Wall Observer Anthology

[philipma1957]

Gave you 21 merits for a  nice thread idea.

[fillippone]

Some of this would likely be better if it were an interactive webpage with the ability to filter out certain outliers.

This stuff is very interesting, though.

The WO thread arguably has its own community and does have its own set of rules. I would almost describe it as its own chatroom separate from the rest of the forum. I am curious as to how many people have only ever posted in the WO (and how many have posted >9x% of their posts in the WO).

I do agree.
There are better formats than a static forum page.

Probably a Wikipedia, or, in a more modern way, an LLM fed on that data.
This is for another life, when BTC will moon, I will be able to fire this project.

[fluffaloo]

Anyone who has spent some time on this forum knows the Wall Observer BTC/USD, or simply "the WO". For those who don't: it's the Bitcoin price discussion thread in the Speculation board, opened on April 16, 2013 by adamstgBit and later taken over by infofront.

It was born in the middle of the MtGox era, with the price having just crashed from $266 to around $50, as a simple tracker of the order book "walls" (hence the name). Over more than thirteen years it has become much more than that: it is one of the longest and most-read threads on the entire forum, with more than 36,000 pages, over 700,000 posts, and more than 27 million reads.

The WO has lived through the whole history of Bitcoin in real time: the fall of MtGox, the 2017 bubble and the long winter that followed, the March 2020 crash, the 2021 highs, FTX, the ETFs, $100k.
Those pages contain analysis, insights, predictions that proved right, and others that turned out spectacularly wrong. They capture the excitement of rallies, the fear of crashes, the endless arguments, the memes, and the jokes that became part of a shared language. And they contain the people: users whose knowledge, humour, stubbornness, and personalities have given the Wall Observer its identity.

And that is exactly the problem. The WO is a hugely successful thread, but for an outsider, it is almost impenetrable. Nobody can read 36,000 pages; opening a page of the WO often means stepping into a conversation that began many years earlier. A joke refers to a distant episode, a nickname carries a story, and a seemingly baffling reply points back thousands of pages. Reading the latest posts only gives you part of the picture. Recovering that context from the beginning would take an enormous amount of time. The result is that an enormous amount of this community's memory risks staying buried, accessible only to those who lived it (and, as time goes by, not even to them).

the beauty of it is precisely this, following a discussion and trying to understand all the secrets that can also be fundamental for predicting how things may go in the future, because one thing is certain, Bitcoin is cyclical and always faces the path in the same way, and this is also why i rely on it so much,
even if WO there are 36,000 pages i follow it carefully in a very concentrated way to get ideas for the future!

[buffetto]

The WO has lived through the whole history of Bitcoin in real time: the fall of MtGox, the 2017 bubble and the long winter that followed, the March 2020 crash, the 2021 highs, FTX, the ETFs, $100k.
Those pages contain analysis, insights, predictions that proved right, and others that turned out spectacularly wrong. They capture the excitement of rallies, the fear of crashes, the endless arguments, the memes, and the jokes that became part of a shared language. And they contain the people: users whose knowledge, humour, stubbornness, and personalities have given the Wall Observer its identity.

Doing historical analyzes makes a lot of sense, it helps us understand the future.
In fact, we must be honest, bitcoin has performed very well but we can say that Wall Street has also performed well in this period.

How will it deal with a collapse? We will see if bitcoin is a good asset in my opinion very soon.

[fillippone]

Guys, just to drive expectations, I think I am going to publish a weekly update on this thread, so both I have enough time to make a good work, and you have time to comment without being wiped out by data. Every week I will post the pair of posts related to a specific year. Next weekend: 2014, brace yourself!

[Decimation]

Guys, just to drive expectations, I think I am going to publish a weekly update on this thread, so both I have enough time to make a good work, and you have time to comment without being wiped out by data. Every week I will post the pair of posts related to a specific year. Next weekend: 2014, brace yourself!

This is a good idea because this update will keep the thread active and since the thread remains active, everyone will be able to keep the updates up to date. Since you think it would be good to update every week then do that, but if you still think there is a problem, you can make it monthly.

[fillippone]

Wall Observer BTC/USD Report: 2014

₿ Bitcoin Trend - 2014

Fig. 1. Market Trend

📈 Historical Post Trend (5 Years)

Fig. 2. Monthly Post Volume in Wall Observer Thread

📈 Historical Merit Trend (5 Years)

Fig. 3. Monthly Merit Volume in Wall Observer Thread

📊 Annual Comparison

Fig. 4. Annual Statistics Comparison

💎 Top Merited Content

1. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by kenji (+4) 2. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by Richy_T (+2) 3. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by adamstgBit (+1) 4. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by JayJuanGee (+1) 5. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by JayJuanGee (+1) 6. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by kkaspar (+1) 7. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by aminorex (+1) 8. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by polyclef (+1) 9. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by N12 (+1)

📊 Correlation BTC Price ↔ Post Volume

Fig. 5. Monthly Correlation Between BTC Price Change and Post Volume

🔄 Merit Flow (Chord Diagram)

Fig. 6. Merit transfers between users

🏆 Top Merit Receivers

Pos	Δ Pos	User	2014	2013	Δ Merit	BPIP	BitList
----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
🥇	🆕	kenji	4		🆕		-
🥈	▲(1)	Richy_T	2	6	▼(-4)
🥈	🆕	JayJuanGee	2		🆕
4	▼(-2)	adamstgBit	1	16	▼(-15)
4	🆕	kkaspar	1		🆕
4	▲(1)	aminorex	1	1	=
4	🆕	polyclef	1		🆕		-
4	🆕	N12	1		🆕

📤 Top 10 Merit Senders

Pos	Δ Pos	User	2014	2013	Δ Merit Sent	BPIP	BitList
----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
🥇	▲(2)	OgNasty	4	99	▼(-95)
🥈	🆕	PoolMinor	3		🆕
🥈	▲(8 )	vapourminer	3	16	▼(-13)
4	🆕	marlboroza	1		🆕
4	🆕	Last of the V8s	1		🆕
4	🆕	LFC_Bitcoin	1		🆕

🏆 Top Posters

Pos	Δ Pos	User	2014	2013	Δ Posts	BPIP	BitList
----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
🥇	=	ChartBuddy	7547	3998	▲(3549)
🥈	=	adamstgBit	5042	2681	▲(2361)
🥉	🆕	JayJuanGee	3772		🆕
4	🆕	JorgeStolfi	3355		🆕
5	🆕	fonzie	2549		🆕
6	▲(29)	ShroomsKit	2396	451	▲(1945)
7	🆕	NotLambchop	2312		🆕
8	🆕	empowering	1830		🆕
9	🆕	billyjoeallen	1797		🆕
10	▲(9)	Davyd05	1772	587	▲(1185)
11	🆕	aminorex	1746		🆕
12	🆕	podyx	1662		🆕
13	🆕	dreamspark	1509		🆕
14	▲(12)	TERA	1489	518	▲(971)
15	▲(23)	mmitech	1388	443	▲(945)
16	▼(-11)	seleme	1362	1075	▲(287)
17	▼(-8 )	Richy_T	1313	805	▲(508 )
18	▲(3)	windjc	1309	540	▲(769)
19	▲(25)	spooderman	1263	401	▲(862)
20	▼(-3)	derpinheimer	1227	602	▲(625)
21	🆕	magicmexican	1192		🆕
22	🆕	chessnut	1023		🆕
23	▲(33)	oda.krell	992	327	▲(665)
24	▼(-13)	macsga	988	685	▲(303)
25	=	N12	984	518	▲(466)

🏆 All-Time Top 25 Posters

#	User	Posts	%
----	----	----	----
🥇	ChartBuddy	11,545	5.6%
🥈	adamstgBit	7,723	3.8%
🥉	JayJuanGee	3,772	1.8%
4	JorgeStolfi	3,414	1.7%
5	ShroomsKit	2,847	1.4%
6	fonzie	2,549	1.2%
7	seleme	2,437	1.2%
8	Davyd05	2,359	1.1%
9	NotLambchop	2,312	1.1%
10	Richy_T	2,118	1.0%
11	TERA	2,007	1.0%
12	windjc	1,849	0.9%
13	aminorex	1,833	0.9%
14	mmitech	1,831	0.9%
15	empowering	1,830	0.9%
16	derpinheimer	1,829	0.9%
17	billyjoeallen	1,800	0.9%
18	macsga	1,673	0.8%
19	spooderman	1,664	0.8%
20	podyx	1,662	0.8%
21	Walsoraj	1,635	0.8%
22	Rampion	1,543	0.7%
23	dreamspark	1,518	0.7%
24	N12	1,502	0.7%
25	wachtwoord	1,456	0.7%

🏅 All-Time Top 10 Merit Receivers

#	User	Merits
----	----	----
🥇	infofront	675
🥈	adamstgBit	17
🥉	Richy_T	8
4	kenji	4
5	aminorex	2
6	JayJuanGee	2
7	jojo69	2
8	kkaspar	1
9	N12	1
10	polyclef	1

Cumulative WO statistics for posts published through 2014-12-31 (inclusive, UTC): 205,777 posts from 2,967 accounts | 713 all-time observed merits on those posts, including awards sent in later years. Post coverage: 2013-04-16 to 2014-12-31; ChartBuddy included. Merit totals reflect the acquired snapshot, not the balance at year-end.

