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Question: 2024/2025 La Liga Champion will be
Barcelona - 14 (33.3%)
Real Madrid - 25 (59.5%)
Atletico Madrid - 0 (0%)
Sevilla - 0 (0%)
Valencia - 0 (0%)
Villareal - 1 (2.4%)
Real Sociedad - 2 (4.8%)
Other - 0 (0%)
Total Voters: 42

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Author Topic: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2024/25  (Read 493149 times)
HajiBagi
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February 27, 2024, 06:58:48 AM
 #69701

I thought Real Madrid would win easier than this despite not having Bellingham because of an injury. However the winning goal came quite late in the game and it was thanks to Modric's really nice finesse shot.  Smiley
Real Madrid have a lot of injuries but Despite this, they are just dominate the match but Real Madrid was unlucky to get the chance to score. Real Madrid attempted 16 shots and only six were on target all of them good chances missed by Vinices Jr and Rodrigo. But anyway the old guy Luka Modric just took the chance and put the ball in the net. It's just crazy that he is 38 years old and still he plays like a young players something like a real heroes. The match was pretty interesting Real Madrid have won it and get the top of the La Liga with 8 points behind the other clubs. So there is 70% chances has been now that Real Madrid will be the champions of La Liga this season if real Madrid have hold up the points gap between Barcelona and Girona.

Real Madrid is always the Real Madrid we have known for a long time, and that is still the energy that the team possesses to this day. I predicted before the match against Sevilla that it would be extremely difficult for Real Madrid to score goals, and that is precisely what happened; they struggled to score in the first half of the game and only managed to do so after 88 minutes. Sevilla, and particularly Ramos, really meant the match because he hindered Vinicius' ability to play.

Ancelotti's substitution helped Real Madrid win the game. Originally, he was going to start with Adrián Guler, but he changed his mind and decided to start with Luka Modric because he was watching the game closely and thought that Modric's style would be the only way to weaken Sevilla. When Modric entered the game, Sevilla thought he couldn't possibly win the game, and Modric proved to them that he was still the best midfield player of all time.

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February 27, 2024, 08:02:36 AM
 #69702

Since the first half I have no doubts that Girona can win this match, even though the first half was goalless, the attacks made by Girona were strong enough so that the results of their efforts only came in the second half and 2 goals at the end of the match.
Girona's 3-0 victory was quite worthy of them because in terms of quality the Girona team was indeed much stronger than Rayo Vallecano and also Girona, who played at home, definitely had much greater motivation.

However, to be able to catch Real Madrid at the top of the standings, I think it is no longer possible for Girona, maybe now Girona just needs to maintain their position and that would be much better if they could.
In the first half, Girona really had difficulty finding gaps to penetrate Rayo's back line, so it was not easy for Girona's attackers to score against Rayo, because Rayo's defense looked so strong. However, Girona does not want to waste this opportunity, because in this match Girona is the host and this is a big advantage for Girona. Therefore, Girona tried hard to play aggressively in attacking and put continuous pressure on Rayo's goal, in the end Girona was able to score a goal and win this match. You are absolutely right about this, in terms of game Girona and Rayo do look very different, because Girona players have very good quality skills compared to Rayo and their position in the standings looks very different.

It is true that if you look at the difference in points between Girona and Real Madrid in the standings, it looks very far apart and it is impossible to catch Real Madrid in terms of points. However, if Girona can maintain its performance in the next match and maintain its consistency until the end, I am sure it can catch Real Madrid's points, because Real Madrid's performance is currently slightly declining, as seen when Real Madrid faced Sevilla yesterday.

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February 27, 2024, 08:26:22 AM
 #69703

In the match against Sevilla, Real Madrid dominated ball possession in both the first and second half. Don Carlo's team had 16 total shots, 6 on target, but they only had 1 big chance. in the match against Sevilla, Madrid had a little difficulty scoring goals even though the match was played at the Santiago Bernabeu. with several players injured, Don Carlo tried to do his best for his team. the absence of several players, plus players who were banned from playing, made Real Madrid a little problematic. specifically, Bellingham's absence. in the end, Carlo Anceloti changed his system and pattern to the usual 4-3-3. Luckily, Luca Modric was able to score a goal in the 81st minute. in the end, Real Madrid was able to win the match.

