[Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics

[aoluain]

^
My two point spreads yielded a 50% return:

Stormers beat Scarlets 36 to 19, so that bet paid out but Ulster only had a winning margin of
16 over Zebre.

I also had a bet on Munster to beat Connacht, Munster had a strong starting team out
while Connacht had a weakened one.

And the final 2 games of the Autumn Internationals were played yesterday, the first: Wales v Australia
was an epic encounter. Before the game I took Australia at +3.5 figuring they have been within a point or
two in their previous games but boy were they value for money to come back from....

the Wallabies' incredible 39-34 comeback win over Wales from 21 points down with 23 minutes remaining on Saturday night.

https://www.rugby.com.au/news/wallabies-wales-mark-nawaqanitawase-offers-wallabies-xfactor-20221127

The second game between England v South Africa was a frustrating one for England losing
13 - 27.

[Timelord2067]

I thought I'd posted the other day about my wagers for Australia etc in the internationals, but today I can't see it.  Not sure what happened there.  (I also went to do a wager on the AFLW grand-final and mistakenly bet on Brisbane at $1.40 instead of Melbourne at $7+ - needless to say, Melbourne won and I'm a dollar shorter).

I'm also experimenting with betting $1 on a win plus $1 draw (where the odds are 2.0 or better for each) on the World Football cups being played at the moment.

I prefer placing bets "to win" not win or draw.

[aoluain]

Well betting on draws in Rugby is non-sensical, it rarely happens, I get it though when
betting on Soccer though, draws are the norm.

(I also went to do a wager on the AFLW grand-final and mistakenly bet on Brisbane at $1.40 instead of Melbourne at $7+ - needless to say, Melbourne won and I'm a dollar shorter).

Ouch, that was a missed opportunity.

Did you get a wager on Australia against Wales? that was another missed opportunity!

[aoluain]

Rugby Union

Round 9 in the United Rugby Championship kicks off tonight with 2 games:

Cell C Sharks v Ospreys - these two are close enough on the table but I'm backing the
home team for this one with a point spread. Sharks are massive favourites 1.06 - 8.4...
maybe a point spread on the Ospreys would be a consideration too?

The second game tonight is Edinburgh at home to visiting Munster. I think I'll go with a
Munster win. I think they have their game back on winning ways. Odds are 1.75 - 2.14.

I'll go with a +3.5 on Munster @ 1.65

[Timelord2067]

Hopefully I'll be able to get home in time to put some wagers on those games. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to get myself sorted this last week to put any wagers on, but from what I can tell they were great games.

[aoluain]

Hopefully I'll be able to get home in time to put some wagers on those games. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to get myself sorted this last week to put any wagers on, but from what I can tell they were great games.

Indeed Timelord they were!
At a time when the Soccer world cup is on I find it difficult to watch that sport after watching
Rugby and especially those two games last weekend and all the Autumn Internationals I got
to see. There can be really bad games in Rugby but they are in a minority where as IMO really
good games in Soccer are a minority.

Anyway last night's games in the URC threw up wins for my predictions but I didn't put a wager
on the Sharks, I wanted to do a point spread but the lowest I could get on Rollbit was -21.5,
lucky because they only beat the Ospreys by 15 points.

Munster on the other hand were very good and covered my +3.5 bet by beating Edinburgh by
21 points, I definitely think they will be on a winning roll from now on.

I have 2 more bets on for today, -11.5 on the Stormers to beat the Dragons @1.71 and a straight
ML win by the Lions to beat Scarlets @ 1.23

Connacht v Benneton - Connacht will win today but to get some value I have Benneton +11.5 @ 1.63

[aoluain]

Recap on my bets on this weekends round in the United Rugby Championship:

It worked out with 2 from 4.

My predictions won but I made those two losses wrong, The points difference didn't workout

Munster on the other hand were very good and covered my +3.5 bet by beating Edinburgh by
21 points, I definitely think they will be on a winning roll from now on.

