French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1)

[jakdanyel]

It's such a shame what happened to Monaco and Marseille. Marseille is at least at fourth place, but if they didn't had such a terrible three weeks in a row, they could have been third, and there is still a slight possibility that they could be third if Lyon starts to lose games and considering Lyon has been on a great streak, eventually losing points is a possibility for them.

However Monaco is even in worse situation, they are 8th right now and doing worse. These are teams I expected to be second and third place based on how much money they spent and how they looked before the season started, so them being fourth and eight instead is a very tough situation for them, doesn't look that great for them at all.

Yes, that's really sad for both of them. Especially Monaco are far worse than last season. Their main problem is with the defense. They have just conceded the amount of they scored...

I doubt they can qualify for a European tournament with this form. The most they can do looks like the Europa League even if they make it.

It's because the gap is only 3 points with the 5th place...

[PremiumcryptoHub]

This week's games regarding the title competition:

Combining the wins of Lens and PSG gives us a total of 1.93 odds. After the surprising Rennes loss I don't think PSG will make a mistake this time. Metz are literally the worst team in the league now.  

On the other hand I'm wondering if this will be a game in which Lens lose points. But when the way Lens destroyed Monaco earlier comes to my mind, I just don't want to give Monaco much of a chance...

The round 23 match between Lens and Monaco in the French league will be complicated because we can see that Lens has regained the top spot in the French Soccer League's 25-26 season points table multiple times. On the other hand, Monaco were much more active and more aggressive in the Champions League first leg match against PSG yesterday, as a result I believe Monaco showed great cleverness against PSG in the Champions League play off and awakened their fighting spirit. At this stage it looks like the upcoming French league game between Lens and Monaco will be a thrilling one and it can be said that Lens will increase their points to 55 with this game.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Although Lens doesn't seem very strong this season, their main weapon is consistency. I don't think Lens will win the match against PSG, but they have the ability to win the title against PSG with consistency against other teams. If PSG loses some more points before the Lens match, then the fight will be tough for PSG.

I think PSG has a lot of experience to avoid being beaten. The truth is , Luis Enrique is a coach who can pull off any pleasant surprise He's a top-level coach, but I'm appealing to the greatness of the PSG players Without diminishing the other teams, I think all teams go through periods of crisis, but this PSG has unique talent; they'll surely win Ligue 1.

[Silence Scream]

Although Lens doesn't seem very strong this season, their main weapon is consistency. I don't think Lens will win the match against PSG, but they have the ability to win the title against PSG with consistency against other teams. If PSG loses some more points before the Lens match, then the fight will be tough for PSG.

I think PSG has a lot of experience to avoid being beaten. The truth is , Luis Enrique is a coach who can pull off any pleasant surprise He's a top-level coach, but I'm appealing to the greatness of the PSG players Without diminishing the other teams, I think all teams go through periods of crisis, but this PSG has unique talent; they'll surely win Ligue 1.

Winning the Ligue 1 title isn't their primary goal. Their main objective this year is to win the Champions League again. They know how to do it because they won the championship last year from a similar situation. However, many teams are already developing strategies against them this year. Therefore, Paris Saint-Germain needs to win the French league first to achieve their primary goal.

[Stablexcoin]

I think PSG has a lot of experience to avoid being beaten. The truth is , Luis Enrique is a coach who can pull off any pleasant surprise He's a top-level coach, but I'm appealing to the greatness of the PSG players Without diminishing the other teams, I think all teams go through periods of crisis, but this PSG has unique talent; they'll surely win Ligue 1.

PSG vs Lens next match is by April, from now till then, we will judge them based on the matches they will be playing until then. Lens are more consistent, PSG are doing their best which isn't enough, they should take every game from henceforth seriously because it is what matters most at the time unless they have plans of not winning the league, PSG also struggled against Monaco in the Champions League, PSG are going through bad phases and they have to manage it through, at least with their domestic league, as it seems the Champions League isn't for them.

[pawel7777]

PSG is underperforming slightly when compared to the previous season, but they are still doing better than in 2023-24 season.
What I like to do is calculate average points per game, which, I think, is a pretty good way to measure performance and whether or not a team is over or underperforming.
Avg points for PSG:
2025/26:  2.32
2024/25: 2.47
2023/24: 2.24

The fact that PSG lost the position of the table leader to Lens (again) is not necessarily an indication of anything bad happening to PSG. It's just Lens stepped up to the challenge and give PSG a run for their money.
PSG performance is 3.6% better than in 2023/24 when they won Ligue 1 with 9 points advantage over runner up, Monaco.

[bitgolden]

Lyon has good position by securing the top third standings and has opportunity for qualifying to Champion League next season, remaining 5 points from Marseille should be comfortable position for Lyon has impressive performance keep the winning trend last 9 matches in a row at Ligue 1. Lyon must consistent playing well and get three points every games regarding have to face the top teams at 12 matches left from facing Marseille, AS Monaco, PSG and exactly will face Lens.
Seeing the current points, Marseille is the close team for stopping Lyon finish at 3rd position place if can defeating them three weeks later I think Lyon actually secure the top third position, if want back to the Ligue 1 tittle race I think bit difficult by stopping Lens and PSG has gap more than 7 points.