Next week, Real Madrid will visit Valencia's home ground. In this match, several players were still absent due to injury.  Bellingham, Militao, Joselo. will not strengthen in this week's match. what's interesting is how Madrid will fare in their away match. even though on paper Madrid is still the favorite, it doesn't seem like it will be easy to overthrow the home team. well, let's just wait, maybe there will be a surprise in this match.
Now we have important part of the season and things are going problematic for the Real Madrid specially injury of the Jude Bellingham and Joselu is going to be serious for them because they have important matches in coming weeks which need full strength Real Madrid for the better results and if they fail to bring strength then surely they can face trouble Valencia is unpredictable team which can make things tough for them in this game but good thing they have good difference from their opponents and after this RB Leipzig is which is also having good performance, and they will try to cut this deficit of one goal hopefully Real Madrid will be having good performance and their veteran Luka Modrić will be done his job as he has done against Sevilla but still injuries are going to have serious trouble with few players are also out due to cards hopefully they will be available for their best performance and keeping all things at the top.

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February 27, 2024, 08:27:01 AM
 #69704

Mathematically, Girona still have the potential to top the table. But practically I would say that Girona won't be able to occupy the top spot of the table again this season.

We know the Real Madrid team. This team is very experienced. And now the team is 6 points ahead of Girona. Real Madrid has more BC schedule in the future. A 2/1 draw is unlikely for this team to lose more than 6 points. Moreover, it is also not guaranteed that Girona will be able to win all of their next 12 matches. So I would say Real Madrid is the unheralded champion of La Liga this year. Madrid are sure to win the title unless there is an accident.
It is possible to reduce the 6-point gap in 12 rounds, but in this case everything will depend on Real, everything is in their hands, if they do not lose points, then no matter how hard Girona tries, they will not be able to do anything. Yesterday was also not a very easy match, they scored at the beginning of the second half, and the match was very tense until the end, until Rayo received a red card, after which the game changed and Savio scored twice.

 
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February 27, 2024, 08:39:06 AM
 #69705

Mathematically, Girona still have the potential to top the table. But practically I would say that Girona won't be able to occupy the top spot of the table again this season.

We know the Real Madrid team. This team is very experienced. And now the team is 6 points ahead of Girona. Real Madrid has more BC schedule in the future. A 2/1 draw is unlikely for this team to lose more than 6 points. Moreover, it is also not guaranteed that Girona will be able to win all of their next 12 matches. So I would say Real Madrid is the unheralded champion of La Liga this year. Madrid are sure to win the title unless there is an accident.
Real Madrid were nearly to lose two points but Luka Modric was sent in the 75th minute and 6 minutes later, he scored a beautiful winning goal for them. That takes away a chance to reduce two points in difference for Girona and it helps Real Madrid to secure their first position, count down one more match day until a day to lift La Liga trophy.

It is possible to reduce the 6-point gap in 12 rounds, but in this case everything will depend on Real, everything is in their hands, if they do not lose points, then no matter how hard Girona tries, they will not be able to do anything. Yesterday was also not a very easy match, they scored at the beginning of the second half, and the match was very tense until the end, until Rayo received a red card, after which the game changed and Savio scored twice.
It only partially depends on Real Madrid as Girona must get a first condition, Real Madrid lose points, 6 points means 2 defeats or 3 draws. Another condition depends on Girona that they must win their matches and with their latest performances, it looks to be a difficult task for Girona too.

Girona already have an amazing season so far and they will have to not only think of a first position, but also must keep their eyes on the temporary second position. They must secure it against challenges from clubs at the third and fourth positions. No guarantee that Girona will succeed to maintain their second position until the season ending. If they can maintain it and finish this season as a runner-up, it is a massive achievement and record in their club history.

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February 27, 2024, 08:50:18 AM
 #69706

It is possible to reduce the 6-point gap in 12 rounds, but in this case everything will depend on Real, everything is in their hands, if they do not lose points, then no matter how hard Girona tries, they will not be able to do anything. Yesterday was also not a very easy match, they scored at the beginning of the second half, and the match was very tense until the end, until Rayo received a red card, after which the game changed and Savio scored twice.
Real Madrid is rarely to finish a season with one defeats, if you check on the history, they gets defeated at least 3 matches, so there's a chance they will lose or draw in the future especially they have a busy schedule.

But Girona isn't a consistent recently, so it's quite hard to see Real Madrid won't perform and Girona would perform.