I have 2 more bets on for today, -11.5 on the Stormers to beat the Dragons @1.71 and a straight
ML win by the Lions to beat Scarlets @ 1.23

Connacht v Benneton - Connacht will win today but to get some value I have Benneton +11.5 @ 1.63

Stormers only beat the Dragons by 8 points
Connacht beat Benneton by 19 points.

I might rethink my point spread betting for next week....

[Timelord2067]

I'm always wary of points spreads preferring to just place bets on who is going to win a match (I'm reluctantly placing two bets on soccer fixtures win+draw)

I may not get to see these matches, but I'm going for Salford Red Devils, Wiggan Warriors and Hull FC in the English Rugby League on the 18th of December.

Leigh Centurions - Salford Red Devils Money Line Salford Red Devils @ 1.65 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.165 mBTC
Hull KR - Wigan Warriors Money Line Wigan Warriors @ 1.38 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.138 mBTC
Hull FC - Castleford Tigers Money Line Hull FC @ 1.60 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.16 mBTC

plus a parlay on those three to win:

Leigh Centurions - Salford Red Devils Money Line Salford Red Devils @ 1.65 Hull KR - Wigan Warriors Money Line Wigan Warriors @ 1.38 Hull FC - Castleford Tigers Money Line Hull FC @ 1.60 Taken Amount: 0.07 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.255 mBTC

[aoluain]

I'm always wary of points spreads preferring to just place bets on who is going to win a match (I'm reluctantly placing two bets on soccer fixtures win+draw)

I may not get to see these matches, but I'm going for Salford Red Devils, Wiggan Warriors and Hull FC in the English Rugby League on the 18th of December.

Leigh Centurions - Salford Red Devils Money Line Salford Red Devils @ 1.65 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.165 mBTC
Hull KR - Wigan Warriors Money Line Wigan Warriors @ 1.38 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.138 mBTC
Hull FC - Castleford Tigers Money Line Hull FC @ 1.60 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.16 mBTC

plus a parlay on those three to win:

Leigh Centurions - Salford Red Devils Money Line Salford Red Devils @ 1.65 Hull KR - Wigan Warriors Money Line Wigan Warriors @ 1.38 Hull FC - Castleford Tigers Money Line Hull FC @ 1.60 Taken Amount: 0.07 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.255 mBTC

Ah the Super League, I wouldn't be clued in to that competition or the teams other
than famous names like Hull, At. Helen's and Wigan Warriors. I'm not sure I will be
getting involved with that competition. The Rugby Union side is going to get way busier
this weekend with the start up of two more competitions:

European Champions Cup (The Heineken Cup) and
The EPCR Challenge Cup

There is Irish interest in both competitions, Leinster, Munster and Ulster in the
Champions Cup and Connacht in the Challenge Cup so I will be following those as
much as I can but I will be focusing on the URC.

[Timelord2067]

Yeh, I only look in on the UK super league from time to time, but those two (Wigan and Hull) always give standout performances.

I'll hopefully get some wagers on the Union games in the next couple of days well ahead of the week-end before things get hectic again.

[aoluain]

The United Rugby Championship is on hold until 23rd of December to allow the "Heineken Cup"
kick into gear.

https://www.epcrugby.com/champions-cup/matches/

This is the pinnacle of European club Rugby with French, English, Welsh, Irish, Scottish,
Italian ....and South African* teams involved.

*Kind of like Australia in the EUROvision Song Contest!

I'm not up to speed with the English or French clubs so I might not do any bets this weekend
until I educate myself a little first on who's who.

[Timelord2067]

I was placing bets yesterday thinking the games were this week, but it turns out they were the women's sixes many weeks away.

🥳🤪

[Timelord2067]

The Capetown 7's (men's and women's) get underway in about six hours from now.

https://capetown7s.com/



the odds are favouring one side over the other for quite a few of the matches:



Argentina over Spain
New Zealand over Kenya
Samoa over Japan
Ireland over Urugrury
Australia over Uganda

Not sure what the "M" stands for in the next three, but they have

USA over England
France over Canada

and host nation South Africa over Fiji.




Being played in turn, the women's teams are a little bit more mixed:




Canada over Japan
France over USA
Great Britain over Brazil
New Zealand over Fiji (should be a good game)
Spain over hosts South Africa
and the Aussies will pound the Irish team into oblivion (sorry @aoluain  .

