French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1)

[jostorres]

Bookmakers are currently pricing the title race as follows:

PSG - 1.04

Lens - 15.0

PSG's odds seem absurd given the risk that just one draw and one loss in the head-to-head match could deprive PSG of the title. If I were to bet, I would bet on Lens, although even here the bookmakers could be more generous. But it's still more pleasant to aim at 1400% than at 4%  Plus, losing a small amount of money on a risky bet doesn't seem as nerve-wracking as risking a large amount of money on a "safe" one.

It's mostly about people not betting on Lens. Oddmakers do not make up these numbers out of their heads, they make it up based on what people bet on. If the whole world bets on PSG and only a few people bets on Lens, then they can't give a rate based on that. Plus, in a few months the leagues are over, and you are getting basically 4% return on your bet, if you do that with Bitcoin, there is absolutely nothing in the world, no other place, no other possibility, where you could get 4% more bitcoin for your bitcoin in a few months.

[letteredhub]

Paris Saint Germain can still drop points before they finish the remaining matches of the season, Lens can still have another opportunity to top the table but they will still give it up for Paris Saint Germain because they have done that about a couple of times. Paris Saint Germain is targeting to win the Champions League back-to-back so they will definitely divide their attention to both the Ligue 1 and the Champions League games. Lens is not a trusted team otherwise i would have loved to see them win the title instead of Paris Saint Germain.

If the request of PSG is not granted in the league for some of their matches to be postponed they will have issues winning the league this time because of Lens, the chances are there for PSG to drop points in their remaining games if they will be having a tight fixture in the champions League and the league games Lens having the league matches as their only focus can make use of the opportunity to go back to the top of the table and this time it will be hard for PSG to overtake them again because of the closeness in their points. You don't have to trust Lens to believe that they has tried this season with the level of players they have but PSG should be careful if nut they may lose both the league and the champions League trophy.

Based on the number of engagements that PSG is involved in I think it is possible that they could still concede a couple of defeats before the season finally comes to an end, PSG are chasing the UCL and that's enough reason for them to drop points, I know the French league1 would give PSG some preferential treatments that could allow PSG play their matches on different dates that aren't in conformity with their real match days at least to help them perform better in the UCL but this doesn't mean PSG wouldn't flop, I believe the pressure will still be there as long as the title race is still there and the point difference isn't wide enough, PSG might still have some difficulties at the end.

[hyudien]

Paris Saint-Germain has a very high chance of winning the championship and will most likely achieve it. I don't see a better team than them in the French league. At the start of the season, I wondered if Marseille could beat them, but as time went on, nothing changed and Paris Saint-Germain is still leading the French league. This year they have a surprise rival, Lens, but I think they will soon fall behind Paris Saint-Germain as well.

It's become a yearly tradition that PSG chances of winning the title are very high, they've dominated Ligue 1 for years, it may seem boring, but that's what happens when there's only one rich team. Marseille, who I expected to be a difficult team, didn't pose a real threat this year, but we're still fortunate to have Lens, a formidable team when the other big names are unmotivated, even if the champions are known at the end of the season, at least there's still an interesting spectacle at the top of the table.

[ndutndut]

Paris Saint-Germain has a very high chance of winning the championship and will most likely achieve it. I don't see a better team than them in the French league. At the start of the season, I wondered if Marseille could beat them, but as time went on, nothing changed and Paris Saint-Germain is still leading the French league. This year they have a surprise rival, Lens, but I think they will soon fall behind Paris Saint-Germain as well.

It's become a yearly tradition that PSG chances of winning the title are very high, they've dominated Ligue 1 for years, it may seem boring, but that's what happens when there's only one rich team. Marseille, who I expected to be a difficult team, didn't pose a real threat this year, but we're still fortunate to have Lens, a formidable team when the other big names are unmotivated, even if the champions are known at the end of the season, at least there's still an interesting spectacle at the top of the table.

PSG has a tradition of winning because they have a more even squad depth than other teams. Although PSG has a Champions League match it won't be a problem in the domestic league. Lens may have managed to put pressure on PSG so far, but I'm confident they won't easily drop points in the remaining matches especially now that PSG has returned to its best form.

Lens currently trails PSG by one point in the standings and they could still be four points behind PSG as PSG has a game in hand plus Lens faces PSG in their next two matches. This match will certainly be crucial for both teams, but considering the depth of their squads PSG remains the favorite even playing away from home as Lens isn't strong enough to defeat PSG which boasts many star players.

[verdinio]

PSG boasts superior squad depth compared to other teams in Ligue 1, including Lens, their current rivals. PSG won't be worried about the upcoming Champions League match as they have a strong squad making it easier for Luis Enrique to rotate players. Furthermore, PSG still has one match in hand having played 26 matches while Lens has played 27 and currently holds a one-point lead over Lens. If PSG wins this match, the gap will increase to four points. Furthermore, PSG and Lens face off in early April giving PSG the opportunity to further widen their lead over Lens and focus on the Champions League.

Unless Lens can beat PSG in that match the Ligue 1 competition will likely be tight again. But for some reason, I'm very optimistic that PSG can win Ligue 1, despite the pressure from Lens. And I'm pessimistic about Lens winning the League One trophy because at their current level Lens will struggle to be consistent in the remaining matches. Especially since Lens still faces tough opponents like Lille, PSG, Toulouse and Lyon.

it's true they have a very respectable squad and above all even the bench players can create a team that is already stronger than that of the lens, now in my opinion it was just a coincidence that they were under them, but they promptly recovered to ensure that they are back in great shape, i don't think that now there is any hope for other teams to win;

[tygeade]

I agree that PSG will not lose that many points, it is not going to be that common, I understand why people think that it could be possible, but at the same time I think it's very important to realize it is not going to happen, PSG won't lose. I mean they may lose a game, but they won't lose the title, at this point in they are four points ahead, so they can still lose a game and be fine, and that's on top of the fact that Lens will lose points as well.

Lens can't go on to just win the league unbeaten for the rest of the season, they will lose, and when that happens PSG will have even more chances. I guarantee you, if we calculated the difference at zero points, even for the rest of the season PSG will do better.

[macson]

Judging by the current condition of outright betting for Ligue 1, it seems the bookmakers are very confident that Paris Saint-Germain will win the league. We can see in the image below that Paris Saint-Germain only gets @1,03, RC Lens gets @15,00 & Marseille gets @151,00.

Image Source: Rollbit

Bookmakers have logical reasons for being so confident that PSG will win the Ligue 1 trophy because looking at PSG's performance, there is no team that can really pose a threat to them. Even though Lens are only 1 point behind them, they are not a threat because PSG will most likely widen the point gap and make it more difficult for Lens to catch up. Lens are also likely to drop points in their remaining matches, so PSG has a high chance of winning the trophy.