH on the road to the EURO2020

BIH to win is trending @2.41

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October 15, 2019, 01:50:55 PM
 #707

Yeah, seems it was protest against football federation:
http://www.ultras-tifo.net/photo-news/6037-bulgaria-england-14-10-2019.html
But I hope these "fans" will be identified and will get lifetime ban to visit stadium - it's probably best method to fight against racism.

They should be identified and then banned from every match and their picture must be posted on every available media to show that he's a racist. That's probably the only way to stop people from doing stupid things and hurt others in a football pitch.
some people who acted racist in the match made the name of supporters of Bulgaria to be ugly in the eyes of the world. but I'm sure not all Bulgarian supporters are like that. those are just a few people who don't know the meaning of a football match. EUFA must act decisively on this matter so that it does not happen again in the next match
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October 15, 2019, 02:24:28 PM
 #708


It is still unbelievable France failed to score even twice against Turkey's defense. But after losing more bets i'll try the safest ones  this time in a parlay, ML on Israel and Georgia while Italy vs Liechtenstein at over 2.5.

I like Switzerland at home against Ireland but i'll try not to be tempted.   

Once again I wonder why you would prefer over 2.5 for Liechtenstein vs. Italy @ 1.21 instead of (HC 2:0) and Italy to win @ 1.36 (odds taken from Sportsbet.io)

Do you expect Liechtenstein to score? I´d say 0:3 is more probable than 1:2 so I would take the better odds for the "bit more risky" handicap over the totals - just an idea Wink

No, I don't think Liechtenstein can score or maybe one. Italy should be able to score in this game maybe 3 or 4 (worst case scenario 2).

Italy to win @ 1.36? Italy ML is only 1.01-1.04 in most books right?

I am mostly betting only under/over and ML in soccer.

 

 
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October 15, 2019, 02:27:48 PM
 #709


It is still unbelievable France failed to score even twice against Turkey's defense. But after losing more bets i'll try the safest ones  this time in a parlay, ML on Israel and Georgia while Italy vs Liechtenstein at over 2.5.

I like Switzerland at home against Ireland but i'll try not to be tempted.   

Once again I wonder why you would prefer over 2.5 for Liechtenstein vs. Italy @ 1.21 instead of (HC 2:0) and Italy to win @ 1.36 (odds taken from Sportsbet.io)

Do you expect Liechtenstein to score? I´d say 0:3 is more probable than 1:2 so I would take the better odds for the "bit more risky" handicap over the totals - just an idea Wink

No, I don't think Liechtenstein can score or maybe one. Italy should be able to score in this game maybe 3 or 4 (worst case scenario 2).

Italy to win @ 1.36? Italy ML is only 1.01-1.04 in most books right?

I am mostly betting only under/over and ML in soccer.

 

Italy will play this one with the 3rd squad, it can be that Liechtenstein scores one, why not? Prestige for them

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October 15, 2019, 02:33:31 PM
 #710

No, I don't think Liechtenstein can score or maybe one. Italy should be able to score in this game maybe 3 or 4 (worst case scenario 2).
I am not expecting Liechtenstein to score any goals either but i am going with over 2.5 goals in the match as i am expecting Italy to score a few goals and Italy to win both half will be a good bet.

Another match i am looking forward is Israel v Latvia, even though Israel is not in good form i am expecting a few goals in this match and i going with Israel to win the match considering their last match up and another interesting game is Sweden v Spain and i am going with Spain to win the match unless there is some surprising goals from Sweden.
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October 15, 2019, 03:17:12 PM
 #711

No, I don't think Liechtenstein can score or maybe one. Italy should be able to score in this game maybe 3 or 4 (worst case scenario 2).
I am not expecting Liechtenstein to score any goals either but i am going with over 2.5 goals in the match as i am expecting Italy to score a few goals and Italy to win both half will be a good bet.

Another match i am looking forward is Israel v Latvia, even though Israel is not in good form i am expecting a few goals in this match and i going with Israel to win the match considering their last match up and another interesting game is Sweden v Spain and i am going with Spain to win the match unless there is some surprising goals from Sweden.

Did you guys check the "Team X to score over 1.5 goals/2.5 goals"- option for cases like these (and if offered by the bookie of your choice), when you expect only one of the both teams to help the total-goals to come?

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October 15, 2019, 03:45:39 PM
 #712

Greece - Bosnia & Herzegovina

This is the last chance for BIH to try to reach the 2nd place in the table, the next match is against Italy (they are on the top, and secured the next stage of the tournament) and the last is against Liechtenstein, and there should be no problems with the last match
So, this is the most important step for BIH on the road to the EURO2020

BIH to win is trending @2.41
BIH has awful statistics in playing away matches and this one won`t be an exception. I think home team is very hungry for victories especially for the local fans. Greece won only one match this year.
So i prefer to take 1X on Greece and Both teams to score.
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October 15, 2019, 04:05:57 PM
 #713

No, I don't think Liechtenstein can score or maybe one. Italy should be able to score in this game maybe 3 or 4 (worst case scenario 2).
I am not expecting Liechtenstein to score any goals either but i am going with over 2.5 goals in the match as i am expecting Italy to score a few goals and Italy to win both half will be a good bet.

Another match i am looking forward is Israel v Latvia, even though Israel is not in good form i am expecting a few goals in this match and i going with Israel to win the match considering their last match up and another interesting game is Sweden v Spain and i am going with Spain to win the match unless there is some surprising goals from Sweden.

