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Author Topic: 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar - UEFA Qualifiers  (Read 34886 times)
muratsink
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June 08, 2022, 06:20:29 PM
 #3621

2 tickets left for the World Cup, Australia - Peru will play on June 13 followed by Costa Rica - New Zealand.
No need to mention that the American teams have the advantage tho.. Peru 1.8 vs 4.4 Australia and Costa Rica 1.6 vs 6.2 New Zealand.
The defeat of UAE was expected and 1 goal difference as the final score was a good one for them imo.

Peru is much stronger than UAE so it is a 50:50 chance for both teams to qualify further.The odd of Australia are bigger than they normally should be as I would rate the game 2.10 Peru and 3.20 Australia with 3.00 as a draw.The other odd of Costa Rica is really big I would say considering that New Zealand is not of the same quality and Costa Rica is much better and they have also one of the best goalkeepers in the world which makes it difficult for New Zealand to score.I think it will end with a win and a clean sheet for Costa Rica.

Australia did have a bit of luck in winning a 1-2 win over the United Arab Emirates where they were pressed continuously in the match the victory made Australia still have hope to keep their chances of qualifying for the Qatar world cup where they will face Peru, representatives of Latin America in the Champions League. the match that determines the world cup ticket.of course Perum has better quality than the UAE of course Australia should not underestimate Peru where they also qualified for the Russia world cup yesterday of course they want to repeat in the Qatar world cup this year when they face Australia in the play off match next week's world cup host Australia to Australia

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June 08, 2022, 09:22:11 PM
 #3622

I want Scotland or Wales to qualify to the World Cup because they dont go to one for a lot of time.

Also this teams dont have the fault for the Ukraine-Russia situation. The only thing i dont want to see its some arbitration assistance to Ukraine.

But in the game i think both teams are in the same level, the two have some good players so i dont know who can win.
You are right, I would like Wales to have a World Cup because I would like to see Bale playing, he has not had much action in the national team so Real Madrid have him on the bench due to his injury, if his team qualifies for the World Cup it would be spectacular because between now and November I think he can fully recover, on the other hand with Scotland they are a very tough team, very strong and they have a very peculiar football, on the other hand I think that the FIFA referees have no bias towards Ukraine, that is football, under no circumstances do they have to make a match for or against.

I think so. I'm surprised that Australia has a 4.6 odds of winning and a 2.9 overall odds of qualifying. Despite the fact that Peru is a strong team, these are too pessimistic estimates for Australia. I think that in such circumstances betting on Australia would be a logical move because winning looks more likely than the bookmakers show us.
Between Peru and Australia, it's clear to me that for now, you can say that betting for Australia's win dominates. If from some performances Australia is still above Peru, which does not show a bit of rapid development. We can see that for the last nine years, Peru has not been able to bounce back quickly in the Copa Libertadores. I therefore think it makes sense why people are betting more in Australia.

Although you are absolutely right in that aspect, it must be said that Peru has a lot of motivation, it left Colombia on the road and I think that Colombia at the moment is much superior to the Peruvians, however I think that it is possible for the Peruvians to give a good surprise, they are very hungry to go to the World Cup.

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June 08, 2022, 09:28:55 PM
 #3623

2 tickets left for the World Cup, Australia - Peru will play on June 13 followed by Costa Rica - New Zealand.
No need to mention that the American teams have the advantage tho.. Peru 1.8 vs 4.4 Australia and Costa Rica 1.6 vs 6.2 New Zealand.
The defeat of UAE was expected and 1 goal difference as the final score was a good one for them imo.

Peru is much stronger than UAE so it is a 50:50 chance for both teams to qualify further.The odd of Australia are bigger than they normally should be as I would rate the game 2.10 Peru and 3.20 Australia with 3.00 as a draw.The other odd of Costa Rica is really big I would say considering that New Zealand is not of the same quality and Costa Rica is much better and they have also one of the best goalkeepers in the world which makes it difficult for New Zealand to score.I think it will end with a win and a clean sheet for Costa Rica.
You mean Australia in the first sentence tho.
I agree with you about the odds, they are quite exaggerated. Australia could challenge Peru in that game, make a draw maybe, yet Peru is better imo and they will end up by winning tho. Penalties would be the worst scenario for them.
For Costa Rica, I think the odds are clear, they are favorite.

