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Author Topic: BC.Game 🔥 Champions League Pool | ⚽️ Discussion Thread | 80mbtc prize fund  (Read 25492 times)
swogerino
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May 19, 2023, 01:26:54 PM
 #1141

What the hell, the odds on a City win in the final are currently at around 1.40.

Although I do believe that City will destroy them, maybe some good value bets will be possible on Inter (a draw at half time comes to mind @2.50).

Was there ever a final with such low odds on the favorite team before?


I don't remember a final in the Champions League with such low odds from the years I am seeing it,usually from 2003 I have seen every single of them as before I have not gambled and didn't care much about sports in general.However in these 20 years I don't remember having such a low odd while we have had 1.65 sometime or 1.75 and I think this is somewhat normal but 1.40 in a Champions League final sounds funny  Grin.

By the way how will Superbru calculate the points,will it be only regular time or even extra time will be added just like it was in the World Cup and we need this info before the final takes place?

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May 19, 2023, 04:00:50 PM
 #1142

Hey guys, yeah, sorry but I don't think there are any more yellow cap freebets -- am actually surprised Superbru still gave them out, they definitely don't count scores even in weeks with fewer than 10 games (or more than 10) for purposes of their own SB prize.

But if I hear any different, I'll let you know Wink

What the hell, the odds on a City win in the final are currently at around 1.40.

I don't remember a final in the Champions League with such low odds from the years I am seeing it,usually from 2003 I have seen every single of them as before I have not gambled and didn't care much about sports in general.However in these 20 years I don't remember having such a low odd while we have had 1.65 sometime or 1.75 and I think this is somewhat normal but 1.40 in a Champions League final sounds funny  Grin.

By the way how will Superbru calculate the points,will it be only regular time or even extra time will be added just like it was in the World Cup and we need this info before the final takes place?

Not in my memory either, actually! I know Liverpool were also significant underdogs in their Istanbul edition but I can't recall odds at the time.

SB calculates including extra time.

BTW Fairlay has City even below 1.3... but no market yet for Inter. Now I feel sort of cheated because I took a pre-semi outright on Inter only just over @7/1... to be fair, it still accounts for any outcome (including PKs) so I'm happy with that bet.

City's next few games are all value to me, heavy odds on their opponents! Chelsea 12/1??

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May 19, 2023, 08:17:02 PM
 #1143

I think that the yellow cap has its "taste" when it is for a single player, in this case at final Game surely hitting a single player will be very difficult, but if that happens in itself it is a good incentive, although the FB don't be a part of achieving it.   Smiley

Good luck guys, for those who are there disputing the prizes.

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May 20, 2023, 01:21:53 PM
 #1144

I think that the yellow cap has its "taste" when it is for a single player, in this case at final Game surely hitting a single player will be very difficult, but if that happens in itself it is a good incentive, although the FB don't be a part of achieving it.   Smiley

Good luck guys, for those who are there disputing the prizes.

If City is the favorite and big favorite, and they win, then yes we will probably have loads of yellow caps Tongue

If a result happens that is totally unexpected (6-3 for example!) then it will be even worse, because that means everyone will get correct result for 1 point lol.

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May 20, 2023, 04:07:47 PM
 #1145

I wanted to know the current odds of Inter but for some reason the markets are currently not available on either Stake or sportsbet.io. Let's say that City is a huge favorite with 1.2 odds (not winning in regular time, but winning the title) that's about an 85% chance. It turns out that Inter will still have some chance to win (although this is obvious and I have not discovered anything new) and if we are lucky, we will see exactly those 15% that will be in favor of Inter.
When the quotes appear, I will check how accurately I guessed the odds for City to win (finally and not just in regular time).

UEFA Champions League - Winner

Manchester City 1.20

Inter Milano 4.40

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/soccer/international-clubs/uefa-champions-league/uefa-champions-league-22-23-62a5fea0d75a1515755217a3

Heh! Have the bookies spied on my estimate and copied it?
It would be nice if they paid for my analysis, I heard quote providers make a lot of money  Grin

Now two desires are fighting in me: to bet on City (I am ready to pay money for their defeat) to sweeten my pill. And the second desire is to bet on Inter because the quotes look distorted (all this hype around the City).

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May 20, 2023, 06:13:42 PM
 #1146

I wanted to know the current odds of Inter but for some reason the markets are currently not available on either Stake or sportsbet.io. Let's say that City is a huge favorite with 1.2 odds (not winning in regular time, but winning the title) that's about an 85% chance. It turns out that Inter will still have some chance to win (although this is obvious and I have not discovered anything new) and if we are lucky, we will see exactly those 15% that will be in favor of Inter.
When the quotes appear, I will check how accurately I guessed the odds for City to win (finally and not just in regular time).