[fillippone]

Wall Observer Anthology 2014: Falling Prices, Unbroken Conversation

The year in the thread

The Wall Observer's 2014 was a year of falling prices, exchange distrust, and stubborn companionship. January's optimism already faced questions about liquidity, trapped transfers, and the difference between conviction and an inability to sell. February brought Mt. Gox balances, withdrawals, and accountability to the foreground. Anger and uncertainty also produced elaborate verse mocking the exchange.

Spring's recovery attempts reopened disputes about Chinese policy, trading volume, and whether charts helped traders or merely explained yesterday. June's seized-bitcoin auction gave the thread rules and practical buying problems to inspect. Personal decisions remained central: JayJuanGee described accumulating, while mmitech said trading gains had paid debts and bought time with family.

By August, Newbie1022 described disrupted sleep and daily routines. September sharpened arguments about whether falling prices undermined adoption. October's enormous Bitstamp sell wall became a collective spectacle, although its owner and purpose remained unknown. November's rally revived hopes; December returned to accumulation, exhaustion, and Christmas greetings.

Trains, moon journeys, daily doubling, cryogenic holding, and imaginary monks kept uncertainty sociable. Quotation attention could mean admiration, irritation, or outright disagreement. The year's recurring achievement was keeping the conversation alive while its participants struggled to agree on what the market meant.

Supporting posts: molecular; JorgeStolfi; JorgeStolfi; humanitee; gizmoh; mmitech.


Five posts with the strongest observed impact

Pre-merit era: merit counts provide little basis for comparing these posts; all five selected here have 0 recorded merits. The selection and its interpretation remain substantially discretionary, shaped by editorial choices, scoring weights, and archive coverage. Quotation counts document attention, which may reflect disagreement, provocation, or repeated replies rather than approval. The numerical scores support this selection; their precision does not make it an objective ranking of historical importance or market influence.

1. ShroomsKit's farewell and promised returns after further drops
ShroomsKit declared Bitcoin dead, said earlier holdings had been sold, mocked buyers at 400, and promised a return after every $50 decline. The farewell led the annual selection by observed quotation attention; the replies establish neither agreement nor market influence.
Observed attention: 12 people quoting, 20 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 98.034/100. After the year: 1 quoting post from 1 distinct participant in the acquired archive.

2. A bare link pointing to a proposed Bitcoin ban
magicmexican supplied only a Business Insider link whose visible path referred to a senator calling for a Bitcoin ban. The article was not inspected. The ranking records attention to the news pointer, without establishing the proposal's details or consequences.
Observed attention: 13 people quoting, 13 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 96.005/100. After the year: 0 quoting posts from 0 distinct participants in the acquired archive.

3. Nemesis claims the market
Nemesis asked whether the situation was more fun and boasted of owning the market. The claim attracted broad quotation attention amid October's wall watching, but supplies no evidence of actual control or responsibility for the sell wall.
Observed attention: 10 people quoting, 10 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 87.232/100. After the year: 0 quoting posts from 0 distinct participants in the acquired archive.

4. An image-only response attracts substantial quotation attention
TheKoziTwo's own text is empty and the image is unavailable. Reply context concerned proving that funds had been sent to Gox. The quotation count makes the response conspicuous, while the visual message remains unknown.
Observed attention: 9 people quoting, 9 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 83.764/100. After the year: 0 quoting posts from 0 distinct participants in the acquired archive.

5. TERA claims a resistance call worked near 660
TERA said a predicted $666 resistance had come into play at $660 and expected little further movement for weeks. Its prominence records attention to a participant's assessment of a call, rather than independently established forecasting success.
Observed attention: 9 people quoting, 9 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 83.764/100. After the year: 0 quoting posts from 0 distinct participants in the acquired archive.


Month by month: the five leading discussions

The original monthly involvement ranking combines post volume, distinct participants, quoting posts, and active days; it is not a simple post-count ranking. Themes overlap. Detailed theme counts remain in the full edition; all source links are retained. Forecasts, personal accounts, and allegations remain attributed claims; jokes are not factual reports. Unavailable images and unread linked articles have not been reconstructed.


January 2014

1. Bitcoin's January price swings and uncertain direction

January swung between relief and fear. virtualfaqs reported panic-selling at a loss and closing charts because concentration had become impossible. adamstgBit hoped a bottom would bring new highs; SantaMuerte later described Bitstamp dropping from 750 to 740 within seconds.

2. Community culture, trust and forum conduct

medialab101 celebrated nearly 4,000 pages with train enthusiasm, and vpk found reassurance in hearing Trace discuss Bitcoin. kurious instead saw discussion becoming adversarial: even a reasonable position invited interrogation. Holding roughly one-quarter fiat made that complaint personal.

3. Exchange prices, order books and arbitrage

T.Stuart thought Bitstamp was taking the lead from Gox. TERA warned that thinner depth could make a large sale much more damaging. medialab101's report of a $15,000 BTC-e deposit unresolved after a month exposed a practical obstacle to apparent arbitrage: moving the money.

4. Bitcoin's long-term value and adoption prospects

JorgeStolfi (see also JorgeStolfi) asked how payment activity translated into a base value per coin. MakeBelieve expected wider awareness and a price above $2,000 within twelve months; mestar calculated the fresh money a larger projection would require if miners sold their output. The mechanisms remained disputed. Payment use, adoption hopes, and the supply of coins for sale offered different ways to frame value, without resolving what price the market should assign.

5. Technical analysis, forecasting and statistical limits

Holliday challenged a repeatedly wrong graph. notme argued for fat-tailed price distributions, while JorgeStolfi distinguished confidence for one future interval from confidence for an entire month. JorgeStolfi's later qualifications about short swings and sample size kept the mathematics provisional.

Memes and running jokes

Bull-conversion wallpaper. prof7bit (6 people quoting, 6 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) advertised wallpaper as an endorphin-releasing treatment that would convert bears into bulls. The text carries the mock sales pitch; the picture is unseen.

They will never take Rpitelia alive. bangersdad (5 people quoting, 5 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) gave Rpitelia a theatrical last stand: he would not be taken alive. The surrounding circumstances are unclear; no actual arrest is established.


February 2014

1. Mt. Gox customers, losses and accountability

JorgeStolfi distinguished customer balances from Gox's actual assets and debts, then JorgeStolfi condemned accepting deposits during suspended withdrawals. magicmexican relayed a disputed account of protesters and staff harassment. Loozik asked which balances might fare better in Japanese bankruptcy proceedings.

2. Bitcoin's price outlook, downturn and recovery

mah87 asked why prices were crashing, then mah87 declared the bubble finished. kkaspar wanted a fall toward $200 before recovery; TERA expected consolidation before a break through $520. cbutters treated the bounce as a crossroads and explicitly admitted the larger trend remained unknown.

3. Buying, selling, holding and personal trading decisions

Nemo1024 welcomed buy orders filled at $10 intervals and Nemo1024 warned against chasing the lowest entry. UnDerDoG81 regretted buying forty coins at 680 before a cheaper opportunity. TERA's mostly fiat position brought a different fear: exchanges disappearing with the cash.

4. Small cultural, computing and everyday asides

BitChick invented an epiphany diet, KeyserSoze recalled a childhood day lost to Atari Pacman, and fonzie offered an unidentified weekend soundtrack. MikeH's wish to leave Australia added personal dissatisfaction to the diversions. Exchange crisis and ordinary conversation continued together. Diet jokes, childhood memories, music, and the wish to move elsewhere show how the thread also served as an everyday meeting place.

5. Order books, walls, liquidity and market data

OldGeek watched a 300-coin BTC-e bid at 700 disappear through selling. analytics alleged repeated placement and cancellation of large orders. JorgeStolfi's manually collected volume tables carried warnings about errors, missing coverage, and a suspicious BTC-China burst he excluded.

Memes and running jokes

Jury duty requires prior murder. JorgeStolfi (5 people quoting, 5 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) mocked the demand to own Bitcoin before discussing it: jury service had not required committing murder. The dark analogy was a joke about firsthand expertise.

The Night Before Goxxing. humanitee (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) turned a Christmas poem into a hostile parody of broken withdrawals, slow announcements, and vanished solvency. Its imagined scenes belong to satire.