 
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February 27, 2024, 09:16:55 AM
 #69707

Since the first half I have no doubts that Girona can win this match, even though the first half was goalless, the attacks made by Girona were strong enough so that the results of their efforts only came in the second half and 2 goals at the end of the match.
Girona's 3-0 victory was quite worthy of them because in terms of quality the Girona team was indeed much stronger than Rayo Vallecano and also Girona, who played at home, definitely had much greater motivation.

However, to be able to catch Real Madrid at the top of the standings, I think it is no longer possible for Girona, maybe now Girona just needs to maintain their position and that would be much better if they could.
In the first half, Girona really had difficulty finding gaps to penetrate Rayo's back line, so it was not easy for Girona's attackers to score against Rayo, because Rayo's defense looked so strong. However, Girona does not want to waste this opportunity, because in this match Girona is the host and this is a big advantage for Girona. Therefore, Girona tried hard to play aggressively in attacking and put continuous pressure on Rayo's goal, in the end Girona was able to score a goal and win this match. You are absolutely right about this, in terms of game Girona and Rayo do look very different, because Girona players have very good quality skills compared to Rayo and their position in the standings looks very different.

It is true that if you look at the difference in points between Girona and Real Madrid in the standings, it looks very far apart and it is impossible to catch Real Madrid in terms of points. However, if Girona can maintain its performance in the next match and maintain its consistency until the end, I am sure it can catch Real Madrid's points, because Real Madrid's performance is currently slightly declining, as seen when Real Madrid faced Sevilla yesterday.
Yes, Girona's game was a bit haphazard in the first halftime game, so they couldn't create any advantage in the first halftime game. After watching the first halftime I thought this match might end in a draw. But in the second half, Girona took control of the game and turned things around with a goal in the 52nd minute. In this match, Girona scored three goals against Rayo and moved back to second place in the La Liga points table. But as you said, Real Madrid's power has gone down a bit. I don't agree to this at all. Real Madrid, however, could not get a big win against Sevilla in yesterday's match. However, I think Real Madrid will dominate the title race this season. However, if Sevilla could somehow draw the match in yesterday's match, then maybe Girona could have some advantage.

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February 27, 2024, 09:20:55 AM
 #69708

Girona played better than Rayo Vallecano at home yesterday and deserves to win. With the 3-0 win against Rayo Vallecano in the league, Girona are back to their winning ways. Girona has overtaken Barcelona to remain in the second position in the La Liga table.
Girona has taking back there second position Barcelona took from them because to an extent I was thinking that Girona will not be able to take back the second position after Barcelona had occupied it but there wining yesterday came on the right time for them because now they are not only leading the second position but also have two points over Barcelona, so the only way Barcelona will take back the second position is only if they can be able to win there upcoming match against Athletic Club and is obvious the the match will be very difficult to predict because Athletic Club is on there good form so if Barcelona failed to win them then Girona will be a bit settled on the second position.











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February 27, 2024, 09:24:57 AM
 #69709

Mathematically, Girona still have the potential to top the table. But practically I would say that Girona won't be able to occupy the top spot of the table again this season.

We know the Real Madrid team. This team is very experienced. And now the team is 6 points ahead of Girona. Real Madrid has more BC schedule in the future. A 2/1 draw is unlikely for this team to lose more than 6 points. Moreover, it is also not guaranteed that Girona will be able to win all of their next 12 matches. So I would say Real Madrid is the unheralded champion of La Liga this year. Madrid are sure to win the title unless there is an accident.
It is possible to reduce the 6-point gap in 12 rounds, but in this case everything will depend on Real, everything is in their hands, if they do not lose points, then no matter how hard Girona tries, they will not be able to do anything. Yesterday was also not a very easy match, they scored at the beginning of the second half, and the match was very tense until the end, until Rayo received a red card, after which the game changed and Savio scored twice.
It is certainly true that if Real Madrid do not drop points from the current time then no team will be able to occupy their position. Still with a gap of 6 points, Girona is in the 2nd position of the points table, surely we can say that the La Liga championship depends on them, only Real Madrid has this hand in the goal of winning this La Liga title. It's good for Girona that they got into the position with a great match win but no matter how hard they try they won't be able to catch Real Madrid's position as Madrid are more excited now. Of course, yesterday's game Girona did not succeed in attacking so much, if the opposition team did not receive a red card, then maybe to score, Girona is not improving their performance at the moment. However Real Madrid will not give up so easily this season they will surely play well and run for the title.