The odds are Man City 1.44 vs Inter Milan 7.71, the odds are pretty good at the moment . Manchester city at 1.44 is decent odd but Inter will not make it easy for them

I wrote that I mean the quotes are not the result of the game in regular time, but the final outcome  Wink
Judging by the odds, you are talking about quotes for regular time, where there is still a possibility of a draw. If these were quotes for the outcome of the confrontation, then in such a pair of 1.44 - 7.71 it would be easy to make a guaranteed profitable bet.
By the way, where do you watch quotes? The markets are still inaccessible to me.

It's already on several of the Asian bookmakers I use frequently, as well as some of the local ones I use back home; I expected the markets to be open to everyone by now so that everyone could place an early bet.  I don't see this game going into extra time, and BTW, when was the last time we saw a CL final go into PK shootouts after the 2012 CL final? Maybe I'm missing something here.


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May 28, 2023, 03:43:18 PM
 #1147

Well, Ajax just did the worst possible thing today, and lose. Thereby earning the right to QUALIFY for Europa League next season, so we might be seeing PSV Eindhoven joining Feyenoord in the next edition.

Dutch football is competing with Italy this season to have the worst politics and development, by the way. All kinds of nonsense going on, and if you can believe it, hooliganism is back.

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May 28, 2023, 04:10:16 PM
 #1148

Well, Ajax just did the worst possible thing today, and lose. Thereby earning the right to QUALIFY for Europa League next season, so we might be seeing PSV Eindhoven joining Feyenoord in the next edition.

Dutch football is competing with Italy this season to have the worst politics and development, by the way. All kinds of nonsense going on, and if you can believe it, hooliganism is back.

As I understand it, Ajax could not rise higher, but if AZ Alkmaar were more successful and PSV were less principled, would AZ Alkmaar be in the Europa League instead of Ajax? It's sad to see Ajax fall like that, but it was expected - such is the fate of all small teams that have shown themselves well and have shown players that other clubs are interested in.

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June 01, 2023, 06:45:46 PM
 #1149

Anyone watched Europa League final match Sevilla vs Roma?
My bet was on Sevilla to win the trophy but it was very exciting last moments of the match when Roma player could scored winning goal.
I always say that penalty shootout is game of nerves and it is like a lottery game, so Jose Mourinho didnt win another trophy but Roma should be happy to go so far.

We have one more match in Champions League and I think our leaderboard positions in Superbru cant change a lot.
KTChampions won the first place but some changes are possible in lower positions.
What do you expect in final match Man City vs Inter?

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June 01, 2023, 07:33:36 PM
 #1150

Anyone watched Europa League final match Sevilla vs Roma?
My bet was on Sevilla to win the trophy but it was very exciting last moments of the match when Roma player could scored winning goal.
I always say that penalty shootout is game of nerves and it is like a lottery game, so Jose Mourinho didnt win another trophy but Roma should be happy to go so far.
~

I didn't watch the game because I was at work and I'm very happy with it - I hate it when the fate of the game (especially the final) is decided in a penalty shoot-out and if I'm rooting for some team (it was Roma), then regardless of the outcome, it's hard for me to sleep afterwards. But now I don't have to worry about the results of the last round in La Liga and Serie A - the defeat of Roma ruined my multibet - better this waythan if it was ruined by some of the last "reliable" results.

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June 05, 2023, 06:25:28 PM
 #1151

Excuse my ignorance. I totally forgot to tell it other day. In the last round we had six yellow cap winners including me [my first in the pool LOL]. Do we have a prize for yellow cap and for six guys in a round how will it be given?

UEFA Champions League - Winner

Manchester City 1.20

Inter Milano 4.40
Good value for Milano especially considering the history City have in CL LOL

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June 05, 2023, 06:42:48 PM
 #1152

Excuse my ignorance. I totally forgot to tell it other day. In the last round we had six yellow cap winners including me [my first in the pool LOL]. Do we have a prize for yellow cap and for six guys in a round how will it be given?

No, the number of games is too few for a reasonable number of winners  Cheesy

Hey guys, yeah, sorry but I don't think there are any more yellow cap freebets -- am actually surprised Superbru still gave them out, they definitely don't count scores even in weeks with fewer than 10 games (or more than 10) for purposes of their own SB prize.
~

UEFA Champions League - Winner

Manchester City 1.20

Inter Milano 4.40
Good value for Milano especially considering the history City have in CL LOL

Unfortunately, the streaks tend to end, although on the other hand City's winning streak is already too long and it would be time for them to lose  Grin
There seems to be a general consensus in the football community that "Cities are great and will win the treble" as if they had already won it. I hope fate once again laughs at those who are celebrating in advance or believe that "everything has already been decided."

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June 07, 2023, 03:03:24 PM
 #1153

What do you expect in final match Man City vs Inter?

Honestly my expectation is to see a comfortable Manchester City victory. Manchester City deserved to be in the finale from the beginning to the end. That performance against Real Madrid in the second leg was just amazing.  Grin  They got a win like that despite Haaland's not having any contribution with a goal. But I don't think Haaland would be that much ineffective this time in the finale.

I'm expecting Haaland to have a nice contribution with at least one goal. Inter defenders will have a really big responsibility in this match. Inzaghi needs to think about every defending style to make their opponent have some difficulties. But if Manchester City score an early goal I don't think Inter can do much after that.