March 2014

1. Forum civility, moderation, and participation

octaft (see also octaft) urged sourced, polite answers to newcomers, including for the benefit of silent readers. JayJuanGee questioned whether every contribution was useful while stressing that he had no moderation powers. The tension was how to keep discussion substantive without shutting out skeptical questions.

2. Price levels, walls, rallies, and reversals

phatsphere watched bids shift between 620 and 625 as a 650 wall grew; pietje wondered about breaking 700. TERA claimed a resistance call around 666 had worked at 660. By month's end, MoreFun wanted stronger volume before calling the fight at $500 a bottom.

3. The March bear market, bottom calls, and recovery

GreekGeek compared the downturn with 2011 and warned that fresh money might take a long time to return. billyjoeallen doubted enough coins had changed hands for a final bottom. windjc found rebound buying too weak for a convincing capitulation story. A bounce settled little.

4. Bitcoin charts, exchange data, and analytical tools

JorgeStolfi found missing Bitstamp minutes in Bitcoinwisdom and JorgeStolfi warned about manual volume-table errors and incomplete venue coverage. Richy_T proposed a daily volatility measure for ChartBuddy. Better observation depended on checking both the inputs and the construction of the statistics.

5. Buying, selling, and holding through the downturn

roslinpl urged calm and possible accumulation. JayJuanGee described being afraid both to buy and sell, then JayJuanGee reported costly purchases down from roughly $610 without yet reaching the selling half of his plan. bamsbamx registered to ask what HODL meant: even familiar shorthand needed explaining.

Memes and running jokes

China is a country in Asia. Ivanhoe (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) appended a sarcastic geography lesson for Americans to a report that China was moving again, turning exchange watching into national teasing.

Crypto-friendly genes meet Walmart. JorgeStolfi (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) imagined Walmart diets removing Bitcoin-friendly genes through natural selection. Gift-card shopping supplied the context for the deliberately absurd causal chain.


April 2014

1. April price levels, walls and trading ranges

uhoh preferred a shakeout toward $300 to an immediate rise. Long-term bull seanneko suspected a bull trap, asking why buyers suddenly wanted coins available more cheaply a week earlier. dreamspark watched a 522-BTC wall at $475; keithers later saw $500 becoming a psychological barrier.

2. Forum jokes, memes, creative projects and banter

adamstgBit proposed freezing himself until a $1 million coin or 2020. bitcoinsrus offered imaginary time travel to a regretful buyer, p0peji requested a train picture, and frienemy offered home recording equipment for a collective Rallye Song. Waiting became material for jokes and projects.

3. Order books, large trades and manipulation allegations

mmitech called Huobi walls phantom orders; JorgeStolfi insisted that explaining how volume could be fabricated did not prove fabrication. porcupine87 questioned repeated 115.98-BTC bids, while CoinThinker read bid-heavy depth as bullish. The visible books did not reveal their owners' intentions. Participants disagreed over whether displayed liquidity could be trusted and what, if anything, it predicted about the next move.

4. Trading methods, leverage and risk management

chessnut warned that a day trader and long-term holder might both be right yet mislead a newcomer using the wrong horizon. octaft cautioned against guarantees, desperate investment, and leverage. TERA defended indicators; sidhujag stressed emotional execution and a potentially narrow edge.

5. Personal holdings, buying and selling decisions

JayJuanGee planned continued averaging and said he could wait years. serenitys, still awaiting verification for a first coin, feared missing a rise and asked whether the code guaranteed exponential growth. seleme did not know when serious buying should begin. Conviction coexisted with basic confusion.

Memes and running jokes

Cryogenic HODLing. adamstgBit (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) made the long wait for riches literal with an imaginary freezing arrangement: thaw at $1 million per coin or in 2020. The image is unavailable.

The endlessly postponed China ban. Hen0xyd (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) proposed counting China's Bitcoin bans and their postponed deadlines, admitting uncertainty even about the starting count. Repeated finality became the joke.


May 2014

1. Market direction, rallies and resistance

simtal wondered whether to buy after months of waiting; keithers welcomed a return above $500. MahaRamana emphasized the proportional gain from the bottom. RUEHL later watched 630 resistance for a double top or breakthrough, while bigdave's pump-and-dump question preserved doubts about durability.

2. Wall Observer humor, rituals and community exchanges

freebit13 insisted a real pump required trains and CCMF; JulieFig proposed a party when price passed the page count. JimboToronto offered a personal recollection of CCMF's origins. TERA took diversification beyond investing, imagining a portfolio of religions as insurance against hell.

3. Charts and competing technical-analysis methods

oda.krell distinguished strict trendlines from ones allowing wick violations, while studio1one credited a three-day MACD signal. JorgeStolfi favored external explanations for major moves. p0peji questioned why bearish calls met skepticism while bullish Elliott Wave predictions drew enthusiasm.

4. China policy rumors and market influence

windjc considered exchange closures or offshore moves significant but allowed for workarounds past a reported deadline. JorgeStolfi emphasized Chinese influence, Azeh asked what drove a pump, and fonzie asserted another month-end ban. These remained contemporary claims rather than verified policy findings.

5. Small jokes, cultural references and everyday asides

JorgeStolfi enjoyed Google Translate's versions of Huobi and Litecoin and JorgeStolfi boasted of doubling holdings daily. edwardspitz defended an eight-legged spider drawing; ErisDiscordia proclaimed readers Discordian popes while forbidding agreement. Language, mock religion, and inflated boasting filled the gaps.

Memes and running jokes

A diversified portfolio of religions. TERA (5 people quoting, 5 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) imagined spreading belief across religions to reduce the risk of hell, borrowing investment vocabulary for spiritual insurance.

Facts U Dislike. Facts U Dislike split the audience: dropt (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) disliked it, oda.krell (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) criticized its overuse, and N12 (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) defended it against dismissing unwelcome news as FUD. Repetition also drew irritation.


June 2014

1. June price swings, trading ranges and market direction

keithers welcomed consolidation at 650-666. oda.krell offered two readings of a drop: preparation for another rise or an exhausted rally. YipYip warned that losing 551 support could bring 480; blatchcorn called a decline a bear trap. The same moves sustained competing recovery stories.

2. Exchange liquidity, order books and price discovery

Ivanhoe found a 1,000-BTC ask wall appearing late on one charting service. Raystonn anticipated closer exchange prices through better broker access. _javi_ questioned Chinese turnover, while CoinThinker took bid-heavy Bitstamp depth as a reason to hold. Measurement and interpretation remained intertwined.

3. Personal Bitcoin finances, risk and trading decisions

JayJuanGee considered dividing roughly $20,000 into three purchases. mmitech said trading gains had paid debts and enabled two years with family; mmitech defended cash for food, housing, and education. Sandia, possibly unable to buy again for months, wanted an objective view of downside risk.

4. Technical analysis, chart patterns and indicator disputes

jl2012 saw weekly MACD turn up while daily MACD turned down. aminorex defended the long-term logarithmic trend; invested participant nrd525 doubted its growth rate could last. oda.krell requested rigorous testing. Exposure to Bitcoin did not imply faith in every bullish chart.

5. The Silk Road auction's rules, bidders and reported results

gizmoh reproduced auction rules including a $200,000 deposit and separate blocks. Youghoor considered selling beforehand; wobber compared large auction buying with exchange slippage. gentlemand relayed a syndicate's forty-two bidders and 186 bids, with winners still awaiting notification.

Memes and running jokes

One BTC buys the whole world. JorgeStolfi (9 people quoting, 9 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) asked whether one BTC would buy all world wealth by 2027. aminorex (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) extended the exaggeration to lost coins and Earth joining a galactic council.

The market hates anthropomorphism. aminorex (5 people quoting, 5 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) warned against giving the market human motives, then immediately gave it an emotion: it disliked anthropomorphism.


July 2014

1. July's market direction and bear-market outlook

JayJuanGee considered $550 possible but thought $500 needed major bad news; deadley welcomed an upward turn. Newbie1022 stressed weak participation and fragile bids. ShroomsKit declared Bitcoin failing. The certainty of some forecasts exceeded what the disagreement could establish.

2. Bitcoin humor, memes, and forum diversions

podyx proposed a Bitcoin song combining lows, trains, arguments, and holding until death. Wary described aminorex's magic monkey as a personified trading indicator. JerryCurlzzz offered liftoff enthusiasm; jl2012 framed a future party ticket as a lottery-like chance. The forum supplied its own characters.

3. Technical analysis and prediction credibility

ShroomsKit accused technical analysis of endlessly announcing decision points and ShroomsKit criticized finding patterns afterward. empowering defended charts as decision tools rather than guarantees. JorgeStolfi preferred fitted lines to noisy high-low trendlines; windjc doubted indefinitely sustainable logarithmic growth.

4. July support and resistance tests

podyx offered a bet against prices ever falling below $640. wasserman99 later hoped 590 would hold; zby questioned a vanished 575 wall, and drez outlined conditional defenses at 560, 540, and 515. ShroomsKit's return to an all-in position after panic trading captured the shifting outlook.