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June 08, 2022, 10:21:04 PM
 #3624

There is recent news that Ecuador is likely to be removed from upcoming World Cup because one of their players wasn't eligible to play for Ecuador:
https://www.express.co.uk/sport/football/1622632/ecuador-world-cup-qatar-2022-chile-international-football-news
Chile is going to replace them, I hate when decisions who will play in tournament is solved off the pitch, but rules are rules...

You mean Australia in the first sentence tho.
I agree with you about the odds, they are quite exaggerated. Australia could challenge Peru in that game, make a draw maybe, yet Peru is better imo and they will end up by winning tho. Penalties would be the worst scenario for them.
For Costa Rica, I think the odds are clear, they are favorite.
I don't really know why Peru is so strongly favoured against Australia. I don't think that they're that much better. If I would have to predict, I would say that this game will got o Extra Time and maybe penalties. And yeah,
Costa Rica isn't something special, but they're still much better than New Zealand.

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June 09, 2022, 03:22:30 AM
 #3625

I don't really know why Peru is so strongly favoured against Australia. I don't think that they're that much better. If I would have to predict, I would say that this game will got o Extra Time and maybe penalties. And yeah,
Costa Rica isn't something special, but they're still much better than New Zealand.

Users have already posted past stats for Peru and Australia and it is easy to see why Peru is so strongly favored. If you don't want to go with the past history, you can check their recent performances and FIFA ranking. Peru is ranked 25th, while Australia is currently languishing at the 41st position. So you can clearly see why the sportsbooks are favoring Peru for the playoff. And being an Oceanian team, I don't think that Australia has any additional advantage with playing in Qatar. And for the Costa Rica vs New Zealand match, I would favor the former, due to the reasons already mentioned for the first playoff.

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June 09, 2022, 05:18:09 AM
Merited by KTChampions (1)
 #3626

What can you say about today's games? Maybe the Netherlands? The rest of the pairs look risky even Scotland - Armenia.

Well done, friend! Saw your ticket, and thanks to Weghorst the damned tall abomination, I had my first winning acca in a long, long time -- that does happen to be Nations League but yeah, we don't care haha. All the favourites in Group A and B won finally.

Who else thinks a Kiwi-Aussie acca is worth the money?

I think so. I'm surprised that Australia has a 4.6 odds of winning and a 2.9 overall odds of qualifying. Despite the fact that Peru is a strong team, these are too pessimistic estimates for Australia. I think that in such circumstances betting on Australia would be a logical move because winning looks more likely than the bookmakers show us.

Great! Then I'm definitely putting in a small bet on that -- Aussies and Kiwis both have always almost been put at high-value odds because they do end up losing/drawing a lot against UEFA and Concacaf teams. I should know, I pick them quite a lot when odds are above 5/1 on ML heh.

But they play in hot Qatar so I wonder is Australia might prefer that... if Peru play at home, the high altitudes always suck the life out of opponents but elsewhere their inferior height is a problem.

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June 09, 2022, 07:31:19 AM
 #3627

2 tickets left for the World Cup, Australia - Peru will play on June 13 followed by Costa Rica - New Zealand.
No need to mention that the American teams have the advantage tho.. Peru 1.8 vs 4.4 Australia and Costa Rica 1.6 vs 6.2 New Zealand.
The defeat of UAE was expected and 1 goal difference as the final score was a good one for them imo.

Australia was a bit lucky in the match against the United Arab Emirates where they played not so well but managed to get rid of the United Arab Emirates but with this result they were not allowed to bring because they had been waiting for the Latin American team, namely Peru, of course the quality of Peru and the United Arab Emirates was much different in the United Arab Emirates. where Peru is a subscriber to the world cup, of course Australia must not be careless if they want to compete in Qatar next November even though the statistics favor Australia to qualify.but Peru can surprise the kangaroo country

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June 09, 2022, 10:28:41 AM
 #3628

I don't really know why Peru is so strongly favoured against Australia. I don't think that they're that much better. If I would have to predict, I would say that this game will got o Extra Time and maybe penalties. And yeah,
Costa Rica isn't something special, but they're still much better than New Zealand.

I don't think Peru are massively better, but they are certainly somewhat better. Anyone who can make it through to the play-offs from the South American section is a strong team. They have to be favourites.

Agree on Costa Rica vs New Zealand. Costa Rica are merely an okay team, nothing special, but New Zealand are generally not very good, and would be expected to lose.

