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Author Topic: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈  (Read 48545 times)
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January 27, 2021, 07:52:58 PM
 #1021

I see the line right now is -3.5 Kansas City. Any thoughts on the line possibly moving before the game? I am a little worried about it possibly moving to -3 or -4, so hesitant to place anything at the moment.

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January 27, 2021, 09:09:17 PM
Merited by South Park (1)
 #1022

How are you guys gonna watch the game? I watched half of the Bills/KC game at a bar and I dunno if I could handle a Super Bowl there without thinking about covid the whole time. I sat by myself in a corner facing the TV -- most of the people there did look like covid deniers. I never really knew what to look for before but I just got that feeling.

What's funny (or not so funny) is that a lot of bars are closed still but if they have kitchens and serve food, they can remain open, and you can eat and drink your beer (perhaps even smoke a cig) without having to wear your mask. This particular bar was open but the kitchen was closed -- I guess so long as they have the kitchen they're good to go?

Anyway, it's been an interesting season with new challenges, but in a way, just as entertaining as the others. Lots of kings made and changes of guard coming up. I have no idea who's gonna win the big game but I leave you with a meme I was compelled to make.


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January 27, 2021, 09:59:23 PM
 #1023

I see the line right now is -3.5 Kansas City. Any thoughts on the line possibly moving before the game? I am a little worried about it possibly moving to -3 or -4, so hesitant to place anything at the moment.

Right now I am waiting to see where most of the money is going. I am thinking about putting some money on the Bucs only because of the Brady factor. To be honest I'm still undecided on which team to bet on as I was liking the Chiefs a lot until we got the news that Eric fisher will miss. Maybe its best to go with a couple prop bets this year and one that I fancy if the Bucs win is Brady to win the MVP. Anyone here looking at any prop bets right now?

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January 28, 2021, 09:43:15 PM
Merited by suchmoon (4)
 #1024

How are you guys gonna watch the game? I watched half of the Bills/KC game at a bar and I dunno if I could handle a Super Bowl there without thinking about covid the whole time. I sat by myself in a corner facing the TV -- most of the people there did look like covid deniers. I never really knew what to look for before but I just got that feeling.
We used to have a small SB party with a few friends and family members and during the last 5 years it was at my home so it had become as some sort of tradition, while it was fun it was also a pain as I did not got to watch the game as I wanted as I was attending the guests and I did not watch the full game until a day or two later, obviously this is not going to be possible now due to the circumstances but it seems they want to have some sort of Zoom party, it is not really my style but if they want I might as well do it.



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Deshaun Watson has formally requested a trade, the Texans are in deep trouble Deshaun wants out no matter what and has made it official, and while he is a good player it seems the starting price is 3 first round picks which is a very high price, and while the Jaguars, Dolphins and the Jets could pay it somewhat, the Jaguars could get an even better player in Lawrence, the Jets have so many holes they need the picks to build a competitive roster, and the Dolphins have in Tua a player similar to Allen, he will take some time and coaching but he has a lot of potential, so while those 3 teams are the ones with the most mentions I think that if he is indeed traded it could be to another team which offers players instead of picks, but there is one thing we know, this soap opera is just starting.

Source: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/30794678/deshaun-watson-asked-houston-texans-trade-sources-say

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January 29, 2021, 02:07:02 AM
 #1025

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January 29, 2021, 02:26:34 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1)
 #1026

I see the line right now is -3.5 Kansas City. Any thoughts on the line possibly moving before the game? I am a little worried about it possibly moving to -3 or -4, so hesitant to place anything at the moment.

Should it not be -6.5 or a full touchdown? However, it might move to -3 when thousands of fans begin betting their money on the goat Tom Brady hehe.

@Hueristic. I speculate Las Vegas Raiders. They wanted an old star quarterback last year hehehe. They might try again.

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January 29, 2021, 07:36:12 AM
 #1027

Should it not be -6.5 or a full touchdown? However, it might move to -3 when thousands of fans begin betting their money on the goat Tom Brady hehe.
I think -6.5/-7 seems way too much -3.5 sounds about right since the last time they met it ended 27-24 for the Chiefs but if you're very confident on them to cover the -6.5 alt line it's currently sitting at 2.35.

My heart wants to take the points on the Bucs but I feel like the Chiefs will stomp them, I might just whip a teaser so I could bring down the over down to 50 and Chiefs spread to +3 @1.9.  

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January 30, 2021, 04:59:41 AM
 #1028

@ralle14. I think after 2 weeks of rest the Chiefs might not only cover the spread but also win by more than a 10 point lead. The Chiefs are playing for history to be included in a list of teams to win back to back superbowls. They also have the best record in the regular season.