5. Holding, buying dips, and investment risk

Ron~Popeil found bear markets easier for long-term accumulation. hodlmybtc feared missing a rise by selling to rebuy slightly lower and claimed unsold losses did not count. iram3130 warned that newcomers acted on advice. An adjacent borrowing dispute involving wachtwoord concerned Ripple, not proven Bitcoin trading skill.

Memes and running jokes

A printing press cures trading paralysis. aminorex (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) answered trading hesitation with a mock Heidelberg printing-press advertisement: imaginary currency output would eliminate liquidity worries and risk.

The permanently high page-count plateau. justusranvier (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) imagined Irving Fisher declaring the thread's page count a permanently high plateau, transferring market confidence to the forum's own growth.


August 2014

1. The August decline, bottoms and changing price levels

ShroomsKit asked why price kept falling if cheap coins delighted everyone. Tzupy watched bids retreat before $500 broke. Chuckee interpreted the earlier rise to 680 as a temporary return to normal before more decline; bigdave later celebrated being above 500 again. Relief repeatedly gave way to doubt.

2. Bear-market outlook, capitulation and Bitcoin's survival

falllling forecast successive drops and capitulation; ShroomsKit said he had sold his remaining coins. Torque treated bearish sentiment as a contrarian buying signal. JorgeStolfi read the May rise and retreat as buyers changing their minds, distinguishing serious opinion from his comic language.

3. Trading strategy, accumulation and personal exposure

fallinglantern described fixed monthly purchases. JayJuanGee suggested small weekly accumulation within one's means. bigasic considered selling more than a hundred coins to rebuy lower but remembered being burned; billyjoeallen returned with cash hoping for a crash. Different regrets produced different plans.

4. Trading stress, wellbeing and risk discipline

Newbie1022 described disrupted eating, exercise, sleep, and bathing. N12 urged relief from constant financial monitoring. abercrombie reported losses from repeatedly trying to catch a bottom, and ShroomsKit criticized panic-buying and selling. The decline was also damaging everyday routines.

5. Forum conduct, moderation and recurring personalities

AmazonStuff missed polite analysis; magicmexican suggested ignoring accounts with fewer than ten posts. BitChick challenged assumptions of pomposity about Risto, while gizmoh questioned his castle spending. The exchanges concerned reputation and status without independently establishing motives or finances.

Memes and running jokes

Bitcoin at $1,000 in 3.4 hours. adamstgBit (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) extrapolated a $1 gain in two minutes into a $1,000 coin in 3.4 hours, complete with trains: a parody of tiny moves yielding enormous targets.

Adam is the entire thread. Bittings (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) imagined the entire thread as Adam talking to himself, then doubted even Bittings was real. The joke exaggerates alternate-account suspicions, without validating them.


September 2014

1. Bitcoin's decline, possible bottom, and price levels

Chuckee judged $400 too high; Wandererfromthenorth stressed weak volume and broken support. Newbie1022 interpreted a rise through possible short-covering thresholds while admitting an uncovered short and prayer. Sandia feared lower prices were harming adoption. Neither optimism nor pessimism found a settled bottom.

2. Personal buying, selling, holding, and investment risk

JayJuanGee estimated a purchase average near $605 including costs; klee listed five-coin buys at 390, 380, and 370. Boxman90 argued that buying higher created no obligation to hold forever: current risk tolerance mattered. adamstgBit announced selling everything without explanation.

3. Forum jokes, memes, and playful market culture

TeeBone enjoyed ShroomsKit's sarcastic catalogue of cheap coins and lift-off while criticizing delight at losses. empowering hid bullish encouragement in binary. adamstgBit supplied a four-lights declaration. mmitech's gambling-site question, by contrast, was a serious inquiry within this broad humor theme.

4. Market manipulation, whales, order books, and trading mechanics

Sandia blamed large sellers for triggering panic and Sandia interpreted a 2,000-coin wall through that theory. DutchTrades urged emotional distance from walls. oda.krell distinguished useful same-exchange comparisons from aggregate volume distorted by cheap automated turnover. Coordinated manipulation remained unproved.

5. Bitcoin valuation, bubbles, and long-term prospects

wachtwoord separated improving value from short-term price. oda.krell invoked Bitcoin's recovery after 2011; Wandererfromthenorth countered that a bigger market required more demand and could survive while overvalued. Sandia feared falling purchasing power drove people away. Historical analogy offered no guarantee.

Memes and running jokes

Binary buy-buy-buy. empowering (5 people quoting, 5 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) hid buy-buy-buy encouragement, KHM's rescue, and confidence in holders inside binary text, then teased readers for bothering to decode it.

To the moon and back before year-end. wachtwoord (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) answered complaints about a poor year by allowing three and a half months for a trip to the moon and back. The remaining calendar became a rally joke.


October 2014

1. Price direction, October decline and bottom calls

nakaone wanted slow deterioration to end in a decisive selloff. blade87 expected the giant $300 wall's removal to unlock movement but would not choose $200 or $400. aclass distinguished agreement about a bottom from hope; jonoiv supplied a timed forecast and ShroomsKit declared doom.

2. Order-book walls and the 30,000-BTC Bitstamp episode

On October 5, uhoh read the 30,000-BTC wall as intimidation; inca considered several possible motives. adamstgBit reported over 6,000 coins bought after roughly ninety minutes. explorer later reported the wall gone after six hours and about 30,000 coins. Its owner and intention remained unknown. The sequence gave participants a shared event to follow, from interpreting the wall to counting purchases and reporting its disappearance.

3. Technical analysis, indicators and prediction credibility

Thomas-s asked about an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, with reply context requiring a high-volume break. mmitech warned that green MACD needed momentum; ShroomsKit compared chart lines to dice. jonoiv's precise forecast cited unspecified sources. Conditions and unsupported confidence shared the page.

4. Manipulation theories, whales and large sellers

Torque suspected endless selling suppressed price; ShroomsKit admitted not knowing who or why. drakoin made wallet analysis conditional on an unproved link to the seller. esse83 preferred ordinary supply and demand; JayJuanGee stressed varied reasons for transactions. No seller identity was established.

5. Holding, trading and managing personal financial risk

FNG defended holding through earlier bears; TsuyokuNaritai claimed a year of holding had never lost money. ShroomsKit's farewell promised visits after further drops. octaft demanded a plan capable of surviving zero, especially with debt: professed risk tolerance alone would not pay living costs.

Memes and running jokes

I own this market. Nemesis (10 people quoting, 10 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) boasted of owning the market, creating a conspicuous control gag amid whale and sell-wall theories. Quotation attention supplies no proof of ownership.

A perfectly straight rise for Shroomsy. N12 (5 people quoting, 5 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) asked whether anything short of a perfectly straight rise would satisfy Shroomsy, teasing recurring complaints about traders and dumpers.

Another quoted exchange combined a claim that adamstgBit's wife had left with a buy-back-lower joke; the personal claim is unverified.

Posts discussed in this qualification: adamstgBit; adamstgBit.


November 2014

1. November's rally, downturn, and market direction

Newbie1022 first expected a ceiling below $395 and a return to the low 300s. Miz4r and AmazonStuff later found recovery signs but wanted convincing volume. ParabellumLite argued turnover might reflect cheaper coins and trading rather than a changed mentality. The rally did not settle the larger trend.

2. Forum personalities, conduct, and moderation

criptix wondered about adamstgBit's absence before later welcomes marked his return. lyth0s challenged reciprocal name-calling, octaft defended moderators' restraint, and justusranvier rejected assumptions about his background. Familiarity brought concern about regulars, but also arguments over reputation.

3. Exchange prices, China, volume, and market manipulation claims

N12 suspected fake BTC-China volume and induced arbitrage. Phillis questioned a Chinese premium above $20; aspa asked whether reported turnover counted trades twice. An exchange involving ask corrected an alleged single 800-BTC sale. These were challenges to measurements, without independent proof of wash trading.

4. Trading skill, speculation, leverage, and short positions

oda.krell compared trading skill with poker; N12 emphasized the noise in short timeframes. Newbie1022 reported shorting at 381. DumbWoman said a short opened at $280 had caused an almost $24,000 loss. The personal accounts illustrated rally exposure without verifying positions or their eventual resolution.

5. Price levels, support, resistance, and market structure

cheekychap described two swings from roughly 320 to above 400 and back. ejinte wanted 399; Feri22 wanted 370 after another retreat. hdbuck considered a break through 380 potentially bullish, while reply context feared a fake-out. Each level could be destination, resistance, or disappointment.

Memes and running jokes

Doubling zero every day. MrPiggles (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) attacked the daily-doubling boast as misleading. Reply context supplied the arithmetic: doubling zero leaves zero, without establishing JorgeStolfi's actual balance.