NZ losing is a clearer outcome for me than Australia losing, but I think both are likely.






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June 09, 2022, 11:03:07 AM
 #3629

NZ losing is a clearer outcome for me than Australia losing, but I think both are likely.

Well.. it is not that simple. I haven't watched too many of Costa Rica's matches. But back in 2014, they shocked everyone when they topped Group D, ahead of Uruguay, England and Italy. Italy finished 3rd and failed to qualify for the knockout phase. Worse still, England finished at rock bottom with just 1 point. It was the "group of death" and Costa Rica managed to top that group. But then in 2018, they were pathetic. Once again they were placed in a tough group, but this time they failed to win even a single match. IMO, both Costa Rica and New Zealand have almost equal chances this time.

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June 09, 2022, 04:41:24 PM
 #3630

There is recent news that Ecuador is likely to be removed from upcoming World Cup because one of their players wasn't eligible to play for Ecuador:
https://www.express.co.uk/sport/football/1622632/ecuador-world-cup-qatar-2022-chile-international-football-news
Chile is going to replace them, I hate when decisions who will play in tournament is solved off the pitch, but rules are rules...
If indeed Fifa's investigation later finds Ecuador wrong, then there is no hope for them other than being removed from the list of participants.
But in this case, there is also a lot of speculation that if they are dropped, it is likely that Italy will appear as a replacement because from some news I read, if Ecuador is removed, the team with the highest FIFA ranking will replace it.

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June 09, 2022, 06:21:41 PM
 #3631

There is recent news that Ecuador is likely to be removed from upcoming World Cup because one of their players wasn't eligible to play for Ecuador:
https://www.express.co.uk/sport/football/1622632/ecuador-world-cup-qatar-2022-chile-international-football-news
Chile is going to replace them, I hate when decisions who will play in tournament is solved off the pitch, but rules are rules...
If indeed Fifa's investigation later finds Ecuador wrong, then there is no hope for them other than being removed from the list of participants.
But in this case, there is also a lot of speculation that if they are dropped, it is likely that Italy will appear as a replacement because from some news I read, if Ecuador is removed, the team with the highest FIFA ranking will replace it.

If they kick them out they will probobly add Ukraine because of the war situation and get politics again into football.
So i wouldnt be surprised it they give them a wild card or something or maybe even Italy to get into the World cup because they got knocked out surprisingly
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June 09, 2022, 07:48:09 PM
 #3632

What can you say about today's games? Maybe the Netherlands? The rest of the pairs look risky even Scotland - Armenia.

Well done, friend! Saw your ticket, and thanks to Weghorst the damned tall abomination, I had my first winning acca in a long, long time -- that does happen to be Nations League but yeah, we don't care haha. All the favourites in Group A and B won finally.

 Grin At first I thought to completely refrain from this League of Friendly Games of Nations, but still I try to find interesting options for betting. Yesterday I bet all that winnings on the Netherlands and experienced interesting emotions at the end of the game (oddly enough, the rest of the games seemed less reliable to me). I think tomorrow I can find a couple of quieter options.

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June 09, 2022, 09:12:58 PM
 #3633

It is very nice for Wales that they have qualified for the World Cup. Yet it makes little difference whether Wales goes to the World Cup or Ukraine, since both countries will not play any significant role there. from my head Wales now joins the group with England and America. There they could still be 2nd, but then they play against the number 1 from the group in the Netherlands and that will be the final station. Especially for Bale it is nice that he can finally go to the World Cup.

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June 09, 2022, 09:30:48 PM
 #3634

It is very nice for Wales that they have qualified for the World Cup. Yet it makes little difference whether Wales goes to the World Cup or Ukraine, since both countries will not play any significant role there. from my head Wales now joins the group with England and America. There they could still be 2nd, but then they play against the number 1 from the group in the Netherlands and that will be the final station. Especially for Bale it is nice that he can finally go to the World Cup.
Finally there is some life in the forum too. Wales and Ukraine match happened a few days ago - but hype is still felt.
What is next upcoming match?
Looking fwd to the amzing matches.