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February 01, 2021, 01:28:14 AM
Merited by South Park (1)
 #1029

Sunday without football sucks, i bet yall didn't tune in for Madden Pro Bowl edition, did you? Well, it was baaad, a shocker i know. lol

Big trade came down yesterday, what do you make of Lions and Rams QB swap, Stafford a good fit in LA or not?

I like Stafford's game but i don't like giving up two first-rounders for him, feels like too much.

Rams (and Chargers) will host next year's Super Bowl, Rams have a solid defense, improved O Line, plenty of weapons on offense, and an upgrade in the passing game in Stafford. A lot of people have them as SB contenders next season already, i'm not so sure about that, but i do have Woods and Kupp as sleeper WR1 targets in fantasy football.

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February 02, 2021, 03:45:30 PM
 #1030

Sunday without football sucks, i bet yall didn't tune in for Madden Pro Bowl edition, did you? Well, it was baaad, a shocker i know. lol

Big trade came down yesterday, what do you make of Lions and Rams QB swap, Stafford a good fit in LA or not?

I like Stafford's game but i don't like giving up two first-rounders for him, feels like too much.

Rams (and Chargers) will host next year's Super Bowl, Rams have a solid defense, improved O Line, plenty of weapons on offense, and an upgrade in the passing game in Stafford. A lot of people have them as SB contenders next season already, i'm not so sure about that, but i do have Woods and Kupp as sleeper WR1 targets in fantasy football.

I live for Sunday football.  At times I feel like I'd prefer just to go in to hibernation for the winter/spring/summer just so I can only be awake during fall football season  Cheesy  Okay maybe exaggerating a bit.

I think they sure did give up a hell of a lot, but being a bears fan and having watched a lot of Matt Stafford, I think this certainly makes them exponentially better for the next few years..only time will tell who won the trade.

I see the SB line moved to -3...glad I didn't place at -3.5.

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February 03, 2021, 05:38:08 AM
 #1031

@ChiBitCTy. Everyone will be betting on the Buccaneers because it is Tom Brady. Everyone will also bet on Tom Brady as superbowl MVP because yes, it is Tom Brady hehehehe. However, if they win, I reckon it would be because of their defense similar to what they did to Greenbay. Shaquil Barret is a good candidate for this.

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February 03, 2021, 04:38:21 PM
Merited by suchmoon (4)
 #1032

Sunday without football sucks, i bet yall didn't tune in for Madden Pro Bowl edition, did you? Well, it was baaad, a shocker i know. lol
I was going to watch it but I was so busy during the weekend that not only I did miss the Madden Pro Bowl but I also missed the Senior Bowl.


Big trade came down yesterday, what do you make of Lions and Rams QB swap, Stafford a good fit in LA or not?

I like Stafford's game but i don't like giving up two first-rounders for him, feels like too much.

Rams (and Chargers) will host next year's Super Bowl, Rams have a solid defense, improved O Line, plenty of weapons on offense, and an upgrade in the passing game in Stafford. A lot of people have them as SB contenders next season already, i'm not so sure about that, but i do have Woods and Kupp as sleeper WR1 targets in fantasy football.
I do not think the two first round picks were for Stafford, in my opinion the Rams paid one first round pick and a third for him, which makes sense as the Lions wanted a first round pick for Stafford but since there were so many teams interested the Rams had to offer a little bit more for him so they could get him, the other first round pick was for the Lions to accept Goff’s contract since it was Impossible to have both Goff and Stafford on the organization at the same time, so they needed a trading partner for Goff and with that contract no one wanted him so they made a deal with the Lions since they could take the hit of having Goff on their team.

In a way this reminds me of the Browns-Texans trade for Brock Osweiler and those kind of moves at least to me tells me of an organization that is only thinking short term but that over the long term will suffer, as it is the case of the Texans right now,  the Lions are the big winners of this trade, they are picking a QB this year if Goff works out and improves his game then they can trade him and get more picks, if not then just cut him and build around the future QB of the franchise, on the other hand the Rams are on a win now mode, they got Stafford and 12.75 millions in cap space, they are still 19 millions over the projected cap but it can be solved if they smart.

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February 03, 2021, 05:03:19 PM
Merited by jeremypwr (1), South Park (1)
 #1033

Lions are the big winners

I stopped reading right there Grin

Even though I think you're underestimating their ability to screw it up.

Speaking of caps, I can't wait to see the tricks Saints come up with to get under the cap. They're over by like a hundred mil last time I checked.
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February 03, 2021, 08:28:31 PM
Last edit: February 04, 2021, 08:01:17 PM by jeremypwr
Merited by bbc.reporter (1)
 #1034

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February 04, 2021, 04:17:10 AM
 #1035

Lions are the big winners

I stopped reading right there Grin

Even though I think you're underestimating their ability to screw it up.
OK, OK, I got excited I admit it, lets say the Lions got the best part of the deal. Tongue

I understand why you are cautious, but even if you do not trust their GM if you think on those picks as lottery tickets they are bound to hit some of those picks by sheer luck so the Lions still have some hope despite the incompetence of the franchise over the years.