Did you guys check the "Team X to score over 1.5 goals/2.5 goals"- option for cases like these (and if offered by the bookie of your choice), when you expect only one of the both teams to help the total-goals to come?
Did you mean betting on the total goals in one team? I prefer to bet the total goals of the two teams because it's easier to predict. but if you want to try making a total goal bet from one of the teams it's okay. on Sportsbetio there is such a bet
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October 15, 2019, 04:18:38 PM
 #714

I realy hope that the German Team is playing the next time when they have a Qualifying Match that they have there regular Players again.
There was a lot of young players in the last match that only got there second game in the National team and some good players was missing.
Hope that Sane will come back soon but this will takes some time .

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October 15, 2019, 04:19:44 PM
 #715

No, I don't think Liechtenstein can score or maybe one. Italy should be able to score in this game maybe 3 or 4 (worst case scenario 2).
I am not expecting Liechtenstein to score any goals either but i am going with over 2.5 goals in the match as i am expecting Italy to score a few goals and Italy to win both half will be a good bet.

Another match i am looking forward is Israel v Latvia, even though Israel is not in good form i am expecting a few goals in this match and i going with Israel to win the match considering their last match up and another interesting game is Sweden v Spain and i am going with Spain to win the match unless there is some surprising goals from Sweden.

Did you guys check the "Team X to score over 1.5 goals/2.5 goals"- option for cases like these (and if offered by the bookie of your choice), when you expect only one of the both teams to help the total-goals to come?
Did you mean betting on the total goals in one team? I prefer to bet the total goals of the two teams because it's easier to predict. but if you want to try making a total goal bet from one of the teams it's okay. on Sportsbetio there is such a bet

Not sure if I managed to express my idea to the reader(s) good enough.

If you f.e. have a match like Liechtenstein - Italy where you expect a result like 0:3, 0:4 or 0:5 rather than 1:2, 1:3, 1:1 etc. than it would make more sense (better odds) to pick "Italy team-goals over 2.5" rather than "total goals in the match over 2.5" since you don´t expect Liechtenstein to score.

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October 15, 2019, 04:33:53 PM
 #716

Greece - Bosnia & Herzegovina

This is the last chance for BIH to try to reach the 2nd place in the table, the next match is against Italy (they are on the top, and secured the next stage of the tournament) and the last is against Liechtenstein, and there should be no problems with the last match
So, this is the most important step for BIH on the road to the EURO2020

BIH to win is trending @2.41

Bosnia is going to try its best for sure but Greeks have a high morale as they have a new coach.
They have a good pace in the game vs Italy and now they seem determined to "cut" points from Bosnia. I think this match is going to be a draw.
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October 15, 2019, 04:52:54 PM
 #717

Greece - Bosnia & Herzegovina

This is the last chance for BIH to try to reach the 2nd place in the table, the next match is against Italy (they are on the top, and secured the next stage of the tournament) and the last is against Liechtenstein, and there should be no problems with the last match
So, this is the most important step for BIH on the road to the EURO2020

BIH to win is trending @2.41
BIH has awful statistics in playing away matches and this one won`t be an exception. I think home team is very hungry for victories especially for the local fans. Greece won only one match this year.
So i prefer to take 1X on Greece and Both teams to score.


Bosnia has a big handicap to play without a major player Djeko, according to what the media reported.
Bosnia is very limited team, with only 2 extraordinary players, Djeko and Pjanic.
So, if both of them can't play, their chances are very small, specially in playing away, so I think Greece will win this match.

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October 15, 2019, 04:56:06 PM
 #718


It is still unbelievable France failed to score even twice against Turkey's defense. But after losing more bets i'll try the safest ones  this time in a parlay, ML on Israel and Georgia while Italy vs Liechtenstein at over 2.5.

I like Switzerland at home against Ireland but i'll try not to be tempted.   

Once again I wonder why you would prefer over 2.5 for Liechtenstein vs. Italy @ 1.21 instead of (HC 2:0) and Italy to win @ 1.36 (odds taken from Sportsbet.io)

Do you expect Liechtenstein to score? I´d say 0:3 is more probable than 1:2 so I would take the better odds for the "bit more risky" handicap over the totals - just an idea Wink

No, I don't think Liechtenstein can score or maybe one. Italy should be able to score in this game maybe 3 or 4 (worst case scenario 2).

Italy to win @ 1.36? Italy ML is only 1.01-1.04 in most books right?

I am mostly betting only under/over and ML in soccer.

 

Italy will play this one with the 3rd squad, it can be that Liechtenstein scores one, why not? Prestige for them


I agree, Liechtenstein can score one goal. Italy will play mostly with the youngest and reserves.

Still, the best option for me is Italy Over 3.5 at 1.5 with 80%

and

Both Teams To Score at 3.25 with 20%

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October 15, 2019, 05:14:02 PM
 #719

I will give a shot (smallest possible stake) on tempting @ 4.00 for a draw between Switzerland and Ireland.

And in Israel - Latvia I go for Israel Team Goals over 2.5 @ 1.77 Israel -2.0 @1.72

Good luck everybody.

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October 15, 2019, 06:03:44 PM
 #720

No, I don't think Liechtenstein can score or maybe one. Italy should be able to score in this game maybe 3 or 4 (worst case scenario 2).

Italy to win @ 1.36? Italy ML is only 1.01-1.04 in most books right?

I am mostly betting only under/over and ML in soccer.

 

Italy will play this one with the 3rd squad, it can be that Liechtenstein scores one, why not? Prestige for them

Italy has decided to field a slightly weaker squad, but then I doubt there will be any problem winning the comfortably, Although betting on whether Liechtenstein will be able to score a goal or not is a trcky bet, because getting goal could happen witb the slightest mistake and with playing with not so experienced team, a goal for Liechtenstein could likely happen, IMHO.

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