Considering this season Lyon almost got relegated and was in the verge of not even being in the league, playing this good is definitely a great feeling for them.

They are at third place right now, only trailing Lens and PSG who are fighting for the title, and all thanks to them getting a good winning streak when Marseille ended up losing too many points back to back to back. Lyon being third and going to UCL even though they were almost relegated shows resilience of the team without a doubt.

[Luzin]

The fact that PSG lost the position of the table leader to Lens (again) is not necessarily an indication of anything bad happening to PSG. It's just Lens stepped up to the challenge and give PSG a run for their money.
PSG performance is 3.6% better than in 2023/24 when they won Ligue 1 with 9 points advantage over runner up, Monaco.

Yes, this can happen because there are still several matches left and they can be a source of points. Their margin is also narrow, which means that with one mistake from Lens, PSG must be able to take advantage properly. But if PSG loses points again, that's a bad sign.

Those statistics are just history and they are going through this year under different conditions. PSG is still better this year, but Lens is good and could earn more points. Lens could become a surprise for PSG, and that's not impossible. PSG must work hard to defend the league title this season.

[Ahli38]

In the near future Marseille will compete against Brest. Brest as the host team who ranked 12th in the standings will host Marseille who ranked 4th in the standings. The significant difference in their positions in the standings already indicates which team is statistically superior. Marseille is the heavily favored team in this upcoming match. The odds available in the betting market also reflect this. In head-to-head matches Marseille clearly has the upper hand over Brest by having defeated Brest with a 3-0 goal margin without any goals scored by Brest in their 12th-round encounter this season. So I personally predict that Marseille will dominate this match and even win it easily. I'm confident that Marseille will crush Brest just like in their last encounter. And I'm sure Marseille won't take it lightly by considering that the final round is getting closer and even closer. What are your thoughts on this match?

[Iranus]

In the near future Marseille will compete against Brest. Brest as the host team who ranked 12th in the standings will host Marseille who ranked 4th in the standings. The significant difference in their positions in the standings already indicates which team is statistically superior. Marseille is the heavily favored team in this upcoming match. The odds available in the betting market also reflect this. In head-to-head matches Marseille clearly has the upper hand over Brest by having defeated Brest with a 3-0 goal margin without any goals scored by Brest in their 12th-round encounter this season. So I personally predict that Marseille will dominate this match and even win it easily. I'm confident that Marseille will crush Brest just like in their last encounter. And I'm sure Marseille won't take it lightly by considering that the final round is getting closer and even closer. What are your thoughts on this match?

Marseille's performance is a bit erratic but they are not weak. Although their performance in the last three matches has been  erratic. And they have failed to win. Even then I will say marseille will win against brest. Brest is far behind in the points table. Also, marseille has won the last three  matches against brest by a big margin. In the three matches , marseille's players have scored  12 goals and conceded only 2 goals. So I believe that marseille will not  make any mistakes in today's match.

[Not your key not your BTC]

Winning the Ligue 1 title isn't their primary goal. Their main objective this year is to win the Champions League again. They know how to do it because they won the championship last year from a similar situation. However, many teams are already developing strategies against them this year. Therefore, Paris Saint-Germain needs to win the French league first to achieve their primary goal.

PSG's primary goal remains winning the Ligue 1 title, and that has been their goal every season. Of course, they want to win the Champions League, but that won't be easy, as it's incredibly difficult to win consecutive titles in the Champions League. Instead, PSG should focus on Ligue 1, as they currently sit second and trail Lens by one point.

[Cossyblack]

Winning the Ligue 1 title isn't their primary goal. Their main objective this year is to win the Champions League again. They know how to do it because they won the championship last year from a similar situation. However, many teams are already developing strategies against them this year. Therefore, Paris Saint-Germain needs to win the French league first to achieve their primary goal.

PSG cannot win the UEFA champions league this season. They can't even maintain the lead in their domestic league so how are they going to win the UEFA champions league when they slacking behind in the ligue 1
They have won the champions Leaque before no doubt and they can win another time but it wouldn't be this season. Psg should forget about the Uefa champions league because they haven't shown a strong performance that they can win. Psg must be careful because lens is big threat and if care isn't taken lens win the ligue 1.

[KTChampions]

PSG is underperforming slightly when compared to the previous season, but they are still doing better than in 2023-24 season.
What I like to do is calculate average points per game, which, I think, is a pretty good way to measure performance and whether or not a team is over or underperforming.
Avg points for PSG:
2025/26:  2.32
2024/25: 2.47
2023/24: 2.24

The fact that PSG lost the position of the table leader to Lens (again) is not necessarily an indication of anything bad happening to PSG. It's just Lens stepped up to the challenge and give PSG a run for their money.
PSG performance is 3.6% better than in 2023/24 when they won Ligue 1 with 9 points advantage over runner up, Monaco.

There's logic to averages, but it's not always practically meaningful. For example, in the season when Bayer won the Bundesliga without a single defeat and scored 90 points, while the average champion (Bayern  )scored 72-82 points. PSG are currently performing not much worse than usual, but due to the presence of a new competitor, this may not be enough. Lens has 12 games left to play to take the title from PSG. After 22 games already played, it seems quite achievable, doesn't it?