Rockets before confirmation. oda.krell (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) mocked the thread for launching rockets and posting trains just before discovering whether celebration was warranted. Premature confidence supplied the joke.


December 2014

1. Bitcoin price outlook, bottoms and recovery

LFC_Bitcoin weighed holding against buying more amid boredom. riiiiising expected prices below $100; kenji asked about losing $300. billyjoeallen urged patience and warned against uninformed margin trades. dakota neat took resilience above 300 despite bearishness as bullish. Exhaustion and contrarian hope coexisted.

2. Buying dips, holding and personal investment risk

N12 separated forgone unrealized gains from losing invested money. LFC_Bitcoin posed a hypothetical $5,000 exit requiring no future purchases. JayJuanGee defended accumulation but acknowledged that continuing falls could exhaust cash. fonsie's theory about traders recouping Gox losses remained conjecture.

3. Forum etiquette, moderation and discussion quality

JimboToronto defended using ignore consistently; jaredboice proposed public ignore counts and filtering. njcarlos questioned self-moderation's limits, jertsy wanted less Ripple promotion, and LFC_Bitcoin questioned skeptics' commitment to posting. The boundaries of relevant, tolerable discussion stayed contested.

4. One-off jokes and short forum banter

coinableS offered escalating Christmas wordplay; cryyptc blamed an unruly alien hand. JayJuanGee compared CrazyRabbi's logic with a rabbit hole. jaberwock clarified that a story about finding and arresting Satoshi came from a joke site. The exchange records satire, not an actual arrest.

5. Forum greetings, rituals and milestones

Feri22 urged Christmas attention to family while excluding bears and trolls from his greeting. NotLambchop said good morning; explorer asked about ChartBuddy's baldness, with visual context unavailable. Elwar recalled earlier post deletions in a scramble for page 10,000, rather than dating that scramble to December.

Memes and running jokes

Christmas crypto reeducation. gentlemand (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) imagined replacing family presents with compulsory crypto presentations, discussion, and coding, then planning more reeducation. Relentless holiday evangelism became parody.

Three Tibetan monks run Bitcoin. grappa_barricata (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) imagined Bitcoin running on three Tibetan monks with abacuses. birr (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) asked which monks; grappa_barricata (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) said in a follow-up that one was memorizing SHA-256. The dialogue is textual; its image is unseen.

[fillippone]

I added the unofficial Wall Observer soundtrack to the OP:

https://youtu.be/4dAWLd6Yxgc

You can find it in this thread:

 MUSIC Watch the Wall -- The Unofficial Wall Observer Anthem

[NotATether]

For this grand project, I can give you Talksearch API access. Let me know if you want an API key with funded credits as a grant.

[fillippone]

For this grand project, I can give you Talksearch API access. Let me know if you want an API key with funded credits as a grant.

Thank you very much for the kind offer.
The database for this work is now local. I think I am self sufficient, for the moment. But I will let you know if something pop up to my mind.

[fillippone]

Wall Observer BTC/USD Report: 2015

₿ Bitcoin Trend - 2015

Fig. 1. Coin Metrics daily BTC/USD reference prices. Bars connect consecutive daily observations; HIGH and LOW are reference-series extremes, not intraday trading extremes.

📈 Historical Post Trend (April 2013-December 2015)

Fig. 2. Monthly Post Volume in Wall Observer Thread

📈 Historical Merit Trend (April 2013-December 2015)

Fig. 3. All observed merits grouped by the month of the receiving post, including awards made in later years.

📊 Annual Comparison

Fig. 4. Annual Statistics Comparison

💎 Top Merited Content

1. Automated posting by ChartBuddy (+57) 2. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by LFC_Bitcoin (+10) 3. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by tarmi (+5) 4. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by TankHankerous (+1) 5. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by mrkavasaki (+1) 6. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by Richy_T (+1)

📊 Correlation BTC Price ↔ Post Volume

Fig. 5. February-December 2015 (11 observations): within-month change in daily BTC/USD reference prices versus month-on-month post-volume change. The fitted curve is descriptive, not evidence of causation.

🔄 Merit Flow (Chord Diagram)

Fig. 6. Observed merit transfers on posts published in 2015, including later awards.

🏆 Top Merit Receivers

Pos	Δ Pos	User	2015	2014	Δ Merit	BPIP	BitList
----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
🥇	🆕	ChartBuddy	57		🆕
🥈	🆕	LFC_Bitcoin	10		🆕
🥉	🆕	tarmi	5		🆕
4	🆕	TankHankerous	1		🆕
4	🆕	mrkavasaki	1		🆕
4	▼(-2)	Richy_T	1	2	▼(-1)

📤 Top 10 Merit Senders (including ties)

Pos	Δ Pos	User	2015	2014	Δ Merit Sent	BPIP	BitList
----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
🥇	🆕	El duderino_	12		🆕
🥇	🆕	DirtyKeyboard	12		🆕
🥉	🆕	fillippone	11		🆕
4	🆕	Little Mouse	10		🆕
5	🆕	nutildah	8		🆕
6	🆕	LoyceV	6		🆕
7	▼(-5)	vapourminer	5	3	▲(2)
8	🆕	EFS	4		🆕
9	🆕	friends1980	2		🆕
10	🆕	HairyMaclairy	1		🆕
10	🆕	modrobert	1		🆕
10	🆕	HI-TEC99	1		🆕
10	🆕	franckuestein	1		🆕
10	🆕	blink	1		🆕

🏆 Top Posters

Pos	Δ Pos	User	2015	2014	Δ Posts	BPIP	BitList
----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
🥇	=	ChartBuddy	8479	7547	▲(932)
🥈	▲(110)	Fatman3001	3519	225	▲(3294)
🥉	▼(-1)	adamstgBit	1527	5042	▼(-3515)
4	▲(5)	billyjoeallen	1430	1797	▼(-367)
5	▲(46)	BlindMayorBitcorn	1421	474	▲(947)
6	▲(25)	inca	1348	859	▲(489)
7	=	NotLambchop	1293	2312	▼(-1019)
8	▲(54)	LFC_Bitcoin	1256	417	▲(839)
9	▼(-5)	JorgeStolfi	1221	3355	▼(-2134)
10	▲(238 )	Sitarow	1109	105	▲(1004)
11	▲(25)	tarmi	1096	756	▲(340)
12	🆕	Cconvert2G36	1091		🆕
13	▼(-10)	JayJuanGee	894	3772	▼(-2878 )
14	▲(12)	JimboToronto	881	928	▼(-47)
15	▼(-7)	empowering	872	1830	▼(-958 )
16	🆕	peonminer	852		🆕
17	▲(395)	aztecminer	821	45	▲(776)
18	▲(10)	hdbuck	797	893	▼(-96)
19	▲(841)	Norway	743	9	▲(734)
20	▲(4)	macsga	741	988	▼(-247)
21	▲(83)	gentlemand	701	241	▲(460)
22	▲(145)	ssmc2	693	162	▲(531)
23	▲(120)	marcus_of_augustus	691	180	▲(511)
24	▲(1584)	YourMother	684	1	▲(683)
25	▲(326)	damiano	650	59	▲(591)

🏆 All-Time Top 25 Posters

#	User	Posts	%
----	----	----	----
🥇	ChartBuddy	20,024	6.9%
🥈	adamstgBit	9,250	3.2%
🥉	JayJuanGee	4,666	1.6%
4	JorgeStolfi	4,635	1.6%
5	Fatman3001	3,744	1.3%
6	NotLambchop	3,605	1.3%
7	billyjoeallen	3,230	1.1%
8	ShroomsKit	3,035	1.1%
9	fonzie	2,873	1.0%
10	empowering	2,702	0.9%
11	Richy_T	2,612	0.9%
12	seleme	2,452	0.9%
13	macsga	2,414	0.8%
14	Davyd05	2,400	0.8%
15	JimboToronto	2,330	0.8%
16	podyx	2,255	0.8%
17	inca	2,211	0.8%
18	derpinheimer	2,160	0.7%
19	TERA	2,127	0.7%
20	tarmi	2,083	0.7%
21	spooderman	2,046	0.7%
22	mmitech	1,953	0.7%
23	aminorex	1,912	0.7%
24	BlindMayorBitcorn	1,895	0.7%
25	dreamspark	1,891	0.7%

🏅 All-Time Top 15 Merit Receivers

#	User	Merits
----	----	----
🥇	infofront	675
🥈	ChartBuddy	57
🥉	adamstgBit	17
4	LFC_Bitcoin	10
5	Richy_T	9
6	tarmi	5
7	kenji	4
8	aminorex	2
9	JayJuanGee	2
10	jojo69	2
11	kkaspar	1
12	mrkavasaki	1
13	N12	1
14	polyclef	1
15	TankHankerous	1

Cumulative WO statistics for posts published through 2015-12-31 (inclusive, UTC): 288,290 posts from 3,997 accounts | 788 all-time observed merits on those posts, including awards sent in later years. Post coverage: 2013-04-16 to 2015-12-31; ChartBuddy included. Merit totals reflect the acquired snapshot, not the balance at year-end.