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June 09, 2022, 11:15:13 PM
 #3635

If they kick them out they will probobly add Ukraine because of the war situation and get politics again into football.
So i wouldnt be surprised it they give them a wild card or something or maybe even Italy to get into the World cup because they got knocked out surprisingly
Football and sports always been mixed, it's nothing new. But I don't see Ukraine added to World Cup in place of Ecuador. Italy would be more likely, but I doubt that it will happen. Most likely IMO that team from same confederation will be added and it will be Chile. And it would be most fair decision in this situation.

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June 10, 2022, 12:13:18 AM
 #3636

~snip~
If they kick them out they will probobly add Ukraine because of the war situation and get politics again into football.
So i wouldnt be surprised it they give them a wild card or something or maybe even Italy to get into the World cup because they got knocked out surprisingly

It doesn't work like that.

It's very specific, if they find Ecuador was using a foreign national playing for their team, then FIFA would cancel the results of any match where that player was in the field, swapping it for a 3-0 victory for the other team.

If you run the math, considering every game that player was in the field, Chile ends up in fourth position, direct qualification, and Ecuador ends up out of the qualification.

It's not like they just choose a country to replace them.

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June 10, 2022, 12:32:42 AM
 #3637

NZ losing is a clearer outcome for me than Australia losing, but I think both are likely.

both Costa Rica and New Zealand have almost equal chances this time.

Of course, Costa Rica and New Zealand have the most opportunities this time around. If New Zealand and Costa Rica work a little harder, their fortunes could be decided. So these two teams must work a little harder and if they can give good service, they are more likely to win the trophy.

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June 10, 2022, 02:16:18 AM
 #3638

If they kick them out they will probobly add Ukraine because of the war situation and get politics again into football.
So i wouldnt be surprised it they give them a wild card or something or maybe even Italy to get into the World cup because they got knocked out surprisingly
Football and sports always been mixed, it's nothing new. But I don't see Ukraine added to World Cup in place of Ecuador. Italy would be more likely, but I doubt that it will happen. Most likely IMO that team from same confederation will be added and it will be Chile. And it would be most fair decision in this situation.
I disagree with several option what happening with Ecuador, I know made mistake but replace with Ukraine as humanity or change with Italy as strong country and Chile are not good option. Third countries above totally failed on World Cup qualifier and how come they can participant on 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar? better keep giving chance for Ecuador and give punishment for player have made mistake, give penalty points for Ecuador after 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar edition. Crazy reason if giving chance to Ukraine, Italy or Chile participant on 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar after bad performance on qualifier.

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June 10, 2022, 02:22:42 AM
 #3639

If they kick them out they will probobly add Ukraine because of the war situation and get politics again into football.
So i wouldnt be surprised it they give them a wild card or something or maybe even Italy to get into the World cup because they got knocked out surprisingly
Football and sports always been mixed, it's nothing new. But I don't see Ukraine added to World Cup in place of Ecuador. Italy would be more likely, but I doubt that it will happen. Most likely IMO that team from same confederation will be added and it will be Chile. And it would be most fair decision in this situation.
I disagree with several option what happening with Ecuador, I know made mistake but replace with Ukraine as humanity or change with Italy as strong country and Chile are not good option. Third countries above totally failed on World Cup qualifier and how come they can participant on 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar? better keep giving chance for Ecuador and give punishment for player have made mistake, give penalty points for Ecuador after 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar edition. Crazy reason if giving chance to Ukraine, Italy or Chile participant on 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar after bad performance on qualifier.

The rules are very specific. It's not like they just ban the country and pick a new one to replace them.

If Ecuador is found to have used a foreign national player while playing the qualifiers, then FIFA will exchange the results of the matches where the player was in the field, with a 3-0 win for the other country.

If you do the numbers, Ecuador ends up outside of the qualification zone, and Chile ends up 4th, which is a direct qualification.

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June 10, 2022, 02:53:19 AM
 #3640

Of course, Costa Rica and New Zealand have the most opportunities this time around. If New Zealand and Costa Rica work a little harder, their fortunes could be decided. So these two teams must work a little harder and if they can give good service, they are more likely to win the trophy.

Checked the odds, and I could see that Costa Rica is a clear favorite. But for the sake of diversity, I would like to have New Zealand playing in the World Cup. Australia may or may not qualify (they need to defeat Peru in the playoff), but we need at least one team from the Oceania region. And New Zealand is not a very bad team. Watched some of their matches during the 2010 World Cup, and they put up a strong performance back then (never lost a match in the group phase but failed to qualify to the next stage).

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