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February 27, 2024, 09:37:09 AM
 #69710

Mathematically, Girona still have the potential to top the table. But practically I would say that Girona won't be able to occupy the top spot of the table again this season.

We know the Real Madrid team. This team is very experienced. And now the team is 6 points ahead of Girona. Real Madrid has more BC schedule in the future. A 2/1 draw is unlikely for this team to lose more than 6 points. Moreover, it is also not guaranteed that Girona will be able to win all of their next 12 matches. So I would say Real Madrid is the unheralded champion of La Liga this year. Madrid are sure to win the title unless there is an accident.
It is possible to reduce the 6-point gap in 12 rounds, but in this case everything will depend on Real, everything is in their hands, if they do not lose points, then no matter how hard Girona tries, they will not be able to do anything. Yesterday was also not a very easy match, they scored at the beginning of the second half, and the match was very tense until the end, until Rayo received a red card, after which the game changed and Savio scored twice.

In order to make it happen, real madrid should lose 6 points which is the same as two matches. Considering there are 12 rounds remaining at this moment is still making everything very possible to happen. I don't expect real madrid to consistently winning the game till the end of season caused by everything is changing so fast.
Real madrid is still winning the game with narrow score and this is also proving that if real potentially lose some points in the upcoming fixtures.



Talking about the upcoming games and yeah real will have so many hard fixtures to come soon.

I think that the potential matches for real madrid to miss three points will be

vs Athletic club
vs Barcelonia
vs real sociedad
vs villareal
vs betis

So, the chance for barcelona to pass madrid will still there as long as real madrid will be performing so poorly in the upcoming games. Imgine that even if real madrid was not losing but it can still gets draw which was also giving barcelona's chance to reduce the gap.
Anything is still possible in the football. This totally depends on the club whether real madrid will still consistent till the end of seaosn.

I would like to call this the "battle of consistency".

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February 27, 2024, 09:41:01 AM
 #69711

Mathematically, Girona still have the potential to top the table. But practically I would say that Girona won't be able to occupy the top spot of the table again this season.

We know the Real Madrid team. This team is very experienced. And now the team is 6 points ahead of Girona. Real Madrid has more BC schedule in the future. A 2/1 draw is unlikely for this team to lose more than 6 points. Moreover, it is also not guaranteed that Girona will be able to win all of their next 12 matches. So I would say Real Madrid is the unheralded champion of La Liga this year. Madrid are sure to win the title unless there is an accident.
It is possible to reduce the 6-point gap in 12 rounds, but in this case everything will depend on Real, everything is in their hands, if they do not lose points, then no matter how hard Girona tries, they will not be able to do anything. Yesterday was also not a very easy match, they scored at the beginning of the second half, and the match was very tense until the end, until Rayo received a red card, after which the game changed and Savio scored twice.
It is certainly true that if Real Madrid do not drop points from the current time then no team will be able to occupy their position. Still with a gap of 6 points, Girona is in the 2nd position of the points table, surely we can say that the La Liga championship depends on them, only Real Madrid has this hand in the goal of winning this La Liga title. It's good for Girona that they got into the position with a great match win but no matter how hard they try they won't be able to catch Real Madrid's position as Madrid are more excited now. Of course, yesterday's game Girona did not succeed in attacking so much, if the opposition team did not receive a red card, then maybe to score, Girona is not improving their performance at the moment. However Real Madrid will not give up so easily this season they will surely play well and run for the title.

Girona for what it is has performed well than many other older and richer teams. Girona consists of most young players and the team has not spent much on any of those players unlike big teams like Real Madrid and Barcelona where a couple of players might have cost more than the total side of Girona. They have with a combination of coach, players and their playing strategies has made significant impact on La liga. They would be playing the champions league but would struggle to keep the team in shape as the players would have an increased value. It would be beneficial to the individual players but might be a loss for the team.

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February 27, 2024, 09:41:51 AM
 #69712

Girona has taking back there second position Barcelona took from them because to an extent I was thinking that Girona will not be able to take back the second position after Barcelona had occupied it but there wining yesterday came on the right time for them because now they are not only leading the second position but also have two points over Barcelona, so the only way Barcelona will take back the second position is only if they can be able to win there upcoming match against Athletic Club and is obvious the the match will be very difficult to predict because Athletic Club is on there good form so if Barcelona failed to win them then Girona will be a bit settled on the second position.