[fillippone]

Wall Observer Anthology 2015: Waiting for the Bottom, Calling for the Moon

The year in the thread

Wall Observer's 2015 repeatedly declared the worst over, then doubted it. January's selloff forced painful choices: a cold-storage transfer delayed smashing's sale, while coinableS favored monthly purchases. Coinbase news revived hope without settling recovery's durability.

Spring brought bottom calls and wall suspicions. Norway neared break-even; cyclotronmajesty's losses mattered on a small budget. June and July revived $300 excitement and Greek speculation, without proving Greek buying caused the gains.

August's losses accompanied XT/Core disputes over capacity, fees and governance that returned in December. Autumn rallies mixed relief with reversal fears. Chef Ramsay described a difficult recovery; JimboToronto could not buy from a remote cabin. Coffee, donuts, trains and Bitcoin obituaries kept waiting sociable.

Supporting posts: smashing; coinableS; Miz4r; Norway; cyclotronmajesty; JimboToronto.

NotLambChop's gay porn spamming also became part of the thread's history of disruption. bad trader complained in May about repeated images attributed to multiple accounts; in September, Norway urged reports to moderators and described pornographic images and ASCII versions. These surviving complaints show the irritation and attempts to contain it.


Five posts with the strongest observed impact

Pre-merit era: any merits were awarded later. Selection remains discretionary, shaped by weights and archive coverage. Quotations measure attention, including disagreement and provocation, not approval. Precise scores do not establish objective historical importance or market influence.

1. Loaded leaves one unexplained promise
Loaded promised only that something would happen soon, without saying what. Nagnagnag2 turned the ambiguity into soon-to-moon wordplay.
Observed attention: 9 people quoting, 9 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 98.808/100. After the year: 0 quoting posts from 0 distinct people in the acquired archive.

2. JorgeStolfi challenges mathematical certainty about the supply cap
JorgeStolfi said the supply cap depended on people, not mathematics. Extra inflation was hypothetical, explicitly not a prediction; he retained a separate bearish expectation.
Observed attention: 9 people quoting, 9 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 98.808/100. After the year: 0 quoting posts from 0 distinct people in the acquired archive.

3. Billyjoeallen turns the capacity dispute into a bridge parable
Billyjoeallen's bridge-and-bus parable mocked alleged scaling conflicts of interest. Its Busstream-to-Bridgestream punchline proved no such conflict.
Observed attention: 9 people quoting, 9 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 98.808/100. After the year: 0 quoting posts from 0 distinct people in the acquired archive.

4. Brewins asks why apparently better exchange news is not helping
Brewins asked why prices fell despite Bitstamp's reportedly improved security and lack of Gox-like losses. Those premises were his framing, not verified findings.
Observed attention: 8 people quoting, 8 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 94.286/100. After the year: 0 quoting posts from 0 distinct people in the acquired archive.

5. N12 asks the thread to imagine its strongest bullish case
N12 invited the strongest imaginable bullish scenario, offering neither a prediction nor news.
Observed attention: 8 people quoting, 8 quoting posts during the year; 0 merits. Impact score: 94.286/100. After the year: 0 quoting posts from 0 distinct people in the acquired archive.


Month by month: the five leading discussions

Monthly rankings combine post volume, distinct participants, quoting posts and active days; themes overlap. Counts are in the full edition; all source links remain. Forecasts, personal accounts and allegations stay attributed. Unavailable images and unread material are not reconstructed.


January 2015

1. Bitcoin price outlook, January selloff and bottom calls

magicmexican expected panic below $200; samson anticipated prolonged capitulation. inca instead saw stalled selling, high shorts and cheap borrowing as possible bottom signals, while allowing a retest.

2. Buying dips, holding and managing personal trades

coinableS recommended small monthly purchases. smashing reported selling 60% below $200 and losing thousands during a cold-storage transfer. razorramon proposed investing half the available money and reserving half for another fall.

3. Late-January rally, Coinbase news and recovery levels

JorgeStolfi tentatively connected the rally to Coinbase news. Miz4r defended a correction after rapid gains. samsonn25 proposed $260-$270 resistance and a possible $320 breakout. Recovery remained conditional.

4. Order books, liquidity, selling pressure and manipulation claims

ParabellumLite suspected misleading Finex walls, though a reply disputed that reading. ShroomsKit questioned the selling supply. barbs explicitly called a remark about flashing orders to provoke bots a joke; manipulation remained unproved.

5. Bull-bear rivalry and forum hostility

JimboToronto compared bearish delight to Christmas and demanded more selling. ShroomsKit insultingly thanked sellers while declaring a bottom. Nightowlace deplored name-calling and the loss of intelligent debate.

Memes and running jokes

Anyone notice the crash?. adamstgBit (5 people quoting, 5 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) understated the crash by asking whether anyone had noticed.

Trolfi's protective market guide. Trolfi (5 people quoting, 5 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) played an overprotective market expert begging not to be ignored.

Condolences for selling at $170. rpietila (5 people quoting, 5 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) mocked $170 sellers and suggested a European holiday with their dollars.

The NYSE image, crash reaction and unexplained video remain uninterpreted.


February 2015

1. February's recovery, bear-market bottom and rally debate

oda.krell distinguished recovery's possibility from certainty. billyjoeallen wanted support tested; marcus_of_augustus saw bullish retracement. mrkavasaki still asked about sub-$100 coins.

2. Forum jokes, recurring characters and lightweight banter

cbeast awaited a musical bass drop; Bernard Lerring explained CCMF's train chant. JorgeStolfi imagined Satoshi serving Kool-Aid; NotLambchop invented an Obama-CIA dialogue. These were comic performances, not actual events.

3. Order books, exchange data and manipulation suspicions

Morecoin Freeman interpreted Bitfinex buying as accumulation. smracer claimed walls vanished; Fatman3001 described replenishment around $250. stereotype alleged engine lag and losses. Order ownership and connections between faults and prices remained unverified.

4. Price ranges, support tests and resistance through the $200s

Morecoin Freeman expected buyers near $200; subtleknife hoped for $300. Xiaoxiao read $260 resistance as bearish. aztecminer described another $240 battle. Their proposed floors and ceilings remained uncertain.

5. Personal Bitcoin holdings, trading choices and investment regrets

LFC_Bitcoin preferred holding at a loss to admitting failure. 12345mm described a small diversified allocation. Maximum_Overderp! retained cash for lower prices while doubting the bottom.

Memes and running jokes

Bitcoin has died again. WeltMaster (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) answered dumping fears with another mock Bitcoin obituary.

The sealed-fart scarcity test. NotLambchop (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) tested scarcity-based value with a supposedly unique fart in a jar.

Bitcoiners Pseudonymous. NotLambchop (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) invented a recovery group for Bitcoin obsession.

LFC_Bitcoin's loss account is a personal declaration, not automatically a joke. The hopium image is unseen.

Related posts: LFC_Bitcoin; LFC_Bitcoin.


March 2015

1. March price action, market direction, and changing sentiment

uhoh cautiously welcomed a resilient rebound. noobtrader expected months around $275-$285; tarmi saw a bull trap. 12345mm complained that a decline erased claimed profits.

2. Distinct jokes, puzzles, and cultural diversions

shmadz ordered doom with FUD sauce. 12345mm grotesquely solved a river puzzle with a dead goat. xalex disputed falling-cat claims; billyjoeallen corrected boat terminology.

3. Personal trading, holding, and financial decisions

Norway neared break-even; LFC_Bitcoin hoped a losing stash would become a lottery win. bassclef listed claimed trades; Fatman3001 sold a coin to pay bills. These were personal accounts, not verified performance records.

4. Forum conduct, moderation, and the purpose of Wall Observer

DeboraMeeks said trolling buried price information. macsga wanted Newbie Jail and responsible ignoring. Ask Ken About Love satirized moderation through exaggerated freedom arguments. The satire did not represent every opponent's literal position.

5. Exchange prices, order books, liquidity, and market data

bri912678 noted Bitstamp's discount; Fatman3001 compared depth toward $300. Morecoin Freeman warned that walls could vanish. HalFinneysBrain questioned above-market auction purchases, but the underlying auction-price rumor remained unverified.

Memes and running jokes

Train pictures as a sell signal. barbs (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) treated trains and spending fantasies as sell signals; bassclef (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) requested trains.

Marry a future BTC trillionaire. gentlemand (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) proposed funding boat ownership by marrying and leaving a future BTC trillionaire.

Soon was supposed to be moon. nagnagnag2 (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) jokingly corrected Loaded's "soon" to "moon".