[aoluain]

Yea the Aussies have a high chance of beating the Irish, but into oblivion I'm not so sure.
It's only 1 round gone and yea Australia are in top spot with 20 points, Ireland in 6th with 10.

I actually saw the 7's listed on ROLLBIT last week but didn't look into it. Both Mens and
Women's competitions running together which is great. They can do that because the games
are short of course.

[aoluain]

Rugby Union

I have three bets on for today's games in the European Champions Cup as follows:

Munster at home to beat Stad Toulousain - +4.5 @ 1.66

Ospreys v Leicester Tigers - Tigers to win @ 1.65

Saracens at home to beat Edinburgh - -14.5 @ 1.67

I'm not really confident about those handicap bets but let's see.

Big game yesterday which I would have liked to bet on but couldn't pull the trigger, Racing92 v
Leinster! Leinster were absolutely way too powerful for the French side, 10-42.

[aoluain]

Yea the Aussies have a high chance of beating the Irish, but into oblivion I'm not so sure.

Timelord - that was a good call. 29-0 that was dissapointing!

Rugby Union

I have three bets on for today's games in the European Champions Cup as follows:

Munster at home to beat Stad Toulousain - +4.5 @ 1.66

Ospreys v Leicester Tigers - Tigers to win @ 1.65

Saracens at home to beat Edinburgh - -14.5 @ 1.67

I'm not really confident about those handicap bets but let's see.

...and I'm only 1 from 3 in the Champions Cup from yesterday. All the 3 favourites
won but not by the margins I bet on

Munster lost by 5 points!

I really need to stop with the Rugby handicaps.

[Timelord2067]

Any tips for the weekend? (And I'm not talking about the round ball game that's on at the moment 😂 )

The end of year is quite a lull in our various codes.

I really need to stop with the Rugby handicaps

I try to avoid spreads because I always fear I'm going to place my bet on the wrong team.

[aoluain]

Yea I know, do you go + or - ?

Tips for the weekend - hmmm, I can't give tips but I'll let you know what way I'm leaning.

The teams to watch in the Heineken Cup are both Irish and French, in particular Leinster!

I really think they are going to be on a mission this year to claim their 5th title after
being so close for the last few years. BUT there is no value with them after they
whipped Racing92 last weekend. Rollbit are offering -35 handicap on them minimum
this weekend.

An interesting one though is Ulster v La Rochelle ^{Defending Champions}.
Ulster are going well in the URC and are currently 4th, La Rochelle are off the pace in the Top14
and are well behind in 4th, they are
favourites this weekend against Ulster @ 1.49 v 2.65.

Now last weekends results vastly favour a bet on La Rochelle, they beat Northampton Saints
46-12 and Ulster were whipped 32-0 by Sale Sharks, Ulster won't let that happen again! There
is definitely value there with an Ulster bet.

Also There is another interesting one on Sunday Harlequins are favourite against visiting
Racing92 who are second in the Top14, 1.78 v 2.05

I think a dollar bet on both Ulster and Racing92

[aoluain]

@Timelord2067 - I sincerely hope you didn't get to put your bets on based on my "Tips"?

The two games above were close but the favourites won.




That's it for this year in the Heineken cup, Round 3 starts mid January so this weekend round
10 in the URC is on, 23rd, 24th and 26th.


@darxiaomi - congratulations on the World Cup 2022 win, hopefully your national Rugby
team can feed off that win for the Rugby World Cup 2023?

[Timelord2067]

It's all good.  I'm just wagering a dollar (sometime two) to be able to say I participated.

@darxiaomi - congratulations on the World Cup 2022 win, hopefully your national Rugby
team can feed off that win for the Rugby World Cup 2023?

There must be some very wide smiles and some sore heads with the Argentinean win of the World Cup.  They certainly blitz their opponents and won with a good old fashioned shoot out at the very end.


I hope everyone reading has a peaceful and prosperous end of the year and can ring in the new year in style, regardless of your beliefs.  It's been a tough year for many.