Girona has 3 easy games ahead - Mallorca, Osasuna, Getafe. I can assume that they will score 7-9 points here and thus practically guarantee themselves a place in the top 4. It turns out that 29 games out of 38 will have already been played and the likelihood that 3 teams at once will be able to overtake them will become even less than now.
As for the Athletic - Barcelona game, this will be the last chance for Athletic to enter the fight for the top 4, so they will try their best. Considering that Barcelona is playing poorly, I think that a double chance bet on Athletic looks attractive.

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February 27, 2024, 09:55:07 AM
 #69713

Girona undoubtedly winning this game, no magic will done to change this actions. Girona flogging Rayo Vallecano without mercy, they are teaching Vallecano football, they're like mediocre team. We're quite aware about the system and how these teams have grown to ponder their energy towards the weak teams. Girona will reclaimed their second position on the La Liga table after this trembling victory. They're elite team that competes with Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atletico Madrid for the title, they actually survived them but failing to win Real Madrid was really a big deal for them.

Rayo Vallecano had a very good first half, which makes it very tough for Girona to score in the first half and have a draw. Girona, however, proved in the second half that they are a stronger team than Rayo Vallecano this season. Girona scored the game's opening goal in the 52 minute after playing a tough fight half. Girona won't be able to score up to three goals, in my opinion, if P. Chavarría, the Rayo Vallecano defender, hadn't been given a red card in ten minutes after replacing J. de Frutos. I was expecting Girona to scored early on to regain their second place, since they are playing at home, they won their first away game.

Girona has returned to the second place with 59 points. If Girona's strength isn't enough to win the league this season, they should at least finish in second place. If Real Madrid hadn't taken the lead, Girona's performance truly deserves to win the La Liga title this season, because it was completely unexpected.

R


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February 27, 2024, 10:20:33 AM
 #69714

Mathematically, Girona still have the potential to top the table. But practically I would say that Girona won't be able to occupy the top spot of the table again this season.

We know the Real Madrid team. This team is very experienced. And now the team is 6 points ahead of Girona. Real Madrid has more BC schedule in the future. A 2/1 draw is unlikely for this team to lose more than 6 points. Moreover, it is also not guaranteed that Girona will be able to win all of their next 12 matches. So I would say Real Madrid is the unheralded champion of La Liga this year. Madrid are sure to win the title unless there is an accident.
It is possible to reduce the 6-point gap in 12 rounds, but in this case everything will depend on Real, everything is in their hands, if they do not lose points, then no matter how hard Girona tries, they will not be able to do anything. Yesterday was also not a very easy match, they scored at the beginning of the second half, and the match was very tense until the end, until Rayo received a red card, after which the game changed and Savio scored twice.

I didn't say it was impossible. On paper it is possible. But we all know about Real Madrid's gameplay. It cannot be said for sure whether this team will lose 6 points in 12 matches. Losing 6 points in 12 matches is unlikely. On the other hand, the probability that Girona will win all their next 12 matches is also very low. Girona might win 10 out of 12 matches. On the other hand, if the Real Madrid team loses 4/5 matches out of 12 matches, the scenario may change. But personally I don't think Real Madrid will miss the title this season. They have occupied the top position of the table with a gap of 6 points. And I think they will be able to maintain this gap until the end of the season.

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February 27, 2024, 10:33:20 AM
 #69715

Mathematically, Girona still have the potential to top the table. But practically I would say that Girona won't be able to occupy the top spot of the table again this season.

We know the Real Madrid team. This team is very experienced. And now the team is 6 points ahead of Girona. Real Madrid has more BC schedule in the future. A 2/1 draw is unlikely for this team to lose more than 6 points. Moreover, it is also not guaranteed that Girona will be able to win all of their next 12 matches. So I would say Real Madrid is the unheralded champion of La Liga this year. Madrid are sure to win the title unless there is an accident.
It is possible to reduce the 6-point gap in 12 rounds, but in this case everything will depend on Real, everything is in their hands, if they do not lose points, then no matter how hard Girona tries, they will not be able to do anything. Yesterday was also not a very easy match, they scored at the beginning of the second half, and the match was very tense until the end, until Rayo received a red card, after which the game changed and Savio scored twice.