Loaded's question drew five quoting participants; its unseen image and unclear subject prevent identifying a visual joke. Boat terminology alone is not a meme.

Related posts: Loaded.


April 2015

1. Bear market, bottom and recovery debate

BitChick wondered whether bullish exhaustion signaled a bottom. tarmi expected desperation first; micky123 saw no bottom yet. Later, tarmi anticipated another painful year. Mood offered competing interpretations, not confirmed turning points.

2. Connected price levels and the trading range in the $200s

Wandererfromthenorth anticipated a possible $255 breakout. Torque feared another $200 test. ensurance982 argued that $360 would break resistance rather than precede renewed decline.

3. Personal trading choices, risk and financial stress

ensurance982 stressed stops. LFC_Bitcoin reported buying two coins monthly. Unemployed graduate cyclotronmajesty described significant $186 losses and disappointing debit-card rates, while finding volatility entertaining.

4. Whales, manipulation claims and engineered moves

Torque speculated about institutional suppression with a tinfoil-hat signoff. derpinheimer challenged selective manipulation claims. shmadz proposed either funded liquidity or fake Coinbase walls. Neither operators nor motives were established.

5. Trading positions, leverage and squeeze risk

SkyValeey feared long liquidations; inca anticipated short capitulation. Wandererfromthenorth questioned assumptions about whales' positions. Chef Ramsay treated a reported OKCoin margin call as a warning to others.

Memes and running jokes

The buying curse. LFC_Bitcoin (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) joked that every purchase caused a price fall.

Night terrors about THE LIST. Dump3er (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) turned a forum list into trembling and nocturnal inspections.

DOOOM waiting in arrivals. BlindMayorBitcorn (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) asked whether doom had reached the arrivals hall.

KryptoFoo's April Fools notice leaves its story unclear; the model-train image is unseen.

Related posts: KryptoFoo.


May 2015

1. Bear-market bottom and competing market forecasts

blacky90 warned of sub-$200 traps. LFC_Bitcoin (also LFC_Bitcoin) declared the bear market finished, then questioned whether stability was bullish. adamstgBit expected a large move after buying. Confidence changed even within one participant's posts.

2. Quiet trading range and anticipation of a major move

billyjoeallen welcomed stability; matt4054 found trading boring. Wandererfromthenorth expected shrinking volume to precede a violent move either way. LFC_Bitcoin questioned the $230-$240 range.

3. Bitcoin memes and price banter

Torque mocked excitement near $240. ErisDiscordia declared Bitcoin dead after consecutive ChartBuddy posts. BlindMayorBitcorn demanded the moon; tarmi awaited double digits; luckygenough56 collected bear memes.

4. Brief cultural references and everyday asides

BlindMayorBitcorn shared a passage attributed to Vonnegut; Hyperjacked challenged Chef Ramsay's cooking. Elwar joked that anything with nipples could be milked; empowering preferred cows. JimboToronto wondered why a gazillionaire would drive.

5. Exchange price gaps and market data

dakota neat (also dakota neat) questioned opaque prices and separately alleged unverified Chinese fractional-reserve dumping. Fiat_Hodler regretted choosing discounted Bitstamp; spud21 challenged an average using other exchanges. Different screens undermined a common market price.

Memes and running jokes

Moon: when do we want it?. BlindMayorBitcorn (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) turned demands for the moon into a call-and-response chant.

Toasters mining Bitcoinz. BlindMayorBitcorn (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) announced mining toasters; BlindMayorBitcorn (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) feigned shock at life without one.

Every market move is bullish. Dump3er (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) mocked calling every market move bullish; UnholyTrinity (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) extended the joke to longs and shorts.

The gentleman question lacks context; the video and nerd-alert image remain uninterpreted.


June 2015

1. Bitcoin price ranges, support, and the June rally

LFC_Bitcoin feared losing $220 support. Elwar saw a $240-$250 window; JimboToronto celebrated $266 while doubting durability. Lauda asked whether Greece drove gains. Relief replaced frustration without establishing an external cause.

2. Personal buying, holding, and selling choices

JimboToronto described patient accumulation in offline wallets. cyclotronmajesty reported $1,500 dwindling toward $1,000 and wanted to quit. BayAreaCoins called buyers brave. Contrasting circumstances prevented any universal verdict on strategy.

3. Humor, memes, and everyday forum asides

empowering (also empowering) explained donut imagery through a holiday, then invented a baker's hole-business pun. Richy_T warned about time-consuming memes. adamstgBit's depressing reference and Norway's bullish video remained unidentified, so their contents cannot be reconstructed.

4. Order-book walls, whales, and manipulation suspicions

derpinheimer recalled a disappearing ask wall. Tzupy suspected leveraged bait; Ayle56 questioned how that scheme survived buying. poncho32 lamented a pump becoming a dump. No operator or intent was established.

5. Bear-market fears and arguments over a bottom

Elwar wanted weeks above $240; 8up demanded a broken downtrend. fonzie taunted holders with double digits; adamstgBit theatrically proclaimed Bitcoin dead. Analytical conditions and dramatic performance should remain distinct.

Memes and running jokes

Greek adoption continues into alien buying. adamstgBit (8 people quoting, 8 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) escalated hypothetical Greek adoption into global investment and alien buyers.

Mother adopts a monkey before Greece adopts BTC. empowering (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) ranked official Greek adoption below a mother adopting a monkey.

The donut launch code. Fakhoury (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) read donuts as zeros and launch clues; phoenix1 (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) mocked a $10,000 prediction for a past Friday.

The original only gives a reaction, not the alleged depressing comparison. The 21.co image does not identify an appliance.


July 2015

1. Bitcoin market outlook: recovery, bear-market fears, and corrections

Malin Keshar questioned prices below $260. JayJuanGee warned recovery could take time. JimboToronto saw correction; Ezmoneyezlife blamed fading Greek hype, Litecoin and scaling doubts. Those causes remained the participant's interpretation.

2. Bitcoin price rise and repeated tests of $300

TaurusBit saw resistance near $297. coinableS celebrated $300 but expected further resistance. BlackSpidy (also BlackSpidy) announced widespread $300 quotes, then confidently proposed $340. Crossing a threshold did not guarantee staying above it.

3. Bitcoin order-book walls, liquidity, and manipulation suspicions

Cconvert2G36 counted bids defending $300. BrewCrewFan called moving walls fake; Wexlike suspected steering. BlindMayorBitcorn questioned alleged Greek buying. Their observations and suspicions proved neither order ownership nor engineered news effects.

4. Personal accumulation, holding, and investment risk

WeGotCactus neared profitability; BurgerKill considered investing all savings. LFC_Bitcoin (also LFC_Bitcoin) refused responsibility for relatives' investments while later encouraging accumulation generally. Personal conviction differed from risking someone else's money; the linked chart remained unavailable.

5. Exchange-specific price gaps, anomalies, and reliability

Fiat_Hodler questioned BTC-e arbitrage; Wexlike cited thin OKCoin books; criptix recalled an unusual euro quote. readysalted89 joined speculation about future Gox proceedings. Feasibility and any resulting liquidation remained unestablished.

Memes and running jokes

Global meltdown: why is everyone not all-in?. Chalkbot (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) mocked sudden economic panic and everyone's failure to be all-in.

Dragons and Freddy Krueger in the streets. macsga (2 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) mocked Greek-chaos forecasts by adding dragons and Freddy Krueger.

Choo Choo Mother Fucker. gentlemand (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) explained the train abbreviation with the profane phrase above.

The countdown and two-hour prediction lack context. No wider scene is inferred from the Patrick reply.


August 2015

1. August Bitcoin selloffs, rebounds and market direction

LFC_Bitcoin withdrew certainty about $200. adamstgBit expected flash-crash recovery; Ezmoneyezlife feared long liquidations. aztecminer stressed $220 rebounds, though a reply disputed what support meant.

2. Trading strategies, forecasts and personal risk

jertsy regretted panic selling; JimboToronto bought below $220. bobc1994 welcomed pessimism. dreamspark criticized reproduced reports of Andresen's diversification as poor publicity. The external article and financial decisions were not independently verified.

3. Bitcoin humor, slogans and community banter

madonnino described death-to-moon mood swings. rememberme chanted rockets; GaliX mocked moon-train prayers; Fatman3001 calculated an opaque $32,000. adamstgBit deplored scaling conspiracies. These performances were not necessarily literal financial arguments.

4. Bitcoin XT, Core and the block-size governance dispute

billyjoeallen saw XT pressuring developer gridlock. AlexGR preferred Core and feared inadequate XT maintenance. adamstgBit conditionally welcomed reports of a Core capacity increase. Governance and competence mattered alongside block size.

5. Scaling trade-offs: capacity, fees and decentralization

rebuilder favored miner-set fees without restrictive capacity. AlexGR (also AlexGR) warned about storage, bandwidth and spam. fonsie alleged Lightning-like centralization and diverted miner fees. Claims of developer self-enrichment remained accusations, not established motives.