 
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June 07, 2023, 03:23:25 PM
 #1154

no matter do I like it or not, but City deserves to take this title more than Inter
but, it is a one match game, and that could bring a surprise, esoecially if Inter does their part and get at least through first half without conceiving goals

if City gets up early, it could bring a catastrophe for Inter
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June 07, 2023, 08:34:04 PM
 #1155

What do you expect in final match Man City vs Inter?

Honestly my expectation is to see a comfortable Manchester City victory. Manchester City deserved to be in the finale from the beginning to the end. That performance against Real Madrid in the second leg was just amazing.  Grin  They got a win like that despite Haaland's not having any contribution with a goal. But I don't think Haaland would be that much ineffective this time in the finale.

I'm expecting Haaland to have a nice contribution with at least one goal. Inter defenders will have a really big responsibility in this match. Inzaghi needs to think about every defending style to make their opponent have some difficulties. But if Manchester City score an early goal I don't think Inter can do much after that.
City is playing a great season and you can't possibly cover or their attackers. You need to double up on haaland and that leaves more space for wingers and midfielders. Gundogan is the one that used it best in last couple of matches.

I don't see a way for Inter to win this match. Only thing going in their favor is that it is just one game and something strange like early red card can throw the game upside down.

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June 09, 2023, 01:05:55 AM
 #1156

I don't see a way for Inter to win this match. Only thing going in their favor is that it is just one game and something strange like early red card can throw the game upside down.
Same here. For Inter to win this, quite a few things need to go massively wrong for Man City. Like you've said an early red card, Haaland having a really bad day, penalty for Inter or multiple things from that list.
And meanwhile, Inter needs to have luck like being efficient or getting 50/50 calls from the referee because I can't imagine how Man City will allow Inter many big chances in a normal game. Even if Inter will get big chances, Man City will most likely get more big chances.

But even then, Man City has been strong even when Haaland didn't score, like recent goals from Gundogan. And in ther national leagues as well, Man City has shown a great performance (okay, Arsenal contributed to that impression  Cheesy), while Inter's performance in Serie A has been very mixed...

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June 09, 2023, 09:24:33 AM
 #1157

City money must really be coming in so hard for the casinos because today I see Inter is almost 7x to win in regular time and 4x to lift the trophy.

Previously only around 5x or 6x. So everyone put money on City thinking easy money. I don't blame them, I would the same for myself.

One interesting difference I see is Pep doesn't use all 5 subs, or at least not until his gameplan doesn't work out. On the other hand, Inter uses max subs very consistently, so they have a plan which they already seem used to. Ask all players to play max effort 60/70 minutes and throw replacements to play absolute max another 30 mins plus possibly ET.

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June 09, 2023, 06:53:07 PM
 #1158

Great coverage here in Argentina made by ESPN, they put to City glories. Tevez and Aguero.

Here in the pic below talking with Lautaro Martinez.




In other scene Aguero talks with Guardiola and Guardiola invite him to the hotel to take the dinner with all the squad. Also he make a joke to him about Messi going to Miami where he its now living.

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June 09, 2023, 07:36:22 PM
 #1159

Great coverage here in Argentina made by ESPN, they put to City glories. Tevez and Aguero.

Here in the pic below talking with Lautaro Martinez.




In other scene Aguero talks with Guardiola and Guardiola invite him to the hotel to take the dinner with all the squad. Also he make a joke to him about Messi going to Miami where he its now living.

I hope Lautaro Martinez can steal the trophy from Guardiola's hands by managing to show an extra performance in the final match. As the final match is in my city, Istanbul I tried very much to buy a ticket but unfortunately I couldn't. It will be a disappointment for me to watch a Champions League finale to be played in Istanbul on television.

 
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R


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June 09, 2023, 07:47:42 PM
 #1160

City money must really be coming in so hard for the casinos because today I see Inter is almost 7x to win in regular time and 4x to lift the trophy.

Previously only around 5x or 6x. So everyone put money on City thinking easy money. I don't blame them, I would the same for myself.

One interesting difference I see is Pep doesn't use all 5 subs, or at least not until his gameplan doesn't work out. On the other hand, Inter uses max subs very consistently, so they have a plan which they already seem used to. Ask all players to play max effort 60/70 minutes and throw replacements to play absolute max another 30 mins plus possibly ET.

I don't blame them either,I would do the same and in this pool is an interesting fact,for the last prize spot there quite some persons that in theory could be there tomorrow,I would add more to it if some people have the only option to get a very unique result as they have got nothing to lose like putting 0-3 for Inter as a correct score,I would do the same.In fact I don't know what score to put in,I am between 2-0 and 4-1 for City as I too believe in an easy victory tomorrow night for them.It can even end 0-0 if Inter decides to park the bus and try to go to additional times and penalties,so a lot of scenarios for tomorrow.One thing is sure I will put a lot of money on Manchester City to win the game despite the low odd.

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