I didn't say it was impossible. On paper it is possible. But we all know about Real Madrid's gameplay. It cannot be said for sure whether this team will lose 6 points in 12 matches. Losing 6 points in 12 matches is unlikely. On the other hand, the probability that Girona will win all their next 12 matches is also very low. Girona might win 10 out of 12 matches. On the other hand, if the Real Madrid team loses 4/5 matches out of 12 matches, the scenario may change. But personally I don't think Real Madrid will miss the title this season. They have occupied the top position of the table with a gap of 6 points. And I think they will be able to maintain this gap until the end of the season.
Girona's case is becoming very difficult to understand when Real Madrid play against any normal team other than Barcelona, ​​they almost win the match and because of that they are not behind in terms of points, they have passed Barcelona again after their last match. But Girona are still 6 points behind Real Madrid, which they need to win two more matches than Real Madrid to complete. However, it is doubtful whether Real Madrid will give this opportunity to Girona

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February 27, 2024, 10:41:33 AM
 #69716

Girona has 3 easy games ahead - Mallorca, Osasuna, Getafe. I can assume that they will score 7-9 points here and thus practically guarantee themselves a place in the top 4. It turns out that 29 games out of 38 will have already been played and the likelihood that 3 teams at once will be able to overtake them will become even less than now.

The league is not always like that though. On paper, it looks simple. It looks like an easy win for Girona but on the pitch, things can be different. Osasuna and Getafe are mid-table teams that are not so bad this season. They know how to cause issues for their opponents. Girona has a very poor defense that concedes too many goals and that could be a problem.
I don't see Girona falling out of the top 4 anyway. The least they can get is 3rd position.

As for the Athletic - Barcelona game, this will be the last chance for Athletic to enter the fight for the top 4, so they will try their best. Considering that Barcelona is playing poorly, I think that a double chance bet on Athletic looks attractive.

I think I'll agree with you on this. Athletic Bilbao at home is a very difficult team to play against. Barcelona struggles every time they visit that stadium. Considering the current form of both teams, I agree with the double chance of Bilbao.

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February 27, 2024, 10:49:18 AM
 #69717


Girona for what it is has performed well than many other older and richer teams. Girona consists of most young players and the team has not spent much on any of those players unlike big teams like Real Madrid and Barcelona where a couple of players might have cost more than the total side of Girona. They have with a combination of coach, players and their playing strategies has made significant impact on La liga. They would be playing the champions league but would struggle to keep the team in shape as the players would have an increased value. It would be beneficial to the individual players but might be a loss for the team.

I agree with you, in my opinion Girona has performed very well so far, even though the Girona team does not have many famous or world-famous players, in fact Girona is able to show the world that the Girona team does not exist. less comparable to other well-known or world-famous teams.
Girona is trying to be the best this season because it has been proven that their team is able to occupy second place and overtake the world-famous team, namely Barcelona.
Moreover, the number of points obtained was 59 points.
Yes, the large number of young players who defend and support the Girona squad is also one of the success factors and the coach's strategy in building and advancing the Girona club.

Maybe this season Girona is very enthusiastic about becoming champions, but the game is still long and the Girona coach must remain disciplined in training and build better character for his team.
Even though the Girona team does not have many world-famous players, there are many young players who can be utilized and trained optimally. I don't think they will be left behind by the oldest team in the world.
If we talk about the price of each player, in my opinion, none of them are that expensive because Girona is dominated by young players who may not be well known to the world community, so the price of players of that class is not too expensive. tall.
If the Girona coach in the future continues to maintain stability in training his players, of course the Girona players will also display strong fitness and full enthusiasm in the Champions League later.
Looking at their work in the Spanish League this season, Girona is included in the category of a team that is strong, defensive and consistent in every appearance in the match, with a solid defense that complements it all.
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February 27, 2024, 11:02:33 AM
 #69718

Girona has taking back there second position Barcelona took from them because to an extent I was thinking that Girona will not be able to take back the second position after Barcelona had occupied it but there wining yesterday came on the right time for them because now they are not only leading the second position but also have two points over Barcelona, so the only way Barcelona will take back the second position is only if they can be able to win there upcoming match against Athletic Club and is obvious the the match will be very difficult to predict because Athletic Club is on there good form so if Barcelona failed to win them then Girona will be a bit settled on the second position.
Girona has 3 easy games ahead - Mallorca, Osasuna, Getafe. I can assume that they will score 7-9 points here and thus practically guarantee themselves a place in the top 4. It turns out that 29 games out of 38 will have already been played and the likelihood that 3 teams at once will be able to overtake them will become even less than now.
As for the Athletic - Barcelona game, this will be the last chance for Athletic to enter the fight for the top 4, so they will try their best. Considering that Barcelona is playing poorly, I think that a double chance bet on Athletic looks attractive.
Girona's chances of finishing in the top 4 are quite big and in fact I am quite confident that they will be able to finish in 2nd place in the final La LIga standings because after seeing the Girona team's fairly consistent performance so far, they will be highly favored.
Competing for the title is quite difficult simply because Real Madrid has a strength that is far above them so it is not worth the competition.