Speaking of caps, I can't wait to see the tricks Saints come up with to get under the cap. They're over by like a hundred mil last time I checked.
The Saints are in cap hell no matter what they do, the best course of action would be to cut Brees Post-June 1 and save 25 millions on the cap this year but even that is only enough to lower that amount to 87 millions over the cap, which means they would like to trade away many of their stars and do so Post-June 1 to get the maximum cap savings possible, there is just one issue, the league forces teams to be below the cap before the start of the league year which will begin on March 17, so it seems the Saints will have to get rid of most of their star players and will not be competitive at all during the next season.

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February 06, 2021, 04:00:54 PM
 #1036

With just one day remaining to the SB here there are some interesting things about the last game of the season.

The Madden SB prediction is out and not surprisingly they have the KC Chiefs winning the game 37-27.

Also the Tecmo Super Bowl prediction is out as well and its prediction is a lot closer, with KC winning the game 28-27.

Finally a 3.5 million bet was made on the Tampa Bay Bucs to cover the spread.

What are your predictions? In my case I am torn, this is a classic case of an ‘unstoppable force(Mahomes) meeting an immovable object(Brady)’ but I will give the win to the Chiefs 30-27 in OT.

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February 06, 2021, 04:16:00 PM
 #1037

As usual I placed my bets a week nearly two weeks ago and ain't gonna regret it, mostly because Super Bowl is just an excuse to get drunk and eat 8000 calories worth of junk food LOL.

Chiefs will make all the right plays but Bucs win by a hail mary.

Also over 54.5 points and a long shot bet on having OT. Winning any one of those three bets would make my balance positive for the season.
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February 06, 2021, 04:17:32 PM
 #1038

Also over 54.5 points

I'd say this is the safest bet.

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February 06, 2021, 09:04:34 PM
 #1039

I do not think the two first round picks were for Stafford, in my opinion the Rams paid one first round pick and a third for him, which makes sense as the Lions wanted a first round pick for Stafford but since there were so many teams interested the Rams had to offer a little bit more for him so they could get him, the other first round pick was for the Lions to accept Goff’s contract since it was Impossible to have both Goff and Stafford on the organization at the same time, so they needed a trading partner for Goff and with that contract no one wanted him so they made a deal with the Lions since they could take the hit of having Goff on their team.

In a way this reminds me of the Browns-Texans trade for Brock Osweiler and those kind of moves at least to me tells me of an organization that is only thinking short term but that over the long term will suffer, as it is the case of the Texans right now,  the Lions are the big winners of this trade, they are picking a QB this year if Goff works out and improves his game then they can trade him and get more picks, if not then just cut him and build around the future QB of the franchise, on the other hand the Rams are on a win now mode, they got Stafford and 12.75 millions in cap space, they are still 19 millions over the projected cap but it can be solved if they smart.

The Rams really screwed themselves.  Twice.  Once when the signed Goff to a "franchise QB" contract, and again when they changed their minds.  Not that I'm complaining, although I would have been happy to see Goff stay in the NFC west, if you catch my drift.

I agree that the Lions got the better end of the bargain, and the Rams still have a cap hit for this year, along with little room to do much.  Stafford might have a stronger arm, but if Sean McVay thinks that's going to solve the Rams' problems, he's in for rude awakening.

I also don't get the digs on Goff.  I think he's a fine quarterback, with a lot of talent.  He's had issues with turnovers, but there's plenty of blame to go around for a significant portion of them, not excluding the coaching staff.  This past year he had the best completion percentage of his career, he started 15 games, played in all 16, while hurt for a few of them, including the playoffs.

Speaking of caps, I can't wait to see the tricks Saints come up with to get under the cap. They're over by like a hundred mil last time I checked.

I read that somewhere recently, also.  They always seem to come up with some tricks, but usually it had to do with Drew Brees restructuring his contract.

What are your predictions?

Most of the Bucks' players haven't been to a superbowl, so there's a chance that the big-stage jitters will give the Chiefs the advantage.  I think the Bucks covering the spread is a safe bet, but it's pretty darn close.  I have a feeling the Bucks are going to win, they have a slight edge on Defense, and as the saying goes "Defense wins championships." 

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February 06, 2021, 09:11:19 PM
 #1040

As most predictions have the Bucs scoring at least 27+ points I have decided to place a prop bet on Brady to score over 2.5 touchdowns at $2.25 I mentioned 2 weeks ago that even though I like the Chiefs to win, I still think Brady will have a good game and score at least 3 touchdowns. This is just my opinion and I went with some value.

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