Memes and running jokes

Pray to the Moon train. GaliX (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) reduced bullish strategy to prayer and a moon train.

Extended DOOM. adamstgBit (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) stretched a standalone doom cry extravagantly.

The counter-indicator needs two accounts. julian071 (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) blamed a purchase for a coming dump; BRADLEYPLOOF (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) proposed buying and selling in separate accounts.

The wall and train images are unseen. Podyx's dismissal of a loss is not a distinctive running joke.


September 2015

1. Bullish and bearish outlooks, forecasts, and trading psychology

BitChick wondered whether apathy marked a bottom. Peter R outlined conditional bubbles; adamstgBit proposed $1,300 and $32,000. S3052 claimed a triangle anticipated a rally. Confidence and horizons differed; these were forecasts.

2. Forum banter, running jokes, and brief social exchanges

Fakhoury's Lambie contrast lacked context. Fatman3001 called nerds wordy. Cconvert2G36 mocked scaling camps and flat prices; ssmc2 questioned BJA's pessimism. The teasing established neither real identities nor unseen image content.

3. Block size, capacity, fees, and decentralization trade-offs

brg444 defended scarce block space. JorgeStolfi disputed historical scarcity intentions and larger blocks causing mining centralization. AlexGR feared bloat attacks. Their technical and economic claims did not settle optimal capacity.

4. Personal accumulation, trading experiences, and community moments

JayJuanGee discussed targets for different budgets; LFC_Bitcoin saved while acknowledging uncertain hopes. Chef Ramsay reported lingering walking difficulties. BlindMayorBitcorn returned from subreddits.

5. Bitcoin XT, Core, and the scaling governance dispute

fonsie called XT useful regardless of adoption. Cconvert2G36 claimed it shifted debate; EsBitcoin.org reported fewer nodes. billyjoeallen defended competing implementations. Procedural influence and adoption supplied distinct, contested measures of success.

NotLambChop's gay porn spamming and the moderation dispute

The argument over tolerating trolls included a concrete form of disruption: gay porn spamming attributed to NotLambChop, also called Lambie. On 13 September, Norway asked others to report the posts to moderators, explicitly describing pornographic images and ASCII art. His tally of successful reports presented moderation as an ongoing communal effort.

This was not the first complaint. On 8 May, bad trader had accused NotLambChop of repeating the same image through several accounts. That account attribution remains the participant's allegation. Together, the surviving reactions explain why NotLambChop was remembered for flooding the conversation as well as for bearish provocation. The removed spam itself is not reproduced.

Memes and running jokes

Bitcoin has dandruff. QuestionAuthority (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) diagnosed Bitcoin's trading range as dandruff.

Are we rich yet?. abercrombie (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) asked after a $5 rise; abercrombie (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) repeated the question three days later.

Did Fatman sell the account to Lambchop?. brg444 (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) jokingly attributed Fatman3001's teasing to an account sale.

The larger-spoon reference is unexplained; Cconvert2G36's caption cannot reconstruct its unseen image.

Related posts: Cconvert2G36.


October 2015

1. Distinct market and corporate side discussions

phishead questioned tickers; JayJuanGee challenged moving funds elsewhere. aztecminer proposed supposed auction proceeds for a landfill emergency and mentioned a book. These separate subjects established neither the reported danger nor auction-pump allegation.

2. October's rally, price levels, and breakout attempts

Elwar welcomed gradual gains; brg444 recalled 2013's speed. Fakhoury celebrated breaking $330 while Fatman3001 reported a Gemini drop. Rally enthusiasm coexisted with venue discrepancies and preferences for different rates of advance.

3. Trading sentiment, positions, and investment risk

adamstgBit suspected a large Finex short; DaRude questioned its endurance. adamstgBit hypothetically warned about ruinous exposure, without verifying an accusation about tarmi. noobtrader framed buying, selling or waiting around one's outlook.

4. Recurring Bitcoin forum humor and market memes

Chalkbot wanted songs; peonminer invented a Chinese Loch Ness monster. 2015Bubble imagined wealth; QuestionAuthority anticipated the buying curse. ronald98 denied Bitcoin could buy love. Mockery and an unseen picture established nothing about its subject.

5. Pullbacks, market phases, and downside risk

chennan preferred slow gains over a dangerous bubble. Denker recalled past disappointment; podyx welcomed natural correction; ssmc2 wanted stabilization. The argument concerned sustainable pace, not simply whether the next tick would rise.

Memes and running jokes

My buyback causes the crash. QuestionAuthority (6 people quoting, 6 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) blamed an impending crash on a personal buyback.

Manbearwhale. spooderman (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) named a strange trading episode while questioning self-consumption of coins.

China does not exist. Andre# (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) exaggerated exchange skepticism into denying China's existence, then noted $290.

Quotes do not establish approval of insults or hateful taunts. The pictured relationship mockery is not interpreted.


November 2015

1. Wall Observer culture and community exchanges

Morecoin Freeman enjoyed WO entertainment. bButtercup offered coffee; Torque celebrated page 14,000. billyjoeallen discussed shorts combatively; xyzzy099 linked a Core argument. Hospitality coexisted with conflict rather than defining a uniformly friendly thread.

2. November rally, pullbacks, and market direction

Fakhoury feared a crash; JayJuanGee expected $500 and volatility. Feri22 regretted the pace when $350 failed. spooderman still found the rise and retreat healthy while fearing the low $200s.

3. Trading choices, holding, and managing risk

Cconvert2G36 advised trading against emotion. natewelt retained spreadsheet sale scenarios; Hyperjacked warned repurchases might cost coins. JorgeStolfi disputed scarcity explanations and investors' sources of profit.

4. Support, resistance, and the $300-$500 trading range

Dilla watched $400; TReano doubted $1,000 without news. adamstgBit noted $380 before invoking a plunge. AmazonStuff cited $294 against a $300-support claim.

5. Technical analysis and forecast skepticism

Tzupy anticipated a breakout without direction. adamstgBit mocked incompatible targets. oda.krell answered technical-analysis skepticism with research links. The evidence-seeking response is visible, but the unread papers' merits remain unassessed.

Memes and running jokes

This chart-checking time is different. 600watt (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) staged a trader excusing constant chart checks to a partner.

Doubling zero bitcoins every day. JorgeStolfi (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) mocked profit criticism with a zero-bitcoin purchase and daily doubling.

Negative $100 by tomorrow. bButtercup (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) extended a falling price below zero and requested mathematical help.

Morecoin Freeman's no-coins statement is not inherently a joke. The Coyote GIF and revenge image remain uninterpreted.

Related posts: Morecoin Freeman.


December 2015

1. Recurring forum memes, market jokes and banter

Fatman3001 (also Fatman3001) invoked an Adam Indicator and moon-bound train. WiiD sang PANIC; adamstgBit satirized a $333 forecast through failed ransom plans. Gyrsur's remark did not identify the linked video's contents.

2. Personal buying, holding and selling decisions

LFC_Bitcoin celebrated leaving the $200s; adamstgBit feared failed buybacks. JayJuanGee conditionally favored holding. noobtrader reported a sale, repurchase and renewed anxiety; suda123 regretted selling again.

3. December rallies, reversals and market direction

TReano declared the bear market back; JayJuanGee questioned conditioned pessimism. chesthing defended renewed strength; alani123 feared a storm. Elwar anticipated correction while hoping for $400 support.

4. Block-size limits and Bitcoin capacity choices

AlexGR (also AlexGR) warned about spam and resource costs. billyjoeallen (also billyjoeallen) urged timely expansion, then satirized alleged conflicts through a bridge-and-bus parable. The motive was unproved; genuine demand and expansion pressure remained disputed.

5. Brief jokes, wordplay and small social exchanges

oda.krell puzzled over lying doorkeepers and yuan volume. peonminer asked about unidentified coffee; Fatman3001 admitted using the wrong browser tab. BlindMayorBitcorn demanded random-number speculation.

Memes and running jokes

Why always $32,000?. spooderman (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) questioned the recurring target; adamstgBit (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) supplied an escalating scenario and niallo27 (2 people quoting, 2 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) a joking sale plan.

Speculation means shouting random numbers. BlindMayorBitcorn (4 people quoting, 4 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) welcomed returning participants by demanding random-number shouting.

A 3% fall means Bitcoin is dying. TERA (3 people quoting, 3 quoting posts in the month; 0 merits) turned a 3% fall into another Bitcoin obituary.

The self-portrait, party image and external self-deprecation remain unidentified. The Adam Indicator belongs to the monthly themes, not the supplied meme candidates.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Thanks for that @fillippone

Most of my stash was bought at upwards of 400 dollars.
I have no choice but to HODL.
I'd rather lose it all than admit failure.

Seeing this old post is as good as a Sydney Sweeney titty pic.