I don't think that Barcelona is underperforming, on the contrary, Barcelona is currently in top performance and Atletico Bilbao is experiencing a slight decline in quality/performance.
I think Bilbao's percentage of getting into the top 4 is quite small after they lost against Betis last weekend.

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February 27, 2024, 11:10:37 AM
 #69719


I didn't say it was impossible. On paper it is possible. But we all know about Real Madrid's gameplay. It cannot be said for sure whether this team will lose 6 points in 12 matches. Losing 6 points in 12 matches is unlikely. On the other hand, the probability that Girona will win all their next 12 matches is also very low. Girona might win 10 out of 12 matches. On the other hand, if the Real Madrid team loses 4/5 matches out of 12 matches, the scenario may change. But personally I don't think Real Madrid will miss the title this season. They have occupied the top position of the table with a gap of 6 points. And I think they will be able to maintain this gap until the end of the season.
Real Madrid are a good team but I believe Girona could be better than them if they remain consistent but is still hard to say if they can be that consistent in the league, Real Madrid always seem to be the best but if we look at how they have been playing these days you'd notice that things are getting out of hand, with them managing to get a win with at least a 1nil win.
 Girona are to blame for their misfortunes because at this time of the season they're suppose to be at the top, not struggling to win games and Madrid will always try to stay at the top if possible till the end of the season without losing any game, is really bad for Girona because they might be expecting Madrid to drop point which is never going to happen.

 
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February 27, 2024, 11:39:29 AM
 #69720

Mathematically, Girona still have the potential to top the table. But practically I would say that Girona won't be able to occupy the top spot of the table again this season.

We know the Real Madrid team. This team is very experienced. And now the team is 6 points ahead of Girona. Real Madrid has more BC schedule in the future. A 2/1 draw is unlikely for this team to lose more than 6 points. Moreover, it is also not guaranteed that Girona will be able to win all of their next 12 matches. So I would say Real Madrid is the unheralded champion of La Liga this year. Madrid are sure to win the title unless there is an accident.
It is possible to reduce the 6-point gap in 12 rounds, but in this case everything will depend on Real, everything is in their hands, if they do not lose points, then no matter how hard Girona tries, they will not be able to do anything. Yesterday was also not a very easy match, they scored at the beginning of the second half, and the match was very tense until the end, until Rayo received a red card, after which the game changed and Savio scored twice.
In order to make it happen, real madrid should lose 6 points which is the same as two matches. Considering there are 12 rounds remaining at this moment is still making everything very possible to happen. I don't expect real madrid to consistently winning the game till the end of season caused by everything is changing so fast.
Real madrid is still winning the game with narrow score and this is also proving that if real potentially lose some points in the upcoming fixtures.

Even if the Real Madrid team does not win all the matches in a row, the chances of losing the title are also very low. Because Girona cannot be guaranteed to win their next 12 matches consecutively. We have seen Girona's performance deteriorate in the last few matches.

Real Madrid have lost just 1 out of 26 matches this season. It is unlikely that this team will lose 3 out of the next 12 matches. But everything is possible in football. As Madrid have a busy schedule ahead, and several key players in Madrid's squad are now injured. So it's not surprising that Madrid dropped points in a few matches.


Quote
Talking about the upcoming games and yeah real will have so many hard fixtures to come soon.

I think that the potential matches for real madrid to miss three points will be

vs Athletic club
vs Barcelonia
vs real sociedad
vs villareal
vs betis

Athletic Club, Barcelona, Real Betis, Villarreal and Real Sociedad are all strong teams. And Madrid are likely to lose points in these matches. If Madrid's injured players do not return to the squad quickly, there is a high possibility that Madrid will lose points in these 5 matches. But since Ancelotti is a very experienced coach. And I think with the help of Ancelotti's excellent match strategy, Madrid will be able to maintain their stable performance.

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